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''This page is a section of [[Belesia]].''
 
  
The Caucasus countries that possess hydrocarbon resources will continue to depend on the oil and gas industries to drive their economies, while those that do not possess such resources will attempt  to tie themselves to hydrocarbon-rich nations. Both [[Ariana]] and [[Atropia]] face geopolitical difficulties in exporting their oil and natural gas. Bordered by adversaries, the Arianians and Atropians must rely on tenuous routes to export their resources. For [[Gorgas]] and [[Limaria]], which lack extractive or mature industries, transshipment of hydrocarbon products or providing other services to oil-wealthy countries will be their primary short- to medium-term means to achieve economic development. [[Donovia]] continues to recover from a collapse two decades ago that crippled its economy. All nations of the Caucasus have relatively high inefficiency due to corruption, government involvement in the economy, and/or lack of export industry development.
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[[Pacific|DATE Pacific]] &gt; [[Belesia]] &gt; '''{{PAGENAME}}''' &larr;You are here
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Ariana’s economy has pockets of economic vitality but suffers from governmental legislation and regulation that restrict its growth. Ariana’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) consistently improves about 4-6% annually and even reached 7-8% growth in 2007. Much of Ariana’s GDP growth,  however, depends on hydrocarbon revenues that make up the largest sector of the Arianian economy and suffer the whims of international market commodity prices. The Arianian government continues to push for greater market liberalization and reform, but large Arianian special interests are expected to continue blocking economic progressive legislation to prevent any decrease in their power. Additionally, the government plays a significant role in the Arianian economy; its social welfare policies fund various charities and numerous subsidies for commodities ranging from foodstuffs to gasoline.
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== Economic Overview ==
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The Belesian economy is an emerging economy attempting to expand from its original agrarian base. Seeking to follow the example of other Pacific nations that have developed strong economies, Belesia has created manufacturing base centered on goods processing. A combination of a relatively skilled but low-cost labor force and policy changes that opened up the country to greater foreign investment created a fast growing economy, expanding in the range of 6-7% annual over the last five years despite both international market fluctuations and domestic political turbulence.
  
Ariana’s economy is a series of contrasts. While a population surge reached the labor market over the last decade, Arianian unemployment continued to decrease over the same period. While trade and finance sanctions create significant foreign investment obstacles, overseas trade—especially with East Asian countries—continues to grow as Asia desires raw hydrocarbon resources and Ariana seeks finished consumer goods. Although Ariana’s industrial sector continues as one of the region’s strongest, its factories suffer from international sanctions on the parts and technology needed to update its hardware and techniques.
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Despite these advances, Belesia still lacks a sophisticated manufacturing structure, adequate infrastructure, or full access to international markets. Wealth distribution is extremely inequitable and while the unemployment has steadily declined over the past decade, the majority of available jobs are tedious and for low wages with high underemployment. The government still faces challenges in improving governance and reforming the judicial system and regulatory environment. The political system suffers from institutional weaknesses, including personality-based political parties and political domination by a few influential landholding families, as well as divisions among reformers, conservatives, religious advocates, and traditional politicians.
  
President Ahmad Moudin’s financial policies support his populist agenda, including an expansionary fiscal policy. Moudin continues to support massive subsidies for the populace; energy subsidies alone account for approximately 12% of Ariana’s GDP. The People’s Wealth Fund (PWF), which uses oil revenue proceeds as a hedge against the volatile price fluctuations on the international petroleum market, supports oil subsidies to the Arianian people. The high oil prices of the last decade filled the PWF coffers with enough revenue to pursue Moudin’s populist policies, like fuel subsidies, and possibly provided funds to continue Ariana’s investment in nuclear technology.
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Possible territorial disputes, particularly with regarding to fishing, have also strained relationships between Belesia and its neighbors. A fractured topography and an unevenly distributed population exacerbate the risk. Unsettled islands, of which Belesia has over a thousand, are vulnerable to competing declarations of sovereignty and economic exploitation. Belesia attempts to maintain strong diplomatic ties both with its immediate neighbors and with more powerful regional stakeholders.
  
As a result of Ariana’s successful nuclear weapons program, the US Treasury enacted sanctions against Ariana that hamper its international and domestic economic systems and promote policy changes. In addition, the US hopes the sanctions will deter Ariana from providing financial support to Middle East terrorists.
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Despite these challenges, the overall economic outlook for Belesia is positive. The country possesses a large supply of human capital and significant natural resources. The industrial transformation to manufacturing of electronic components is beginning to show profitability, although at the expense of traditional agricultural output. Economic and government reforms are generally seen as positive increasing the likelihood of both international trade and foreign investment.
  
== Table of Economic Data ==
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== Economic Activity ==
{| class="wikitable"
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Belesia has an emerging economy that is attempting to expand from its original agrarian base. Seeking to follow the example of other Pacific nations that have developed strong economies, Belesia has created manufacturing base centered on goods processing. A combination of a relatively skilled but low-cost labor force and policy changes that opened up the country to greater foreign investment created a fast growing economy, expanding in the range of 6-7% annual over the last five years despite both international market fluctuations and domestic political turbulence.
|'''Measure'''
+
 
|'''Data'''
+
Despite these advances, Belesia still lacks a sophisticated manufacturing structure, adequate infrastructure, or full access to international markets. Wealth distribution is extremely inequitable and while the unemployment has steadily declined over the past decade, the majority of available jobs are tedious and for low wages with high underemployment. The government still faces challenges in improving governance and reforming the judicial system and regulatory environment. The political system suffers from institutional weaknesses, including personality-based political parties and political domination by a few influential landholding families, as well as divisions among reformers, conservatives, religious advocates, and traditional politicians.
|'''Rank in World'''
+
 
|'''Remarks (if applicable)'''
+
Possible territorial disputes, particularly with regarding to fishing, have also strained relationships between Belesia and its neighbors. A fractured topography and an unevenly distributed population exacerbate the risk. Unsettled islands, of which Belesia has over a thousand, are vulnerable to competing declarations of sovereignty and economic exploitation. Belesia attempts to ensure its territorial sovereignty through the maintenance of strong diplomatic ties both with its immediate neighbors and with more powerful regional stakeholders.
|-
+
 
|'''GDP'''
+
Despite these challenges, the overall economic outlook for Belesia is positive. The country possesses a large supply of human capital and significant natural resources. The industrial transformation to manufacturing of electronic components is beginning to show profitability, although at the expense of traditional agricultural output. Economic and government reforms are generally seen as positive increasing the likelihood of both international trade and foreign investment.
|827.1 billion USD
+
 
|19
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In the past three years, Belesia emerged as one of the stellar economic performers in the Pacific region. The country’s GDP expanded at a 6.5% compounded annual growth rate, compared with 6% for the Southeast Asia region as a whole. Domestic demand has been providing the key impetus to economic growth during recent quarters as consumer and business sentiment remains resilient, while investment and government spending surged on the back of election-related spending.
|
+
 
|-
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The receding effect from election spending, the lingering damage from unfavorable weather conditions, a clouded world economic outlook, and lackluster global demand will raise downside risks to otherwise upbeat near-term prospects. Meanwhile, upholding growth momentum will remain the key challenge to the economy. This is reflective of the country's historical inability to sustain rapid growth for more than a couple of years at a time. Consumption rather than investment traditionally drives growth in Belesia, a pattern that is less sustainable than the successes in evidence in Olvana and South Torbia.
|'''Labor  Force'''
+
 
|25.02 million
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Recently, Belesia has suffered a significant slowdown amid continuing political turmoil, slowing momentum in Olvana, and the sudden flight of capital back to developed economies. An absence of entrepreneurial dynamism makes long-term economic development a challenging task and unemployment remains a persistent problem. The overall low-income level and inadequate infrastructure hampers economic diversification and growth.
|22
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|
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=== Economic Actors ===
|-
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In the past three years, Belesia emerged as one of the stellar economic performers in the Pacific region. The country’s GDP expanded at a 6.5% compounded annual growth rate, compared with 6% for the Southeast Asia region as a whole. Domestic demand has been providing the key impetus to economic growth during recent quarters as consumer and business sentiment remains resilient, while investment and government spending surged on the back of election-related spending.
|'''Unemployment'''
+
 
|11.8%
+
The receding effect from election spending, the lingering damage from unfavorable weather conditions, a clouded world economic outlook, and lackluster global demand will raise downside risks to otherwise upbeat near-term prospects. Meanwhile, upholding growth momentum will remain the key challenge to the economy. This is reflective of the country's historical inability to sustain rapid growth for more than a couple of years at a time. Consumption rather than investment traditionally drives growth in Belesia, a pattern that is less sustainable than the successes in evidence in Olvana and South Torbia.
|125
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|
+
Recently, Belesia has suffered a significant slowdown amid continuing political turmoil, slowing momentum in Olvana, and the sudden flight of capital back to developed economies. An absence of entrepreneurial dynamism makes long-term economic development a challenging task and unemployment remains a persistent problem. The overall low-income level and inadequate infrastructure hampers economic diversification and growth.
|-
+
 
|'''Poverty'''
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=== International Trade ===
|18%
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Belesia has more than 500 ports scattered throughout the archipelago, 57 of which are designated international ports with four of them having major cargo and passenger terminals. The main maritime gateway to Belesia is the Port of Davao. A number of cities such as Cagayan de Oro, Cebu City, Zamboanga, Matnog, Allen, and Ormoc have ports that are part of the Federated Nautical Highway, allowing land vehicles to use a 24-hour roll-on roll-off (Ro-Ro) ship service linking the country's different islands at minimal cost. Belesia has a number of privately controlled ports, which tend to handle international trade while government-controlled ones handle domestic trade. Belesia has a large number of established maritime and inland waterway freight. Although these are useful for small vessels, it does not do much for businesses looking to transport large volumes of goods, as the majority of the waterways are limited to shallow-draft vessels of less than 1.5 meters. Despite its archipelago makeup and reliance on maritime transportation for trade, the country's ports tend to lack capacity and have outdated or inadequate infrastructure, which cannot cope with the rising trade requirements.
|
+
 
|Percent below poverty line
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Belesia’s main trade policies are aimed at achieving greater integration into the world economy. In particular, Belesia wants greater foreign direct investment to expand output and employment and enhance foreign market access for its products. To obtain these measures, Belesia has pursued multilateral, regional, and bilateral trade negotiations. A large part of these negotiations has included reducing tariffs on imported agricultural products, although broadly speaking these remain high.
|-
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|'''Investment'''
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==== Commercial Trade ====
|27.7% of GDP
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Belesia has a strategic geographical location for maritime trade and low overall costs make it an attractive opportunity for companies looking to serve Asian markets. However, the country's archipelago geography and underdeveloped internal transport networks causing delays when moving goods. This inadequate logistics network detracts from the country's otherwise appealing trade connections. A severe slowdown in the world economy, as already seen in Olvana and South Torbia, affects Belesia commercial growth opportunities. Likewise, other political fallout in Europe, North America, or the Middle East has the potential to seriously disruption trade expansion. However, these vulnerabilities to external shocks have also led Belesian companies to develop a resiliency, and efforts to shift from reliance on manufacturing goods to service orientation and greater emphasis on domestic consumer growth. Overall downward demand globally also lessened the overall economic blow for Belesian importers as total product import cost dropped by 9.6% over the last two years. To counter losses from reduced trade with its major trading partners, Belesia has been looking to expand its export trade into Africa. In particular, Belesia has found a market for its non-rice agricultural exports in Ziwa.
|36
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|
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Belesia has a negative balance of trade—importing more than they export—valued at around $5 billion. The total value of exports is $36.55 billion, with over half of export volume coming from machinery and electronics, while from a monetary standpoint, the most valuable Belesian exports are electronic components, computers, insulated wire or cable, and coconuts. Copper was the fastest growing among the top 10 export categories, up 213.9% last year. Belesia main export partners are South Torbia (21.2%), the US (14.5%), and Olvana (12.2%). Belesia’s imports valued $41.87 billion, with the largest imports in machinery (33%) and fuels (21%). Belesia’s largest import trade partners are South Torbia (16.3%), Olvana (13.1%), and the US (10.9%). Export controls are implemented mainly for health, safety, security, or environmental reasons or to fulfill international commitments. Belesia does not apply export taxes and provides grants, tax incentives, and
|-
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==== Military Exports/Imports ====
|'''Budget'''
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Military expenditures in Belesia account for 1.5% of GDP. Historically, Belesian purchases have been a mix of western and Donovian weaponry, but recently the country has been looking at Olvanan imports. This would make conflict less palatable for the Olvanans and offer greater protection for businesses in the country. A pronounced realignment of resources toward internal security will have long-term negative consequences for the Belesian Federation Defense Force's ability to challenge external intrusions particularly given a long-standing imbalance in terms of purchases that benefit army modernization versus maritime and aerial surveillance.
|$96.94 billion revenue
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 +
=== Manipulation/Weaponization of Economic Activity ===
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Belesia has substantial trade with both the United States and Olvana. When trade wars develop between the two large countries, Belesia becomes vulnerable. A government spokesman said, “Economically we are linked to both markets, and physically we are also caught in between for geographical reasons. There are even suggestions that we ourselves would be a target for sanctions.” In good times, Belesia enjoys the benefits of two large trading partners. In other times, Belesia fears being a collateral casualty.
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== Economic Sectors ==
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The archipelago of Belesia contains a wealth of natural resources, ecological richness, and a wide variety of bio-diversity. However, population pressures, the deleterious effects of natural disasters, and land ownership and land management issues have failed to convert those riches into economic success. Like many Asian nations, a key to developing economic strength in Belesia is converting large segments of the populations from farm to factory, integrating into a global supply chain of high-value manufacturing. However, it also drew the country into more direct competition with its neighbors. Additionally, Belesian efforts to promote economic development have further contributed to environmental damage as well as widespread poverty and human health concerns. Moves to create an export-based economy similar to Olvana or South Torbia mean have shifted the workforce from primarily agricultural to one in which a third are in agriculture (29.6%) while over half work in services (54.1%, with 16.3% in the industrial sector.) Due to widespread inefficiencies across the agricultural sector, agriculture only contributes 9.7% to the overall GDP. Industry provides the key sector in electronics manufacturing. While industry as a whole provides 30.8% of the overall GDP, over half of that comes from electronics. The government provides a number of tax incentives to attract foreign investment in electronic manufacturing, particularly in telecommunications. However, research and development expenditure is very low. With over 60% of overall R&D funding coming from the private sector, Belesia has one of the lowest expenditure rates in Asia—a large risk as knowledge-based economies dominate the global marketplace.
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Good factor endowment in Belesia is a positive sign for growth. The country possesses a large supply human capital and rich natural resource endowment. Economic reforms undertaken in decades ago positioned the country on a path of sustainable expansion, with exports strongly benefiting from prior investments and regulatory changes. Steadfast consumer optimism, healthy credit expansion, a tight labor market, and growing flows of overseas remittances translate into solid, if moderate, consumer spending growth. Remittances from overseas workers are equivalent to nearly 10% of GDP. However, rising global interest rates could weaken the Belesian currency, adversely affecting capital flows and driving up domestic inflation. Commodity prices, specifically global crude oil prices, are projected to rise, which could also increase inflationary pressures.
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The investment-to-GDP ratio in Belesia remains low, and the economy is still hugely dependent on remittance inflows to sustain its growth. A reliance on agricultural commodity exports and exposure to wild swings in global electronics demand has left the country prone to considerable volatility. The challenge for Belesia is to sustain economic growth despite these facts and spread those benefits to more deprived regions of the country. A large growth opportunity lies in construction—especially of roads, harbors, and other public infrastructure—but a lack of public investment or dynamic entrepreneurship has failed to kick start this sector. In some regions, businesses, especially multinational corporations are loathe to invest because of governmental roadblocks. Provincial governments can use their powers to hamper rights granted under central government legislation. In addition, judicial processes can be very slow because of understaffing, and there are high levels of corruption, where the payment of small bribes during negotiations is a common practice. Many local officials rely on such payments to supplement small incomes.
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=== Raw Materials Sector ===
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Belesia has an abundance of raw materials, many renewable, that makes it an important trading partner with other countries.
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==== Agriculture ====
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Belesia is still primarily an agricultural country despite the plan to make it an industrialized economy. Most citizens still live in rural areas and support themselves through agriculture. The country's agriculture sector is made up of three sub-sectors: farming, livestock, and forestry, with the latter two being much smaller than the first. Together, agriculture employs 29.6% of the labor force, but only contributes 9.7% of the GDP. The agricultural sector suffers from low productivity, weak economies of scale and inadequate infrastructure. Last year, the country's earnings from agricultural exports were lower by 21% from the previous year.
  
$93.04 billion expenditures
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Small farms with low mechanization dominate the agriculture sector. Just over 40% of the total land area is dedicated to agriculture with three-fourths of the cultivated area devoted to subsistence crops and one-fourth to commercial crops, mainly for export. Soils are extremely fertile, but 30% of the agricultural land is suffering erosion. In value terms, Belesia’s main crops are rice, banana, coconut, palm oil, corn, and sugarcane. Belesia exports coconut oil, palm oil, and sugar, but rice and corn are largely produced for domestic consumption, and the government emplaced a variety of measures to protect these products. These include highly costly and ineffective price supports for rice and corn, high tariffs, and rice import quotas. Roughly half of the cultivated land is devoted to rice and corn. Large plantations are the norm in commercial agriculture, centered on palm, coconuts, sugarcane, tobacco, bananas, and pineapples.
|
 
|
 
|-
 
|'''Public  Debt'''
 
|16.7%
 
|110
 
|
 
|-
 
|'''Inflation'''
 
|13.5%
 
|211
 
|
 
|}
 
  
== Participation in the Global Financial System ==
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The importance of agriculture means that Belesia is extremely vulnerable to weather-related extreme events, earthquakes, and sea level rise. Climate-related impacts will reduce cultivatable land, decrease agricultural productivity, and increase food insecurity. Environmental deterioration and unsustainable development practices aggravate the country’s climate vulnerability. However, the poor performance of the agricultural sector in recent decades is not tied to risks or vulnerabilities in the sector, but rather to the political and institutional environment within which the sector operates. Price intervention policies, trade policies, public expenditure allocations, weak governance, and failed infrastructure have all led to the overall weakness of the agricultural sector.
Over the past decade, the Caucasus nations made considerable efforts to integrate themselves into the global financial system. While focused on local conflicts, the Caucasus region opened to other countries to increase global markets for its products, especially petroleum, and looked to the West for economic developmental aid, usually in the form of loans and grants.
 
  
=== World Bank/International Development Aid ===
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==== Forestry ====
The World Bank currently maintains two active Ariana portfolios, which are focused on land management and water sanitation efforts. The World Bank’s activity in Ariana restarted a decade ago after a seven-year hiatus. World Bank disbursements to Ariana reached their peak in 2007, topping out at $200 million, then began a downward trend to only $120 million per fiscal year. Only the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), a World Bank sub-echelon organization, can lend to Ariana based on the World Bank’s market rate.
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Rapid population growth and destructive logging techniques have dramatically changed the prospects of the Belesian logging sector. As lowland populations increased, migration into traditional forestland, aided by the existence of logging roads and previously clear-cut areas, meant minimal chance for reforestation. Since the start of the 20<sup>th</sup> Century, nearly two-thirds of total forest coverage has been destroyed. Over the past three decades, the government has attempted to reforest over a million hectares, but only 120,000 hectares survived due to inadequate maintenance and protection. Belesia has gone from a lumber exporter, harvesting a high of 750,000 cubic meters of lumber annually, to a lumber importer. The government has banned lumber exportation, harvests are below 100,000 cubic meters, and the country imports over 200,000 cubic meters a year. Additionally, the most profitable non-wood forest products, rattan and bamboo, are also in serious decline.
  
Ariana’s major donor countries in terms of bilateral official development assistance include Germany, France, the Netherlands, Norway, and Japan. In general, the United States does not provide aid to Ariana other than humanitarian assistance in extreme circumstances. For example, USAID contributed disaster assistance after the earthquake near Bam, Ariana, on 26 December 2003.
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==== Fishing ====
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Fishing contributes to 3% of the GDP. However, overfishing has emerged as one of the country’s major problem. Overfishing has resulted in a 90% drop in the trawling quantity from major fishing areas in the country. Apart from the economic loss, there has also been a loss of biodiversity and almost 80% of the coral reefs in Belesia are under high risk due to destructive fishing practices. Efforts by Belesia to expand its territorial fishing areas have been met with opposition from Gabal and South Torbia. Domestic demand for fish is substantial, with average yearly fish consumption at 36 kg per person compared to 12 kg for consumption of meat and other food products. The fisheries sector comprises commercial fisheries, municipal fisheries, and aquaculture. Commercial fishing is allowed in waters that are 16 km or more from the shoreline: foreign equity in deep-sea-fishing vessels is capped at 40%, and all fishermen must be Belesian citizens. Imports of fresh, chilled, or frozen fish (except when imported for canning and processing) are allowed only when deemed "necessary", and a certificate of necessity is required. Fish exports require a permit.
  
=== Foreign Direct Investment ===
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==== Oil and Natural Gas Extraction ====
Ariana’s hydrocarbon resources make it a potentially lucrative market for foreign investment. Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Ariana, however, continues its historical trend and remains low.
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Belesia imports all of its oil and oil-based products. The vast majority (87%) of total crude mix is imported from the Middle East, 6.7% is imported from Donovia, and the remaining 6.3% is from other Asian sources. Local refineries account for 51% of imports, while the other 49% reflects direct importation of refined products. Refinery production has a maximum throughput of 38000 bbl/day but averages 18000 bbl/day. The predominant refined product is diesel oil with a 47.3% share of the production mix, followed by gasoline (24.2%), kerosene (10.8), avgas (6.9%) and fuel oil (6.6%). Volume wise, diesel oil imports grew by 24.6% compared over the previous year. Kerosene, avgas, and gasoline imports also rose by 19.9%, 19.7%, and 3.7%, respectively. On the other hand, fuel oil imports dropped by 15.3%.
  
The Arianian government allows foreign investment only in certain economic sectors such as banking, telecommunications, transport, and border control. Investors can only own up to 65% of any state-owned enterprise. The Arianian government bars foreign investment in defense and security- related enterprises and in its national oil company. The government can prevent foreign investors from participating in any development plan in which the international community possesses the project’s majority share. Recently, Ariana reluctantly began allowing new foreign investors to participate in its economy.
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The current gas industry in Belesia is characterized as emerging. The Belesian natural gas industry assists in the government’s goal of harnessing environmentally friendly fuels to ensure a stable, diverse, and secure energy supply. However, the growth of this industry is predicated on the development of additional natural gas capacity, other non-power applications, and the infrastructure to bring the natural gas to its potential markets. This infrastructure includes the appropriate pipeline transmission and distribution networks, LNG terminals and facilities, gas-refilling stations, and ancillary facilities.
  
== Economic Activity ==
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==== Mining ====
The Arianian economy appears as a liberal free market, but that is only a veneer. In reality, the economic system is heavily influenced by participation in collective organizations that control vast segments of the economy. Patronage and favoritism form the business culture necessary for individual economic success. These organizations generally oppose reforms—usually in the form of policy liberalization—as such changes would reduce their power, wealth, or prestige in Arianian society.
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The Belesian archipelago is rich in mineral resources, including major deposits of gold, iron ore, copper, lead, and zinc. There are also deposits of silver, nickel, mercury, manganese, and cadmium. Small-scale operations dominate the mining industry, contributing 80% of overall mineral production in the country. Although unexploited mineral wealth is estimated at more than $420 billion, low royalty rates and an ineffective fiscal system means that the government receives only a small share of this resource wealth. Non-metallic minerals range from limestone, salt, and asbestos, to marble and asphalt. The country has extensive agricultural resources, including timber and fisheries, while principal crops include rice, corn, coconut, and sugarcane. Tropical fruits are also produced for export.
  
=== Economic Actors ===
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While the mining and quarrying sector contributes about 1.1% to GDP and employees an estimated 200,000 people, or 0.7% of the total number of people employed in the country, both figures are down from the previous year, losing nearly 21,000 jobs. Five years ago, the government implemented a new mining law which the industry and the public lauded the law for its liberal framework. However, a mine collapse in Panay released 20.6 million tons of waste into a nearby river. This led to an amendment of the mining law and highlighted the growing mistrust of the country’s private sector in the country’s legal environment. Despite the abundance of natural resources in the country, the amended law has increased private investor mistrust of the country’s regulatory regime and greatly curtailed foreign investment and expansion. Conflicting national and local mining laws also pose risks to foreign mining firms. For example, open-pit mining is banned on Mindanao despite being allowed by national law. The only area of mining expansion has been in nickel, with 4 new projects starting last year and 21 of the country’s 35 operating mines producing nickel.
Ariana’s military, charitable corporations, and government control large segments of its economy. Each one operates through a network of patronage and rules that favor its own operation and make  it difficult for others to become a competitor. These near-monopolies limit the efficacy of market competition as they give one group an advantage over another in various economic fields. These concentrations further self-interests that often prevent economic reforms intended to reduce regulation or improve market function.
 
  
The Arianian military is one of the country’s most prominent economic actors. It plays an increasingly active role on the domestic political scene and possesses extensive and diverse economic assets. President Ahmad Moudin served as an army commander in the 1980-88 Ariana-Iraq War,  and his presidency will most likely only enhance the military’s influence. Current military leaders and a network of current and former commanders operate Ariana's hydrocarbon industries and also dominate construction, agriculture, mining, transportation, defense, and import/export businesses. The military blatantly protects its business interests.
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=== Manufacturing and Industry Sector ===
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Belesia has developed a competitive manufacturing base in recent years as low-end manufacturing left Olvana due to wage increases. Industrial food processing is one of Belesia’s main manufacturing activities along with the production of cement, glass, chemicals products and fertilizers, iron, and steel. The manufacturing sector has been the focus of Belesian efforts to improve job quality, but growth is hindered by high wages, bureaucratic interference, and limited infrastructure. Additionally, the global market, with liberalized globalization in steel, hampered the industry in is incipient stage. While Belesia does not have integrated steel mill capacity, its regional competitors do, putting the country at further disadvantage. Belesia is among the most open countries to metal imports in the region. Whereas South Torbia and Olvana each implemented eleven anti-dumping measures in the base metal sector over the past three years (tariffs, safeguards, technical barriers to trade and non-tariff barriers like “Buy National” campaigns), Belesia has not initiated any.
  
Charitable corporations operate as private holding companies but actually serve as quasi- governmental trust foundations. These corporations account for an estimated 33% to 40% of Ariana’s non-oil economy. Many of the charitable corporations predate the Council of Guardians Revolution and are custodians of Arianian Shia holy sites. Following the Revolution, their influence increased to the current level of significant economic and political influence. The Supreme Leader appoints the heads of these corporations, which control vast assets gained from Ariana’s confiscation of property during and after the Council of Guardians Revolution.
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Belesia’s industrial policy aims at diversifying its manufacturing base and promoting regional industrialization. In order to encourage investment in the manufacturing sector, the Government has offered a wide range of tax incentives, concessionary tax rates and other types of assistance. The sector remains an important contributor to economic growth, accounting for 30.8% of GDP and 16.3% of total employment and the industrial production growth rate is 6.8%. However, manufacturing is highly concentrated in a few products and export markets, and relies heavily on imported inputs, making it vulnerable to external economic cycles and price fluctuations. Primary industries include electronics assembly, garments, footwear, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, wood products, food processing, and fishing.
  
Charitable corporations provide social services to various elements of Arianian society, such as disabled war veterans, widows, and the indigent. The foundations have significant influence among the lower and lower-middle classes, and can exert tremendous political sway. As an ally of the conservative Arianian regime, charitable corporations give the government several avenues to exert social pressure and control when needed, including mobilizing citizens for protests, patronage, political indoctrination, and dissent repression.
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The government is supportive of a strong manufacturing base, while favoring a restructuring towards higher value-added, capital-intensive industries. The authorities consider that the manufacturing sector has positive spillover effects on the rest of the economy, including improving the economy's resilience in global economic downturns. The high-tech sector is isolated from the rest of the economy. Belesia specializes in semiconductor assembly, which relies heavily on imported components that the country then re-exports to be used as intermediate inputs in other electronic subsectors.
  
As many as 123 different charitable corporations operate in Ariana. One of the largest and most important is the Foundation for Assistance to the Helpless. This corporation has amassed an estimated $12 billion in assets and employs more than 400,000 workers in its various enterprises.
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==== Energy Industry ====
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Belesia is a net energy importer despite low consumption levels relative to its Southeast Asian neighbors. The country produces small volumes of natural gas and coal. Geothermal, hydropower, and other renewable sources constitute a significant share of electricity generation. These provide approximately half of Belesia’s energy needs (49.8%) However, the country must import the vast majority of its petroleum and petroleum product requirements, equating to 31.4% of consumption, although only 2.5% of electrical generation. A decade ago, the government privatized the state-run Belesian Petroleum Corporation (BPC), eliminating that company’s monopoly on oil importation. However, the BPC remains a dominated player in the energy sector with significant influence over local processes.
  
The Arianian economy’s so-called “associations” also come under the control of key elites. In theory, the Ministry of Associations oversees their operations. In practice, however, allies or relatives of the regime elites control the larger associations and limit the ministry’s oversight powers. The best- known cooperative, the Ariana Pistachio Farmer’s Association, exemplifies the privileged status of these organizations. A former Arianian president runs this cooperative, which claims to represent over 70,000 pistachio farmers and generates an estimated $746 million annually in revenue.
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Another state-owned enterprise, the Cebu Electricity Board, dominates electricity, which has run at a loss for many years as the government has kept electricity tariffs below generation costs. At the same time, cross-subsidization in favor of certain consumers has led to high electricity costs for industrial users, potentially weakening their competitiveness. Although coal only accounts for around 4% of overall energy use, coal plants provide over half of the electricity used nationwide.
  
Historically, Arianian merchants contributed significantly to the country’s economy. They seek economic stability and certainty, but are reportedly displeased with the current government. The merchants do not necessarily want a completely free trade system, however, as it might impinge on their privileged business status. They remain skeptical of increased foreign investment, fearing that Western factories and companies might operate more efficiently and compete effectively with the merchants. Some Arianians complain that the merchants try to control certain markets by group actions such as joint boycotts that force a supplier to make concessions.
+
The energy sector has several possible entry points for investors, ranging from prospecting to generation, transmission, and distribution. Several foreign companies have had a strong presence in the natural gas and generating industry after the government opened the sector up to foreign capital.
  
=== Trade ===
+
==== Chemical Industry ====
International trade contributes significantly to the Arianian economy. Hydrocarbons constitute a major portion of the trade, as oil and natural gas represent 81% of Ariana’s total exports. Other import/export commodities include agricultural goods (fresh and dried fruits), petrochemicals, consumer goods, industrial raw materials, and military items. Ariana generally fosters its relationship with East Asian countries as a hydrocarbon resources exporter and finished goods importer. To avoid international sanctions on certain items, Ariana uses Limaria as a principal trade route for re-exporting goods.
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The Chemical Industries Association, consisting of 57 of the largest chemical companies in Belesia, aims to develop the industry into a major global exporter over the next decade, prioritizing oleochemicals, petrochemicals, and agrochemicals. The aim is to take advantage of abundant sources of raw materials in Belesia, especially coconut. The combined chemical industry, including both production and imports, is equivalent to 6.7% of overall GDP and employs 45,000 workers.
  
=== Commercial Trade ===
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==== Other Major Industry ====
During the last four years, Ariana’s total trade in goods (exports and imports) nearly doubled to $147 billion. Ariana benefits from a positive trade balance. Oil and natural gas, which dominate Ariana’s export revenue, provide the country’s most important foreign exchange earnings.
 
  
Instead of its traditional European partners, Ariana now trades primarily with East Asian countries (especially China and Japan) that are hungry for petroleum resources and can provide finished consumer goods for the Arianian market. Limaria serves as a vital link to the rest of the world’s trading market.
+
===== Information Technology (IT) =====
 +
IT is an area of focused attention by the Belesian government over the past two decades. Belesia is strategically situated with easy accessibility to other countries and has robust infrastructure, connectivity and economic stability. Financial institutions, telecommunications, media, and retail industry are the leading industries that have successfully started to digitally transform and align their overall strategy with Belesia’s digital strategy. While Belesians are well connected, the business community has some way to go.
 +
* Belesia has taken to heart research that indicates a direct correlation between economic growth rates and investments in technology. Belesia’s efforts have included:
 +
* A flagship Multimedia Super Corridor in 1996, which aimed to implement an electronic information system to boost the efficiency of government operations, deliver more cost-effective public services, and decrease bureaucratic delays.
 +
* National Broadband Act which expanded broadband coverage and speed through an agreement between the government and a state-owned telecommunication company. It also installed 3,500 kilometer of submarine fiber-optic cables. As a result, Belesia’s household broadband penetration per 100 inhabitants reached 99.8 per cent in 2016, compared to just 19.4 per cent in 2011. 
 +
* The National Transformation 2050 Initiative, launched in 2017, aims to position Belesia as one of the top 20 nations in economic development, social advancement, and innovation over the next 20 years. The Agenda outlines five focus areas, including information and communication technology. The Agenda notes the ongoing explosion in internet bandwidth, processing power, and digital storage capacity, as well as the rise of broadband and mobile connectivity, the Internet of Things, robotics, and artificial intelligence. In the future, the Agenda envisions automation and robotics as part of domestic construction, transport, and city assets. 
  
=== Military Exports/Imports ===
+
==== Defense Industry ====
Last year Ariana exported over $100 million worth of military hardware. Many countries across the globe import Arianian military equipment, goods, and services (includes training, technical support, and construction). Ariana recently signed defense cooperation agreements with Tajikistan and Algeria that include defense equipment sales, manufacturing or repair facility construction, and military unit training.
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One of the newest sectors of Belesia is the defense industry, which was established in 1999. One of Belesia’s leading automotive manufacturer, TechNow manufactures armored cars and special vehicles for the Belesian army. Belesian Heavy Industries is tasked with the manufacture of warships and ensuring the technology used in the vessels is up to date.
  
Ariana continues to increase its military spending through a growth in arms imports. Ariana carefully focused its military purchases to improve important capabilities like INFOWAR, naval combat, and armored vehicles. However, these recent purchases have not offset the steady aging of Ariana’s military inventory. Without parts and upgrades for much of its Western-supplied equipment, Ariana has not achieved parity with the weapons and technology found in US, British, and many other Gulf forces, although its military inventory matches or exceeds other regional opponents. Ariana has attempted to compensate for its technology gap by creating its own military industries, but with only limited impact.
+
=== Services Sector ===
 +
The services sector, which accounts for 59% of GDP and 54% of employment, remains a main driver of economic growth, expanding by an average of 6% annually in real terms over the last five years. Services exports as a percent of total exports increased from 9% to 21% over the past decade. Services are led by wholesale and resale trade (16%), followed by business services (15%), financial and insurance services (13%) and tourism (12%). Further reforms in the services sector, particularly in travel and tourism, could provide more channels by which the country could diversify its economy, achieve high and sustained growth, and reduce poverty. The tourism sector is considered central to Belesia’s social and economic development, and the government's objective is to double tourist arrivals in the next three years. Infrastructural weaknesses, particularly highways, hotels, and tourist facilities, have been identified as the main bottlenecks to tourism development.
  
== Economic Diversity ==
+
==== Banking/Finance ====
Ariana’s economy demonstrates diversity across multiple sectors: manufacturing, agriculture, and extractive industries. However, the country almost exclusively depends on its hydrocarbon industries to sustain its economy. Oil exports serve as Ariana’s chief revenue producer internationally, while internally the Arianians rely on natural gas for most of their energy needs. Ariana works to increase its domestic reliance on natural gas due to its lower cost, and focuses on increasing its higher-priced oil exports to maximize revenues. The Arianian government created programs in its recent five-year plans to re-establish its agriculture and manufacturing sectors, but with only limited success.
+
Banks in Belesia offer a comprehensive range of banking and financial services. The country’s financial institutions are governed by the Bank of Belesia—the country’s central bank responsible for promoting monetary and financial stability. Technological developments, particularly in the area of Telecommunications and Information Technology are revolutionizing the way business is done. Electronic commerce is now thought to hold the promise of a new commercial revolution by offering an inexpensive and direct way to exchange information and to sell or buy products and services. This revolution in the market place has set in motion new opportunities for payment systems that are compatible with the demands of the electronic marketplace. 
  
=== Energy Sector ===
+
In line with global trends, banking business in Belesia has been undergoing tremendous changes since achieving independence. Belesia commenced the gradual deregulation of the financial sector in the 1970’s. Then, in the 1980’s the industry introduced Automated Teller Machines (ATM’s) as the most visible evidence of emerging electronic banking in Belesia. This was then followed by the introduction of telebanking and PC-banking in the 1990’s. The next imminent step in Belesia’s modernizing of its banking and financial sector is Internet–banking. However, there are several issues hampering the full introduction of Internet transactions, including the lack of an adequate legal framework and infrastructure that will insure the security of electronic transactions.
The Arianian government watches energy more closely than any other sector of its economy. Ariana’s hydrocarbon resources and revenue remain key to the country’s domestic economy and stability. Its large hydrocarbon resources are one of Ariana’s few levers when dealing with the international community.
 
  
Ariana’s energy sector continues to deteriorate from increasingly antiquated practices and equipment, as sanctions have limited international investment in Arianian hydrocarbon infrastructure and technology. The Ministry of Petroleum, through its system of nationally-owned subsidiaries, maintains responsibility for all Arianian oil and natural gas production and exploration. Ariana has an estimated 10% of the world’s oil reserves and 15% of the world’s natural gas reserves.
+
==== Information Communications Technology (ICT) ====
 +
The government, launched initiatives with the business sector to develop the country’s mobile service network as rapidly as possible, an essential factor given the archipelagic nature of Belesia. It successfully implemented a 3G mobile broadband service despite the lack of intervening 2G infrastructure. The government was able to institute this advanced communication technology while supporting development by private network providers.
  
=== Oil ===
+
Recent government support and testing of mesh network systems granted internet access to the majority of Belesia’s population. Implementation of mesh networks throughout the country also improved internet security thanks to the system’s embedded network security hardware and firmware.
The Dastet region, near the Iraqi border, contains the vast majority of Ariana’s onshore crude oil reserves. Ariana operates 40 oil production fields—27 onshore and 13 offshore. Currently, Ariana exports about 2.4 million barrels per day (bbl/d) primarily to Asian markets, making it the world’s fourth-largest exporter. The remaining 1.7 million bbl/d is used domestically. Ariana produces about 4.5% of all global oil, and its primary crude oil export market is East Asia, followed by Europe.
 
  
Currently, Ariana meets half its domestic energy needs with oil and the remainder with natural gas. Ariana refines most of its internal use oil into gasoline or diesel fuel. Because of its limited domestic refinery capability, Ariana imports much of its refined gasoline requirements. The Arianian government intends to shift a greater share of its domestic energy requirements to natural gas, hoping to become self-sufficient for gasoline and possibly a refined-gasoline exporter. Currently, however, substantial governmental gasoline subsidies encourage wasteful domestic gasoline use.
+
Low-cost data packages and mobile phones are quickly becoming ubiquitous throughout the country. The government’s emphasis and support of connectivity puts the country on-pace to surpass South Torbia as the leading internet and mobile phone using country in the region.
  
=== Natural Gas ===
+
==== Professional Services ====
Ariana has massive natural gas resources along the Persian Gulf coastline and shares the large South Pars gas field with Qatar, which is in the center of the Persian Gulf between  the  two countries. South Pars is Ariana’s largest natural gas field and represents an estimated 27% of Ariana’s total natural gas reserves. In addition to these developed natural gas fields, another two- thirds of Ariana’s total natural gas resources are in undeveloped fields. Ariana has the world’s second-largest known natural gas reserves after Donovia.
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The professional services sector is a key element in Belesia’s economic vision. Belesia hopes to expand its service based economy as a main economic driver – solidifying its status as a developed nation. Belesian professional services support local and international businesses of all sizes over a wide range of industries by providing assistance, such as consultation, project and service management as well as operational services.
  
Over the last 20 years, Ariana has increased both its natural gas production and consumption. Natural gas currently accounts for nearly half of Ariana's current total energy consumption, and the government plans to invest billions of dollars to increase this share. To encourage consumption, the Arianian government significantly subsidizes natural gas prices for residential and industrial consumers. Despite large gas reserves, the artificially low domestic price promotes consumption and encourages waste, leaving only a minimal supply for export. The Arianian government hopes to increase its gas exports as a means to increase its revenue.
+
==== Tourism ====
 +
The Ministry of Tourism has introduced sustainable tourism as a key element of its #VisitBelesia campaign. The sub-components of sustainable tourism are responsible tourism, ecotourism, geotourism and voluntourism. The Ministry of Tourism’s roadmap to integrate sustainable tourism into the government’s overall economic plan is found in 19 strategies and 86 action plans intended to increase tourism revenues. This is not without controversy as tourism companies and local businesses advocate for larger numbers of tourists and ecotourism partisans lobby for reduced numbers in deference to minimizing the impact of tourists on the environment. One element of the government’s plan is to increase efforts to get travelers to secondary destinations by developing new routes and attractions, in addition to the main places and encourage travelers to support local sustainable tourism efforts.
  
Ariana likely will face stiff natural gas competition given that many current gas suppliers—Oman, Qatar, and the UAE—have locked up much of the Far East market. International sanctions also limit Ariana to non-US liquefaction technology, an outdated process as most liquid natural gas  (LNG) plants use newer US-developed processes. Ariana has no modern LNG facilities. Because of this, Ariana continues to court China, Donovia, and India to invest in its natural gas development.
+
==== Government Services ====
 +
Belesia is integrating technology to improve efficiency and provide better service delivery to Belesians. Its bureaucratic and public service delivery systems have seen steady efficiency improvements over the past decade. The government has also increased its recruiting efforts to find higher quality employees to lead its national improvement strategy, known as ''Belesia Now''. Belesia is recognized as a regional and among small countries as a public service leader.
  
=== Agriculture ===
+
== Participation in the Global Financial System ==
Agriculture constitutes approximately one-tenth of Ariana’s GDP and employs one-quarter of its labor force. The country is a major world exporter for caviar and pistachio nuts, and Ariana’s climate and terrain also support tobacco, tea, wheat, barley, and smaller amounts of other food crops. Ariana emphasizes agriculture as an important development focus in its governmental five-year plans but still struggles to become self-sufficient in subsistence crops because of resource underfunding, climatic issues, and rural population migration to urban areas.
+
The economy of Belesia has been relatively resilient to global economic volatility. The nation retains a substantial domestic consumption rate, making the overall economy less reliant than others in the region do on exports. Additionally, the nation has a smaller exposure to international securities than many Pacific nations, with a stable banking system. The cost of this stability, however, is difficulty in maintaining economic growth as other nations recover and expand following economic downturns.  
  
Traditionally, Ariana has paid for agricultural imports with oil revenue. Despite recent high oil prices, international food price increases and a population growth surge continue to place pressure  on the country’s economy. The Arianian government supports substantial agricultural subsidies, which create artificially low food prices. If Ariana converted to a market-driven agricultural  economy, it would likely cause domestic unrest due to higher food prices.
+
=== World Economic Organizations ===
 +
Belesia participates in most major international economic organizations as shown below:
  
=== Mining ===
+
==== International Monetary Fund (IMF) ====
Despite large reserves of minerals like zinc, copper, iron, uranium, and lead, mining in Ariana is generally underdeveloped, accounting for less than 1% of GDP. Mining is likely to increase in importance, as the US government estimates that Ariana possesses 7% of global mineral reserves.
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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an organization of 190 countries, working to foster global monetary cooperation, secure financial stability, facilitate international trade, promote high employment and sustainable economic growth, and reduce poverty around the world. Belesia joined the IMF in March 7, 1958. The IMF’s latest assessment of Belesia included the following:
 +
* The Belesian economy is stable despite domestic and external challenges. The authorities are making progress on their reform agenda including governance reforms and measures to improve the transparency and management of public finances. Policies should focus on medium-term fiscal consolidation, while safeguarding growth and financial stability. Structural reforms are needed to enshrine in law main governance measures, and to boost productivity to achieve high income status and inclusive growth.
  
=== Manufacturing ===
+
==== World Bank ====
Arianian industrial development shows tremendous promise coupled with extraordinary handicaps. Ariana has the most mature steel, automotive, and petrochemical industries in the Middle East. However, Arianian companies remain dependent upon oil export profits despite various government reforms to spur industrial growth.
+
The World Bank’s partnership with Belesia spans nearly 60 years, providing longstanding support for infrastructure, water resources, and disaster risk management. The World Bank is also an active partner in helping spur private sector growth. Belesia retains $1.9 billion of International Bank for Reconstruction and Development loans to be disbursed—approximately one-half of the original principal. Over the past decade, the nation has used $1.77 billion to develop trade with special consideration given to pro-poor growth strategies. Trade is included as a macroeconomic strategy to achieve this development.
  
==== Steel ====
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Over the last decade, disaster relief and recovery has also become an increasingly important area of assistance to Belesia. The United States has provided over $143 million in assistance to date to the people of Belesia after Typhoon Haiyan in 2013. The European Commission released the equivalent of $4 million in emergency aid funds and the United Kingdom Rapid Response Facility sent a team of experts to the Philippines, along with a shipment of emergency equipment, and an additional $8 million in emergency aid funds.
Ariana produces nine million metric tons of steel, the most in the Middle East and 20th in the world. Despite this high production level, Ariana still must import steel to meet its domestic demands. Steel requirements continue to increase because of the rising need for project infrastructure and construction expansion throughout the Middle East.
 
  
==== Automotives ====
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==== International Development Aid ====
Ariana produces the most vehicles, both light and heavy, in the Middle East. However, outdated technology that depends on repair parts supplied through third-world countries hinders production, especially for the two largest automakers—Ariana Automobile and Nalia. Domestically produced cars are fuel inefficient and contribute to the country’s pollution problems. Since Ariana’s automobile demands outpace its domestic production, the country must import a variety of cars ranging from basic to luxury models.
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U.S. foreign assistance in Belesia promotes peace and security by strengthening cooperation on law enforcement, nonproliferation, counterterrorism, rule of law, and expanding military ties. Assistance will further Malaysia's role as a reliable partner in maintaining regional stability, fighting terrorism and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD), and strengthening key regional and global institutions that will contribute to the America's security.
  
==== Petrochemicals ====
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 Olvana’s Foreign Aid and Government Investment Fund (FAGIF) is also funding development projects—mostly through loans and partnerships that provide a benefit back to Olvana.
Ariana manufactures many petrochemicals. The government funds petrochemical industrial development as part of efforts to diversify its exports.
 
  
==== Defense Industries/Dual Use ====
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==== Other Major World or Regional Economic Organizations ====
Ariana has a significant defense construction capability, and the government has identified increased defense industry self-reliance as a key strategic goal. Though Ariana has had few new, homegrown accomplishments in military production or design, the Arianian industrial base has proven its ability to reverse-engineer and build foreign military aircraft, radios, and vehicles.
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* Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)
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* International Development Association (IDA)
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* International Finance Corporation (IFC)
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* International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD)
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* International Monetary Fund (IMF)
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* International Olympic Committee (IOC)
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* Islamic Development Bank (IDB)
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* Nonaligned Movement (NAM)
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* Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC)
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* Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) (partner)
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* United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)
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* United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)
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* United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)
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* World Confederation of Labor (WCL)
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* World Customs Organization (WCO)
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* World Federation of Trade Unions (WFTU)
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* World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)
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* World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)
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* World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
 +
* World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
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* World Trade Organization (WTO)
  
==== Services ====
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=== Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) ===
Domestic services continue to grow in importance, especially as sanctions limit Arianian capabilities to source needed capabilities, particularly financial services, from abroad. Of the Caucasus countries, only Gorgas has a higher service level. The Arianian service industry currently accounts for 43% of GDP.
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Improving the foreign investment climate is essential to strengthening Belesia’s domestic productive capacity. A decade ago, foreign direct investment (FDI) dramatically decreased due to an unfavorable business and economic situation. Global financial downturns meant that corporations were unwilling to make investments in risky political environments fraught with corruption and instability. Recent government reforms to improve the business climate and reduce endemic corruption have already had a meaningful effect, leading to rising FDI. Yet, the eventual outcome remains clouded by uncertainty. The country's poor infrastructure remains a serious challenge for investors seeking to establish production facilities, yet expanding the productive capital base is exactly what the country needs to reduce dependence on consumer demand. The government is likely to lower the corporate tax rate to bring it in line with its Asian neighbors. At 30%, Belesia has one of the highest corporate tax rates in Asia and lowering corporate taxation is part of a broader government plan to review the tax system.
  
== Banking and Finance ==
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In addition to reforms, Belesia has also been working to liberalize of the economy. However, nationalist interests and significant barriers to foreign ownership have stymied these reforms. Belesia lags behind its regional peers despite a record quantity of FDI last year. The Belesian constitution restricts foreign ownership in important activities/sectors such as land ownership and public utilities. In other sectors, such as retail and financial services, foreign investment is restricted to minority ownership. Even in areas where the government encourages foreign investment, like transportation and infrastructure, the State keeps a strong presence. For example, government-owned Belesia Air dominates the air services industry, while another state-run company retains the monopoly to develop and manage airports and airport services, and a government agency is in charge of all cargo handling and port services. The country boasts of one of the longest road networks in Southeast Asia, however, it is of inferior quality and does not provide efficient connectivity. Foreign investment in rural improvement projects such as irrigation, rural roads, and rural ports have dwindled due to the failure of the government or domestic private sectors to support these projects, significantly raising costs of rural access. Even when the government encourages investment through tax breaks and other incentives, these are often contingent on export performance and Belesian ownership.
  
=== Public Finance ===
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In other sectors, however, laws liberalizing business practices have opened up more fields to foreign investments. Two years ago, a new law lifted restrictions on foreign ownership of banks. This resulted in overseas banks almost immediately investing in the country’s banking sector due to its record of being one of the fastest-growing Southeast Asian economies with a rising demand for bank loans. Full foreign ownership is now allowed in banking, insurance, finance, construction, telecommunications and information technology, and petroleum distribution.
Ariana struggles with high inflation for a number of reasons, including government price controls, inefficient and cumbersome government regulations, pervasive consumer subsidies, expansionary government  development programs,  and financial  policies  that favor  selected  organizations, e.g. charitable corporations. International sanctions have also resulted in high inflation, contributing to the economic imbalance.
 
  
Inflation has risen into the double-digit range in recent years and currently stands at 13.5%, a decrease from 25.6% just two years ago. Ariana uses price controls for consumer products such as gasoline, electricity, wheat, and a myriad of other articles and services. The country maintains multiple price subsidies as a result of the Council of Guardians Revolution and its ambition to provide social services for Arianians. Although inflation is prevalent throughout the Middle Eastern countries (usually around 10%), Ariana possesses the second-highest inflation rate behind Iraq.
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=== Economic Sanctions ===
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The Minister of International Trade and Industry can designate individuals, entities, and countries as restricted or prohibited end-users, following their suspected involvement in any restricted activities. These are currently reported under the Strategic Trade (Restricted End- Users and Prohibited End-Users) Order 2010, as amended. 
  
Despite the subsidies, inflation hurts average Arianian citizens, particularly those in rural areas. Prices for food and services continue to rise, making the cost of living ever higher. Rural voters supported Ahmad Moudin for president because his populist message appealed to lower-class people who suffer from high inflation. President Moudin attempted to address high inflation rates by capping bank loan interest rates, but raised the financial sector’s ire. Whenever the government attempts to reduce subsidies and force the people to pay more for commodities, the Arianian people demonstrate in the streets until the government rescinds the reductions.
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Belesia attempts to balance relations with the West and Asia, particularly with Olvana. Recent US pressure on Belesia to impose sanctions on twenty-four Olvanan companies was soundly rejected by the Belesian ambassador to Olvana. "I want to emphasize that a principle for Belesia is that we do not recognize the unilateral sanctions. We only recognize sanctions which have been endorsed by the United Nations Security Council - the only body that has the legitimate power to impose sanctions on other countries. So this is a matter of principle. And we expect to apply them in all situations," he said. 
  
==== Taxation ====
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Belesia has succumbed to pressure in the banking sector. US and other western countries have put pressure on Belesia to close the bank accounts of persons with identified ties to terrorism and to limit business with countries deemed supporters of terrorist organizations.
Ariana’s tax law is complex, and governmental officials apply the tax code inconsistently. The country has a high income tax rate that maxes out at 35% and a moderate corporate tax rate of up to 25%. In recent years, the government enacted some modest structural tax reforms to help integrate Ariana into the global market and to attract investment. However, the government still issues many tax privileges to special interest groups such as charitable corporations. The national sales tax currently stands at 3%.
 
  
==== Currency Reserves ====
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== Finance and Banking ==
Ariana’s international currency reserves, including PWF assets, have continued to increase in recent years. International currency reserve levels often are tied to international oil prices. Ariana’s international reserves grew from $70.8 billion two years ago to $85.2 billion this year. In retribution for American efforts to limit its access to the foreign investment system, Ariana rejected payments in US dollars and moved to other currencies, such as the euro and yen.
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Belesia has a relatively underdeveloped financial sector; however, it has recently opened to foreign competition and has high capital and liquidity standards. Ironically, this underdevelopment actually protected the nation’s financial sector from shocks other nations faced during financial crises of past decades. The Central Bank of Belesia has pushed for changes to the Belesian tax and bank secrecy laws, which over the past five years has resulted in removal of the country from a western blacklist of non-cooperative tax havens. Additionally, the central bank has implemented initiatives that encourage weaker rural banks to merge with stronger ones. Overall, private, domestic, often Islamic, banks dominate the financial sector. Banks offer credit at market terms; however, legal stipulations require them to lend specified portions of their funds to preferred sectors in manufacturing and tourism.
  
==== Private Banking ====
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=== Private Banking ===
Ariana’s financial sector remains dominated by large, state-owned banks with extensive regulations, overlapping bureaucracies, and policies that inhibit the efficient trade of capital. The appearance of a modern banking system is misleading despite Ariana’s establishment of private banks and increased accessibility of banking functions for the populace. The government’s policy of preferential treatment for semi-governmental foundations and its limitation on the free functioning of financial markets  will continue to hamper the financial system’s ability to contribute to economic growth. Consequently, the populace struggles with high interest rates only made bearable by considerable product subsidies that keep prices artificially low. The governmental restrictions, borne from  distrust of foreign intervention, limit any large-scale investment by foreign firms. The Moudin Administration will continue its current monetary policy, which is well-liked by his populist political base but hampers any significant financial reform.
 
  
 
==== Banking System ====
 
==== Banking System ====
The country’s state-owned banks, which hold 90% of deposits, include six commercial banks, four specialized banks, and one postal bank. The Arianian government has licensed six private banks in the past decade. All must operate under Islamic law principles.
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Belesian banks overwhelming lend to the corporate segment, particularly larger companies with long credit histories and a strong repayment record. Over 80% of private lending is composed of corporate loans. Banking regulations are broadly in line with international standards, with some even more stringent then global parameters. The Belesian Deposit Insurance Corporation insures maximum deposit coverage of 500,000 talaro per depositor.
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There are currently over 30 general and commercial banks in Belesia, consisting of private domestic banks, international banks, subsidiaries of foreign banks, and branches of foreign banks. Several of these are universal banks, meaning they are both a commercial bank and an investment bank. Belesian laws do not distinguish between foreign and domestic banks except in retail banking. Foreign retail banks are subject to limitations on the number of places of business (branches and ATMs) that they may operate. A foreign retail bank that has been given full banking privileges may operate a maximum of 25 places of business.
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==== Stock/Capital ====
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The Belesian Stock Exchange (BSE) is a stock corporation and the sole stock exchange in Belesia. The Company's revenues derive primarily from listing-related fees for initial public offerings, additional listings, and annual listing maintenance. The Company's other sources of revenue are membership, transaction, data feed, and service fees. The BSE has 226 listed companies. Foreigners are restricted to investing in B-shares and total foreign investment in a company is limited to 40% for general listed stocks and 30% for banks. All foreigners conducting transactions with the BSE must register with the Central Bank.
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The BSE has two subsidiary companies. The first, the Securities Clearing Company, serves as the clearance and settlement agency for trades executed through the facilities of the BSE. The second, the Market Integrity Company, functions as the independent audit, surveillance, and compliance unit of the BSE. The government supervises the BSE via the Financial Market Oversight Commission (FMOC). The FMOC has the mandate to strengthen the corporate and capital market infrastructure of the country and maintain a regulatory framework based on international standards and practices. The FMOC is also entrusted with the responsibility of promoting investor interests in a free, fair, and competitive business environment.
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=== Informal Finance ===
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Belesia has both an active black market as well as a very large underground economy consisting of unlicensed and untaxed vendors of garments and food and unregistered workers in sweatshops and residences. Black market activities include illegal money changing and the smuggling of machine parts and basic items. The underground economy was credited for propping up the economy during turbulent economic times in the 1980s. While the goods and services produced were not technically part of the country’s ledge, the income generated enabled Belesians to work and feed themselves and thus survive the crisis. There are also over 100,000 informal lenders—i.e., loan sharks—in Belesia. Many of these charge exorbitant interest rates, creating an often-insurmountable burden for low-income borrowers. These lenders often come into direct conflict with Islam prohibitions against usury.
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== Public Finance ==
 +
The overall Belesian financial focus has been to improve tax administration and budgetary management. These efforts have allowed economic success and growth, albeit inconsistently, despite a high debt burden and overall tight fiscal situation. The government’s efforts have been rewarded with higher investment-grade credit ratings on its sovereign debt compared with many of its economic global peers. However, weak absorptive capacity and the slowness with which plans are implemented have prevented the government from maximizing its expenditure plans. The low tax-to-GDP ratio remains a constraint to supporting increasingly higher spending levels and sustaining high inclusive growth.
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=== Public Policy ===
 +
From the 1960s through the 1980s, government spending coupled with corruption and mismanagement caused an increase in national debt of over 7000%, reaching a high of 97% of GDP. An extended period of government reforms and international assistance has allowed Belesia to reduce the debt burden to its current level of 36.2% of GDP. Unlike many emerging nations, Belesia accomplished this without defaulting on international loans. This was a key factor is maintaining international relationships which guaranteed assistance and continued funding.
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However, while the Belesian government has no shortage of good plans and programs to address various sectoral concerns, like those of the agricultural sector, the implementation of such plans and programs have historically failed. Governance and bureaucratic reforms, especially in the agriculture bureaucracy and in the local governments, lie at the heart of addressing the age-old constraints to stronger performance. The political system is characterized by instability, weak political institutions, and corruption, with powerful political families’ infighting over vested interests.
 +
 
 +
After the most recent elections, the President vowed to make inclusive growth and poverty reduction his top priority. The President stated that illegal drug use, crime, and corruption were the key barriers to economic development. This has resulted in a twofold policy—increasing spending on infrastructure and poverty reduction programs, while also increasing spending on police and education. This has resulted in an increase in government spending from 15.8% to 21.0% of GDP. This expansionary fiscal policy was countered with a slight tightening in monetary policy to counter inflationary risks. Due to the fiscal and monetary prudence that has taken root in the country, an increased national savings rate fuels more rapid investment growth. Combined with central bank’s proactive efforts in keeping a close watch on inflationary pressures, the Belesia has been able to enjoy relative monetary stability over recent years. In line with the twin goals of eradicating extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity, the investment portfolio structure indicates a strong support almost equally to agriculture (19%), social development (18%), disaster risk operations (18%), and social protection (16%); followed by water (13%) and education (11%). The remaining balance is shared by transportation (4%) and energy (1%).
  
Ariana’s Central Bank, the Bank Naket, calls itself an independent institution. However, the government directly manipulates all commercial lending and investment. The Bank Naket cannot establish its own policies and has no influence over the government’s direction. In addition, the Central Bank only has limited options to combat inflationary pressures. The Central Bank must obtain approval from the Arianian parliament in order to issue participation papers.
+
The Belesian government extends subsidies to companies in order to perform certain government-specified mandates. In return, these companies are supposed to remit 50% of their earnings as a dividend to the government. These funds are managed by a government holding company that further invests across various sectors. While the volume of subsidies has decreased by 15% over the last year, the number of government-owned and government-controlled corporations nearly doubled. The largest subsidies are provided for power distribution, followed by irrigation, transportation, and health care.
  
State-owned banks function poorly as financial intermediaries, and private banks are hampered by extensive regulations and the government’s populist policies, including subsidized credit for specific regions. Four years ago, President Ahmad Moudin capped lending rates at 12% for state-owned banks and 13% for commercial banks, despite strong opposition from the Bank Naket. With interest rates below the inflation rate, many banks found themselves under financial duress. Additionally, state-owned enterprises and quasi-government agencies, such as charitable corporations, can obtain low-interest loans that further undermine commercial bank viability. Some believe the financial system stifles domestic business and lowers Ariana’s attractiveness to foreign businesses.
+
Inflationary concerns are less than a decade ago, when inflation rates trended in the neighborhood of 8%. Still, even slight inflationary increases, especially in food and energy, have the greatest impact on those least able to afford them, the poor. Thus, economic growth proves to be a double-edged sword, increasing wages for some while also creating upward pressures on prices for all.
  
==== Stock/Capital ====
+
Core consumer prices rose 3.1% from a year earlier. Over the coming quarters, grain and energy commodities prices will become positive drivers of inflation, as they are likely to post elevated percentage. Furthermore, the increase to electricity rates along with the proposed upwards adjustment in excise tax rates of petroleum products have the potential to be inflationary, given that housing, water, electricity and transportation account for about 30% of household spending. While the government’s expansionary budget will focus on infrastructure and social development and will be positive for productivity growth, it will nevertheless add to upside inflationary pressures.
The Arianian Stock Exchange (ASE), which began operating in 1967 with six companies, has over 300 members today. The ASE can only conduct capitalization for the automotive, mining, petrochemical, and financial sectors. Six years ago the ASE began allowing foreign investment, but these investors can only hold a maximum of 10% of the shares for any company. Additionally, foreign investors cannot withdraw their capital until three years after purchase.
+
 
 +
Over the last year, upward price pressures came from all components: alcoholic beverages and tobacco (6.3%), clothing and footwear (2.7%); housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (3.6%); furnishing, households equipment and routine maintenance (2.4%), health (2.5%), transportation (3.2%), communications (0.3%), recreation and culture (1.5%), education (1.8%) and restaurants and miscellaneous goods and services (1.5%). Prices of heavily weighted food and non-alcoholic beverages also went up 4.2%.
  
In recent years, the ASE demonstrated considerable volatility. The ASE index performed robustly and tripled during the three-year period prior to President Ahmad Moudin’s election, but declined immediately afterward. Four years later, the ASE stabilized 20% lower than before Ahmad Moudin’s election. ASE market capitalization now stands at $46 billion. Ahmad Moudin’s government hopes that privatization plans will help revive the ASE, though potential foreign investors are concerned about liquidity, transparency, the poor legal environment, and international sanctions.
+
=== Taxation ===
 +
The tax system in Belesia is complicated and highly inefficient. Corruption is a major hindrance to efficient tax collection, and the country is among the worst in the world for discriminatory application of tax law. Preparing and filing personal taxes takes 20% longer than in other Asian countries, while corporations have 28 separate tax transactions to make. The average total tax burden for a Belesian is 42.9%. Average tax rates include sales tax 12%, corporate tax rate 30%, personal income tax rate 32%, and social security rate 22.7%. Capital gains are taxed at 5-10%. The current administration has pledged to reduce the corporate and individual income tax rates offset by higher consumption taxes.
  
==== Informal Finance ====
+
Imports into Belesia are also subject to a number of charges, including tariffs, excise duty, value-added tax, an Export Development Board Levy, a Social Responsibility Levy, and a Ports and Airports Development Levy. These charges considerably increase the cost of importing into Belesia, which in some cases may exceed 100%. Tobacco products and motor vehicles face the highest overall import charges. Despite having raised tariffs and other charges on imports, the Belesian government made substantial efforts to enhance transparency regarding applied tariff levels and all other import charges. On aggregate, Belesian tariffs display mixed escalation, with first-stage processed products dropping to an average tariff rate of 6.7%, semi-finished goods remaining steady at 4.9%, and semi-finished to fully processed products climbing to an average 7%. At a more disaggregate level, positive tariff escalation is most pronounced in textiles and leather, followed by wood and furniture, paper and printing, chemicals, and non-metallic mineral products, thereby providing higher levels of effective protection to those industries than that reflected by the nominal rates.
The ''hawala'' system, an informal trust-based money transfer system commonly found in Muslim countries, offers an alternative to the Arianian formal banking system for loans. These transactions work on an honor system without paper transactions or promissory notes. Because of the lack of paperwork, terrorists use the system to fund their activities.
 
  
Following recent US and UN financial sanctions, Arianians have increased their use of hawala. Many Arianians view it as a more efficient means to transfer money since it avoids the added expenses of the formal financial system. Some analysts argue that increased hawala use demonstrates the effectiveness of international sanctions, though others say it circumvents the sanctions and renders them useless.
+
=== Currency Reserves ===
 +
The Belesian currency is known as the talaro. One Belesian talaro is equal to 100 malakis. Current foreign exchange reserves in Belesia equate to $37.20 million. The relative stability of monetary policy and inflation risks for Belesia lead to a non-volatile exchange rate that traditionally fares well versus the Euro and the US Dollar. However, downside risks are likely to increase due to rising global interest rates, a widening trade deficit, growing political uncertainties, and political concerns.
  
 
== Employment Status ==
 
== Employment Status ==
Despite inefficient business and market regimes and the bulge of young adults entering the labor pool, the Arianian employment environment actually shows signs of improvement due to private industry growth. Even the increased number of Arianian women who recently entered the labor market did not increase the country’s unemployment rate. Employment status is high in Ariana.
+
Belesian economic policy has focused for several years on encouraging economic restructuring from labor-intensive growth towards innovation and productivity-led growth. However, failed projects, declining fishing incomes, and rising poverty levels exacerbate urban-rural disparities, especially in coastal areas, spurring migration of young adults from the rural to urban areas. One reason is that job creation has struggled to keep pace with an ever-expanding population. In three of the past five years, the number of people entering the job market has been greater than the number of jobs created. Another factor may be the low quality of jobs available. Last year, just 58% of workers—in both formal and informal employment—were in paid jobs, 28% were self-employed with no guaranteed income, and 11% worked on family-owned farms or other businesses where they typically receive food and lodging but no actual cash. With manufacturing growth also stunted, new generations of are consigned to work in low-skill jobs, where productivity and wages tended to be lower—or to leave the country altogether. Last year, Belesia workers who moved abroad to work sent home a figure equivalent to about 8.5% of national GDP. The majority of inflows are from the United States and the Middle East, with a growing number of unregistered workers in Olvana and South Torbia.
  
 
=== Labor Market ===
 
=== Labor Market ===
Although Ariana’s population growth rate began to slow in 1991, those born during the prior decade now find themselves reaching adulthood, and their presence puts a strain on the labor market. For the past quarter-century, the number of Arianians entering the labor force has continued to increase,
+
The labor market is an area where Belesia is not living up to its potential. Despite a large population and high levels of unemployment, the labor force participation rate (LFPR) remains relatively low. Only about 60% of the working age population is looking for work, one of the lowest levels in the region. Underemployment remains a persistent problem affecting one-fifth of all employees, with only 35% of workers reporting a workweek longer than 35 hours. Two-thirds of all Belesian that do have employment work in the informal sector, meaning lower-wage and lower-skill jobs without the benefit of written contracts, social insurance, or access to severance pay. Although the country is a signatory of all International Labor Organization conventions on workers' rights, non-compliance with regulations is commonplace, especially among small and medium-sized enterprises. Efforts to bring informal workers into the mainstream, where they can be regulated and taxed, have met resistance as Belesian culture sees even black market activities like smuggling as ways to avoid becoming the helpless victim of the taxman. However, Belesia does reverse the gender wage gap compared to most of the world, with females making 6.1% more on average than males.
while the number leaving has remained constant. In addition, Ariana shows a decided shift in the attitudes toward employment of women. Immediately following the Council of Guardians Revolution, women who worked outside the home dropped from a high of 12.9% in 1979 to a low of 8.2% in 1989. After that, the trend reversed; currently 14.8% of Arianian women work outside the home. Many Arianian women now acquire a higher education than in previous generations and begin a career before marriage. Analysts project that the number of Arianians entering the labor market will soon begin to decline. Within four years, new Arianian workers will return to levels last seen in 1991. The number of men leaving the labor force due to age (usually 64) will increase over the next decade. Just five years ago, 1.3 million Arianians turned 64, but within another half-decade, two million men will reach that age.
+
 
 +
One critical factor affecting Belesian employment is overseas investment. Although Belesian wages are low, they are not as low as in other emerging markets, while the education and training is of lesser quality, limiting the draw for labor outsourcing. Yet, delivering more and higher quality employment is critical for growth and poverty reduction, especially in Mindanao. 2.4 million Mindanaoans are either unemployed (460,000) or underemployed (1.9 million). Combined with expected population growth, this means a requirement for 6.3 million jobs in the next five years. The Belesian government will need to continue reforms that encourage investment while also improving skills development programs, especially for youth.
 +
 
 +
Currently, there are approximately 3.2 million children working as child labor. The overwhelming majority of these work in hazardous conditions. The agricultural sector employs 54.1% of the children, 40.5% in the services sector, and 5.3% of the children in the industrial sector. Poverty is the main cause for increasing child labor.
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 +
=== Employment and Unemployment ===
 +
Unemployment remains very high in Belesia despite government efforts to address the problem. Government action as well as global labor trends worked to bring unemployment rate down from its high a decade ago of 43.9% to a low of 24.7%. Recent trends have been slowly upward and unemployment currently stands at 26.3%. Additionally the LFPR is currently 61.8%, and while this is up from 60.7% a year ago, it is well below its high of 71.5%, as the LFPR never recovered from a series of global and regional financial shocks. These figures only tell part of the picture. Employment and wages are distributed extremely unevenly. While the poverty rate nationwide is 40%, the poverty rate in rural areas is closer to 60%. Unemployment rates are 5-7% higher and underemployment 18-19% higher in rural areas, with coastal regions being the worst off. Unemployment in Belesia is structural, generated by the low GDP growth rate relative to population increase. Lack of elasticity in the labor market has prompted large levels of migration, both internally and overseas.
  
=== Employment ===
+
== Illegal Activities ==
Arianian unemployment continued to decrease in the past decade despite an increase in the number of young adults. Employment rose at a 3.6% rate in the early years of the decade, more rapidly than the overall labor market increase. This employment abundance came from the private sector and through privatization of industries, in contrast to the years immediately after the Revolution when public sector jobs accounted for the majority of employment. Public sector jobs continue to decline, currently representing about one-quarter of total employment.
+
There are illegal economic activities in Belesia, most are in the private sector except for the corruption noted below:
  
=== Unemployment ===
+
=== Government Sponsored ===
The unemployment rate dropped from approximately 16% in 2001 to 10.2% in 2006, and currently stands at 11.8%. Growth in recent years has primarily been due to private sector jobs. Public sector job growth has been hampered by cumbersome regulations and a job market that restricts labor movement between industries. Arianian industrial GDP growth occurs more slowly than in other countries with more efficient financial systems.
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Corruption in Belesia is high and the enforcement of anti-corruption laws is inconsistent and slow. The public sector is a key source of bribery, with national and local government units likely to ask for bribes related to public contracts. Government infrastructure projects are rife with bid rigging, collusion, and fraud. Corruption is also a high risk in the Bureau of Customs, where there are reports of officials regularly demanding facilitation payments for imports and exports. Trade-related fraud is probably the biggest criminal activity facing Belesia. A fourth of all goods imported into Belesia go unreported to avoid VAT taxes and import tariffs. In the last decade, illicit capital flows have drained an average of $1.5 billion in tax revenue each year. In addition, money laundering is prevalent in Belesia. Most of this money laundering is facilitated through fake trade invoicing, which allows exporters and importers another avenue to avoid paying taxes on traded goods.
  
=== Illegal Economic Activity ===
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=== Non-Government Sponsored ===
Both legal and illegal organizations use illegal activities such as smuggling, black market, and piracy to finance other activities. While the Arianian government frowns on this corruption and works to prevent it, the government is hampered by the sheer prevalence of illegal activity. As long as it does not threaten the government’s legitimacy, this type of illegal activity will continue.
+
The shadow economy of Belesia is one of the largest in the world, with a value equivalent to over 40% of GDP. This includes both market-based legal production of goods and services deliberately concealed from public authorities to avoid payment of taxes or meeting labor market standards and classic crime activities, like burglary, robbery, or drug dealing. The numbers of drug seizures in Belesia are few and decreasing, but human trafficking is very high, predominantly as labor.
The illegal economy is exemplified by a vast network smuggling subsidized products throughout Ariana, with gasoline as one of the top commodities. Some experts estimate that smugglers move 3.5 to 4.5 million liters of gasoline and two million liters of diesel fuel daily to countries with high gasoline prices—mainly Afghanistan, Pakistan, Kalaria, and even Iraqi Kurdistan.
 
  
== Summary ==
+
Petty and organized crime is a serious problem in Belesia and is generally economically motivated because of the high levels of extreme poverty among the population. Reports of mugging, homicide, other violent crimes, as well as confidence tricks, pick pocketing, and credit card fraud are common. Organized crime networks are well entrenched, encompassing kidnapping, extortion, gambling, and heavy involvement in the country's narcotics trade and money laundering. Marijuana and hashish are cultivated locally for export, with increasing production of methamphetamines as well.
Complex economic interplay between the Caucasus countries binds them together. Limaria, Gorgas, and Atropia were strongly affected by the reduction of Donovian influence two decades ago. The oil- rich countries of Ariana and Atropia must use their Limarian and Gorgan neighbors to transship hydrocarbon resources to other countries. Limaria and Gorgas must develop a free-standing economy despite significant corruption, lack of developed industries, and natural resource shortages. Over all of this, Donovia seeks to limit Arianian influence and return to its former position as unquestioned regional hegemon. This economic interdependence will likely drive regional conflicts as the nations struggle amongst themselves to exploit riches created by oil and natural gas.
 
  
 +
== Table of Economic Activity ==
 +
{| class="wikitable"
 +
|'''Measure'''
 +
|'''Data'''
 +
|'''Remarks'''
 +
|-
 +
|GDP (Official Exchange Rate)
 +
|$209.46 billion
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|GDP – Real Growth Rate
 +
|6.5%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|GDP – Per Capita (PPP)
 +
|$29,100
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|Gross National Saving
 +
|28.5%
 +
|% Of GDP (Estimated)
 +
|-
 +
|GDP – Household Consumption
 +
| 55.3%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|GDP – Government Consumption
 +
|12.2%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|GDP – Investment in Fixed Capital
 +
|25.3% 
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|GDP – Investment in Inventories
 +
|0.3%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|GDP – Exports of Goods & Services
 +
|71.4%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|GDP – Imports of Goods & Services
 +
|<nowiki>-64.4%</nowiki>
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|GDP – Agriculture Sector
 +
|9.7%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|GDP – Industry Sector
 +
|30.8%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|GDP – Services Sector
 +
|59.5%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|Labor Force
 +
|37.1 million
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|Labor Force – Agriculture
 +
|29.6%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|Labor Force – Industry
 +
|16.3%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|Labor Force – Services
 +
|54.1%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|Unemployment Rate
 +
|26.3%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|Poverty Rate
 +
|40.0%
 +
|Below Poverty Line (Estimated)
 +
|-
 +
|Net Foreign Direct Investment
 +
|2.72 billion
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|Budget – Revenues
 +
|$40.51 billion 
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|Budget - Expenditures
 +
|$45.16 billion
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|Public Debt
 +
|36.2% of GDP
 +
|% of GDP (Estimated)
 +
|-
 +
|Inflation Rate – Consumer Prices
 +
|3.1%
 +
|Estimated
 +
|-
 +
|Economic Equality/Inequality
 +
|0.407
 +
|Gini Coefficient (0 = Perfect with everyone in the country has  the same amount of wealth; 1 = all income/wealth is in the possession of a  single person)
 +
|}
 
[[Category:DATE]]
 
[[Category:DATE]]
 
[[Category:Pacific]]
 
[[Category:Pacific]]
 
[[Category:Belesia]]
 
[[Category:Belesia]]
 
[[Category:Economic]]
 
[[Category:Economic]]

Latest revision as of 15:46, 12 February 2021

DATE Pacific > Belesia > Economic: Belesia ←You are here

Economic Overview

The Belesian economy is an emerging economy attempting to expand from its original agrarian base. Seeking to follow the example of other Pacific nations that have developed strong economies, Belesia has created manufacturing base centered on goods processing. A combination of a relatively skilled but low-cost labor force and policy changes that opened up the country to greater foreign investment created a fast growing economy, expanding in the range of 6-7% annual over the last five years despite both international market fluctuations and domestic political turbulence.

Despite these advances, Belesia still lacks a sophisticated manufacturing structure, adequate infrastructure, or full access to international markets. Wealth distribution is extremely inequitable and while the unemployment has steadily declined over the past decade, the majority of available jobs are tedious and for low wages with high underemployment. The government still faces challenges in improving governance and reforming the judicial system and regulatory environment. The political system suffers from institutional weaknesses, including personality-based political parties and political domination by a few influential landholding families, as well as divisions among reformers, conservatives, religious advocates, and traditional politicians.

Possible territorial disputes, particularly with regarding to fishing, have also strained relationships between Belesia and its neighbors. A fractured topography and an unevenly distributed population exacerbate the risk. Unsettled islands, of which Belesia has over a thousand, are vulnerable to competing declarations of sovereignty and economic exploitation. Belesia attempts to maintain strong diplomatic ties both with its immediate neighbors and with more powerful regional stakeholders.

Despite these challenges, the overall economic outlook for Belesia is positive. The country possesses a large supply of human capital and significant natural resources. The industrial transformation to manufacturing of electronic components is beginning to show profitability, although at the expense of traditional agricultural output. Economic and government reforms are generally seen as positive increasing the likelihood of both international trade and foreign investment.

Economic Activity

Belesia has an emerging economy that is attempting to expand from its original agrarian base. Seeking to follow the example of other Pacific nations that have developed strong economies, Belesia has created manufacturing base centered on goods processing. A combination of a relatively skilled but low-cost labor force and policy changes that opened up the country to greater foreign investment created a fast growing economy, expanding in the range of 6-7% annual over the last five years despite both international market fluctuations and domestic political turbulence.

Despite these advances, Belesia still lacks a sophisticated manufacturing structure, adequate infrastructure, or full access to international markets. Wealth distribution is extremely inequitable and while the unemployment has steadily declined over the past decade, the majority of available jobs are tedious and for low wages with high underemployment. The government still faces challenges in improving governance and reforming the judicial system and regulatory environment. The political system suffers from institutional weaknesses, including personality-based political parties and political domination by a few influential landholding families, as well as divisions among reformers, conservatives, religious advocates, and traditional politicians.

Possible territorial disputes, particularly with regarding to fishing, have also strained relationships between Belesia and its neighbors. A fractured topography and an unevenly distributed population exacerbate the risk. Unsettled islands, of which Belesia has over a thousand, are vulnerable to competing declarations of sovereignty and economic exploitation. Belesia attempts to ensure its territorial sovereignty through the maintenance of strong diplomatic ties both with its immediate neighbors and with more powerful regional stakeholders.

Despite these challenges, the overall economic outlook for Belesia is positive. The country possesses a large supply of human capital and significant natural resources. The industrial transformation to manufacturing of electronic components is beginning to show profitability, although at the expense of traditional agricultural output. Economic and government reforms are generally seen as positive increasing the likelihood of both international trade and foreign investment.

In the past three years, Belesia emerged as one of the stellar economic performers in the Pacific region. The country’s GDP expanded at a 6.5% compounded annual growth rate, compared with 6% for the Southeast Asia region as a whole. Domestic demand has been providing the key impetus to economic growth during recent quarters as consumer and business sentiment remains resilient, while investment and government spending surged on the back of election-related spending.

The receding effect from election spending, the lingering damage from unfavorable weather conditions, a clouded world economic outlook, and lackluster global demand will raise downside risks to otherwise upbeat near-term prospects. Meanwhile, upholding growth momentum will remain the key challenge to the economy. This is reflective of the country's historical inability to sustain rapid growth for more than a couple of years at a time. Consumption rather than investment traditionally drives growth in Belesia, a pattern that is less sustainable than the successes in evidence in Olvana and South Torbia.

Recently, Belesia has suffered a significant slowdown amid continuing political turmoil, slowing momentum in Olvana, and the sudden flight of capital back to developed economies. An absence of entrepreneurial dynamism makes long-term economic development a challenging task and unemployment remains a persistent problem. The overall low-income level and inadequate infrastructure hampers economic diversification and growth.

Economic Actors

In the past three years, Belesia emerged as one of the stellar economic performers in the Pacific region. The country’s GDP expanded at a 6.5% compounded annual growth rate, compared with 6% for the Southeast Asia region as a whole. Domestic demand has been providing the key impetus to economic growth during recent quarters as consumer and business sentiment remains resilient, while investment and government spending surged on the back of election-related spending.

The receding effect from election spending, the lingering damage from unfavorable weather conditions, a clouded world economic outlook, and lackluster global demand will raise downside risks to otherwise upbeat near-term prospects. Meanwhile, upholding growth momentum will remain the key challenge to the economy. This is reflective of the country's historical inability to sustain rapid growth for more than a couple of years at a time. Consumption rather than investment traditionally drives growth in Belesia, a pattern that is less sustainable than the successes in evidence in Olvana and South Torbia.

Recently, Belesia has suffered a significant slowdown amid continuing political turmoil, slowing momentum in Olvana, and the sudden flight of capital back to developed economies. An absence of entrepreneurial dynamism makes long-term economic development a challenging task and unemployment remains a persistent problem. The overall low-income level and inadequate infrastructure hampers economic diversification and growth.

International Trade

Belesia has more than 500 ports scattered throughout the archipelago, 57 of which are designated international ports with four of them having major cargo and passenger terminals. The main maritime gateway to Belesia is the Port of Davao. A number of cities such as Cagayan de Oro, Cebu City, Zamboanga, Matnog, Allen, and Ormoc have ports that are part of the Federated Nautical Highway, allowing land vehicles to use a 24-hour roll-on roll-off (Ro-Ro) ship service linking the country's different islands at minimal cost. Belesia has a number of privately controlled ports, which tend to handle international trade while government-controlled ones handle domestic trade. Belesia has a large number of established maritime and inland waterway freight. Although these are useful for small vessels, it does not do much for businesses looking to transport large volumes of goods, as the majority of the waterways are limited to shallow-draft vessels of less than 1.5 meters. Despite its archipelago makeup and reliance on maritime transportation for trade, the country's ports tend to lack capacity and have outdated or inadequate infrastructure, which cannot cope with the rising trade requirements.

Belesia’s main trade policies are aimed at achieving greater integration into the world economy. In particular, Belesia wants greater foreign direct investment to expand output and employment and enhance foreign market access for its products. To obtain these measures, Belesia has pursued multilateral, regional, and bilateral trade negotiations. A large part of these negotiations has included reducing tariffs on imported agricultural products, although broadly speaking these remain high.

Commercial Trade

Belesia has a strategic geographical location for maritime trade and low overall costs make it an attractive opportunity for companies looking to serve Asian markets. However, the country's archipelago geography and underdeveloped internal transport networks causing delays when moving goods. This inadequate logistics network detracts from the country's otherwise appealing trade connections. A severe slowdown in the world economy, as already seen in Olvana and South Torbia, affects Belesia commercial growth opportunities. Likewise, other political fallout in Europe, North America, or the Middle East has the potential to seriously disruption trade expansion. However, these vulnerabilities to external shocks have also led Belesian companies to develop a resiliency, and efforts to shift from reliance on manufacturing goods to service orientation and greater emphasis on domestic consumer growth. Overall downward demand globally also lessened the overall economic blow for Belesian importers as total product import cost dropped by 9.6% over the last two years. To counter losses from reduced trade with its major trading partners, Belesia has been looking to expand its export trade into Africa. In particular, Belesia has found a market for its non-rice agricultural exports in Ziwa.

Belesia has a negative balance of trade—importing more than they export—valued at around $5 billion. The total value of exports is $36.55 billion, with over half of export volume coming from machinery and electronics, while from a monetary standpoint, the most valuable Belesian exports are electronic components, computers, insulated wire or cable, and coconuts. Copper was the fastest growing among the top 10 export categories, up 213.9% last year. Belesia main export partners are South Torbia (21.2%), the US (14.5%), and Olvana (12.2%). Belesia’s imports valued $41.87 billion, with the largest imports in machinery (33%) and fuels (21%). Belesia’s largest import trade partners are South Torbia (16.3%), Olvana (13.1%), and the US (10.9%). Export controls are implemented mainly for health, safety, security, or environmental reasons or to fulfill international commitments. Belesia does not apply export taxes and provides grants, tax incentives, and

Military Exports/Imports

Military expenditures in Belesia account for 1.5% of GDP. Historically, Belesian purchases have been a mix of western and Donovian weaponry, but recently the country has been looking at Olvanan imports. This would make conflict less palatable for the Olvanans and offer greater protection for businesses in the country. A pronounced realignment of resources toward internal security will have long-term negative consequences for the Belesian Federation Defense Force's ability to challenge external intrusions particularly given a long-standing imbalance in terms of purchases that benefit army modernization versus maritime and aerial surveillance.

Manipulation/Weaponization of Economic Activity

Belesia has substantial trade with both the United States and Olvana. When trade wars develop between the two large countries, Belesia becomes vulnerable. A government spokesman said, “Economically we are linked to both markets, and physically we are also caught in between for geographical reasons. There are even suggestions that we ourselves would be a target for sanctions.” In good times, Belesia enjoys the benefits of two large trading partners. In other times, Belesia fears being a collateral casualty.

Economic Sectors

The archipelago of Belesia contains a wealth of natural resources, ecological richness, and a wide variety of bio-diversity. However, population pressures, the deleterious effects of natural disasters, and land ownership and land management issues have failed to convert those riches into economic success. Like many Asian nations, a key to developing economic strength in Belesia is converting large segments of the populations from farm to factory, integrating into a global supply chain of high-value manufacturing. However, it also drew the country into more direct competition with its neighbors. Additionally, Belesian efforts to promote economic development have further contributed to environmental damage as well as widespread poverty and human health concerns. Moves to create an export-based economy similar to Olvana or South Torbia mean have shifted the workforce from primarily agricultural to one in which a third are in agriculture (29.6%) while over half work in services (54.1%, with 16.3% in the industrial sector.) Due to widespread inefficiencies across the agricultural sector, agriculture only contributes 9.7% to the overall GDP. Industry provides the key sector in electronics manufacturing. While industry as a whole provides 30.8% of the overall GDP, over half of that comes from electronics. The government provides a number of tax incentives to attract foreign investment in electronic manufacturing, particularly in telecommunications. However, research and development expenditure is very low. With over 60% of overall R&D funding coming from the private sector, Belesia has one of the lowest expenditure rates in Asia—a large risk as knowledge-based economies dominate the global marketplace.

Good factor endowment in Belesia is a positive sign for growth. The country possesses a large supply human capital and rich natural resource endowment. Economic reforms undertaken in decades ago positioned the country on a path of sustainable expansion, with exports strongly benefiting from prior investments and regulatory changes. Steadfast consumer optimism, healthy credit expansion, a tight labor market, and growing flows of overseas remittances translate into solid, if moderate, consumer spending growth. Remittances from overseas workers are equivalent to nearly 10% of GDP. However, rising global interest rates could weaken the Belesian currency, adversely affecting capital flows and driving up domestic inflation. Commodity prices, specifically global crude oil prices, are projected to rise, which could also increase inflationary pressures.

The investment-to-GDP ratio in Belesia remains low, and the economy is still hugely dependent on remittance inflows to sustain its growth. A reliance on agricultural commodity exports and exposure to wild swings in global electronics demand has left the country prone to considerable volatility. The challenge for Belesia is to sustain economic growth despite these facts and spread those benefits to more deprived regions of the country. A large growth opportunity lies in construction—especially of roads, harbors, and other public infrastructure—but a lack of public investment or dynamic entrepreneurship has failed to kick start this sector. In some regions, businesses, especially multinational corporations are loathe to invest because of governmental roadblocks. Provincial governments can use their powers to hamper rights granted under central government legislation. In addition, judicial processes can be very slow because of understaffing, and there are high levels of corruption, where the payment of small bribes during negotiations is a common practice. Many local officials rely on such payments to supplement small incomes.

Raw Materials Sector

Belesia has an abundance of raw materials, many renewable, that makes it an important trading partner with other countries.

Agriculture

Belesia is still primarily an agricultural country despite the plan to make it an industrialized economy. Most citizens still live in rural areas and support themselves through agriculture. The country's agriculture sector is made up of three sub-sectors: farming, livestock, and forestry, with the latter two being much smaller than the first. Together, agriculture employs 29.6% of the labor force, but only contributes 9.7% of the GDP. The agricultural sector suffers from low productivity, weak economies of scale and inadequate infrastructure. Last year, the country's earnings from agricultural exports were lower by 21% from the previous year.

Small farms with low mechanization dominate the agriculture sector. Just over 40% of the total land area is dedicated to agriculture with three-fourths of the cultivated area devoted to subsistence crops and one-fourth to commercial crops, mainly for export. Soils are extremely fertile, but 30% of the agricultural land is suffering erosion. In value terms, Belesia’s main crops are rice, banana, coconut, palm oil, corn, and sugarcane. Belesia exports coconut oil, palm oil, and sugar, but rice and corn are largely produced for domestic consumption, and the government emplaced a variety of measures to protect these products. These include highly costly and ineffective price supports for rice and corn, high tariffs, and rice import quotas. Roughly half of the cultivated land is devoted to rice and corn. Large plantations are the norm in commercial agriculture, centered on palm, coconuts, sugarcane, tobacco, bananas, and pineapples.

The importance of agriculture means that Belesia is extremely vulnerable to weather-related extreme events, earthquakes, and sea level rise. Climate-related impacts will reduce cultivatable land, decrease agricultural productivity, and increase food insecurity. Environmental deterioration and unsustainable development practices aggravate the country’s climate vulnerability. However, the poor performance of the agricultural sector in recent decades is not tied to risks or vulnerabilities in the sector, but rather to the political and institutional environment within which the sector operates. Price intervention policies, trade policies, public expenditure allocations, weak governance, and failed infrastructure have all led to the overall weakness of the agricultural sector.

Forestry

Rapid population growth and destructive logging techniques have dramatically changed the prospects of the Belesian logging sector. As lowland populations increased, migration into traditional forestland, aided by the existence of logging roads and previously clear-cut areas, meant minimal chance for reforestation. Since the start of the 20th Century, nearly two-thirds of total forest coverage has been destroyed. Over the past three decades, the government has attempted to reforest over a million hectares, but only 120,000 hectares survived due to inadequate maintenance and protection. Belesia has gone from a lumber exporter, harvesting a high of 750,000 cubic meters of lumber annually, to a lumber importer. The government has banned lumber exportation, harvests are below 100,000 cubic meters, and the country imports over 200,000 cubic meters a year. Additionally, the most profitable non-wood forest products, rattan and bamboo, are also in serious decline.

Fishing

Fishing contributes to 3% of the GDP. However, overfishing has emerged as one of the country’s major problem. Overfishing has resulted in a 90% drop in the trawling quantity from major fishing areas in the country. Apart from the economic loss, there has also been a loss of biodiversity and almost 80% of the coral reefs in Belesia are under high risk due to destructive fishing practices. Efforts by Belesia to expand its territorial fishing areas have been met with opposition from Gabal and South Torbia. Domestic demand for fish is substantial, with average yearly fish consumption at 36 kg per person compared to 12 kg for consumption of meat and other food products. The fisheries sector comprises commercial fisheries, municipal fisheries, and aquaculture. Commercial fishing is allowed in waters that are 16 km or more from the shoreline: foreign equity in deep-sea-fishing vessels is capped at 40%, and all fishermen must be Belesian citizens. Imports of fresh, chilled, or frozen fish (except when imported for canning and processing) are allowed only when deemed "necessary", and a certificate of necessity is required. Fish exports require a permit.

Oil and Natural Gas Extraction

Belesia imports all of its oil and oil-based products. The vast majority (87%) of total crude mix is imported from the Middle East, 6.7% is imported from Donovia, and the remaining 6.3% is from other Asian sources. Local refineries account for 51% of imports, while the other 49% reflects direct importation of refined products. Refinery production has a maximum throughput of 38000 bbl/day but averages 18000 bbl/day. The predominant refined product is diesel oil with a 47.3% share of the production mix, followed by gasoline (24.2%), kerosene (10.8), avgas (6.9%) and fuel oil (6.6%). Volume wise, diesel oil imports grew by 24.6% compared over the previous year. Kerosene, avgas, and gasoline imports also rose by 19.9%, 19.7%, and 3.7%, respectively. On the other hand, fuel oil imports dropped by 15.3%.

The current gas industry in Belesia is characterized as emerging. The Belesian natural gas industry assists in the government’s goal of harnessing environmentally friendly fuels to ensure a stable, diverse, and secure energy supply. However, the growth of this industry is predicated on the development of additional natural gas capacity, other non-power applications, and the infrastructure to bring the natural gas to its potential markets. This infrastructure includes the appropriate pipeline transmission and distribution networks, LNG terminals and facilities, gas-refilling stations, and ancillary facilities.

Mining

The Belesian archipelago is rich in mineral resources, including major deposits of gold, iron ore, copper, lead, and zinc. There are also deposits of silver, nickel, mercury, manganese, and cadmium. Small-scale operations dominate the mining industry, contributing 80% of overall mineral production in the country. Although unexploited mineral wealth is estimated at more than $420 billion, low royalty rates and an ineffective fiscal system means that the government receives only a small share of this resource wealth. Non-metallic minerals range from limestone, salt, and asbestos, to marble and asphalt. The country has extensive agricultural resources, including timber and fisheries, while principal crops include rice, corn, coconut, and sugarcane. Tropical fruits are also produced for export.

While the mining and quarrying sector contributes about 1.1% to GDP and employees an estimated 200,000 people, or 0.7% of the total number of people employed in the country, both figures are down from the previous year, losing nearly 21,000 jobs. Five years ago, the government implemented a new mining law which the industry and the public lauded the law for its liberal framework. However, a mine collapse in Panay released 20.6 million tons of waste into a nearby river. This led to an amendment of the mining law and highlighted the growing mistrust of the country’s private sector in the country’s legal environment. Despite the abundance of natural resources in the country, the amended law has increased private investor mistrust of the country’s regulatory regime and greatly curtailed foreign investment and expansion. Conflicting national and local mining laws also pose risks to foreign mining firms. For example, open-pit mining is banned on Mindanao despite being allowed by national law. The only area of mining expansion has been in nickel, with 4 new projects starting last year and 21 of the country’s 35 operating mines producing nickel.

Manufacturing and Industry Sector

Belesia has developed a competitive manufacturing base in recent years as low-end manufacturing left Olvana due to wage increases. Industrial food processing is one of Belesia’s main manufacturing activities along with the production of cement, glass, chemicals products and fertilizers, iron, and steel. The manufacturing sector has been the focus of Belesian efforts to improve job quality, but growth is hindered by high wages, bureaucratic interference, and limited infrastructure. Additionally, the global market, with liberalized globalization in steel, hampered the industry in is incipient stage. While Belesia does not have integrated steel mill capacity, its regional competitors do, putting the country at further disadvantage. Belesia is among the most open countries to metal imports in the region. Whereas South Torbia and Olvana each implemented eleven anti-dumping measures in the base metal sector over the past three years (tariffs, safeguards, technical barriers to trade and non-tariff barriers like “Buy National” campaigns), Belesia has not initiated any.

Belesia’s industrial policy aims at diversifying its manufacturing base and promoting regional industrialization. In order to encourage investment in the manufacturing sector, the Government has offered a wide range of tax incentives, concessionary tax rates and other types of assistance. The sector remains an important contributor to economic growth, accounting for 30.8% of GDP and 16.3% of total employment and the industrial production growth rate is 6.8%. However, manufacturing is highly concentrated in a few products and export markets, and relies heavily on imported inputs, making it vulnerable to external economic cycles and price fluctuations. Primary industries include electronics assembly, garments, footwear, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, wood products, food processing, and fishing.

The government is supportive of a strong manufacturing base, while favoring a restructuring towards higher value-added, capital-intensive industries. The authorities consider that the manufacturing sector has positive spillover effects on the rest of the economy, including improving the economy's resilience in global economic downturns. The high-tech sector is isolated from the rest of the economy. Belesia specializes in semiconductor assembly, which relies heavily on imported components that the country then re-exports to be used as intermediate inputs in other electronic subsectors.

Energy Industry

Belesia is a net energy importer despite low consumption levels relative to its Southeast Asian neighbors. The country produces small volumes of natural gas and coal. Geothermal, hydropower, and other renewable sources constitute a significant share of electricity generation. These provide approximately half of Belesia’s energy needs (49.8%) However, the country must import the vast majority of its petroleum and petroleum product requirements, equating to 31.4% of consumption, although only 2.5% of electrical generation. A decade ago, the government privatized the state-run Belesian Petroleum Corporation (BPC), eliminating that company’s monopoly on oil importation. However, the BPC remains a dominated player in the energy sector with significant influence over local processes.

Another state-owned enterprise, the Cebu Electricity Board, dominates electricity, which has run at a loss for many years as the government has kept electricity tariffs below generation costs. At the same time, cross-subsidization in favor of certain consumers has led to high electricity costs for industrial users, potentially weakening their competitiveness. Although coal only accounts for around 4% of overall energy use, coal plants provide over half of the electricity used nationwide.

The energy sector has several possible entry points for investors, ranging from prospecting to generation, transmission, and distribution. Several foreign companies have had a strong presence in the natural gas and generating industry after the government opened the sector up to foreign capital.

Chemical Industry

The Chemical Industries Association, consisting of 57 of the largest chemical companies in Belesia, aims to develop the industry into a major global exporter over the next decade, prioritizing oleochemicals, petrochemicals, and agrochemicals. The aim is to take advantage of abundant sources of raw materials in Belesia, especially coconut. The combined chemical industry, including both production and imports, is equivalent to 6.7% of overall GDP and employs 45,000 workers.

Other Major Industry

Information Technology (IT)

IT is an area of focused attention by the Belesian government over the past two decades. Belesia is strategically situated with easy accessibility to other countries and has robust infrastructure, connectivity and economic stability. Financial institutions, telecommunications, media, and retail industry are the leading industries that have successfully started to digitally transform and align their overall strategy with Belesia’s digital strategy. While Belesians are well connected, the business community has some way to go.

  • Belesia has taken to heart research that indicates a direct correlation between economic growth rates and investments in technology. Belesia’s efforts have included:
  • A flagship Multimedia Super Corridor in 1996, which aimed to implement an electronic information system to boost the efficiency of government operations, deliver more cost-effective public services, and decrease bureaucratic delays.
  • National Broadband Act which expanded broadband coverage and speed through an agreement between the government and a state-owned telecommunication company. It also installed 3,500 kilometer of submarine fiber-optic cables. As a result, Belesia’s household broadband penetration per 100 inhabitants reached 99.8 per cent in 2016, compared to just 19.4 per cent in 2011. 
  • The National Transformation 2050 Initiative, launched in 2017, aims to position Belesia as one of the top 20 nations in economic development, social advancement, and innovation over the next 20 years. The Agenda outlines five focus areas, including information and communication technology. The Agenda notes the ongoing explosion in internet bandwidth, processing power, and digital storage capacity, as well as the rise of broadband and mobile connectivity, the Internet of Things, robotics, and artificial intelligence. In the future, the Agenda envisions automation and robotics as part of domestic construction, transport, and city assets. 

Defense Industry

One of the newest sectors of Belesia is the defense industry, which was established in 1999. One of Belesia’s leading automotive manufacturer, TechNow manufactures armored cars and special vehicles for the Belesian army. Belesian Heavy Industries is tasked with the manufacture of warships and ensuring the technology used in the vessels is up to date.

Services Sector

The services sector, which accounts for 59% of GDP and 54% of employment, remains a main driver of economic growth, expanding by an average of 6% annually in real terms over the last five years. Services exports as a percent of total exports increased from 9% to 21% over the past decade. Services are led by wholesale and resale trade (16%), followed by business services (15%), financial and insurance services (13%) and tourism (12%). Further reforms in the services sector, particularly in travel and tourism, could provide more channels by which the country could diversify its economy, achieve high and sustained growth, and reduce poverty. The tourism sector is considered central to Belesia’s social and economic development, and the government's objective is to double tourist arrivals in the next three years. Infrastructural weaknesses, particularly highways, hotels, and tourist facilities, have been identified as the main bottlenecks to tourism development.

Banking/Finance

Banks in Belesia offer a comprehensive range of banking and financial services. The country’s financial institutions are governed by the Bank of Belesia—the country’s central bank responsible for promoting monetary and financial stability. Technological developments, particularly in the area of Telecommunications and Information Technology are revolutionizing the way business is done. Electronic commerce is now thought to hold the promise of a new commercial revolution by offering an inexpensive and direct way to exchange information and to sell or buy products and services. This revolution in the market place has set in motion new opportunities for payment systems that are compatible with the demands of the electronic marketplace. 

In line with global trends, banking business in Belesia has been undergoing tremendous changes since achieving independence. Belesia commenced the gradual deregulation of the financial sector in the 1970’s. Then, in the 1980’s the industry introduced Automated Teller Machines (ATM’s) as the most visible evidence of emerging electronic banking in Belesia. This was then followed by the introduction of telebanking and PC-banking in the 1990’s. The next imminent step in Belesia’s modernizing of its banking and financial sector is Internet–banking. However, there are several issues hampering the full introduction of Internet transactions, including the lack of an adequate legal framework and infrastructure that will insure the security of electronic transactions.

Information Communications Technology (ICT)

The government, launched initiatives with the business sector to develop the country’s mobile service network as rapidly as possible, an essential factor given the archipelagic nature of Belesia. It successfully implemented a 3G mobile broadband service despite the lack of intervening 2G infrastructure. The government was able to institute this advanced communication technology while supporting development by private network providers.

Recent government support and testing of mesh network systems granted internet access to the majority of Belesia’s population. Implementation of mesh networks throughout the country also improved internet security thanks to the system’s embedded network security hardware and firmware.

Low-cost data packages and mobile phones are quickly becoming ubiquitous throughout the country. The government’s emphasis and support of connectivity puts the country on-pace to surpass South Torbia as the leading internet and mobile phone using country in the region.

Professional Services

The professional services sector is a key element in Belesia’s economic vision. Belesia hopes to expand its service based economy as a main economic driver – solidifying its status as a developed nation. Belesian professional services support local and international businesses of all sizes over a wide range of industries by providing assistance, such as consultation, project and service management as well as operational services.

Tourism

The Ministry of Tourism has introduced sustainable tourism as a key element of its #VisitBelesia campaign. The sub-components of sustainable tourism are responsible tourism, ecotourism, geotourism and voluntourism. The Ministry of Tourism’s roadmap to integrate sustainable tourism into the government’s overall economic plan is found in 19 strategies and 86 action plans intended to increase tourism revenues. This is not without controversy as tourism companies and local businesses advocate for larger numbers of tourists and ecotourism partisans lobby for reduced numbers in deference to minimizing the impact of tourists on the environment. One element of the government’s plan is to increase efforts to get travelers to secondary destinations by developing new routes and attractions, in addition to the main places and encourage travelers to support local sustainable tourism efforts.

Government Services

Belesia is integrating technology to improve efficiency and provide better service delivery to Belesians. Its bureaucratic and public service delivery systems have seen steady efficiency improvements over the past decade. The government has also increased its recruiting efforts to find higher quality employees to lead its national improvement strategy, known as Belesia Now. Belesia is recognized as a regional and among small countries as a public service leader.

Participation in the Global Financial System

The economy of Belesia has been relatively resilient to global economic volatility. The nation retains a substantial domestic consumption rate, making the overall economy less reliant than others in the region do on exports. Additionally, the nation has a smaller exposure to international securities than many Pacific nations, with a stable banking system. The cost of this stability, however, is difficulty in maintaining economic growth as other nations recover and expand following economic downturns.

World Economic Organizations

Belesia participates in most major international economic organizations as shown below:

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an organization of 190 countries, working to foster global monetary cooperation, secure financial stability, facilitate international trade, promote high employment and sustainable economic growth, and reduce poverty around the world. Belesia joined the IMF in March 7, 1958. The IMF’s latest assessment of Belesia included the following:

  • The Belesian economy is stable despite domestic and external challenges. The authorities are making progress on their reform agenda including governance reforms and measures to improve the transparency and management of public finances. Policies should focus on medium-term fiscal consolidation, while safeguarding growth and financial stability. Structural reforms are needed to enshrine in law main governance measures, and to boost productivity to achieve high income status and inclusive growth.

World Bank

The World Bank’s partnership with Belesia spans nearly 60 years, providing longstanding support for infrastructure, water resources, and disaster risk management. The World Bank is also an active partner in helping spur private sector growth. Belesia retains $1.9 billion of International Bank for Reconstruction and Development loans to be disbursed—approximately one-half of the original principal. Over the past decade, the nation has used $1.77 billion to develop trade with special consideration given to pro-poor growth strategies. Trade is included as a macroeconomic strategy to achieve this development.

Over the last decade, disaster relief and recovery has also become an increasingly important area of assistance to Belesia. The United States has provided over $143 million in assistance to date to the people of Belesia after Typhoon Haiyan in 2013. The European Commission released the equivalent of $4 million in emergency aid funds and the United Kingdom Rapid Response Facility sent a team of experts to the Philippines, along with a shipment of emergency equipment, and an additional $8 million in emergency aid funds.

International Development Aid

U.S. foreign assistance in Belesia promotes peace and security by strengthening cooperation on law enforcement, nonproliferation, counterterrorism, rule of law, and expanding military ties. Assistance will further Malaysia's role as a reliable partner in maintaining regional stability, fighting terrorism and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD), and strengthening key regional and global institutions that will contribute to the America's security.

 Olvana’s Foreign Aid and Government Investment Fund (FAGIF) is also funding development projects—mostly through loans and partnerships that provide a benefit back to Olvana.

Other Major World or Regional Economic Organizations

  • Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)
  • International Development Association (IDA)
  • International Finance Corporation (IFC)
  • International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD)
  • International Monetary Fund (IMF)
  • International Olympic Committee (IOC)
  • Islamic Development Bank (IDB)
  • Nonaligned Movement (NAM)
  • Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC)
  • Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) (partner)
  • United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)
  • United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)
  • United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)
  • World Confederation of Labor (WCL)
  • World Customs Organization (WCO)
  • World Federation of Trade Unions (WFTU)
  • World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)
  • World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)
  • World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
  • World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
  • World Trade Organization (WTO)

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

Improving the foreign investment climate is essential to strengthening Belesia’s domestic productive capacity. A decade ago, foreign direct investment (FDI) dramatically decreased due to an unfavorable business and economic situation. Global financial downturns meant that corporations were unwilling to make investments in risky political environments fraught with corruption and instability. Recent government reforms to improve the business climate and reduce endemic corruption have already had a meaningful effect, leading to rising FDI. Yet, the eventual outcome remains clouded by uncertainty. The country's poor infrastructure remains a serious challenge for investors seeking to establish production facilities, yet expanding the productive capital base is exactly what the country needs to reduce dependence on consumer demand. The government is likely to lower the corporate tax rate to bring it in line with its Asian neighbors. At 30%, Belesia has one of the highest corporate tax rates in Asia and lowering corporate taxation is part of a broader government plan to review the tax system.

In addition to reforms, Belesia has also been working to liberalize of the economy. However, nationalist interests and significant barriers to foreign ownership have stymied these reforms. Belesia lags behind its regional peers despite a record quantity of FDI last year. The Belesian constitution restricts foreign ownership in important activities/sectors such as land ownership and public utilities. In other sectors, such as retail and financial services, foreign investment is restricted to minority ownership. Even in areas where the government encourages foreign investment, like transportation and infrastructure, the State keeps a strong presence. For example, government-owned Belesia Air dominates the air services industry, while another state-run company retains the monopoly to develop and manage airports and airport services, and a government agency is in charge of all cargo handling and port services. The country boasts of one of the longest road networks in Southeast Asia, however, it is of inferior quality and does not provide efficient connectivity. Foreign investment in rural improvement projects such as irrigation, rural roads, and rural ports have dwindled due to the failure of the government or domestic private sectors to support these projects, significantly raising costs of rural access. Even when the government encourages investment through tax breaks and other incentives, these are often contingent on export performance and Belesian ownership.

In other sectors, however, laws liberalizing business practices have opened up more fields to foreign investments. Two years ago, a new law lifted restrictions on foreign ownership of banks. This resulted in overseas banks almost immediately investing in the country’s banking sector due to its record of being one of the fastest-growing Southeast Asian economies with a rising demand for bank loans. Full foreign ownership is now allowed in banking, insurance, finance, construction, telecommunications and information technology, and petroleum distribution.

Economic Sanctions

The Minister of International Trade and Industry can designate individuals, entities, and countries as restricted or prohibited end-users, following their suspected involvement in any restricted activities. These are currently reported under the Strategic Trade (Restricted End- Users and Prohibited End-Users) Order 2010, as amended. 

Belesia attempts to balance relations with the West and Asia, particularly with Olvana. Recent US pressure on Belesia to impose sanctions on twenty-four Olvanan companies was soundly rejected by the Belesian ambassador to Olvana. "I want to emphasize that a principle for Belesia is that we do not recognize the unilateral sanctions. We only recognize sanctions which have been endorsed by the United Nations Security Council - the only body that has the legitimate power to impose sanctions on other countries. So this is a matter of principle. And we expect to apply them in all situations," he said. 

Belesia has succumbed to pressure in the banking sector. US and other western countries have put pressure on Belesia to close the bank accounts of persons with identified ties to terrorism and to limit business with countries deemed supporters of terrorist organizations.

Finance and Banking

Belesia has a relatively underdeveloped financial sector; however, it has recently opened to foreign competition and has high capital and liquidity standards. Ironically, this underdevelopment actually protected the nation’s financial sector from shocks other nations faced during financial crises of past decades. The Central Bank of Belesia has pushed for changes to the Belesian tax and bank secrecy laws, which over the past five years has resulted in removal of the country from a western blacklist of non-cooperative tax havens. Additionally, the central bank has implemented initiatives that encourage weaker rural banks to merge with stronger ones. Overall, private, domestic, often Islamic, banks dominate the financial sector. Banks offer credit at market terms; however, legal stipulations require them to lend specified portions of their funds to preferred sectors in manufacturing and tourism.

Private Banking

Banking System

Belesian banks overwhelming lend to the corporate segment, particularly larger companies with long credit histories and a strong repayment record. Over 80% of private lending is composed of corporate loans. Banking regulations are broadly in line with international standards, with some even more stringent then global parameters. The Belesian Deposit Insurance Corporation insures maximum deposit coverage of 500,000 talaro per depositor.

There are currently over 30 general and commercial banks in Belesia, consisting of private domestic banks, international banks, subsidiaries of foreign banks, and branches of foreign banks. Several of these are universal banks, meaning they are both a commercial bank and an investment bank. Belesian laws do not distinguish between foreign and domestic banks except in retail banking. Foreign retail banks are subject to limitations on the number of places of business (branches and ATMs) that they may operate. A foreign retail bank that has been given full banking privileges may operate a maximum of 25 places of business.

Stock/Capital

The Belesian Stock Exchange (BSE) is a stock corporation and the sole stock exchange in Belesia. The Company's revenues derive primarily from listing-related fees for initial public offerings, additional listings, and annual listing maintenance. The Company's other sources of revenue are membership, transaction, data feed, and service fees. The BSE has 226 listed companies. Foreigners are restricted to investing in B-shares and total foreign investment in a company is limited to 40% for general listed stocks and 30% for banks. All foreigners conducting transactions with the BSE must register with the Central Bank.

The BSE has two subsidiary companies. The first, the Securities Clearing Company, serves as the clearance and settlement agency for trades executed through the facilities of the BSE. The second, the Market Integrity Company, functions as the independent audit, surveillance, and compliance unit of the BSE. The government supervises the BSE via the Financial Market Oversight Commission (FMOC). The FMOC has the mandate to strengthen the corporate and capital market infrastructure of the country and maintain a regulatory framework based on international standards and practices. The FMOC is also entrusted with the responsibility of promoting investor interests in a free, fair, and competitive business environment.

Informal Finance

Belesia has both an active black market as well as a very large underground economy consisting of unlicensed and untaxed vendors of garments and food and unregistered workers in sweatshops and residences. Black market activities include illegal money changing and the smuggling of machine parts and basic items. The underground economy was credited for propping up the economy during turbulent economic times in the 1980s. While the goods and services produced were not technically part of the country’s ledge, the income generated enabled Belesians to work and feed themselves and thus survive the crisis. There are also over 100,000 informal lenders—i.e., loan sharks—in Belesia. Many of these charge exorbitant interest rates, creating an often-insurmountable burden for low-income borrowers. These lenders often come into direct conflict with Islam prohibitions against usury.

Public Finance

The overall Belesian financial focus has been to improve tax administration and budgetary management. These efforts have allowed economic success and growth, albeit inconsistently, despite a high debt burden and overall tight fiscal situation. The government’s efforts have been rewarded with higher investment-grade credit ratings on its sovereign debt compared with many of its economic global peers. However, weak absorptive capacity and the slowness with which plans are implemented have prevented the government from maximizing its expenditure plans. The low tax-to-GDP ratio remains a constraint to supporting increasingly higher spending levels and sustaining high inclusive growth.

Public Policy

From the 1960s through the 1980s, government spending coupled with corruption and mismanagement caused an increase in national debt of over 7000%, reaching a high of 97% of GDP. An extended period of government reforms and international assistance has allowed Belesia to reduce the debt burden to its current level of 36.2% of GDP. Unlike many emerging nations, Belesia accomplished this without defaulting on international loans. This was a key factor is maintaining international relationships which guaranteed assistance and continued funding.

However, while the Belesian government has no shortage of good plans and programs to address various sectoral concerns, like those of the agricultural sector, the implementation of such plans and programs have historically failed. Governance and bureaucratic reforms, especially in the agriculture bureaucracy and in the local governments, lie at the heart of addressing the age-old constraints to stronger performance. The political system is characterized by instability, weak political institutions, and corruption, with powerful political families’ infighting over vested interests.

After the most recent elections, the President vowed to make inclusive growth and poverty reduction his top priority. The President stated that illegal drug use, crime, and corruption were the key barriers to economic development. This has resulted in a twofold policy—increasing spending on infrastructure and poverty reduction programs, while also increasing spending on police and education. This has resulted in an increase in government spending from 15.8% to 21.0% of GDP. This expansionary fiscal policy was countered with a slight tightening in monetary policy to counter inflationary risks. Due to the fiscal and monetary prudence that has taken root in the country, an increased national savings rate fuels more rapid investment growth. Combined with central bank’s proactive efforts in keeping a close watch on inflationary pressures, the Belesia has been able to enjoy relative monetary stability over recent years. In line with the twin goals of eradicating extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity, the investment portfolio structure indicates a strong support almost equally to agriculture (19%), social development (18%), disaster risk operations (18%), and social protection (16%); followed by water (13%) and education (11%). The remaining balance is shared by transportation (4%) and energy (1%).

The Belesian government extends subsidies to companies in order to perform certain government-specified mandates. In return, these companies are supposed to remit 50% of their earnings as a dividend to the government. These funds are managed by a government holding company that further invests across various sectors. While the volume of subsidies has decreased by 15% over the last year, the number of government-owned and government-controlled corporations nearly doubled. The largest subsidies are provided for power distribution, followed by irrigation, transportation, and health care.

Inflationary concerns are less than a decade ago, when inflation rates trended in the neighborhood of 8%. Still, even slight inflationary increases, especially in food and energy, have the greatest impact on those least able to afford them, the poor. Thus, economic growth proves to be a double-edged sword, increasing wages for some while also creating upward pressures on prices for all.

Core consumer prices rose 3.1% from a year earlier. Over the coming quarters, grain and energy commodities prices will become positive drivers of inflation, as they are likely to post elevated percentage. Furthermore, the increase to electricity rates along with the proposed upwards adjustment in excise tax rates of petroleum products have the potential to be inflationary, given that housing, water, electricity and transportation account for about 30% of household spending. While the government’s expansionary budget will focus on infrastructure and social development and will be positive for productivity growth, it will nevertheless add to upside inflationary pressures.

Over the last year, upward price pressures came from all components: alcoholic beverages and tobacco (6.3%), clothing and footwear (2.7%); housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (3.6%); furnishing, households equipment and routine maintenance (2.4%), health (2.5%), transportation (3.2%), communications (0.3%), recreation and culture (1.5%), education (1.8%) and restaurants and miscellaneous goods and services (1.5%). Prices of heavily weighted food and non-alcoholic beverages also went up 4.2%.

Taxation

The tax system in Belesia is complicated and highly inefficient. Corruption is a major hindrance to efficient tax collection, and the country is among the worst in the world for discriminatory application of tax law. Preparing and filing personal taxes takes 20% longer than in other Asian countries, while corporations have 28 separate tax transactions to make. The average total tax burden for a Belesian is 42.9%. Average tax rates include sales tax 12%, corporate tax rate 30%, personal income tax rate 32%, and social security rate 22.7%. Capital gains are taxed at 5-10%. The current administration has pledged to reduce the corporate and individual income tax rates offset by higher consumption taxes.

Imports into Belesia are also subject to a number of charges, including tariffs, excise duty, value-added tax, an Export Development Board Levy, a Social Responsibility Levy, and a Ports and Airports Development Levy. These charges considerably increase the cost of importing into Belesia, which in some cases may exceed 100%. Tobacco products and motor vehicles face the highest overall import charges. Despite having raised tariffs and other charges on imports, the Belesian government made substantial efforts to enhance transparency regarding applied tariff levels and all other import charges. On aggregate, Belesian tariffs display mixed escalation, with first-stage processed products dropping to an average tariff rate of 6.7%, semi-finished goods remaining steady at 4.9%, and semi-finished to fully processed products climbing to an average 7%. At a more disaggregate level, positive tariff escalation is most pronounced in textiles and leather, followed by wood and furniture, paper and printing, chemicals, and non-metallic mineral products, thereby providing higher levels of effective protection to those industries than that reflected by the nominal rates.

Currency Reserves

The Belesian currency is known as the talaro. One Belesian talaro is equal to 100 malakis. Current foreign exchange reserves in Belesia equate to $37.20 million. The relative stability of monetary policy and inflation risks for Belesia lead to a non-volatile exchange rate that traditionally fares well versus the Euro and the US Dollar. However, downside risks are likely to increase due to rising global interest rates, a widening trade deficit, growing political uncertainties, and political concerns.

Employment Status

Belesian economic policy has focused for several years on encouraging economic restructuring from labor-intensive growth towards innovation and productivity-led growth. However, failed projects, declining fishing incomes, and rising poverty levels exacerbate urban-rural disparities, especially in coastal areas, spurring migration of young adults from the rural to urban areas. One reason is that job creation has struggled to keep pace with an ever-expanding population. In three of the past five years, the number of people entering the job market has been greater than the number of jobs created. Another factor may be the low quality of jobs available. Last year, just 58% of workers—in both formal and informal employment—were in paid jobs, 28% were self-employed with no guaranteed income, and 11% worked on family-owned farms or other businesses where they typically receive food and lodging but no actual cash. With manufacturing growth also stunted, new generations of are consigned to work in low-skill jobs, where productivity and wages tended to be lower—or to leave the country altogether. Last year, Belesia workers who moved abroad to work sent home a figure equivalent to about 8.5% of national GDP. The majority of inflows are from the United States and the Middle East, with a growing number of unregistered workers in Olvana and South Torbia.

Labor Market

The labor market is an area where Belesia is not living up to its potential. Despite a large population and high levels of unemployment, the labor force participation rate (LFPR) remains relatively low. Only about 60% of the working age population is looking for work, one of the lowest levels in the region. Underemployment remains a persistent problem affecting one-fifth of all employees, with only 35% of workers reporting a workweek longer than 35 hours. Two-thirds of all Belesian that do have employment work in the informal sector, meaning lower-wage and lower-skill jobs without the benefit of written contracts, social insurance, or access to severance pay. Although the country is a signatory of all International Labor Organization conventions on workers' rights, non-compliance with regulations is commonplace, especially among small and medium-sized enterprises. Efforts to bring informal workers into the mainstream, where they can be regulated and taxed, have met resistance as Belesian culture sees even black market activities like smuggling as ways to avoid becoming the helpless victim of the taxman. However, Belesia does reverse the gender wage gap compared to most of the world, with females making 6.1% more on average than males.

One critical factor affecting Belesian employment is overseas investment. Although Belesian wages are low, they are not as low as in other emerging markets, while the education and training is of lesser quality, limiting the draw for labor outsourcing. Yet, delivering more and higher quality employment is critical for growth and poverty reduction, especially in Mindanao. 2.4 million Mindanaoans are either unemployed (460,000) or underemployed (1.9 million). Combined with expected population growth, this means a requirement for 6.3 million jobs in the next five years. The Belesian government will need to continue reforms that encourage investment while also improving skills development programs, especially for youth.

Currently, there are approximately 3.2 million children working as child labor. The overwhelming majority of these work in hazardous conditions. The agricultural sector employs 54.1% of the children, 40.5% in the services sector, and 5.3% of the children in the industrial sector. Poverty is the main cause for increasing child labor.

Employment and Unemployment

Unemployment remains very high in Belesia despite government efforts to address the problem. Government action as well as global labor trends worked to bring unemployment rate down from its high a decade ago of 43.9% to a low of 24.7%. Recent trends have been slowly upward and unemployment currently stands at 26.3%. Additionally the LFPR is currently 61.8%, and while this is up from 60.7% a year ago, it is well below its high of 71.5%, as the LFPR never recovered from a series of global and regional financial shocks. These figures only tell part of the picture. Employment and wages are distributed extremely unevenly. While the poverty rate nationwide is 40%, the poverty rate in rural areas is closer to 60%. Unemployment rates are 5-7% higher and underemployment 18-19% higher in rural areas, with coastal regions being the worst off. Unemployment in Belesia is structural, generated by the low GDP growth rate relative to population increase. Lack of elasticity in the labor market has prompted large levels of migration, both internally and overseas.

Illegal Activities

There are illegal economic activities in Belesia, most are in the private sector except for the corruption noted below:

Government Sponsored

Corruption in Belesia is high and the enforcement of anti-corruption laws is inconsistent and slow. The public sector is a key source of bribery, with national and local government units likely to ask for bribes related to public contracts. Government infrastructure projects are rife with bid rigging, collusion, and fraud. Corruption is also a high risk in the Bureau of Customs, where there are reports of officials regularly demanding facilitation payments for imports and exports. Trade-related fraud is probably the biggest criminal activity facing Belesia. A fourth of all goods imported into Belesia go unreported to avoid VAT taxes and import tariffs. In the last decade, illicit capital flows have drained an average of $1.5 billion in tax revenue each year. In addition, money laundering is prevalent in Belesia. Most of this money laundering is facilitated through fake trade invoicing, which allows exporters and importers another avenue to avoid paying taxes on traded goods.

Non-Government Sponsored

The shadow economy of Belesia is one of the largest in the world, with a value equivalent to over 40% of GDP. This includes both market-based legal production of goods and services deliberately concealed from public authorities to avoid payment of taxes or meeting labor market standards and classic crime activities, like burglary, robbery, or drug dealing. The numbers of drug seizures in Belesia are few and decreasing, but human trafficking is very high, predominantly as labor.

Petty and organized crime is a serious problem in Belesia and is generally economically motivated because of the high levels of extreme poverty among the population. Reports of mugging, homicide, other violent crimes, as well as confidence tricks, pick pocketing, and credit card fraud are common. Organized crime networks are well entrenched, encompassing kidnapping, extortion, gambling, and heavy involvement in the country's narcotics trade and money laundering. Marijuana and hashish are cultivated locally for export, with increasing production of methamphetamines as well.

Table of Economic Activity

Measure Data Remarks
GDP (Official Exchange Rate) $209.46 billion Estimated
GDP – Real Growth Rate 6.5% Estimated
GDP – Per Capita (PPP) $29,100 Estimated
Gross National Saving 28.5% % Of GDP (Estimated)
GDP – Household Consumption  55.3% Estimated
GDP – Government Consumption 12.2% Estimated
GDP – Investment in Fixed Capital 25.3%  Estimated
GDP – Investment in Inventories 0.3% Estimated
GDP – Exports of Goods & Services 71.4% Estimated
GDP – Imports of Goods & Services -64.4% Estimated
GDP – Agriculture Sector 9.7% Estimated
GDP – Industry Sector 30.8% Estimated
GDP – Services Sector 59.5% Estimated
Labor Force 37.1 million Estimated
Labor Force – Agriculture 29.6% Estimated
Labor Force – Industry 16.3% Estimated
Labor Force – Services 54.1% Estimated
Unemployment Rate 26.3% Estimated
Poverty Rate 40.0% Below Poverty Line (Estimated)
Net Foreign Direct Investment 2.72 billion Estimated
Budget – Revenues $40.51 billion  Estimated
Budget - Expenditures $45.16 billion Estimated
Public Debt 36.2% of GDP % of GDP (Estimated)
Inflation Rate – Consumer Prices 3.1% Estimated
Economic Equality/Inequality 0.407 Gini Coefficient (0 = Perfect with everyone in the country has the same amount of wealth; 1 = all income/wealth is in the possession of a single person)
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