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[[Category:TC|7-100.1-01]]
This chapter describes the State’s national security strategy and how the State designs campaigns and operations to achieve strategic goals out- lined in that strategy. This provides the general framework within which the OPFOR plans and executes military actions at the operational level, which are the focus of the remainder of this manual. The nature of the State and its national security strategy are explained in greater detail in FM 7-100.
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: ''This page is a section of [[FM 7-100.1 Opposing Forces Operations|FM 7-100.1 Opposing Forces Operations]].''
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This chapter describes the State’s national security strategy and how the State designs campaigns and operations to achieve strategic goals outlined in that strategy. This provides the general framework within which the OPFOR plans and executes military actions at the operational level, which are the focus of the remainder of this manual. The nature of the State and its national security strategy are explained in greater detail in FM 7-100.
  
 
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__TOC__
  
==Hybrid Threat==  
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==National Security Strategy==  
The irregular OPFOR can be part of the Hybrid Threat (HT). (For more information of the HT, see TC 7-100.) The HT can be any combination of two or more of the following components: regular military forces, irregular forces, and/or criminal elements. The irregular OPFOR component of the HT can be insurgents, guerrillas, or criminals or any combination thereof. The irregular OPFOR can also include other armed individuals or groups who are not members of a governing authority’s domestic law enforcement organizations or other internal security forces. On occasion, situations may occur where unarmed individuals or groups may be part of the irregular OPFOR and the HT. An example of unarmed individuals aligned with the HT in an active support role is when segments of the population participate in public demonstrations against an enemy of the HT. Possible HT combinations include parts of the irregular OPFOR operating openly with regular military forces, being sponsored directly or indirectly by a state’s government, or being supported by non-state organizations.
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The ''national security strategy'' is the State’s vision for itself as a nation and the underlying rationale for building and employing its instruments of national power. It outlines how the State plans to use its diplomatic-political, informational, economic, and military instruments of power to achieve its strategic goals. Despite the term ''security'', this strategy defines not just what the State wants to protect or defend, but what it wants to achieve.
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[[File:Figure 1-1. National Command Authority.png|alt=Figure 1-1. National Command Authority|thumb|Figure 1-1. National Command Authority]]
  
The irregular OPFOR can be part of the HT, but can also operate independently without any allegiance to or collaboration with other types of forces associated with the HT. Various state and non-state organizations, regular military forces, paramilitary forces, and/or criminal organizations might be operating in the same space and time as the irregular OPFOR but not be part of the irregular OPFOR or the HT. To be a hybrid threat, all these components would have to be “unified to achieve mutually benefitting effects” (ADRP 3-0 and TC 7-100).
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=== National Command Authority ===
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The National Command Authority (NCA) exercises overall control of the application of all instruments of national power in planning and carrying out the national security strategy. Thus, the NCA includes the cabinet ministers responsible for those instruments of power: the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Minister of Public Information, Minister of Finance and Economic Affairs, Minister of the Interior, and Minister of Defense, along with other members selected by the State’s President, who chairs the NCA. (See Figure 1-1.)
  
==Capabilities and Intent==
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The President also appoints a Minister of National Security, who heads the Strategic Integration Department (SID) within the NCA. The SID is the overarching agency responsible for integrating all the instruments of national power under one cohesive national security strategy. The SID coordinates the plans and actions of all State ministries, but particularly those associated with the instruments of power.
The irregular OPFOR is adaptive, flexible, and agile. It can quickly change its composition to optimize organizational capabilities and use those capabilities against known or perceived vulnerabilities of an enemy. The irregular OPFOR takes prudent risks when an expectation exists for successful attack on an enemy. However, it may also make significant practical sacrifices in individuals and materiel in order to achieve a major psychological impact on an enemy. An example of such deliberate sacrifice is a number of nearly simultaneous, small unit or direct action cell assaults on targets that result in the deaths of all attackers, but receive sensational media coverage to a global audience.
 
  
The intent of the irregular OPFOR is to acquire a range of capabilities and use them at selected times and locations in order to achieve desired effects. It can use those capabilities against an enemy. However,the irregular OPFOR can also use functional tactics and/or terrorism to manipulate a population and dissuade support to an enemy’s military forces and/or other institutions. When necessary, it will use acts of violence to gain influence and develop willing or coerced cooperation. Concurrently, it will use indirect means to progressively degrade an enemy’s physical power and infrastructure, and to psychologically influence the political, social, economic, military, and information variables of an OE. The irregular OPFOR will attempt to exploit its familiarity with the physical environment and its ability to blend into the local populace. The time variable normally favors the irregular OPFOR. The activities of the irregular OPFOR are constant over a long period of time, but may change in pace, tempo, and speed. The timing of actions will sometimes appear random when the actual mode of the irregular OPFOR and its activities are deliberate decisions as part of a long-term campaign or strategy.
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=== National Strategic Goals ===
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The NCA determines the State’s strategic goals. The State’s overall goals are to continually expand its influence within its region and eventually change its position within the global community. These are the long-term aims of the State.
  
One of the most significant capabilities of the irregular OPFOR is the ability to manipulate and/or ignore the restrictions and sanctions that apply to regulated military forces, law enforcement agencies, and internal security forces belonging to a sovereign state. International protocols and conventions, national statutes and law, and moral codes that guide behavioral norms and social interactions can limit the enemy’s use of weapon systems and other capabilities that overmatch irregular OPFOR capabilities. The irregular OPFOR can make exceptions by complying with these codes of conduct when that is advantageous for its information warfare campaign. However, it can easily abandon those standards when they no longer provide operational value. When regular military forces of a state incorporate clandestine use of the irregular OPFOR, the state can often plausibly deny responsibility for actions conducted by irregular forces.
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Supporting the overall, long-term, strategic goals, there may be one or more specific goals, each based on a particular threat or opportunity. Examples of specific strategic goals might be—
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* Annexation of territory.
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* Economic expansion.
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* Destruction of an insurgency.
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* Protection of a related minority in a neighboring country.
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* Acquisition of natural resources located outside the State’s boundaries.
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* Destruction of external weapons, forces, or facilities that threaten the existence of the State.
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* Defense of the State against invasion.
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* Preclusion or elimination of outside intervention.
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Each of these specific goals contributes to achieving the overall strategic goals.
  
Although violent actions by any individual organization or combination intend to receive immediate notoriety, the irregular OPFOR complements violent actions with methodical, long-term psychological warfare. The overarching agenda of the irregular OPFOR can include but is not limited to the following issues:
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=== Framework for Implementing National Security Strategy ===
*Expand support and/or control within an area or region.
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In pursuit of its national security strategy, the State is prepared to conduct four basic types of strategic-level courses of action. Each course of action involves the use of all four instruments of national power, but to different degrees and in different ways. The State gives the four types the following names:
*Deter opposition to its objectives within a relevant population.
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* '''Strategic operations—'''strategic-level course of action that uses all instruments of power in peace and war to achieve the goals of the State’s national security strategy by attacking the enemy’s strategic centers of gravity. (See the Strategic Operations section of this chapter for more detail.)
*Obtain popular recognition and support of its objectives by designated segments of a population.
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* '''Regional operations—'''strategic-level course of action (including conventional, force-on-force military operations) against opponents the State overmatches, including regional adversaries and internal threats. (See the Regional Operations section of this chapter for more detail.)
*Marginalize the governance and/or extraregional influence of an adversary.
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* '''Transition operations—'''strategic-level course of action that bridges the gap between regional and adaptive operations and contains some elements of both, continuing to pursue the State’s regional goals while dealing with the development of outside intervention with the potential for overmatching the State. (See the Transition Operations section of this chapter for more detail.)
*Attract an international or global audience and/or external sources of influence to support irregular OPFOR aims.
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* '''Adaptive operations—'''strategic-level course of action to preserve the State’s power and apply it in adaptive ways against opponents that overmatch the State. (See the Adaptive Operations section of this chapter for more detail.)
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[[File:Figure 1-2. Conceptual Framework for Implementing the State’s National Security Strategy.png|alt=Figure 1-2. Conceptual Framework for Implementing the State’s National Security Strategy|thumb|Figure 1-2. Conceptual Framework for Implementing the State’s National Security Strategy]]
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Although the State refers to them as “operations,” each of these courses of action is actually a subcategory of strategy. Each of these types of “operations” is actually the aggregation of the effects of tactical, operational, and strategic actions, in conjunction with the other three instruments of national power, that contribute to the accomplishment of strategic goals. The type(s) of operations the State employs at a given time will depend on the types of threats and opportunities present and other conditions in the operational environment. Figure 1-2 illustrates the State’s basic conceptual framework for how it could apply its various instruments of national power in the implementation of its national security strategy.
  
The irregular OPFOR seeks to gain the approval and support of at least certain elements of a relevant population in order to obtain active or passive assistance. The methods by which it acquires such influence are complex in any OE. Normally, it must communicate a compelling narrative of legitimacy that is accepted by the population. This credential of legitimacy may require a gradual process of convincing the relevant population that the irregular OPFOR is an acceptable means to achieve desired social, religious, or political effects. However, the irregular OPFOR may confer authority on itself without regard to the population’s goals.
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Strategic operations are a continuous process not limited to wartime or preparation for war. Once war begins, they continue during regional, transition, and adaptive operations and complement those operations. Each of the latter three types of operations occurs only during war and only under certain conditions. Transition operations can overlap regional and adaptive operations.
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[[File:Figure 1-3. Examples of Branches and Sequels in National Security Strategy.png|alt=Figure 1-3. Examples of Branches and Sequels in National Security Strategy|thumb|Figure 1-3. Examples of Branches and Sequels in National Security Strategy]]
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The national security strategy identifies branches, sequels, and contingencies and the role and scope of each type of strategic-level action within these modifications to the basic strategy. Successful execution of these branches and sequels can allow the State to resume regional operations and thus achieve its strategic goals. (See Figure 1-3.)
  
An enemy of the irregular OPFOR may maintain that the OPFOR concept of legitimacy is corrupt and illicit. The irregular OPFOR may declare that its actions are justifiable under existing conditions, and attempt to degrade the legitimacy of a governing authority. Over time, the irregular OPFOR seeks to obtain recognition of its legitimacy by a willing populace and official recognition from external states and/or organizations in order to accomplish its long-term goals. Once its authority is recognized, the irregular OPFOR seeks to maintain the legitimacy of its cause, its leadership role, and its actions.
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The national security strategy is designed to achieve one or more specific strategic goals within the State’s region. Therefore, it typically starts with actions directed at an opponent within the region—an opponent that the State overmatches in conventional military power, as well as other instruments of power.
  
Sometimes external recognition and support is not as important to the irregular OPFOR as is establishing a geographic enclave from which to plan, prepare, and conduct its activities and influence. The irregular OPFOR conducts direct and indirect actions that are adaptive and persistent. This form of conflict incorporates irregular forces typically categorized as insurgents or guerrillas, and includes selective actions coordinated with criminal organizations. Particular actions can be purposely conducted as acts of terrorism, or can employ more military-like tactics. All of these actions are described in terms of the common functional framework described in the 7-100 series of FMs and TCs.
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The State will attempt to achieve its ends without resorting to armed conflict. Accordingly strategic operations are not limited to military means and usually do not begin with armed conflict. The State may be able to achieve the desired goal through pressure applied by other-than-military instruments of power, perhaps with the mere threat of using its superior military power against the regional opponent. These actions would fall under the general framework of “strategic operations.
  
===Complexity and Collaboration===
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When nonmilitary means are not sufficient or expedient, the State may resort to armed conflict as a means of creating conditions that lead to the desired end state. However, strategic operations continue even if a particular regional threat or opportunity causes the State to undertake “regional operations” that include military means.
The irregular OPFOR may be part of a complex array of irregular and regular OPFOR organizations, units, or individuals with various coordinated and/or disparate single-agenda aims. A particular geographic, political, cyberspace, or ideological environment may lead to alliances or affiliations that are dynamic and constantly changing. Discrete incidents may not seem to be part of an overall plan. However, detailed analysis of the irregular OPFOR actions and associated political, social, economic, information, and other events normally reveals a vision supporting a long-range aim.
 
  
In particular conditions and circumstances, irregular OPFOR actions can include  support  from regular military forces and/or special-purpose forces (SPF) from a state or states. Internal security forces and/or law enforcement organizations that have been infiltrated by the irregular OPFOR can also support irregular OPFOR actions within an area or region. The collaboration among organizations, units, and/or individuals of a relevant population may be based on coercion, contractual agreement, and/or temporary or long-term common goals and objectives.
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Prior to initiating armed conflict and throughout the course of armed conflict with its regional opponent, the State continues to conduct strategic operations to preclude intervention by outside players—by other regional neighbors or by an extraregional power that could overmatch the State’s forces. However, those operations always include branches and sequels for dealing with the possibility of intervention by an extraregional power.
  
Possible rationales for irregular OPFOR collaboration with other organizations or individuals in an OE can include—
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When unable to limit the conflict to regional operations, the State is prepared to engage extraregional forces through “transition and adaptive operations.” Usually, the State does not shift directly from regional to adaptive operations. The transition is incremental and does not occur at a single, easily identifiable point. If the State perceives intervention is likely, transition operations may begin simultaneously with regional and strategic operations. Transition operations overlap both regional and adaptive operations. Transition operations allow the State to shift to adaptive operations or back to regional operations. At some point, the State either seizes an opportunity to return to regional operations, or it reaches a point where it must complete the shift to adaptive operations. Even after shifting to adaptive operations, the State tries to set conditions for transitioning back to regional operations.
*Spotlight grievances for resolution.
 
*Establish influence over a relevant segment of a population.
 
*Develop acceptance and legitimacy of irregular OPFOR programs and actions.
 
*Achieve  OPFOR  objectives  without  alienating  critical  segments  of  indigenous  and/or extraregional populations.
 
*Cultivate active or passive supporters.
 
  
Irregular OPFOR objectives may promote solutions to grievances in the context of a particular population. The irregular OPFOR may prefer to use indirect approaches such as subterfuge, deception, and nonlethal action to achieve its objectives. However, it is committed to violent action, when necessary, in order to compel an enemy and/or an opposing form of governance to submit to its intentions. Some irregular OPFOR organizations such as affiliated criminal gangs exist for their own commercial profit and power, and are not interested in the quality of life and/or civil security of a relevant population that they influence or coerce. Other forms of the irregular OPFOR can be rogue individuals with single-issue agendas who are willing to use criminal activity and/or terrorism in order to achieve their objective.
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If an extraregional power were to have significant forces already deployed in the region prior to the outbreak of hostilities, the State would not be able to conduct regional operations using its normal, conventional design without first eliminating those forces. In this case, the State would first use strategic operations—with all means available—to put pressure on the already present extraregional force to withdraw from the region or at least remain neutral in the regional conflict. Barring that, strategic operations could still aim at keeping the extraregional power from committing additional forces to the region and preventing his forces already there from being able to fully exercise their capabilities. If the extraregional force is still able to intervene, the rest of the State’s strategic campaign would have to start with adaptive operations. Eventually, the State would hope to move into transition operations. If it could neutralize or eliminate the extraregional force, it could finally complete the transition to regional operations and thus achieve its strategic goals.
  
===Adaptability===
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==Strategic Campaign==
The irregular OPFOR is constantly adapting its capabilities in an agile and flexible manner to achieve its objectives. These capabilities include improvements in organization, equipment, and tactics. The irregular OPFOR can readily task-organize for a particular action. It tailors actions to support a compelling agenda that resonates with a relevant population for active and/or passive support. It makes adjustments when it gains or loses affiliated support or experiences degradation due to recent actions.
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To achieve one or more specific strategic goals, the NCA would develop and implement a specific ''national strategic campaign''. Such a campaign is the aggregate of actions of all the State’s instruments of power to achieve a specific set of the State’s strategic goals against internal, regional, and/or extraregional opponents. There would normally be a diplomatic-political campaign, an information campaign, and an economic campaign, as well as a military campaign. All of these must fit into a single, integrated national strategic campaign.
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[[File:Figure 1-4. Example of a Strategic Campaign.png|alt=Figure 1-4. Example of a Strategic Campaign|thumb|Figure 1-4. Example of a Strategic Campaign]]
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The NCA will develop a series of contingency plans for a number of different specific strategic goals that it might want or need to pursue. These contingency plans often serve as the basis for training and preparing the State’s forces. These plans would address the allocation of resources to a potential strategic campaign and the actions to be taken by each instrument of national power contributing to such a campaign.  
  
Irregular OPFOR actions are conducted as a continuum. Any pause in its operations is part of a coherent campaign of persistent conflict. A long-term perspective guides near- and mid-term actions to marshal capabilities for future actions. While one form of action may appear stalled, another form of action is likely underway against an enemy weakness. Protracted actions can change quickly if the irregular OPFOR observes unexpected enemy vulnerabilities.
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Aside from training exercises, the NCA would approve only one strategic campaign for implementation at a given time. Nevertheless, the single campaign could include more than one specific strategic goal. For instance, any strategic campaign designed to deal with an insurgency would include contingencies for dealing with reactions from regional neighbors or an extraregional power that could adversely affect the State and its ability to achieve the selected goal. Likewise, any strategic campaign focused on a goal that involves the State’s invasion of a regional neighbor would have to take into consideration possible adverse actions by other regional neighbors, the
  
The irregular OPFOR’s ability to quickly transition also gives it the agility and flexibility to—
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possibility that insurgents might use this opportunity to take action against the State, and the distinct possibility that the original or expanded regional conflict might lead to extraregional intervention. Figure 1-4 shows an example of a single strategic campaign that includes three strategic goals. (The map in this diagram is for illustrative purposes only and does not necessarily reflect the actual size, shape, or physical environment of the State or its neighbors.)
*Command, control, and/or influence various activities.
 
*Task-organize its forces.
 
*Deceive and surprise.
 
*Disperse and concentrate.
 
*Retain freedom of movement.
 
*Apply physical and psychological techniques in order to create anxiety in an enemy.
 
  
This agility and flexibility is critical to how effectively the irregular OPFOR adapts its patterns  of operations to maintain the initiative over an enemy. The irregular OPFOR perseveres in adversity by its ability to adapt.
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=== National Strategic Campaign Plan ===
1-17. FM 7-100.4 (to be converted to a TC) outlines the baseline organizations and equipment of insurgents, guerrillas, and criminals and provides general guidance on how these forces may task-organize for particular missions. This process of task-organizing and/or tailoring of forces is flexible to accommodate the particular mission and conditions in the OE.
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The purpose of a ''national strategic campaign plan'' (national SCP) is to integrate all the instruments of national power under a single plan. Even if the State hoped to achieve the goal(s) of the campaign by nonmilitary means, the national campaign plan would leverage the influence of its Armed Forces’ strong military presence and provide for the contingency that military force might become necessary.
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''Note.'' In order to achieve a desired level of capabilities, the irregular OPFOR order of battle or task-organized structure may require adjustments in types and numbers of weapons systems, other equipment, and personnel. If a particular piece of equipment in the organizational directories of the OPFOR administrative force structure in FM 7-100.4 is not appropriate for a specific OE, possible substitutions are identified in the ''Worldwide Equipment Guide''.
 
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==Tactics==
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The national SCP is the end result of the SID’s planning effort. Based on input from all State ministries, this is the plan for integrating the actions of all instruments of power to set conditions favorable for achieving the central goal identified in the national security strategy. The Ministry of Defense (MOD) is only one of several ministries that provide input and are then responsible for carrying out their respective parts of the consolidated national plan.
Insurgents and guerrillas, as part of the irregular OPFOR, may employ variants of the functional tactics outlined for smaller tactical units of the regular OPFOR in TC 7-100.2 (see chapter 7 of this TC). Criminal elements do not normally have the ability to execute these functional tactics.
 
  
All three types of forces that make up the irregular OPFOR can employ terrorism as a tactic in order to achieve their aims. (For actions typical of criminals, see chapter 4. For more detail on terrorism, see chapter 6.)
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In waging a national strategic campaign, the State never employs military power alone. Military power is most effective when applied in combination with diplomatic-political, informational, and economic instruments of power. State ministries responsible for each of the four instruments of power will develop their own campaign plans as part of the unified national SCP.
  
==Interactions of Operational Variables==
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A national SCP defines the relationships among all State organizations, military and nonmilitary, for the purposes of executing that SCP. The SCP describes the intended integration, if any, of multinational forces in those instances where the State is acting as part of a coalition.
The irregular OPFOR is part of the military variable, which explores the military and/or paramilitary capabilities of all relevant actors (enemy, friendly, and neutral) in a given OE. However, irregular OPFOR actions can affect or be affected by all the operational variables: political, military, economic, social, information, infrastructure, physical environment, and time (PMESII-PT) and their subvariables. The impacts may be robust, moderate, or relatively insignificant. The interaction of the operational variables and subvariables establishes conditions for various levels of irregular OPFOR capabilities and limitations. The dynamic interaction and effects by the irregular OPFOR on operational variables are a physical and psychological combat multiplier for the OPFOR. The following paragraphs discuss the impacts of the irregular OPFOR on each of the operational variables. They also provide examples of how the actions of one variable can directly or indirectly impact on other variables and affect the capabilities and influence of the irregular OPFOR.
 
  
===Political===
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=== Military Strategic Campaign Plan ===
The centers of responsibility and power at various levels of governance can be an objective for irregular OPFOR subversion or violent action. The irregular OPFOR may target for willing or coerced support of its aims—
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Within the context of the national strategic campaign, the MOD and General Staff develop and implement a ''military strategic campaign''. During peacetime, the Operations Directorate of the General Staff is responsible for developing, staffing, promulgation, and continuing review of the military SCP. It must ensure that the military plan would end in achieving military conditions that would fit with the conditions created by the diplomatic-political, informational, and economic portions of the national plan that are prepared by other State ministries. Therefore, the Operations Directorate assigns liaison officers to other important government ministries.
*Constituted authorities at local, provincial, and/or state levels.
 
*Tribal leaders and/or clan chiefs.
 
*Religious leaders and councils.
 
*Influential political organizations.
 
The irregular OPFOR may want to institute its own political goals for the perceived benefit of a relevant population, or to create chaos within a governing authority in order create a protected geographic enclave within a sovereign state. In either case, influence over a relevant population is essential. Given enough electoral support in a relevant population, the irregular OPFOR may be able to win formal political recognition at varied levels of a governing authority that it opposes.
 
  
Conditions of the political variable would very likely interact with social and economic conditions of an OE. The political aim of the irregular OPFOR could have a genuine intent to provide a voice in politics to an under-represented relevant population, or be self-serving in order to obtain control of political institutions for its own commercial profit. It may start as the former and transition into the latter. An example of this transition could be if the irregular OPFOR emerged from an indigenous population of rural farmers and tenants with grievances against absentee landowners and corporate businesses. However, over time, the irregular OPFOR might shift its focus to commercial profit in racketeering and the production, and distribution of illegal drugs to a transnational market.
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Although the State’s Armed Forces (the OPFOR) may play a role in strategic operations, the focus of their planning and effort is on the military aspects of regional, transition, and adaptive operations. A military strategic campaign may include several combined arms, joint, and/or interagency operations. If the State succeeds in forming a regional alliance or coalition, these operations may also be multinational.
  
===Military===
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The General Staff acts as the executive agency for the NCA, and all military forces report through it to the NCA. The Chief of the General Staff (CGS), with NCA approval, defines the theater in which the Armed Forces will conduct the military campaign and its subordinate operations. He determines the task organization of forces to accomplish the operational-level missions that support the overall campaign plan. He also determines whether it will be necessary to form more than one theater headquarters. For most campaigns, there will be only one theater, and the CGS will serve as theater commander, thus eliminating one echelon of command at the strategic level.
The irregular OPFOR can infiltrate regular military and/or paramilitary forces of an enemy governing authority. It can collect intelligence on military unit strengths and weaknesses, unit leader preferences and biases, and/or readiness of weapons, support, and materiel. Covert actions by irregular OPFOR members can undermine the effectiveness of enemy units by—
 
*Raising doubts about the validity of enemy unit missions.
 
*Subverting leader and subordinate allegiances.
 
*Questioning the general treatment of military and/or paramilitary members by the governing authority.
 
  
With military training, weapons and equipment stolen or purchased by the irregular OPFOR can be used more effectively to improve its armed capabilities. In some cases, the irregular OPFOR may attempt to transition highly trained irregular forces into a more formalized paramilitary or security force in order to demonstrate its ability.
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In wartime, the MOD and the General Staff combine to form the Supreme High Command (SHC). The Operations Directorate continues to review the military SCP and modify it or develop new plans based on guidance from the CGS, who commands the SHC. It generates options and contingency plans for various situations that may arise. Once the CGS approves a particular plan for a particular strategic goal, he issues it to the appropriate operational-level commanders.
  
An example of interaction of military and information variables could be a media campaign directed at a local, regional, and transnational audience, in which the irregular OPFOR uses the symbols and appearance commonly associated with military power and influence. The irregular OPFOR could use progressive success in establishing and protecting a geographic safe haven with a declaration of sovereignty. Announcements to a global information network could display senior irregular OPFOR leaders in military uniform and attire, speaking publicly with official banners or flags, and maps or images of territory declared as independent. A focused defense of the safe haven, assisted by an extensive and supportive diaspora could achieve irregular OPFOR objectives unless challenged by an enemy governing authority.
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The military SCP directs operational-level military forces, and each command identified in the SCP prepares an operation plan that supports the execution of its role in that SCP. The SCP assigns forces to operational-level commands and designates areas of responsibility (AORs) for those commands.
  
===Economic===
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== Strategic Operations ==
The economic effectiveness and prosperity of a governing authority can be marginalized with black market activities coordinated by the irregular OPFOR. Criminal activities can include smuggling, theft, and/or piracy of marketable goods. Insurgent or guerrilla actions can include disrupting the flow of commerce throughout the economic chain of production, distribution, and consumption by the general populace. The irregular OPFOR, in some instances, can become the illicit commercial broker for what transactions occur in an economic sector. Front companies and/or organizations can launder resources and money into legitimate enterprises in support of irregular OPFOR objectives.
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What the State calls “strategic operations” is actually a universal strategic course of action the State would use to deal with all situations—in peacetime and war, against all kinds of opponents, potential opponents, or neutral parties. Strategic operations involve the application of any or all of the four instruments of national power at the direction of the ''national-level'' decision makers in the NCA. They occur throughout a strategic campaign. The nature of strategic operations at any particular time corresponds to the conditions perceived by the NCA. These operations differ from the other operations of a strategic campaign in that they are not limited to wartime and can transcend the region.
  
An example of interaction between economic, infrastructure, and information variables could be when the irregular OPFOR can deliver a satisfactory level of livelihood, health care, and commercial advancement for a relevant population. The population may have been denied access to such expectations by transnational corporations and a governing authority that extract natural resources from the region for their own profit and exclusive use. The grievance of this economic poverty can result in irregular OPFOR actions such as sabotage of pipelines, disruption of refining facilities, kidnapping of corporate officials, and/or random acts of murder. The irregular OPFOR can use a media campaign aligned with the economic grievances of the relevant population to emphasize the validity of OPFOR offensive actions. For example, it could call attention to the presence of significant private security contractors of transnational corporations and regular military forces of a governing authority conducting business security actions and military operations for their own financial gain.
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Strategic operations typically target elements that constitute the enemy’s strategic centers of gravity—such as soldiers’ and leaders’ confidence, political and diplomatic decisions, public opinion, the interests of private institutions, national will, and the collective will and commitment of alliances and coalitions. National will is not just the will to fight, but also the will to intervene by other than military means.
  
===Social===
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The State will employ all means available against the enemy’s centers of gravity: diplomatic initiatives, information warfare (IW), economic pressure, terrorist attacks, State-sponsored insurgency, direct action by special- purpose forces (SPF), long-range precision fires, and even weapons of mass destruction (WMD) against selected targets. These efforts often place non- combatants at risk and aim to apply diplomatic-political, economic, and psychological pressure by allowing the enemy no sanctuary.
Cultural, religious, and ethnic differences can be stress points within a population that the irregular OPFOR can incite with real or false claims to further fracture a society and its social institutions. Unsettled grievances based on traditional values and customs can range from dissatisfaction to violent demonstrations against issues such as human rights, educational opportunities, and/or social mobility.  The  irregular OPFOR can nurture the support of particular social and religious leaders of a community that align themselves with OPFOR initiatives. Civic improvement associations and social welfare projects administered by the irregular OPFOR focused on a relevant population can be part of a comprehensive social unity program.
 
  
An example of interaction of the social and information variables could be the compelling influence that a cleric or advisory council of clerics can have on a relevant population. Religious leaders may have traditional authority in a culture that recognizes such an overarching authority, Based on that perceived authority, the directives and prohibitions of that cleric or council can direct popular support of the irregular OPFOR or civil disobedience to a governing political authority.
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Strategic operations occur continuously, from prior to the outbreak of war to the post-war period. They can precede war, with the aim of deterring other regional actors from actions counter to the State’s interests or compelling such actors to yield to the State’s will. Before undertaking regional operations, the State lays plans to prevent outside intervention in the region. During the course of regional operations, the State uses strategic operations primarily in defensive ways, in order to prevent other parties from becoming involved in what it regards as purely regional affairs. At this point, the State relies primarily on diplomatic-political, informational, and economic means in a peacetime mode in relation to parties with whom it is not at war.
  
===Information===
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If preclusion of outside intervention is not possible, the State continues to employ strategic operations while conducting transition and adaptive operations. With the beginning of transition operations, the military aspects of strategic operations become more aggressive, while the State continues to apply other instruments of power to the full extent possible. The aim becomes getting the extraregional force to leave or stop deploying additional forces into the region. Successful strategic operations can bring the war to an end.
Public communications by the irregular OPFOR can promote its own message with perception management and also discredit programs of the enemy governing authority. Open source and human intelligence collection operations can improve the irregular OPFOR awareness of enemy weaknesses. Information warfare (INFOWAR) by the irregular OPFOR can deceive, destroy, or sabotage enemy communication infrastructure. Examples of irregular OPFOR INFOWAR activities include blogs on the Internet, publicizing incidents of alleged abuse by a governing authority in global news media, and/or recurring presentations by charismatic individuals in social, political, educational, and religious institutions.
 
  
Another example of how the interaction of variables can cause significant impacts on irregular OPFOR operations is the way the physical environment can influence the transmission  and  flow  of irregular OPFOR information and intelligence. In a rural setting, the irregular OPFOR may use normal commercial transportation means of porters and mule trains. In an urban setting, it may use vendors and daily routes of commercial goods. Thus, in either setting, sophisticated electronic monitoring capabilities by an enemy of the irregular OPFOR may become insignificant. The irregular OPFOR can manipulate the global information environment by using the Internet to encrypt and/or hide messages in innocent appearing electronic communications. Verbal or electronic communications of a relevant population can be stifled by irregular OPFOR threats and/or coercion when such information negatively affects its operations in an area. Public claims of responsibility for acts of terror by the irregular OPFOR can further reduce overt support of a relevant population to an enemy of the irregular OPFOR.
+
Once war begins, strategic operations become an important, powerful component of the State’s strategy for total war using “all means necessary.” What the various instruments of power do and which ones dominate in strategic operations at a given time depends on the same circumstances that dictate shifts from regional through transition to adaptive operations. In most cases, the diplomatic-political, informational, and economic means tend to dominate. During strategic operations, military means are most often used to complement those other instruments of national power. For example, the military means are likely to be used against key political or economic centers or tangible targets whose destruction affects intangible centers of gravity, rather than against military targets for purely military objectives.
----
 
''Note.'' The information variable is discussed in more detail in appendix A, which describes the elements of the irregular OPFOR’s INFOWAR.
 
----
 
  
===Infrastructure===
+
Even within the military instrument of power, actions considered part of strategic operations require a conscious, calculated decision and direction or authorization by the NCA. It may not be readily apparent to outside parties whether specific military actions are part of strategic operations or another strategic course of action occurring simultaneously. In fact, one action could conceivably fulfill both purposes. For example, a demoralizing military defeat that could affect the enemy’s strategic centers of gravity could also be a defeat from an operational or tactical viewpoint. In other cases, a particular action on the battlefield might not make sense from a tactical or operational viewpoint, but could achieve a strategic purpose. Its purpose may be to inflict mass casualties or destroy high-visibility enemy systems in order to weaken the enemy’s national will to continue the intervention.
The irregular OPFOR can cause immediate, progressive, and long-term effects on of basic facilities, services, and operational installations that provide the infrastructure for a community or society. Immediate impacts can be the disruption of a sole-source oil pipeline and/or the destruction of a main electrical power generation facility. Progressive acts to disrupt and cause long-term impacts can be the mining of regional motor transportation routes with improvised explosive devices and recurring ambushes of commercial and military convoys. From a more positive perspective, the irregular OPFOR could provide basic civil services not being provided by a governing authority such as potable water and/or basic medical care.
 
  
Irregular OPFOR actions can include calculated disruption or destruction activities to limit enemy capabilities and/or convince a relevant population that the enemy is incapable of protecting them and providing adequate public or private services. The irregular OPFOR may choose to—
+
== Regional Operations ==
*Attack public utilities or the civil servants who service such utilities.
+
The State possesses an overmatch in most, and sometimes all, elements of power against regional opponents. It is able to employ that power in a conventional operational design focused on offensive action. A weaker regional neighbor may not actually represent a threat to the State, but rather an opportunity that the State can exploit.
*Prevent delivery of commodities that sustain performance of public services.
 
*Interdict services such as motor transportation, urban construction and repair.
 
*Disrupt implementation of farming initiatives hosted by an enemy governing authority.
 
  
===Physical Environment===
+
To seize territory or otherwise expand its influence in the region, the State must destroy a regional enemy’s will and capability to continue the fight. It will attempt to achieve strategic political or military decision or achieve specific regional goals as rapidly as possible, in order to preclude regional alliances or outside intervention.
The irregular OPFOR can optimize the geography and/or manmade structures of a physical environment by using restrictive rural terrain or dense urban communities to mask complex battle positions and safe havens. Terrain, weather, climate, and vegetation can support the concealment and/or cover of irregular OPFOR staging and conduct of operations. The growth of poor and underemployed populations in many large metropolitan areas, and the increase of some cities to a status of megalopolis are prime conditions to create grievances that can be manipulated by the irregular OPFOR.
 
  
An example of interaction among variables could be the impact of a governing authority’s land reforms that adversely affect the immediate prosperity of a local or regional population. This could include a directed destruction of one type of farming crop on limited usable terrain, and a replacement crop that does not provide the same economic value to the farmer or local distributor. This situation can be part of INFOWAR, with the irregular OPFOR promoting a story of how the governing authority it to blame for these negative impacts.
+
During regional operations, the State relies on its continuing strategic operations to preclude or control outside intervention. It tries to keep foreign perceptions of its actions during a regional conflict below the threshold that will invite in extraregional forces. The State wants to win the regional conflict, but has to be careful how it does so. It works to prevent development of international consensus for intervention and to create doubt among possible participants. Still, at the very outset of regional operations, it lays plans and positions forces to conduct access-control operations in the event of outside intervention.
  
===Time===
+
At the military level, regional operations are combined arms, joint, interagency, and/or multinational operations. They are conducted in the State’s region and, at least at the outset, against a weaker regional opponent. The State’s doctrine, organization, capabilities, and national security strategy allow the OPFOR to deal with regional threats and opportunities primarily through offensive action.
Time can be a combat multiplier for the irregular OPFOR when the cultural perception of time accepts a protracted conflict. During such a protracted conflict, the irregular OPFOR can use violent actions, INFOWAR, diplomatic discussions, economic pressures, and progressive representations of value- added for a relevant population. Timing and duration of activities, events, or conditions, as well as how the timing and duration are perceived by various actors in the OE, can prevent or delay governing authority activities in favor of irregular OPFOR aims.
 
  
The irregular OPFOR seeks to chose the time and place for engaging the enemy. Timing can be the most significant aspect of determining when to tactically execute a decision to delay, deceive, fix, and/or block. Timeliness of information and intelligence is another key aspect that the irregular OPFOR uses to its own advantage. In order to affect enemy pace, tempo, and/or speed of action and reaction, the irregular OPFOR may plant false information at a particular time and ensure that an enemy obtains it. The prudent use of time is often combined with characteristics of a physical environment to create opportunities in support of near-, mid-, and/or long-term objectives.
+
The State designs its military forces and employs an investment strategy that ensures superiority in conventional military power over any of its regional neighbors. Regionally-focused operations typically involve “conventional” patterns of operation. However, the term ''conventional'' does not mean that the OPFOR will use only conventional forces and conventional weapons in such a conflict, nor does it mean that the OPFOR will not use some adaptive approaches.
  
==Principles==
+
== Transition Operations ==
The fundamental principles of the irregular OPFOR guide organizational and individual actions. Regardless of whether the organization is military-like in appearance and operations, or includes elements that are loosely affiliated with the irregular OPFOR in a political, social, or economic sector of a society, these principles provide a common framework of how the irregular OPFOR plans and conducts actions. Since the irregular OPFOR often resembles military forces in many ways, some of these principles are very similar to fundamental military principles in the regular OPFOR. In some cases, however, the principles are tailored in consideration of irregular OPFOR capabilities or limitations. Depending on the type of irregular OPFOR organization and its goals and motivations, the irregular OPFOR adapts the following principles to address particular situations. Figure 1-1 on page 1-8 shows how each of the principles interrelate and contribute toward achieving an irregular OPFOR objective. That objective typically relates to a particular grievance on the part of the irregular OPFOR or of a relevant population it seeks to influence.
+
Transition operations serve as a pivotal point between regional and adaptive operations. The transition may go in either direction. The fact that the State begins transition operations does not necessarily mean that it must complete the transition from regional to adaptive operations (or vice versa). As conditions allow or dictate, the “transition” could end with the State conducting the same type of operations as before the shift to transition operations.
  
===Initiative===
+
The State conducts transition operations when other regional and/or extraregional forces threaten the State’s ability to continue regional operations in a conventional design against the original regional enemy. At the point of shifting to transition operations, the State still has the ability to exert all instruments of national power against an overmatched regional enemy. Indeed, it may have already defeated its original adversary. However, its successful actions in regional operations have prompted either other regional actors or an extraregional actor to contemplate intervention. The State will use all means necessary to preclude or defeat intervention.
Initiative is the ability of the irregular OPFOR to retain a freedom of action in its plans and operations. Initiative enables the irregular OPFOR to force an enemy to react to its actions. Success often goes to the side that conducts itself more actively and resolutely. Irregular OPFOR leaders encourage initiative to make and implement bold decisions in order to establish or change the terms of the irregular conflict  in  favor  of  the  irregular  OPFOR.  Subordinates  are  expected  to take  advantage  of  new developments immediately. They seek to overcome a position of relative inferiority while operating within a senior OPFOR leader’s intentions. Initiative exploits an enemy’s restrictive rules of engagement or political restrictions.
 
  
===Deception===
+
Although the State would prefer to achieve its strategic goals through regional operations, an SCP has the flexibility to change and adapt if required. Since the State assumes the possibility of extraregional intervention, any SCP will already contain thorough plans for transition operations, as well as adaptive operations, if necessary.
Deception is the ability to deliberately convey a false and/or distorted picture of the situation to an enemy leader that is targeted for deception. Deceptive information causes an enemy leader to believe he has accurate situational awareness and understanding. Irregular OPFOR leaders plan and direct deception that helps them accomplish their objective, but does not hamper other concurrent OPFOR actions. Feints and demonstrations are examples of deception. Other elements of INFOWAR attempt to optimize the effects of deception in tactics and techniques. Various irregular OPFOR capabilities and actions can lead to a compelling yet inaccurate analysis by the enemy leader. These means of deception, not limited by domestic or international law and conventions, can include the following:
 
*Physical activity or lack of activity.
 
*Technical resources and employment techniques indicative of a particular tactic.
 
*Administrative indicators such as visual, oral, or documentary evidence in order to manipulate and distort reality.
 
  
===Surprise===
+
When an extraregional force starts to deploy into the region, the balance of power begins to shift away from the State. Although the State may not yet be overmatched, it faces a developing threat it will not be able to handle with normal, “conventional” patterns of operation designed for regional conflict. Therefore, the State must begin to adapt its operations to the changing threat.
Surprise is the ability of the irregular OPFOR to take advantage of an enemy vulnerability in a manner for which an enemy is unprepared or unable to effectively counter. Irregular OPFOR action is normally swift and fleeting and may employ unexpected means. The irregular OPFOR attempts to shape a setting so that an enemy is not expecting the action or create conditions that an enemy is not prepared to confront. The irregular OPFOR achieves surprise through deception activities in conjunction with protection and security measures and/or other elements of INFOWAR. Surprise can be achieved by means such as the following:
 
*Changing tactics, techniques, or the intensity of actions against an enemy.
 
*Employing commercial or industrial materiel as a weapon in unexpected ways.
 
*Presenting public indications of compromise or cessation of armed conflict. For example, the irregular OPFOR may agree to a truce and series of negotiations with an enemy, but use the time to prepare and stage for nearly simultaneous surprise attacks on military and civil government facilities.
 
  
===Protection===
+
While the State and the OPFOR as a whole are in the condition of transition operations, an operational- or tactical-level commander will still receive a mission statement in plans and orders from higher headquarters stating the purpose of his actions. To accomplish that purpose and mission, he will use as much as he can of the conventional patterns of operation that were available to him during regional operations and as much as he has to of the more adaptive-type approaches dictated by the presence of an extraregional force.
Protection is the ability to preserve irregular OPFOR effectiveness of its organizational assets and capabilities. These assets and capabilities include OPFOR personnel, equipment, weapon systems, operations, information, facilities, and/or infrastructure. Protection involves a continuous, integrated series and/or group of measures that sustain the ability for the irregular OPFOR to plan, prepare, and conduct successful actions. Protection and security measures are a key element in INFOWAR (see appendix A). The irregular OPFOR normally operates with a minimal or unidentifiable signature within a relevant population in order to avoid being a lucrative target. Protection complements the use of a safe haven, when required, to refit or reconstitute irregular OPFOR combat power. An example of protection is an irregular OPFOR guerrilla unit exfiltrating from a raid in hostile territory to a secure location in a neighboring state. This unofficial support by a state near the area of OPFOR actions provides security and protection to the guerrilla unit while it recruits and trains replacements due to casualties incurred in the raid.
 
  
==Mobility==
+
Even extraregional forces may be vulnerable to “conventional” operations during the time they require to build combat power and create support at home for their intervention. Against an extraregional force that either could not fully deploy or has been successfully separated into isolated elements, the OPFOR may still be able to use some of the more conventional patterns of operation. The State will not shy away from the use of military means against an advanced extraregional opponent so long as the risk is commensurate with potential gains.
Mobility is the ability to sustain irregular OPFOR freedom of movement within areas controlled or occupied by the enemy. The irregular OPFOR seeks to create an advantage over the enemy regarding knowledge and use of geographic terrain and populations in order to position, reposition, and/or prepare for and conduct effective actions. A high degree of mobility enables the irregular OPFOR to use available combat power with maximum effect at a decisive time and place. For example, the irregular OPFOR can blend into a population with similar clothing and daily habits in order to maintain anonymity while transiting an area or region. This type of mobility can allow the timely supply of weapons and materiel, fiscal resources, and/or manpower for designated actions in an area or region.
 
  
===Adaptability===
+
Transition operations serve as a means for the State to retain the initiative and still pursue its overall strategic goal of regional expansion despite its diminishing advantage in the balance of power. From the outset, one part of the set of specific goals for any strategic campaign was the goal to defeat any outside intervention or prevent it from fully materializing. As the State begins transition operations, its immediate goal is preservation of its instruments of power while seeking to set conditions that will allow it to transition back to regional operations. Transition operations feature a mixture of offensive and defensive actions that help the OPFOR control the strategic tempo while changing the nature of conflict to something for which the intervening force is unprepared. Transition operations can also buy time for the State’s strategic operations to succeed.
Adaptability is the ability of the irregular OPFOR to use initiative and creative thinking in order to set particular conditions and take advantage of the resulting opportunities. Irregular OPFOR leaders recognize emergent developments that change existing conditions, and apply initiative that causes the enemy to react at a disadvantage to the actions of the irregular OPFOR. Simple tactics and techniques can be adapted for use against an enemy’s sophisticated technology and weapon systems. For example, a system of couriers can negate the intrusive ability of electronic monitoring devices to detect and locate the financial transaction networks of a local insurgent organization that were formerly conducted with cellular telephones. Conversely, the irregular OPFOR can adapt to sophisticated techniques such as encrypting and hiding information within harmless appearing communiqués such as electronic files, images, and documents transiting the Internet.
 
  
===Concentration===
+
There are two possible outcomes to transition operations. If the extraregional force suffers sufficient losses or for other reasons must withdraw from the region, the OPFOR’s operations may begin to transition back to regional operations, again becoming primarily offensive. If the extraregional force is not compelled to withdraw and continues to build up power in the region, the OPFOR’s transition operations may begin to gravitate in the other direction, toward adaptive operations.
Concentration is the ability of the irregular OPFOR to mass the capabilities of combat power in time and space, in order to achieve a desired effect. Concentration of effort allows the irregular OPFOR to create and dominate a condition for a specific amount of time. When the irregular OPFOR concentrates rapidly or gradually from dispersed locations to conduct a particular action, a normal subsequent action is to quickly disperse in order to avoid an effective enemy response against the massed OPFOR. An example of concentration is the coordination to quickly mass irregular OPFOR insurgent cells, and use a swarming technique in a raid to overwhelm a designated target at an isolated combat outpost. Once insurgents have seized the objective and secured or destroyed designated weapons, equipment, and documents, the cells quickly disperse into the countryside or urban areas in order to avoid capture or death.
 
  
===Perseverance===
+
== Adaptive Operations ==
Perseverance demonstrates the will of the irregular OPFOR to persist in long-term commitment to fight an enemy until it accomplishes its goals and objective. Protracted and persistent operations are the norm of the irregular OPFOR. Actions may be subtle and can be part of a gradual series of actions toward achieving a task. Dramatic individual actions are often used to establish or sustain notoriety for the irregular OPFOR, but rarely achieve a decisive effect. Periodic setbacks in irregular OPFOR missions are
+
Generally, the State conducts adaptive operations as a consequence of intervention from outside the region. Once an extraregional force intervenes with sufficient power to overmatch the State, the full conventional design used in regionally-focused operations is no longer sufficient to deal with this threat. The State has developed its doctrine, organization, capabilities, and strategy with an eye toward dealing with both regional and extraregional opponents. It has already planned how it will adapt to this new and changing threat and has included this adaptability in its doctrine.
anticipated and rationalized with effective INFOWAR announcements to sustain a moral dominance of the irregular OPFOR over an enemy. INFOWAR techniques can also convince a relevant population to sustain support of the irregular OPFOR even though its actions may require an extended period of time before the population eventually benefits. The irregular OPFOR may attempt to achieve its objectives within a specified timetable and announced milestones; however, the objectives may take decades or generations to achieve.
 
  
==Motivations==
+
The State’s immediate goal is survival—as a regime and as a nation. However, its long-term goal is still the expansion of influence within its region. In the State’s view, this goal is only temporarily thwarted by the extraregional intervention. Accordingly, planning for adaptive operations focuses on effects over time. The State believes that patience is its ally and an enemy of the extraregional force and its intervention in regional affairs.
Insurgents and guerrillas are normally motivated by social, religious, or political issues or some combination of those. In most cases, criminals—whether they are part of the irregular OPFOR or not— have other motivations. Although individual actors who conduct criminal activity may not be part of the irregular OPFOR, the individual’s personal motivation and/or ideology may be the deciding perspective of why he or she acts.
 
----
 
Note. The local populace may provide active or passive support out of a different motivation than the insurgents or guerrillas they support. For example, the motivation of the populace might be financial (payment or beneficial effects on business profits) or security provided them. The populace might provide support, based on ethnic or religious issues, to an insurgent or guerrilla organization even if they do not share that organization’s political agenda.
 
----
 
  
===Insurgents or Guerrillas===
+
The State believes that adaptive operations can lead to several possible outcomes. If the results do not completely resolve the conflict in the State’s favor, they may at least allow the State to return to regional operations. Even a stalemate may be a victory for the State, as long as it preserves enough of its instruments of power to preserve the regime and lives to fight another day.
Certain types of motivation are common to insurgents and guerrillas, the two most likely components of the irregular OPFOR. However, insurgents and guerrillas that agree to collaborate against a common enemy may or may not share the same motivations or ideology.
 
----
 
Note. If multiple insurgent and/or guerrilla organizations exist in a particular OE, they may share some motivations but differ in others. In order to form an affiliated relationship, the organizations just need to have one or more motivations that coincide with or complement each other. An example of a coinciding motivation could be that both organizations resent  the presence of an extraregional force in their country. An example of a complementary relationship would be if one organization has financial resources, while the other needs financial support
 
----
 
The motivation that incites violent as well as nonviolent actions by the irregular OPFOR is often framed in the context of ideology. The irregular OPFOR acts in a particular way based on underlying grievances, which are often linked to the ideals of an ideology. These unresolved grievances—perceived or factual—create conditions where armed and unarmed individuals believe they must act to obtain what they believe is a just solution. The rationale and the resulting actions may be perceived in a positive and negative light by a relevant population. The motivation and rationale typically are one or more of the following:
 
*Personal or group social identity.
 
*Devotion to a particular religious belief.
 
*Commitment to a form of political governance.
 
Combinations among these factors can further complicate how to describe the motivation and ideology of a particular person or group. Other motivations exist and may become a primary prompt for action, though only loosely associated with a social, religious, or political agenda. Aspects of ethnicity, geography, and history affect personal and group relationships as witnessed in social status and networks, religion, and politics. Combinations can occur among these factors to further complicate how to describe the motivation of a particular person or group.
 
  
====Social Identity====
+
When an extraregional power intervenes with sufficient force to overmatch the State’s, the OPFOR has to adapt its patterns of operation. It still has the same forces and technology that were available to it for regional operations, but must use them in creative and adaptive ways. It has already thought through how it will adapt to this new or changing threat in general terms. (See Principles of Operation Versus an Extraregional Power below.) It has already developed appropriate branches and sequels to its basic SCP and does not have to rely on improvisation. During the course of combat, it will make further adaptations, based on experience and opportunity.
Social identity, as an individual and/or as a member of a social group, is often a fundamental aspect of why people may be aligned with or alienated from the irregular OPFOR. They may be attracted by an ability to satisfy a perceived critical want or need in their lifestyle. Allegiance to a clan, tribe, or familial grouping is an example of social identity and accountability. These forms of social allegiance can indicate why change is desired or required in a social order. The same rationales can support why a set of ideals or practices must be sustained or expanded within a relevant population. Several common categories of social identity that can overlap with religious or political agendas are as follows:
 
*Ethnocentric groups who understand race or ethnicity as the defining characteristic of a society and basis of cohesion.
 
*Nationalistic groups who promote cultural-national consciousness and perhaps establishment of a separate nation-state.
 
*Revolutionary  groups  who  are  dedicated  to  the overthrow  of a  governing  authority  and establishment of a new social order.
 
*Separatist groups who demand independence from an existing governance that appears socially, theologically, or politically unjust to a relevant population.
 
  
A variation on these identity categories is an independent actor who conceives, plans, and conducts violent or nonviolent actions without any direction from another person or irregular force. This type of individual may be sympathetic to the aims of a particular group, but have no contact with the group or affiliated members of the group.
+
Even with the intervention of an advanced extraregional power, the State will not cede the initiative. It will employ military means so long as this does not either place the regime at risk or risk depriving it of sufficient force to remain a regional power after the extraregional intervention is over. The primary objectives are to preserve combat power, to degrade the enemy’s will and capability to fight, and to gain time for aggressive strategic operations to succeed.
  
====Religion====
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The OPFOR will seek to conduct adaptive operations in circumstances, opportunities, and terrain that optimize its own capabilities and degrade those of the enemy. It will employ a force that is optimized for the terrain or for a specific mission. For example, it will use its antitank capability, tied to obstacles and complex terrain, inside a defensive structure designed to absorb the enemy’s momentum and fracture his organizational framework.
Religion can be a compelling motivation. As a personal belief, religion can be interpreted as divine edict and infallible. Practice of a faith system is a personal interpretation and decision. However, fundamentalist clerics and/or religious mentors in some instances can interpret passages of  religious doctrine in a particular way that supports the irregular OPFOR agenda. Some interpretations may be a purposeful misrepresentation never intended by an original religious author. Other clerics or radical splinter groups may honestly believe in a religious duty to pursue a fundamentalist approach to worship and lifestyle. In either case, religion can be used as a catalyst to instigate rivalry between and among ethnic and/or religious denominational groups. Confrontations can be provoked by faith system practices that are completely unacceptable to another faith group and/or can create an irreconcilable theological wedge between cultural-faith groups in a relevant population.
 
  
The irregular OPFOR may attempt to link religion with declarations that governing political authorities who do not accept a particular understanding of a faith doctrine are a wicked secular presence that must be destroyed and replaced with a fundamentalist theocracy form of governance. Cults, although not a religion by normal definition, can adopt similar forms of violence, mass murder, and mayhem as part of a self-proclaimed apocalyptic vision and purpose.
+
The types of adaptive actions that characterize “adaptive operations” at the strategic level can also serve the OPFOR well in regional or transition operations—at least at the tactical and operational levels. However, once an extraregional force becomes fully involved in the conflict, the OPFOR will conduct adaptive actions more frequently and on a larger scale.
  
====Politics====
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== Principles of Operations Versus an Extraregional Power ==
The irregular OPFOR, especially the insurgent part, can have a political agenda. Prevalent political systems that can be promoted by the irregular OPFOR include forms of governance such as—
+
The State assumes the distinct possibility of intervention by a major extraregional power in any regional conflict. Consequently, it has devised the following principles for applying its various instruments of diplomatic- political, informational, economic, and military power against this type of threat.
*Single-party totalitarian state.
 
*Nationalist-fascist authority.
 
*Leadership appointed or democratically elected by popular vote.
 
*Social self-management and equality aimed at reducing or eliminating political and economic hierarchies.
 
*Social-political process that evolves toward a classless-stateless society with common ownership on means of production, communal access to commodities for livelihood, and general social programs for the benefit of community and human wellness.
 
*Pseudo-social and political authority that protects a geographic sanctuary and/or safe haven for conduct of an illicit commercial enterprise.
 
  
The irregular OPFOR can use motivations of a political ideology to attract the attention of a relevant population in order to develop influence with a particular community. This can lead to support and/or collaboration  or  actually  joining  the irregular  OPFOR. Since  politics  are  integral  to  the overarching conditions that affect daily life, commerce, vocation, freedoms, and family, the irregular OPFOR can use political influence—along with social and/or religious appeal—to enhance its legitimacy. Visible actions, often localized in perspective, focus on demonstrating power and authority.
+
=== Control Access Into Region ===
 +
Extraregional enemies capable of achieving overmatch against the State must first enter the region using power-projection capabilities. Therefore, the State’s force design and investment strategy is focused on access control—to selectively deny, delay, and disrupt entry of extraregional forces into the region and to force them to keep their operating bases beyond continuous operational reach. This is the easiest manner of preventing the accumulation of enemy combat power in the region and thus defeating a technologically superior enemy.
  
===Criminals===
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Access-control operations are continuous throughout a strategic campaign and can reach beyond the theater as defined by the State’s NCA. They begin even before the extraregional power declares its intent to come into the region, and continue regardless of whether the State is conducting regional, transition, or adaptive operations. Access-control operations come in three basic forms: strategic preclusion, operational exclusion, and access limitation.
Although actors who conduct criminal activities may not be insurgents or guerrillas, personal motivation and/or ideology may be a deciding factor in their decision to join the irregular OPFOR voluntarily or be coerced to participate. Criminals who become part of the irregular OPFOR may or may not share some of the same motivations as other parts of the OPFOR. Regardless of their social identity and religious or political preferences, criminals are motivated primarily by money. (See chapter 4 for more detail on the motivations of criminals and criminal organizations.)
 
  
==Support==
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==== Strategic Preclusion ====
Support for irregular OPFOR activities includes capabilities provided by individuals  and organizations internal and external to the geographic area. Multiple forms of support can be voluntary and/or coerced from individuals, selected segments of a population, or activities and organizations with particular capabilities. Affiliation with and/or among organizations indicates a common goal. However, affiliation is not a formal association and subordination among participants. Support relationships are often temporary and remain in effect only as long as the benefits of cooperation are mutual to the involved organizations.
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''Strategic preclusion'' seeks to completely deter extraregional involvement or severely limit its scope and intensity. The State would attempt to achieve strategic preclusion in order to reduce the influence of the extraregional power or to improve its own regional or international standing. It would employ all its instruments of power to preclude direct involvement by the extraregional power. Actions can take many forms and often contain several lines of operation working simultaneously.
  
===Internal===
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The primary target of strategic preclusion is the extraregional power’s national will. First, the State would conduct diplomatic and perception management activities aimed at influencing regional, transnational, and world opinion. This could either break apart ad hoc coalitions or allow the State to establish a coalition of its own or at least gain sympathy. For example, the State might use a disinformation campaign to discredit the legitimacy of diplomatic and economic sanctions imposed upon it. The extraregional power’s economy and military would be secondary targets, with both practical and symbolic goals. This might include using global markets and international financial systems to disrupt the economy of the extraregional power, or conducting physical and information attacks against critical economic centers. Similarly, the military could be attacked indirectly by disrupting its power projection, mobilization, and training capacity. Preclusive actions are likely to increase in intensity and scope as the extraregional power moves closer to military action. If strategic preclusion fails, the State will turn to operational methods that attempt to limit the scope of extraregional involvement or cause it to terminate quickly.
Internal support includes the ideological and practical means to improve and/or sustain irregular OPFOR operations. Insurgents or guerrillas seek to ally and affiliate with activities and people that range from specific commodities and/or functional skills to networks of political, commercial, religious, and/or social groups with required capabilities. Internal support indicates the commitment of leaders, active supporters, and passive supporters to further the progress of the irregular OPFOR. As conditions change in geographic, political, cultural, cyberspace, and/or ideological environments, the coordination of internal support adjusts to accommodate emergent opportunities.
 
  
===External===
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==== Operational Exclusion ====
External support is not always necessary for the irregular OPFOR to succeed. However, some form of external support is usually critical to sustain long-term operations. Activities and organizations often provide external support for ideological reasons, but other motivations can include political power, commercial enterprise, financial wealth, and/or some common grievance affecting a relevant population. The motivations that incite the irregular OPFOR affect how and why support is obtained. Whether support is voluntary or coerced, the rationale of why support is necessary reflects how discrete aspects of assistance improve a cumulative capability.
+
''Operational exclusion'' seeks to selectively deny an extraregional force the use of or access to forward bases of operation within the region or even outside the theater defined by the NCA. For example, through diplomacy, economic or political connections, information campaigns, and/or hostile actions, the State might seek to deny the enemy the use of bases in other foreign nations. It might also attack population and economic centers for the intimidation effect, using long-range surface-to-surface missiles (SSMs), WMD, or SPF.
  
Prominent categories of support are moral, money, and materiel. The morality of supporting the irregular OPFOR links an ideology to an outcome of desired conditions by a relevant population. Money enables the irregular OPFOR to acquire capabilities required in order to enhance its influence not only in a paramilitary sense, but also across a full spectrum of operational variables in an OE. Materiel support indicates the provision of equipment, supplies, and operating systems used by the irregular OPFOR and/or its supporters. Materiel requires training, maintenance, and recurring systems improvement. These capabilities suggest the need for trainers, advisors, and/or liaison personnel to support the irregular OPFOR. To accomplish these actions, a safe haven or sanctuary allows a freedom of action in planning, preparing, and staging for overt and covert operations. Three main types of external support are diaspora support, state support, and non-state support.
+
Forces originating in the enemy’s homeland must negotiate long and difficult air and surface lines of communication (LOCs) merely to reach the region. Therefore, the State will use any means at its disposal to also attack the enemy forces along routes to the region, at transfer points en route, at aerial and sea ports of embarkation (APOEs and SPOEs), and even at their home stations. These are fragile and convenient targets in support of transi- tion and adaptive operations.
  
====Diaspora====
+
==== Access Limitation ====
A diaspora is a relevant population that has voluntarily moved or migrated, and/or been forcefully displaced from an established or ancestral homeland. However, they still have racial, national, tribal, religious, linguistic, and/or cultural affinities with inhabitants of that homeland. Motives for support from a diaspora can include ethnocentric, separatist, and/or nationalistic. A fundamental objective is to correct proven or perceived injustices to a group of people in a larger community and relevant population. This type of support is often linked to a common social, religious, and/or political identity.
+
''Access limitation'' seeks to affect an extraregional enemy’s ability to introduce forces into the theater. Access-control operations do not necessarily have to deny the enemy access entirely. A more realistic goal is to limit or interrupt access into the theater in such a way that the State’s forces are capable of dealing with them. By controlling the amount of force or limiting the options for force introduction, the State can create conditions that place its conventional capabilities on a par with those of an extraregional force. Capability is measured in terms of what the enemy can bring to bear in the theater, rather than what the enemy possesses.
  
Voluntary support from a diaspora is a preferred method for assistance to the irregular OPFOR. However, compelling the support from segments of a diaspora may be required at times to ensure the amount of general or specialized support required to sustain operations. Compelling support  from  a diaspora is a calculated risk that is closely monitored by irregular OPFOR senior leaders in order to not alienate a significant portion of the relevant population.
+
The State’s goal is to limit the enemy’ accumulation of applicable combat power to a level and to locations that do not threaten the accomplishment of a strategic campaign. This may occur through many methods. For example, the State may be able to limit or interrupt the enemy’s deployment through actions against his aerial and sea ports of debarkation (APODs and SPODs) in the region. Hitting such targets also has political and psychological value. The State will try to disrupt and isolate enemy forces that are in the region or coming into it, so that it can destroy them piecemeal. It might exploit and manipulate international media to paint foreign intervention in a poor light, decrease international resolve, and affect the force mix and rules of engagement (ROE) of the deploying extraregional forces.
  
Beyond aspects such as financial and materiel contributions, the expansion of support through INFOWAR with and for a diaspora can sway public opinion and obtain continuing extraregional and international support for the struggle of the irregular OPFOR. In the spotlight of globalized media, a diaspora usually accents the moral correctness of resolving proven or perceived injustices to a group of people in a relevant population of the particular geographic region or state.
+
=== Employ Operational Shielding ===
 +
The State will use any means necessary to protect key elements of its combat power from destruction by an extraregional force—particularly by air and missile forces. This protection may come from use of any or all of the following:
 +
* Complex terrain.
 +
* Noncombatants.
 +
* Risk of unacceptable collateral damage.
 +
* Countermeasure systems.
 +
* Dispersion.
 +
* Fortifications.
 +
* IW.
 +
Operational shielding generally cannot protect the entire force for an extended time period. Rather, the State will seek to protect selected elements of its forces for enough time to gain the freedom of action necessary to prosecute important elements of a strategic campaign.
  
====External State====
+
=== Control Tempo ===
Support from an external state for the irregular OPFOR can be covert and/or overt. A state acts primarily based on its political objectives. Political, economic, social, fiscal, moral, and/or logistics support can be provided while disavowing any direct connection to the irregular OPFOR. For example, a state may condemn an adversary state for repressing a relevant population while covertly providing arms, ammunition, sanctuary, training bases, and/or advise and other forms of assistance.
+
The OPFOR initially employs rapid tempo to conclude regional operations before an extraregional force can be introduced. It will also use rapid tempo to set conditions for access-control operations before the extraregional force can establish a foothold in the region. Once it has done that, it needs to be able to control the tempo—to ratchet it up or down, as is advantageous to its own operational or tactical plans.
  
A state might employ SPF and/or covert agents of the state to conduct direct actions in support of the irregular OPFOR. The state officially denies responsibility or state sponsorship for such activities, but can engage in unofficial INFOWAR releases that indicate support for specified actions within the insurgency. In other situations, a state may openly declare a legal or moral right to intervene in the affairs of another state and support designated insurgent organizations and their affiliates. States may form a coalition to condemn the acts of a governing authority and announce support for irregular OPFOR actions.
+
During the initial phases of an extraregional enemy’s entry into the region, the OPFOR may employ a high operational tempo. Taking advantage of the weaknesses inherent in enemy power projection, it seeks to terminate the conflict quickly before main enemy forces can be brought to bear. If the OPFOR cannot end the conflict quickly, it may take steps to slow the tempo and prolong the conflict, taking advantage of enemy lack of commitment over time.
  
A state can act overtly by providing supplies, training, and other forms of support to the irregular OPFOR. This support can be coordinated and provided without any specified control over an insurgent or guerrilla organization by the state. Other options can exist where stipulations are mutually agreed upon between representatives of the state and irregular OPFOR leaders in exchange for materiel and/or a safe haven or protected staging area for operations. Other means of support can include—
+
=== Cause Politically Unacceptable Casualties ===
*Access  to  training  facilities  and expertise  not  otherwise  readily  available  to the  irregular OPFOR.
+
The OPFOR will try to inflict highly visible and embarrassing losses on enemy forces to weaken the enemy’s domestic resolve and national will to sustain the deployment or conflict. Modern wealthy nations have shown an apparent lack of commitment over time, and sensitivity to domestic  and world opinion in relation to conflict and seemingly needless casualties.
*Extension of diplomatic protections and services such as immunity from extradition.
 
*Use of embassies and other protected grounds.
 
*Use of diplomatic pouches to transport weapons or explosives.
 
*False documentation for personal identification and movements throughout geographic regions and states.
 
  
States in a coalition or as members of an international organization may decide to intervene directly in an insurgency with diplomatic envoys, observation teams, and/or military forces. A coalition may form to condemn the acts of a governing authority and announce support for irregular OPFOR actions. The irregular OPFOR insurgent organization leaders and coalition authorities can mutually agree to—
+
The OPFOR has the advantage of disproportionate interests: the extraregional power may have limited objectives and only casual interest in the conflict, while the State approaches it from the perspective of total war and a threat to its aspirations or even to its national survival. The State is willing to commit all means necessary, for as long as necessary, to achieve its strategic goals. Compared to the extraregional enemy, the State stands more willing to absorb higher military and civilian casualties in order to achieve victory. It will try to influence public opinion in the enemy’s homeland to the effect that the goal of intervention is not worth the cost.
*Seek conditions for justice and respect arising from international treaties and other sources of international law.
 
*Promote social progress, economic advancement of indigenous people.
 
*Maintain international stability and security.
 
  
====Non-state====
+
=== Neutralize Technological Overmatch ===
Forms of non-state support can range from non-state transnational networks with global reach capability to individuals with a special or unique capability. These forms of support can be overt and/or covert. Networks can be regional or international in their aims, and/or individuals committed to a single- issue agenda. Whether support involves a type of network, hierarchical organization, or loosely coordinated individuals, non-state support to an insurgency or independent guerrilla operations often includes sophisticated criminal activities in foreign and/or indigenous environments.
+
Against an extraregional force, the OPFOR will forego massed formations, patterned echelonment, and linear operations that would present easy targets for such an enemy. It will hide and disperse its forces in areas where complex terrain limits the enemy’s ability to apply his full range of technological capabilities. However, the OPFOR can rapidly mass forces and fires from these dispersed locations for decisive combat at the time and place of its own choosing.
  
Insurgencies may turn to transnational criminal organizations for funding. Other globalized capabilities can provide advanced knowledge and technology exchanges, mobile international transportation, and near-instantaneous cyber communication. Non-state support exchanges in capabilities can occur directly and indirectly.
+
Another way to operate on the margins of enemy technology is to maneuver during periods of reduced exposure. The OPFOR trains its forces to operate in adverse weather, limited visibility, rugged terrain, and urban environments that shield them from the effects of the enemy’s high-technology weapons and deny the enemy the full benefits of his advanced reconnaissance, intelligence, surveillance, and target acquisition (RISTA) systems.
  
Transnational economic entities such as international business corporations may provide support to irregular OPFOR operations in order to further their corporate business interests. Other supervisory or workforce individuals in non-profit or private organizations may assist the irregular OPFOR based on personal beliefs and/or as the result of coercion or extortion. Individual financiers may provide support in order to advance personal agendas or cultural, ethnic, political, and/or religious causes.
+
Modern militaries rely upon information and information systems to plan and conduct operations. For this reason, the OPFOR will conduct extensive information attacks and other offensive IW actions. It can also use the enemy’s robust array of RISTA systems against him. A sophisticated enemy’s large numbers of sensors can overwhelm subordinate units’ ability to receive, process, and analyze raw intelligence data and to provide timely and accurate intelligence analysis. The OPFOR can add to this saturation problem by using deception to flood enemy sensors with masses of conflicting information. Conflicting data from different sensors at different levels (such as satellite imagery conflicting with data from unmanned aerial vehicles) can confuse the enemy and degrade his situational awareness.
  
External support from other parts of the irregular OPFOR and/or in conjunction with regular military forces can include an exchange of personnel and equipment, as well as intelligence, training, recruitment, logistics, and finances. In addition to individual and contracted mercenaries, a significant body of other independent or loosely collaborative individuals may be available for hire to an irregular OPFOR organization. These personnel may have served previously in guerrilla units or regular military units.
+
The OPFOR will concentrate its own RISTA, maneuver, and fire support means on the destruction of high-visibility (flagship) enemy systems. This offers exponential value in terms of increasing the  relative combat power of the OPFOR and also maximizes effects in the information and psychological arenas. Losses among these premier systems may not only degrade operational capability, but also undermine enemy morale. Thus, attacks against such targets are not always linked to military objectives.
  
==Blurring of Categories==
+
=== Change the Nature of Conflict ===
Although three basic types of forces can be part of the irregular OPFOR, the distinctions among insurgents, guerrillas, and criminals are sometimes blurred. That is because they may  have  more  in common than they have that is different. From the viewpoint of the existing government authority, for instance, the activities of all three types are illegal, that is, criminal. Not just criminals but also insurgents and guerrillas can engage in criminal activities. Some insurgent organizations can include guerrilla units (developed from within or affiliated) and some guerrilla units may be part of an insurgency. In advanced phases of an insurgency, guerrilla units may begin to look and act more like regular military units.
+
The OPFOR will try to change the nature of conflict to exploit the differences between friendly and enemy capabilities. Following an initial period of regionally-focused conventional operations and utilizing the opportunity afforded by phased enemy deployment, the OPFOR will change its operations to focus on preserving combat power and exploiting enemy ROE. This shift in the focus of operations will present the fewest targets possible to the rapidly growing combat power of the enemy. Also, the OPFOR or affiliated forces can use terror tactics against enemy civilians or soldiers not directly connected to the intervention as a device to change the fundamental nature of the conflict.
  
There are three general tactics available to the irregular OPFOR—
+
Against early-entry forces, the OPFOR may still be able to use the design it employed in previous operations against regional opponents, particularly if access-control operations have been successful. However, as the extraregional force builds up to the point where it threatens to overmatch the OPFOR, the OPFOR is prepared to disperse its forces and employ them in patternless operations that present a battlefield that is difficult for the enemy to analyze and predict.
*Military-like functional tactics.
 
*Criminal activity.
 
*Terrorism.
 
  
At any given time, the irregular OPFOR could use any of these means. The differences among these three can become blurred, especially within an urban environment or where the governing authority exerts strong control.
+
The OPFOR may hide and disperse its forces in areas of sanctuary. The sanctuary may be physical, often located in urban areas or other complex terrain that limits or degrades the capabilities of enemy systems. However, the OPFOR may also use moral sanctuary by placing its forces in areas shielded by civilians or close to sites that are culturally, politically, economically, or ecologically sensitive. It will defend in sanctuaries when necessary. However, units of the OPFOR will move out of sanctuaries and attack when they can create a window of opportunity or when opportunity is presented by physical or natural conditions that limit or degrade the enemy’s systems.
  
===Insurgents and Guerrillas===
+
OPFOR units do not avoid contact; rather, they often seek contact, but on their own terms. Their preferred tactics under these conditions would be the ambush and raid as a means of avoiding decisive combat with superior forces. They will also try to mass fires from dispersed locations to destroy key enemy systems or formations. However, when an opportunity presents itself, the OPFOR can rapidly mass forces and execute decisive combat.
As an insurgent organization grows, its cellular structure or parts thereof may develop into a more hierarchical military-like structure. Within an insurgent organization, direct action cells may combine to form guerrilla squads and platoons. In some cases, a platoon or company may retain some direct action cells (possibly for terror tactics). Other specialized cells of an insurgent organization can evolve into parts of—
 
*Supporting units of a guerrilla company, battalion, or brigade.
 
*Staff elements of a guerrilla battalion or brigade.
 
  
Guerrillas may engage in more military-like operations after an insurgency develops  extensive popular and logistics support. When they feel the conditions are set, insurgents may generate a conventional military force that can directly confront regular forces of the existing governing authority.
+
=== Allow No Sanctuary ===
 +
Along with dispersion, decoys, and deception, the OPFOR uses urban areas and other complex terrain as sanctuary from the effects of enemy forces. Meanwhile, its intent is to deny enemy forces the use of such terrain. This forces the enemy to operate in areas where the OPFOR’s long-range fires and strikes can be more effective.
  
===Insurgents and Criminals===
+
The OPFOR seeks to deny enemy forces safe haven during every phase of a deployment and as long as they are in the region. It is prepared to attack enemy forces anywhere on the battlefield, as well as to his strategic depth. The resultant drain on manpower and resources to provide adequate force-protection measures can reduce the enemy’s strategic, operational, and tactical means to conduct war and erode his national will to sustain conflict. The goal is to present the enemy with a nonlinear, simultaneous battlefield. Such actions will not only deny the enemy sanctuary, but also weaken his national will, particularly if the OPFOR or affiliated forces can strike targets in the enemy’s homeland.
There is often a nexus between insurgency and crime. Sustainment requirements, especially funding, often drive insurgents into relationships with organized crime or into criminal activity themselves. Insurgents may turn to local, regional, or transnational criminal elements for funding. Cooperating with criminals may not be ideologically consistent with the movement’s core beliefs, although that does not necessarily prevent such cooperation.
 
  
An insurgent organization itself may engage in criminal activities as a source of funding. Income is essential not only for insurgents to purchase weapons but also to pay recruits and bribe corrupt officials. Reaping windfall profits and avoiding the costs and difficulties involved in securing external support makes illegal activity attractive to insurgents. Kidnapping, extortion, robbery, and trafficking (drug, human, black market goods, and so on)—four favorite insurgent activities—are very lucrative, although they can also alienate the population.
+
== OPFOR Military and Operational Art ==
 +
The OPFOR embraces the concept that military strategy and operations are an important part, but not the whole, of the conduct of war. Military strategy is not separate from politics and political leadership but a means to support the State in achieving its political objectives. The national security strategy is essentially a political document that sets forth the goals of the State and informs military strategists. It is their responsibility to  build, train, and employ forces for the purpose of achieving those political goals.
  
Insurgents may use coercive force to gain power over the population. Examples of organizations providing such force are insurgent direct action cells, guerrilla units, gangs, and organized crime elements. Such groups may use their coercive means for a variety of purposes unrelated to the insurgency. Protecting their community members, carrying out vendettas, and engaging in criminal activities are examples. Insurgent organizations may also attract followers through criminal activities that provide income.
+
When the political leadership makes the decision to employ military forces to achieve a goal, the military strategy for that employment is closely associated with diplomatic-political, informational, and economic strategies to bring about a favorable political result. Thus, the military leadership requires a broad understanding of the overall national strategy, and the political leadership needs an understanding of the capabilities and limitations of the military.
  
Insurgencies attract criminals and mercenaries. Fighters who joined for money will probably become bandits once the fighting ends and may engage in criminal activity during the fighting. This category includes opportunists who exploit the absence of governing authority security and law enforcement to engage in economically lucrative criminal activity, such as kidnapping, smuggling, or theft.
+
=== Military Strategy ===
 +
The OPFOR views military strategy as the art of developing the ways and means for the application of military power to achieve State objectives. Ways and means encompass the threatened or actual use of force. Military doctrine describes fundamental principles and provides guidelines for the use of military forces in pursuit of national objectives.
  
Some insurgencies can compartmentalize criminal activity, keeping it ancillary to the main effort and preventing it from affecting the organization and its unity. However, some insurgencies can become focused on criminal activity that once only served as a funding mechanism. Some insurgent cell leaders may become crime bosses. The insurgency as a whole may degenerate into criminality, particularly if the primary movement disintegrates and the remaining elements are cast adrift. Such disintegration replaces an ideologically inspired body of individuals with a more diverse body, normally of very uneven character.
+
Military and operational art is the theory and practice of conducting armed conflict. It recognizes that war is a human endeavor and therefore not amenable to quantifiable formulas that limit thinking and lead to unimaginative and predictable solutions. It is the intellectual and intuitive synthesis of military doctrine, military science, and intangibles to address the problem at hand. Military science is not discarded but, like military doctrine, is seen as providing tools that support the practice of military art. The single, most important ingredient in the practice of military strategy, and of military and operational art, is the commander. The commander who develops creative solutions to military problems is highly valued.
  
Even when criminal networks are not a part of an insurgency, their activities—for example, banditry, hijackings, kidnappings, and smuggling—can further undermine the governing authority. Insurgent organizations often link themselves to criminal networks to obtain funding and logistics support. In some cases, insurgent networks and criminal networks become indistinguishable. Most insurgent groups are more similar to organized crime in their organizational structure and relations with the populace than they are to military units.
+
The study and analysis of political and military history has an important place in the development of OPFOR military thought and doctrine. The OPFOR views the role of history and past experience as one that provides insights and observations into the present and future conduct of war. It is a significant source for the development of new and adaptive ways of conducting military operations. The OPFOR has developed an effective method for identifying, analyzing, validating, and applying new concepts. It is an interactive process that establishes a partnership between military colleges and civilian institutions on one side and the active force on the other.
  
===Regular and Irregular OPFOR===
+
=== Operational Art ===
There can also be some blurring between the irregular OPFOR and regular OPFOR military units. Both types of forces can use many of the same functional tactics (such as assault, ambush, and raid).
+
Operational art links tactics and strategy to form a coherent structure for the conduct of war. Some strategists have traditionally expressed operational art as the sequencing of battles and engagements so that the collective outcomes will produce a specified military condition in a theater. Others describe operational art as the blending of direct and indirect approaches to achieve necessary conditions in a theater. The OPFOR has developed a style of operational art that is an amalgam of both theories, capturing the best from each.
  
The regular OPFOR, especially SPF, may use terror tactics similar to those of the irregular OPFOR. Since SPF may or may not be in uniform, they may be hard to distinguish from irregular OPFOR insurgents or guerrillas, for which they often serve as trainers or advisors and alongside which they may fight.
+
No particular level of command is uniquely concerned with operational art. The Chief of the General Staff and the theater commander(s) normally plan and direct strategic and theater campaigns, respectively, while field group and operational-strategic command (OSC) commanders normally design the major operations of a campaign. The OPFOR recognizes the classic division of warfare between the strategic, operational, and tactical levels. However, the boundaries between these levels are not associated so much with particular levels of command as with the effect or contribution to achieving strategic, operational, or tactical objectives.
  
==Comparison and Contrast==
+
=== Operational Art and The National Security Strategy ===
Within the irregular OPFOR, guerrilla units, insurgent organizations, and criminal organizations have various capabilities and limitations. Table 1-1 on pages 1-16 through 1-18 compares and contrasts the basic characteristics of the three types of forces in order to highlight their similarities and their differences.
+
As discussed earlier in this chapter, the national security strategy can involve four types of strategic-level actions: strategic, regional, transition, and adaptive operations. In specific terms, OPFOR operational art consists of the sequencing of the actions of military forces to attain strategic goals set forth within and across this spectrum of strategic-level actions. In practical terms, this is expressed in the strategic campaign plan.
  
{| class="wikitable"
+
Regional operations are largely conventional actions against a less capable force. While dealing with such a regional opponent primarily through offensive means, the State employs its economic, informational, and diplomatic-political instruments of power in a peacetime, “defensive” mode against other regional and extraregional parties with whom it is not at war. This overall strategy constitutes a “strategic defense” that supports the offensive military operations being conducted in the region while seeking to preclude outside involvement. The practitioner of operational art must insure that his plan for use of forces is congruent with the aims of the SCP and vice versa. The soldier does not view the proper, coordinated use of these other instruments of power as a hindrance. From his perspective, their use to influence an extraregional power not to commit forces or to delay their commitment is the equivalent of having extra divisions.
|+Comparison and Contrast of Insurgents, Guerrillas, and Criminals
 
|'''''Characteristic'''''
 
|'''''Insurgent  Organization'''''
 
|'''''Guerrilla  Unit'''''
 
|'''''Criminal Organization'''''
 
|-
 
|'''Leadership'''
 
|Network is typical, but can include hierarchical sub- organizations; leaders may be located distant  from the geographic area of conflict; political  or ideological mentors or council  advisors and/or counsel senior leaders. Title for personnel in command is usually “leader.” Some leaders may use a religious, historical, or honorific title.
 
|Hierarchical with military-like chain of command and control or support systems; leaders  predominantly indigenous; political advisors may accompany guerrilla units  in actions. Leader  titles are military in nature  such as battalion and/or  company commander, platoon leader,  section leader, team  leader, hunter-killer group  leader.
 
|Hierarchical structure or network  dependent on origin of organization; even  in small criminal organizations, leaders may be located distant from  the geographic area of conflict; political or ideological mentors or council advise  and/or counsel senior  leaders. Leader titles  can be traditional or historical terms,  or simple authority terms.
 
|-
 
|'''Motivation'''
 
|Insurgency  movement with  a political and/or  ideological agenda. Can also be social identity or religion.
 
|Social identity, religion, or politics. Can be military component to an insurgency; or can be independent of an insurgency with a specified agenda.
 
|Intention to profit fiscally through  control of a process, commodity, and/or area; social identity as a power broker in a designated geographic, economic, or social environment.
 
|-
 
|'''Organization'''
 
|Cellular-network model;  can be hierarchical for designated capabilities or functions; can include paramilitary capability for a primarily political- oriented  organization; can be affiliated with other irregular OPFOR  and/or regular military forces.
 
|Military unit model with echelons of command  and control; can  include land,  sea, and air capabilities; can  be affiliated with other  irregular OPFOR  and/or regular  military forces; more likely  that other irregular OPFOR components to be closely integrated with regular  military forces.
 
|Hierarchical structure or network  dependent on origin of organization; general categories of gangs,  large- scale syndicates, and transnational  organizations; organizations can be based on family, ethnic,  commodity, or specialized purpose. Can infiltrate or become affiliated with insurgent, guerrilla, or regular military forces.
 
|-
 
|'''Objectives'''
 
|Concessions  from and/or defeat  of a political opponent; ultimately, overthrow an enemy governing authority and replace governance with insurgent movement leadership; seek legitimacy as movement.
 
|Military mission success within a campaign in support of unit goals and  desired end state;  can be an independent and specified guerrilla unit agenda; can be the military capability in insurgent organization.
 
|Profit from activities and coercion; expand  organizational influence within an area,  regional, or transnational  scope; preserve control  of specified commodities, geographic areas, and/or  services; avoid contact with governing authority.
 
|-
 
|'''Internal Support'''
 
|Active and passive support in local and larger  area population; can  have legitimate social-economic- political activities to mobilize civil support.
 
|Active and passive support by segments of a local  area population for military-type capabilities; can expand support to regional area population.
 
|Active and passive support in local and larger  area population; can use coercion to influence legitimate social- economic-political activities or individual support.
 
|-
 
|'''External Support'''
 
|Regional safe  havens; Diaspora systems to promote insurgent  movement in regional and/or  international communities; can receive cooperation or assistance from regular forces, SPF,  or state activities opposing the governing authority.
 
|Regional safe havens; can receive cooperation or assistance from  regular military, SPF, or state activities opposing the governing authority in the area of guerrilla operations.
 
|Cooperative  affiliations among gangs,  large-scale syndicates, and/or transnational organizations can provide designated support and services; co- opted governing authority offices may also  assist.
 
|-
 
|'''Activity Patterns'''
 
|Local, regional, provincial, and/or district activities with intention of obtaining support of relevant population; can be social, economic, diplomatic, political, and  military activities.
 
|Military-like functional tactics as norm;  can expand tactical actions  into a military campaign focused in a geographic area.
 
|Local, regional, and/or transnational activities; random or systematic activity to sustain influence; specialized expertise can be part of functional business model of larger  commercial enterprises.
 
|}
 
{| class="wikitable"
 
|+Comparison and Contrast of Insurgents, Guerrillas, and Criminals (continued)
 
|'''''Characteristic'''''
 
|'''''Insurgent  Organization'''''
 
|'''''Guerrilla  Unit'''''
 
|'''''Criminal Organization'''''
 
|-
 
|'''Composition'''
 
|Higher insurgent organization and local insurgent organization; functional structure with cellular base; can receive  assistance or support  from SPF and/or regular military forces.
 
|Brigade to squad-team guerrilla units; can be tailored for specialized missions; can be supported by SPF advisors and/or  regular forces advisors or liaison.
 
|Transnational organization, large-scale syndicates, and/or gangs; can  be groups affiliated in temporary or long- term specific business arrangements.
 
|-
 
|'''Personnel'''
 
|Indigenous  and/or transnational core;  ideological mentor support  network; rank and file  members can be in a period of active service  in the insurgent  organization, or be authorized inactive status  and return to familial-social responsibilities with their local population.
 
|Predominantly indigenous core; can include  members outside of indigenous population; rank and file members  typically remain in the same military unit with a long-term commitment of duty.
 
|Predominantly indigenous core, but can include members  outside of indigenous population as organization expands in business connections; status may indicate familial or social lineage within organization; rank and file members may be specialized operators.
 
|-
 
|'''Recruitment'''
 
|Local, regional, or extraregional population recruiting; often relates  to an ideological or faith system commitment to serve; can be contract  support; can use conscription for  limited lengths of time or seasonal terms of service.
 
|Local or regional population recruiting base; informal induction process with expectation of long-term or open-ended term of service; can use conscription from local population; require compliance with strict standards and discipline.
 
|Familial or social  affiliations may be membership requirement; rank  and file members may be contracted for skill sets; initiation rites and tests  may precede acceptance; code  of conduct may demand absolute allegiance to the organization.
 
|-
 
|'''Weapons and Other Equipment'''
 
|Tier 1-4 capabilities (see ''Worldwide Equipment Guide'') dependent on support  from insurgent region  and diaspora; can receive clandestine support from states,  private organizations, and/or  criminal activities that oppose the governing authority  in conflict with the insurgent organization.
 
|Tier 1-4 capabilities (see ''Worldwide Equipment Guide'') dependent on access  to local resources, or a higher  and/or local insurgent organization if part of an insurgency; if independent, obtains weapons from  raids, ambushes, and black market purchases; can include  sophisticated systems  and heavy weapon capabilities similar  to regular military forces.
 
|Tier 1-4 capabilities (see ''Worldwide Equipment Guide'') dependent on ability to purchase or procure weapons and/or materiel.
 
|-
 
|'''Uniforms'''
 
|Local attire  of populace as norm; can wear military-like pieces  of clothing and load- bearing equipment for designated direct actions.
 
|Varied military-like clothing or pieces of clothing, load- bearing equipment, and insignia as norm;  can wear local attire  of populace to facilitate mission.
 
|Attire of local populace as norm; can use civilian or law enforcement or paramilitary pieces of clothing and equipment in order  to deceive.
 
|-
 
|'''Disposition'''
 
|Within political boundary of governing authority as norm; can be safe haven  in or near contested territory; size and location of cells based on local conditions.
 
  
Rural and/or urban  areas on mission basis;  often occupy safe havens  in populace, can locate as dispersed cells,  and/or in CBP; can use social, economic, or political organizations as public and visible  presence in populace.
+
Transition and particularly adaptive operations are at the core of what makes OPFOR military and operational art distinctive, if not unique. The political and military leadership recognizes that attempts to achieve national strategic goals through the use of force can result in a military response from within and outside the region. Strategic plans take this possibility into account and, depending on the degree of risk, contingencies are planned to account for such an eventuality.
|Within enemy-held, hostile, or denied territory; can be safe haven in or near geographic area of contested territory; unit size, location, and command integrity based  on local conditions.
 
  
Rural and/or  urban areas on mission basis; often  occupy safe haven  and complex battle position (CBP) away from populace; can locate units in proximity to other guerrilla units for mutual support.
+
Applying the principles of operation versus an extraregional power, (discussed earlier in this chapter) and taking a “systems warfare” approach, the State and the OPFOR seek to develop contingency plans that transition to a “strategic offense” while conducting military operations that are, at least initially, defensive in nature. The purpose of the strategy is to disaggregate the enemy’s elements of power through the conduct of strategic operations, while seeking to disaggregate his combat systems at the operational level. The ultimate goal is to exhaust the enemy and destroy his will to continue the fight.
|Within geographic area  under organization control; can be safe haven in or near  area involved in business transactions; size and location of organizational groupings based on local  conditions.
 
  
Rural and/or urban  on mission basis; often  use protected locations  in populace, can locate as dispersed groups;  co-opted social, economic, or political organizations can prevent interference by law enforcement or internal security organizations.
+
In preparing contingency plans, the political and military leadership conducts a detailed analysis to determine major actions that might be taken by an intervening force to mobilize, deploy, and operate within the region. Using this analysis (which is continually updated) and the assessed risk, they further refine the plan. Actions to support the plan, prior to its execution, could include increasing the readiness of units, organizations, and industry required to support an intervention scenario. Other actions could include pre-positioning forces, weapons, and logistics to those areas that support the contingency plan. Plans for strategic operations in support of transition and adaptive operations are developed while the military operational planners continue to plan for the employment of tactical forces to achieve the aims set forth in the strategy. All of this is set against a matrix that identifies key events that would trigger execution of the contingency.
|}
+
 
{| class="wikitable"
+
Inherent in the concept of adaptive operations is the idea that the operational planner assigns missions and arrays tactical forces in such a way to support the operation. Although the tactical commander will understand, from a conceptual context, that he is involved in adaptive operations, from a tactical perspective that will be transparent. It is through the manner in which the operational commander arrays and employs his forces that adaptive operations are achieved. Tactical commanders are adaptive in the sense that they have the flexibility within the missions assigned by the operational commander and within the techniques and procedures they develop to more effectively accomplish those missions.
|+Comparison and Contrast of Insurgents, Guerrillas, and Criminals (continued)
+
 
|'''''Characteristic'''''
+
The OPFOR includes in its planning and execution the use of paramilitary forces. It is important to stress that, with the exception of internal security forces, those paramilitary organizations that are not part of the State structure and do not necessarily share the State’s views on national security strategy.
|'''''Insurgent  Organization'''''
+
 
|'''''Guerrilla  Unit'''''
+
== The Role of Paramilitary and Irregular Forces in Operations ==
|'''''Criminal Organization'''''
+
Paramilitary forces are those organizations that are distinct from the regular armed forces but resemble them in organization, equipment, training, or purpose. Basically, any organization that accomplishes its purpose, even partially, through the force of arms is considered a paramilitary organization. These organizations can be part of the government infrastructure or operate outside of the government or any institutionalized controlling authority.
|-
+
 
|'''Training'''
+
In consonance with the concept of “all means necessary,” the OPFOR views these organizations as assets that can be used to its advantage in time of war. Within its own structure, the OPFOR has formally established this concept by assigning the Internal Security Forces, part of the Ministry of the Interior in peacetime, to the SHC during wartime. Additionally, the OPFOR cultivates relationships with and covertly supports nongovernment paramilitary organizations to achieve common goals while at peace and to have a high degree of influence on them when at war.
|Functional  skills in local  or regional safe havens, or contract  support for niche expertise; skills  and services  can include administrative, intelligence, direct actions, supply, transportation, communications, and/or special skill  sets; can be augmented by SPF and/or regular military advisors.
+
 
|Basic and advanced military skills  instructed in safe haven or CBP in or near  geographic area of conflict. If part of insurgency, coordinates for special skills  and support; can be augmented by SPF and/or regular military advisors.
+
The primary paramilitary organizations are the Internal Security Forces, insurgents, terrorists, and drug and criminal organizations. The degree of control the OPFOR has over these organizations varies from absolute, in the case of the Internal Security Forces, to tenuous when dealing with terrorist and drug and criminal organizations. In the case of those organizations not formally tied to the OPFOR structure, control can be enhanced through the exploitation of common interests and ensuring that these organizations see personal gain in supporting OPFOR goals.
|Basic and advanced skills learned in practice; special  skills and support  can be contracted; training can include administrative, intelligence, internal security, operational franchise management, supply and services, transportation, communications, and/or special skill sets.
+
 
|-
+
The OPFOR views the creative use of these organizations as a means of providing depth and continuity to its operations. A single attack by a terrorist group will not in itself win the war. However, the use of paramilitary organizations to carry out a large number of planned actions, in support of strategy and operations, can play an important part in assisting the OPFOR in achieving its goals. These actions, taken in conjunction with other adaptive actions, can also supplement a capability degraded due to enemy superiority.
|'''Internal Security'''
+
 
|Counterintelligence and internal security cells  monitor insurgent loyalty.
+
=== Internal Security Forces ===
|Counterintelligence elements monitor  guerrilla loyalty.
+
The Internal Security Forces subordinated to the SHC provide support zone security and collect information on foreign organizations and spies. They perform civil population control functions and ensure the loyalty of mobilized militia forces. Some units are capable of tactical-level defensive actions if required. These basic tasks are not all-inclusive, and within their capability these forces can perform a multitude of tasks limited only by the commander’s imagination. While performing these functions, the Internal Security Forces may be operating within their own hierarchy of command, or they may be assigned a dedicated command relationship within an OSC or one of its tactical subordinates.
|Internal security maintained through codes of conduct and monitoring activities and outside contacts; specialized groups monitor member loyalty.
+
 
|-
+
During ''regional operations'', the Internal Security Forces may serve to control the population situated in newly seized territory. They are an excellent source of human intelligence and can provide security for key sites located in the support zones. The Internal Security Forces can either augment or replace regular military organizations in all aspects of prisoner-of-war processing and control. While continuing their normal tasks in the homeland, they can assist regular military organizations in the areas of traffic control and regulation.
|'''Logistics'''
+
 
|Self-sustaining with populace support;  support from regional safe havens and diaspora; can receive regular  military and SPF materiel support; can commandeer materiel from local area.
+
During ''transition operations'', the Internal Security Forces evacuate important political and military prisoners to safe areas where they can continue to serve as important sources of information or means of negotiation. Traffic control and the security of key bridges and infrastructure take on a higher level of importance as the OPFOR repositions and moves forces transitioning to adaptive operations. The Internal Security Forces can continue to gather intelligence from the local population and assist in mobilizing civilians in occupied territory for the purpose of augmenting OPFOR engineer labor requirements. Finally, the use of qualified personnel to stay behind as intelligence gatherers and liaison with insurgent, terrorist, and criminal organizations can provide the OPFOR an increased capability during the adaptive operations that follow.
|Self-sustaining with populace supportcan receive mission- based support from  regular military forces and SPF;  can barter  and/or commandeer materiel  from local area;  can capture supplies and materiel from enemy forces.
+
 
|Self-sustaining with supply, services, and materiel purchased, stolen, or coerced from a local  populace, or provided by a regional or transnational network; can be supported  from regional safe havens.
+
Especially important in the conduct of ''adaptive operations'' is the ability of the Internal Security Forces to free up regular military organizations that can contribute directly to the fight. The security of support zones within an OSC area of responsibility is just one example of this concept. Where necessary, some units can augment the defense or defend less critical areas, thus freeing up regular military forces for higher-priority tasks. Stay-behind agents working with insurgent, terrorist, and criminal organizations can contribute by directing preplanned actions that effectively add depth to the battlefield. Their actions can cause material damage to key logistics and command and control (C2) assets, inflict random but demoralizing casualties, and effectively draw enemy forces away from the main fight in response to increased force-protection requirements.
|-
+
 
|'''Communications'''
+
=== Insurgent Forces ===
|Local, regional, and/or global; easy access to media; access to Internet and INFOWAR technologies; secure and encryption capable; common use of messenger or courier.
+
The OPFOR ensures that the exploitation and use of insurgent forces operating against and within neighboring countries is an integral part of its strategic and operational planning. Insurgent forces, properly leveraged, can provide an added dimension to the OPFOR’s capabilities and provide options not otherwise available. During peacetime, a careful balance is kept between covert support for insurgent groups that may prove useful later and overt relations with the government against which the insurgents are operating.
|Local and regional; tactical communications norm; secure  and encryption capable; access to Internet and INFOWAR technologies; common  use of messenger or courier.
+
 
|Local, regional, and/or global; easy access to media; access to Internet and INFOWAR technologies; secure and encryption capable; common use of messenger or courier.
+
During peacetime, support to insurgents can consist of weapons, staging and sanctuary areas within the State, and training by OPFOR SPF. It is during this time that the OPFOR attempts to cultivate the loyalty and trust of insurgent groups they have identified as having potential usefulness in their strategic and operational planning. In all operations of the strategic campaign, insurgent forces serve as an excellent source of intelligence.
|-
+
 
|'''Finances'''
+
During the conduct of ''regional operations'', the decision to influence insurgents to execute actions that support operations will depend on a number of factors. If the OPFOR views extraregional intervention as unlikely, it may choose to keep insurgent participation low. A key reason for making this decision is the potential for those forces to become an opponent once the OPFOR has accomplished its goals. On the other hand, the OPFOR may plan to have these groups take part in directly supporting its operations in anticipation of further support in the case of an extraregional intervention. Insurgent involvement during regional operations may be held to furthering OPFOR IW objectives by creating support for the State’s actions among the population, harassing and sniping enemy forces, conducting raids, and assassinating politicians who are influential opponents of the State. Insurgents can also serve as scouts or guides for OPFOR regular forces moving through unfamiliar terrain and serve as an excellent source of political and military intelligence.
|Periodic reward  in goods and services; may include contract-for-hire payment systems; can be obligation with no pay.
+
 
|Semiformal  or formal pay system in local script  and/or barter materiel; can be conscription with no pay.
+
The usefulness of insurgent forces can be considerable in the event of extraregional intervention and the decision to transition to adaptive operations. During ''transition operations'', insurgent forces can support access-control operations to deny enemy forces access to the region or at least delay their entry. Delay provides the OPFOR more time to conduct an orderly transition and to reposition its forces for the conduct of ''adaptive operations''. The principal means of support include direct action in the vicinity of APODs and SPODs and along LOCs in the enemy’s rear area. Dispersed armed action for the sole purpose of creating casualties can have a demoralizing effect and cause the enemy to respond, thus drawing forces from his main effort. OPFOR regular forces can coordinate with insurgents, supported by SPF advisors, to execute a variety of actions that support the strategic campaign or a particular operation plan. Insurgents can support deception by drawing attention from an action the OPFOR is trying to cover or conceal. They can delay the introduction of enemy reserves through ambush and indirect fire, cause the commitment of valuable force-protection assets, or deny or degrade the enemy’s use of rotary-wing assets through raids on forward arming and refueling points and maintenance facilities.
|Payment to designated members based on performance and profit; payments may be cash, services, and or in-kind barter;  investments and payments are often laundered to mask origin.
+
 
|-
+
=== Terrorist and Criminal Organizations ===
|'''Terrorism'''
+
Through the use of intelligence professionals and covert means, the OPFOR maintains contact with and to varying degrees supports terrorist and criminal organizations. During peacetime, these organizations can be useful, and in time of war they can provide an added dimension to OPFOR strategy and operations.
|Use or restriction of terrorism can be due to insurgent proclamation; psychological weapon;  actions are integrated as part of INFOWAR campaign; purpose ultimately supports a political  objective can be focused or random for effects.
+
 
|Use or restriction of terrorism based on guerrilla commander directive; psychological weapon; actions are integrated as part of INFOWAR campaign; can be deliberate or random for intended effects.
+
Although the OPFOR recognizes that these groups vary in reliability, it constantly assesses both their effectiveness and usefulness. It develops relationships with those organizations that have goals, sympathies, and interests congruent with those of the State. In time of war, it can encourage and materially support criminal organizations to commit actions that contribute to the breakdown of civil control within a neighboring country. It can provide support for the distribution and sale of drugs to enemy military forces, which creates both morale and discipline problems within those organizations. The production of counterfeit currency and attacks on financial institutions help to weaken the enemy’s economic stability. Coordination with and support of terrorists to attack political and military leaders and commit acts of sabotage against key infrastructure (such as ports, airfields, and fuel supplies) add to the variety and number of threats that the enemy must address. The State and OPFOR leadership also have the ability to promote and support the spread of these same kinds of terrorist acts outside the region. However, they must carefully consider the political and domestic impact of these actions before making the decision to execute them.
|Use or restriction of terrorism can be due  to senior or intermediate leader decision; field operators may use terrorism within the domain they control; psychological weapon; actions  can be focused or random for effects.
+
 
|}
+
== Systems Warfare ==
 +
The OPFOR defines a ''system'' as a set of different elements so connected or related as to perform a unique function not performable by the elements or components alone. The essential ingredients of a system include the components, the synergy among components and other systems, and some type of functional boundary separating it from other systems. Therefore, a “system of systems” is a set of different systems so connected or related as to produce results unachievable by the individual systems alone''.'' The OPFOR views the operational environment, the battlefield, the State’s own instruments of power, and an opponent’s instruments of power as a collection of complex, dynamic, and integrated systems composed of subsystems and components.
 +
 
 +
Systems warfare serves as a conceptual and analytical tool to assist in the planning, preparation, and execution of warfare. With the systems approach, the intent is to identify critical system components and attack them in a way that will degrade or destroy the use or importance of the overall system.
 +
 
 +
=== Principle ===
 +
The primary principle of systems warfare is the identification and isolation of the critical subsystems or components that give the opponent the capability and cohesion to achieve his aims. The focus is on the disaggregation of the system by rendering its subsystems and components ineffective. While the aggregation of these subsystems or components is what makes the overall system work, the interdependence of these subsystems is also a potential vulnerability. Systems warfare has applicability or impact at all three levels of warfare.
 +
 
 +
=== Application at the Strategic Level ===
 +
At the strategic level, the instruments of power and their application are the focus of analysis. National power is a system of systems in which the instruments of national power work together to create a synergistic effect. Each instrument of power (diplomatic-political, informational, economic, and military) is also a collection of complex and interrelated systems.
 +
 
 +
The State clearly understands how to analyze and locate the critical components of its own instruments of power and will aggressively aim to protect its own systems from attack or vulnerabilities. It also understands that an adversary’s instruments of power are similar to the State’s. Thus, at the strategic level, the State can use the OPFOR and its other instruments of power to counter or target the systems and subsystems that make up an opponent’s instruments of power. The primary purpose is to subdue, control, or change the opponent’s behavior.
 +
 
 +
If an opponent’s strength lies in his military power, the State and the OPFOR can attack the other instruments of power as a means of disaggregating or disrupting the enemy’s system of national power. Thus, it is possible to render the overall system ineffective without necessarily having to defeat the opponent militarily.
 +
 
 +
=== Application at the Operational Level ===
 +
At the operational level, the application of systems warfare pertains only to the use of armed forces to achieve a result. Therefore, the “system of systems” in question at this level is the combat system of the OPFOR and/or the enemy.
 +
 
 +
==== Combat System ====
 +
A ''combat system'' (see Figure 1-5) is the “system of systems” that results from the synergistic combination of four basic subsystems that are integrated to achieve a military function. The subsystems are as follows:
 +
* Combat forces (such as main battle tanks, IFVs and/or APCs, or infantry).
 +
* Combat support forces (such as artillery, SSMs, air defense, engineers, and direct air support).
 +
* Logistics forces (such as transportation, ammunition, fuel, rations, maintenance, and medical).
 +
* C2  and RISTA (such as headquarters, signal nodes, satellite downlink sites, and reconnaissance sensors).
 +
[[File:Figure 1-5. Combat System.png|alt=Figure 1-5. Combat System|thumb|Figure 1-5. Combat System]]
 +
The combat system is characterized by interaction and interdependence among its subsystems. Therefore, the OPFOR will seek to identify key subsystems of an enemy combat system and target them and destroy them individually. Against a technologically superior extraregional force, the OPFOR will often use any or all subcomponents of its own combat system to attack the most vulnerable parts of the enemy’s combat system rather than the enemy’s strengths. For example, attacking the enemy’s logistics, C2, and RISTA can undermine the overall effectiveness of the enemy’s combat system without having to directly engage his superior combat and combat support forces. Aside from the physical effect, the removal of one or more key subsystems can have a devastating psychological effect, particularly if it occurs in a short span of time.
 +
 
 +
==== Planning and Execution ====
 +
The systems warfare approach to combat is a means to assist the commander in the decision-making process and the planning and execution of his mission. The OPFOR believes that a qualitatively and/or quantitatively weaker force can defeat a superior foe, if the lesser force can dictate the terms of combat. It believes that the systems warfare approach allows it to move away from the traditional attrition-based approach to combat. It is no longer necessary to match an opponent system-for-system or capability-for-capability. Commanders and staffs will locate the critical component(s) of the enemy combat system, patterns of interaction, and opportunities to exploit this connectivity. Systems warfare has applications in both offensive and defensive contexts.
 +
 
 +
The essential step after the identification of the critical subsystems and components of a combat system is the destruction or degradation of the synergy of the system. This may take the form of total destruction of a subsystem or component, degradation of the synergy of components, or the simple denial of access to critical links between systems or components. The destruction of a critical component or link can create windows of opportunity that can be exploited, set the conditions for offensive action, or support a concept of operation that calls for exhausting the enemy on the battlefield. Once the OPFOR has identified and isolated a critical element of the enemy combat system that is vulnerable to attack, it will select the appropriate method of attack.
 +
 
 +
Today’s state-of-the-art combat and combat support systems are impressive in their ability to deliver precise attacks at long standoff distances. However, the growing reliance of some extraregional forces on these systems offers opportunity. Attacking critical ground-based C2 and RISTA nodes or logistics systems and LOCs can have a very large payoff for relatively low investment and low risk to the OPFOR. Modern logistics systems assume secure LOCs and voice or digital communications. These characteristics make such systems vulnerable. Therefore, the OPFOR can greatly reduce a military force’s combat power by attacking a logistics system that depends on “just-in-time delivery.”
 +
 
 +
For the operational commander, the systems warfare approach to combat is not an end in itself. It is a key component in his planning and sequencing of tactical battles and engagements aimed toward achieving assigned strategic goals. Systems warfare supports his concept; it is not the concept. The ultimate aim is to destroy the enemy’s will and ability to fight.
 +
 
 +
=== Application at the Tactical Level ===
 +
It is at the tactical level that systems warfare is executed in attacking the enemy’s combat system. While the tactical commander may use systems warfare in the smaller sense to accomplish assigned missions, his attack on systems will be in response to missions assigned him by the operational commander.
 +
 
 +
=== Application Across All Types of Strategic-Level Actions ===
 +
Systems warfare is applicable against all types of opponents in all strategic-level courses of action. In regional operations, the OPFOR will seek to render a regional opponent’s systems ineffective to support his overall concept of operation. However, this approach is especially conducive to the conduct of transition and adaptive operations. The very nature of this approach lends itself to adaptive and creative options against an adversary’s technological overmatch.
 +
 
 +
=== Relationship to the C<sup>2</sup> Process ===
 +
The systems warfare approach to combat is an important part of OPFOR planning. It serves as a means to analyze the OPFOR’s own combat system and how it can use the combined effects of this system to degrade the enemy’s combat system. The OPFOR believes that the approach allows its decision makers to be anticipatory rather than reactive.

Latest revision as of 21:08, 31 July 2017

This page is a section of FM 7-100.1 Opposing Forces Operations.

This chapter describes the State’s national security strategy and how the State designs campaigns and operations to achieve strategic goals outlined in that strategy. This provides the general framework within which the OPFOR plans and executes military actions at the operational level, which are the focus of the remainder of this manual. The nature of the State and its national security strategy are explained in greater detail in FM 7-100.

National Security Strategy

The national security strategy is the State’s vision for itself as a nation and the underlying rationale for building and employing its instruments of national power. It outlines how the State plans to use its diplomatic-political, informational, economic, and military instruments of power to achieve its strategic goals. Despite the term security, this strategy defines not just what the State wants to protect or defend, but what it wants to achieve.

Figure 1-1. National Command Authority
Figure 1-1. National Command Authority

National Command Authority

The National Command Authority (NCA) exercises overall control of the application of all instruments of national power in planning and carrying out the national security strategy. Thus, the NCA includes the cabinet ministers responsible for those instruments of power: the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Minister of Public Information, Minister of Finance and Economic Affairs, Minister of the Interior, and Minister of Defense, along with other members selected by the State’s President, who chairs the NCA. (See Figure 1-1.)

The President also appoints a Minister of National Security, who heads the Strategic Integration Department (SID) within the NCA. The SID is the overarching agency responsible for integrating all the instruments of national power under one cohesive national security strategy. The SID coordinates the plans and actions of all State ministries, but particularly those associated with the instruments of power.

National Strategic Goals

The NCA determines the State’s strategic goals. The State’s overall goals are to continually expand its influence within its region and eventually change its position within the global community. These are the long-term aims of the State.

Supporting the overall, long-term, strategic goals, there may be one or more specific goals, each based on a particular threat or opportunity. Examples of specific strategic goals might be—

  • Annexation of territory.
  • Economic expansion.
  • Destruction of an insurgency.
  • Protection of a related minority in a neighboring country.
  • Acquisition of natural resources located outside the State’s boundaries.
  • Destruction of external weapons, forces, or facilities that threaten the existence of the State.
  • Defense of the State against invasion.
  • Preclusion or elimination of outside intervention.

Each of these specific goals contributes to achieving the overall strategic goals.

Framework for Implementing National Security Strategy

In pursuit of its national security strategy, the State is prepared to conduct four basic types of strategic-level courses of action. Each course of action involves the use of all four instruments of national power, but to different degrees and in different ways. The State gives the four types the following names:

  • Strategic operations—strategic-level course of action that uses all instruments of power in peace and war to achieve the goals of the State’s national security strategy by attacking the enemy’s strategic centers of gravity. (See the Strategic Operations section of this chapter for more detail.)
  • Regional operations—strategic-level course of action (including conventional, force-on-force military operations) against opponents the State overmatches, including regional adversaries and internal threats. (See the Regional Operations section of this chapter for more detail.)
  • Transition operations—strategic-level course of action that bridges the gap between regional and adaptive operations and contains some elements of both, continuing to pursue the State’s regional goals while dealing with the development of outside intervention with the potential for overmatching the State. (See the Transition Operations section of this chapter for more detail.)
  • Adaptive operations—strategic-level course of action to preserve the State’s power and apply it in adaptive ways against opponents that overmatch the State. (See the Adaptive Operations section of this chapter for more detail.)
Figure 1-2. Conceptual Framework for Implementing the State’s National Security Strategy
Figure 1-2. Conceptual Framework for Implementing the State’s National Security Strategy

Although the State refers to them as “operations,” each of these courses of action is actually a subcategory of strategy. Each of these types of “operations” is actually the aggregation of the effects of tactical, operational, and strategic actions, in conjunction with the other three instruments of national power, that contribute to the accomplishment of strategic goals. The type(s) of operations the State employs at a given time will depend on the types of threats and opportunities present and other conditions in the operational environment. Figure 1-2 illustrates the State’s basic conceptual framework for how it could apply its various instruments of national power in the implementation of its national security strategy.

Strategic operations are a continuous process not limited to wartime or preparation for war. Once war begins, they continue during regional, transition, and adaptive operations and complement those operations. Each of the latter three types of operations occurs only during war and only under certain conditions. Transition operations can overlap regional and adaptive operations.

Figure 1-3. Examples of Branches and Sequels in National Security Strategy
Figure 1-3. Examples of Branches and Sequels in National Security Strategy

The national security strategy identifies branches, sequels, and contingencies and the role and scope of each type of strategic-level action within these modifications to the basic strategy. Successful execution of these branches and sequels can allow the State to resume regional operations and thus achieve its strategic goals. (See Figure 1-3.)

The national security strategy is designed to achieve one or more specific strategic goals within the State’s region. Therefore, it typically starts with actions directed at an opponent within the region—an opponent that the State overmatches in conventional military power, as well as other instruments of power.

The State will attempt to achieve its ends without resorting to armed conflict. Accordingly strategic operations are not limited to military means and usually do not begin with armed conflict. The State may be able to achieve the desired goal through pressure applied by other-than-military instruments of power, perhaps with the mere threat of using its superior military power against the regional opponent. These actions would fall under the general framework of “strategic operations.”

When nonmilitary means are not sufficient or expedient, the State may resort to armed conflict as a means of creating conditions that lead to the desired end state. However, strategic operations continue even if a particular regional threat or opportunity causes the State to undertake “regional operations” that include military means.

Prior to initiating armed conflict and throughout the course of armed conflict with its regional opponent, the State continues to conduct strategic operations to preclude intervention by outside players—by other regional neighbors or by an extraregional power that could overmatch the State’s forces. However, those operations always include branches and sequels for dealing with the possibility of intervention by an extraregional power.

When unable to limit the conflict to regional operations, the State is prepared to engage extraregional forces through “transition and adaptive operations.” Usually, the State does not shift directly from regional to adaptive operations. The transition is incremental and does not occur at a single, easily identifiable point. If the State perceives intervention is likely, transition operations may begin simultaneously with regional and strategic operations. Transition operations overlap both regional and adaptive operations. Transition operations allow the State to shift to adaptive operations or back to regional operations. At some point, the State either seizes an opportunity to return to regional operations, or it reaches a point where it must complete the shift to adaptive operations. Even after shifting to adaptive operations, the State tries to set conditions for transitioning back to regional operations.

If an extraregional power were to have significant forces already deployed in the region prior to the outbreak of hostilities, the State would not be able to conduct regional operations using its normal, conventional design without first eliminating those forces. In this case, the State would first use strategic operations—with all means available—to put pressure on the already present extraregional force to withdraw from the region or at least remain neutral in the regional conflict. Barring that, strategic operations could still aim at keeping the extraregional power from committing additional forces to the region and preventing his forces already there from being able to fully exercise their capabilities. If the extraregional force is still able to intervene, the rest of the State’s strategic campaign would have to start with adaptive operations. Eventually, the State would hope to move into transition operations. If it could neutralize or eliminate the extraregional force, it could finally complete the transition to regional operations and thus achieve its strategic goals.

Strategic Campaign

To achieve one or more specific strategic goals, the NCA would develop and implement a specific national strategic campaign. Such a campaign is the aggregate of actions of all the State’s instruments of power to achieve a specific set of the State’s strategic goals against internal, regional, and/or extraregional opponents. There would normally be a diplomatic-political campaign, an information campaign, and an economic campaign, as well as a military campaign. All of these must fit into a single, integrated national strategic campaign.

Figure 1-4. Example of a Strategic Campaign
Figure 1-4. Example of a Strategic Campaign

The NCA will develop a series of contingency plans for a number of different specific strategic goals that it might want or need to pursue. These contingency plans often serve as the basis for training and preparing the State’s forces. These plans would address the allocation of resources to a potential strategic campaign and the actions to be taken by each instrument of national power contributing to such a campaign.

Aside from training exercises, the NCA would approve only one strategic campaign for implementation at a given time. Nevertheless, the single campaign could include more than one specific strategic goal. For instance, any strategic campaign designed to deal with an insurgency would include contingencies for dealing with reactions from regional neighbors or an extraregional power that could adversely affect the State and its ability to achieve the selected goal. Likewise, any strategic campaign focused on a goal that involves the State’s invasion of a regional neighbor would have to take into consideration possible adverse actions by other regional neighbors, the

possibility that insurgents might use this opportunity to take action against the State, and the distinct possibility that the original or expanded regional conflict might lead to extraregional intervention. Figure 1-4 shows an example of a single strategic campaign that includes three strategic goals. (The map in this diagram is for illustrative purposes only and does not necessarily reflect the actual size, shape, or physical environment of the State or its neighbors.)

National Strategic Campaign Plan

The purpose of a national strategic campaign plan (national SCP) is to integrate all the instruments of national power under a single plan. Even if the State hoped to achieve the goal(s) of the campaign by nonmilitary means, the national campaign plan would leverage the influence of its Armed Forces’ strong military presence and provide for the contingency that military force might become necessary.

The national SCP is the end result of the SID’s planning effort. Based on input from all State ministries, this is the plan for integrating the actions of all instruments of power to set conditions favorable for achieving the central goal identified in the national security strategy. The Ministry of Defense (MOD) is only one of several ministries that provide input and are then responsible for carrying out their respective parts of the consolidated national plan.

In waging a national strategic campaign, the State never employs military power alone. Military power is most effective when applied in combination with diplomatic-political, informational, and economic instruments of power. State ministries responsible for each of the four instruments of power will develop their own campaign plans as part of the unified national SCP.

A national SCP defines the relationships among all State organizations, military and nonmilitary, for the purposes of executing that SCP. The SCP describes the intended integration, if any, of multinational forces in those instances where the State is acting as part of a coalition.

Military Strategic Campaign Plan

Within the context of the national strategic campaign, the MOD and General Staff develop and implement a military strategic campaign. During peacetime, the Operations Directorate of the General Staff is responsible for developing, staffing, promulgation, and continuing review of the military SCP. It must ensure that the military plan would end in achieving military conditions that would fit with the conditions created by the diplomatic-political, informational, and economic portions of the national plan that are prepared by other State ministries. Therefore, the Operations Directorate assigns liaison officers to other important government ministries.

Although the State’s Armed Forces (the OPFOR) may play a role in strategic operations, the focus of their planning and effort is on the military aspects of regional, transition, and adaptive operations. A military strategic campaign may include several combined arms, joint, and/or interagency operations. If the State succeeds in forming a regional alliance or coalition, these operations may also be multinational.

The General Staff acts as the executive agency for the NCA, and all military forces report through it to the NCA. The Chief of the General Staff (CGS), with NCA approval, defines the theater in which the Armed Forces will conduct the military campaign and its subordinate operations. He determines the task organization of forces to accomplish the operational-level missions that support the overall campaign plan. He also determines whether it will be necessary to form more than one theater headquarters. For most campaigns, there will be only one theater, and the CGS will serve as theater commander, thus eliminating one echelon of command at the strategic level.

In wartime, the MOD and the General Staff combine to form the Supreme High Command (SHC). The Operations Directorate continues to review the military SCP and modify it or develop new plans based on guidance from the CGS, who commands the SHC. It generates options and contingency plans for various situations that may arise. Once the CGS approves a particular plan for a particular strategic goal, he issues it to the appropriate operational-level commanders.

The military SCP directs operational-level military forces, and each command identified in the SCP prepares an operation plan that supports the execution of its role in that SCP. The SCP assigns forces to operational-level commands and designates areas of responsibility (AORs) for those commands.

Strategic Operations

What the State calls “strategic operations” is actually a universal strategic course of action the State would use to deal with all situations—in peacetime and war, against all kinds of opponents, potential opponents, or neutral parties. Strategic operations involve the application of any or all of the four instruments of national power at the direction of the national-level decision makers in the NCA. They occur throughout a strategic campaign. The nature of strategic operations at any particular time corresponds to the conditions perceived by the NCA. These operations differ from the other operations of a strategic campaign in that they are not limited to wartime and can transcend the region.

Strategic operations typically target elements that constitute the enemy’s strategic centers of gravity—such as soldiers’ and leaders’ confidence, political and diplomatic decisions, public opinion, the interests of private institutions, national will, and the collective will and commitment of alliances and coalitions. National will is not just the will to fight, but also the will to intervene by other than military means.

The State will employ all means available against the enemy’s centers of gravity: diplomatic initiatives, information warfare (IW), economic pressure, terrorist attacks, State-sponsored insurgency, direct action by special- purpose forces (SPF), long-range precision fires, and even weapons of mass destruction (WMD) against selected targets. These efforts often place non- combatants at risk and aim to apply diplomatic-political, economic, and psychological pressure by allowing the enemy no sanctuary.

Strategic operations occur continuously, from prior to the outbreak of war to the post-war period. They can precede war, with the aim of deterring other regional actors from actions counter to the State’s interests or compelling such actors to yield to the State’s will. Before undertaking regional operations, the State lays plans to prevent outside intervention in the region. During the course of regional operations, the State uses strategic operations primarily in defensive ways, in order to prevent other parties from becoming involved in what it regards as purely regional affairs. At this point, the State relies primarily on diplomatic-political, informational, and economic means in a peacetime mode in relation to parties with whom it is not at war.

If preclusion of outside intervention is not possible, the State continues to employ strategic operations while conducting transition and adaptive operations. With the beginning of transition operations, the military aspects of strategic operations become more aggressive, while the State continues to apply other instruments of power to the full extent possible. The aim becomes getting the extraregional force to leave or stop deploying additional forces into the region. Successful strategic operations can bring the war to an end.

Once war begins, strategic operations become an important, powerful component of the State’s strategy for total war using “all means necessary.” What the various instruments of power do and which ones dominate in strategic operations at a given time depends on the same circumstances that dictate shifts from regional through transition to adaptive operations. In most cases, the diplomatic-political, informational, and economic means tend to dominate. During strategic operations, military means are most often used to complement those other instruments of national power. For example, the military means are likely to be used against key political or economic centers or tangible targets whose destruction affects intangible centers of gravity, rather than against military targets for purely military objectives.

Even within the military instrument of power, actions considered part of strategic operations require a conscious, calculated decision and direction or authorization by the NCA. It may not be readily apparent to outside parties whether specific military actions are part of strategic operations or another strategic course of action occurring simultaneously. In fact, one action could conceivably fulfill both purposes. For example, a demoralizing military defeat that could affect the enemy’s strategic centers of gravity could also be a defeat from an operational or tactical viewpoint. In other cases, a particular action on the battlefield might not make sense from a tactical or operational viewpoint, but could achieve a strategic purpose. Its purpose may be to inflict mass casualties or destroy high-visibility enemy systems in order to weaken the enemy’s national will to continue the intervention.

Regional Operations

The State possesses an overmatch in most, and sometimes all, elements of power against regional opponents. It is able to employ that power in a conventional operational design focused on offensive action. A weaker regional neighbor may not actually represent a threat to the State, but rather an opportunity that the State can exploit.

To seize territory or otherwise expand its influence in the region, the State must destroy a regional enemy’s will and capability to continue the fight. It will attempt to achieve strategic political or military decision or achieve specific regional goals as rapidly as possible, in order to preclude regional alliances or outside intervention.

During regional operations, the State relies on its continuing strategic operations to preclude or control outside intervention. It tries to keep foreign perceptions of its actions during a regional conflict below the threshold that will invite in extraregional forces. The State wants to win the regional conflict, but has to be careful how it does so. It works to prevent development of international consensus for intervention and to create doubt among possible participants. Still, at the very outset of regional operations, it lays plans and positions forces to conduct access-control operations in the event of outside intervention.

At the military level, regional operations are combined arms, joint, interagency, and/or multinational operations. They are conducted in the State’s region and, at least at the outset, against a weaker regional opponent. The State’s doctrine, organization, capabilities, and national security strategy allow the OPFOR to deal with regional threats and opportunities primarily through offensive action.

The State designs its military forces and employs an investment strategy that ensures superiority in conventional military power over any of its regional neighbors. Regionally-focused operations typically involve “conventional” patterns of operation. However, the term conventional does not mean that the OPFOR will use only conventional forces and conventional weapons in such a conflict, nor does it mean that the OPFOR will not use some adaptive approaches.

Transition Operations

Transition operations serve as a pivotal point between regional and adaptive operations. The transition may go in either direction. The fact that the State begins transition operations does not necessarily mean that it must complete the transition from regional to adaptive operations (or vice versa). As conditions allow or dictate, the “transition” could end with the State conducting the same type of operations as before the shift to transition operations.

The State conducts transition operations when other regional and/or extraregional forces threaten the State’s ability to continue regional operations in a conventional design against the original regional enemy. At the point of shifting to transition operations, the State still has the ability to exert all instruments of national power against an overmatched regional enemy. Indeed, it may have already defeated its original adversary. However, its successful actions in regional operations have prompted either other regional actors or an extraregional actor to contemplate intervention. The State will use all means necessary to preclude or defeat intervention.

Although the State would prefer to achieve its strategic goals through regional operations, an SCP has the flexibility to change and adapt if required. Since the State assumes the possibility of extraregional intervention, any SCP will already contain thorough plans for transition operations, as well as adaptive operations, if necessary.

When an extraregional force starts to deploy into the region, the balance of power begins to shift away from the State. Although the State may not yet be overmatched, it faces a developing threat it will not be able to handle with normal, “conventional” patterns of operation designed for regional conflict. Therefore, the State must begin to adapt its operations to the changing threat.

While the State and the OPFOR as a whole are in the condition of transition operations, an operational- or tactical-level commander will still receive a mission statement in plans and orders from higher headquarters stating the purpose of his actions. To accomplish that purpose and mission, he will use as much as he can of the conventional patterns of operation that were available to him during regional operations and as much as he has to of the more adaptive-type approaches dictated by the presence of an extraregional force.

Even extraregional forces may be vulnerable to “conventional” operations during the time they require to build combat power and create support at home for their intervention. Against an extraregional force that either could not fully deploy or has been successfully separated into isolated elements, the OPFOR may still be able to use some of the more conventional patterns of operation. The State will not shy away from the use of military means against an advanced extraregional opponent so long as the risk is commensurate with potential gains.

Transition operations serve as a means for the State to retain the initiative and still pursue its overall strategic goal of regional expansion despite its diminishing advantage in the balance of power. From the outset, one part of the set of specific goals for any strategic campaign was the goal to defeat any outside intervention or prevent it from fully materializing. As the State begins transition operations, its immediate goal is preservation of its instruments of power while seeking to set conditions that will allow it to transition back to regional operations. Transition operations feature a mixture of offensive and defensive actions that help the OPFOR control the strategic tempo while changing the nature of conflict to something for which the intervening force is unprepared. Transition operations can also buy time for the State’s strategic operations to succeed.

There are two possible outcomes to transition operations. If the extraregional force suffers sufficient losses or for other reasons must withdraw from the region, the OPFOR’s operations may begin to transition back to regional operations, again becoming primarily offensive. If the extraregional force is not compelled to withdraw and continues to build up power in the region, the OPFOR’s transition operations may begin to gravitate in the other direction, toward adaptive operations.

Adaptive Operations

Generally, the State conducts adaptive operations as a consequence of intervention from outside the region. Once an extraregional force intervenes with sufficient power to overmatch the State, the full conventional design used in regionally-focused operations is no longer sufficient to deal with this threat. The State has developed its doctrine, organization, capabilities, and strategy with an eye toward dealing with both regional and extraregional opponents. It has already planned how it will adapt to this new and changing threat and has included this adaptability in its doctrine.

The State’s immediate goal is survival—as a regime and as a nation. However, its long-term goal is still the expansion of influence within its region. In the State’s view, this goal is only temporarily thwarted by the extraregional intervention. Accordingly, planning for adaptive operations focuses on effects over time. The State believes that patience is its ally and an enemy of the extraregional force and its intervention in regional affairs.

The State believes that adaptive operations can lead to several possible outcomes. If the results do not completely resolve the conflict in the State’s favor, they may at least allow the State to return to regional operations. Even a stalemate may be a victory for the State, as long as it preserves enough of its instruments of power to preserve the regime and lives to fight another day.

When an extraregional power intervenes with sufficient force to overmatch the State’s, the OPFOR has to adapt its patterns of operation. It still has the same forces and technology that were available to it for regional operations, but must use them in creative and adaptive ways. It has already thought through how it will adapt to this new or changing threat in general terms. (See Principles of Operation Versus an Extraregional Power below.) It has already developed appropriate branches and sequels to its basic SCP and does not have to rely on improvisation. During the course of combat, it will make further adaptations, based on experience and opportunity.

Even with the intervention of an advanced extraregional power, the State will not cede the initiative. It will employ military means so long as this does not either place the regime at risk or risk depriving it of sufficient force to remain a regional power after the extraregional intervention is over. The primary objectives are to preserve combat power, to degrade the enemy’s will and capability to fight, and to gain time for aggressive strategic operations to succeed.

The OPFOR will seek to conduct adaptive operations in circumstances, opportunities, and terrain that optimize its own capabilities and degrade those of the enemy. It will employ a force that is optimized for the terrain or for a specific mission. For example, it will use its antitank capability, tied to obstacles and complex terrain, inside a defensive structure designed to absorb the enemy’s momentum and fracture his organizational framework.

The types of adaptive actions that characterize “adaptive operations” at the strategic level can also serve the OPFOR well in regional or transition operations—at least at the tactical and operational levels. However, once an extraregional force becomes fully involved in the conflict, the OPFOR will conduct adaptive actions more frequently and on a larger scale.

Principles of Operations Versus an Extraregional Power

The State assumes the distinct possibility of intervention by a major extraregional power in any regional conflict. Consequently, it has devised the following principles for applying its various instruments of diplomatic- political, informational, economic, and military power against this type of threat.

Control Access Into Region

Extraregional enemies capable of achieving overmatch against the State must first enter the region using power-projection capabilities. Therefore, the State’s force design and investment strategy is focused on access control—to selectively deny, delay, and disrupt entry of extraregional forces into the region and to force them to keep their operating bases beyond continuous operational reach. This is the easiest manner of preventing the accumulation of enemy combat power in the region and thus defeating a technologically superior enemy.

Access-control operations are continuous throughout a strategic campaign and can reach beyond the theater as defined by the State’s NCA. They begin even before the extraregional power declares its intent to come into the region, and continue regardless of whether the State is conducting regional, transition, or adaptive operations. Access-control operations come in three basic forms: strategic preclusion, operational exclusion, and access limitation.

Strategic Preclusion

Strategic preclusion seeks to completely deter extraregional involvement or severely limit its scope and intensity. The State would attempt to achieve strategic preclusion in order to reduce the influence of the extraregional power or to improve its own regional or international standing. It would employ all its instruments of power to preclude direct involvement by the extraregional power. Actions can take many forms and often contain several lines of operation working simultaneously.

The primary target of strategic preclusion is the extraregional power’s national will. First, the State would conduct diplomatic and perception management activities aimed at influencing regional, transnational, and world opinion. This could either break apart ad hoc coalitions or allow the State to establish a coalition of its own or at least gain sympathy. For example, the State might use a disinformation campaign to discredit the legitimacy of diplomatic and economic sanctions imposed upon it. The extraregional power’s economy and military would be secondary targets, with both practical and symbolic goals. This might include using global markets and international financial systems to disrupt the economy of the extraregional power, or conducting physical and information attacks against critical economic centers. Similarly, the military could be attacked indirectly by disrupting its power projection, mobilization, and training capacity. Preclusive actions are likely to increase in intensity and scope as the extraregional power moves closer to military action. If strategic preclusion fails, the State will turn to operational methods that attempt to limit the scope of extraregional involvement or cause it to terminate quickly.

Operational Exclusion

Operational exclusion seeks to selectively deny an extraregional force the use of or access to forward bases of operation within the region or even outside the theater defined by the NCA. For example, through diplomacy, economic or political connections, information campaigns, and/or hostile actions, the State might seek to deny the enemy the use of bases in other foreign nations. It might also attack population and economic centers for the intimidation effect, using long-range surface-to-surface missiles (SSMs), WMD, or SPF.

Forces originating in the enemy’s homeland must negotiate long and difficult air and surface lines of communication (LOCs) merely to reach the region. Therefore, the State will use any means at its disposal to also attack the enemy forces along routes to the region, at transfer points en route, at aerial and sea ports of embarkation (APOEs and SPOEs), and even at their home stations. These are fragile and convenient targets in support of transi- tion and adaptive operations.

Access Limitation

Access limitation seeks to affect an extraregional enemy’s ability to introduce forces into the theater. Access-control operations do not necessarily have to deny the enemy access entirely. A more realistic goal is to limit or interrupt access into the theater in such a way that the State’s forces are capable of dealing with them. By controlling the amount of force or limiting the options for force introduction, the State can create conditions that place its conventional capabilities on a par with those of an extraregional force. Capability is measured in terms of what the enemy can bring to bear in the theater, rather than what the enemy possesses.

The State’s goal is to limit the enemy’ accumulation of applicable combat power to a level and to locations that do not threaten the accomplishment of a strategic campaign. This may occur through many methods. For example, the State may be able to limit or interrupt the enemy’s deployment through actions against his aerial and sea ports of debarkation (APODs and SPODs) in the region. Hitting such targets also has political and psychological value. The State will try to disrupt and isolate enemy forces that are in the region or coming into it, so that it can destroy them piecemeal. It might exploit and manipulate international media to paint foreign intervention in a poor light, decrease international resolve, and affect the force mix and rules of engagement (ROE) of the deploying extraregional forces.

Employ Operational Shielding

The State will use any means necessary to protect key elements of its combat power from destruction by an extraregional force—particularly by air and missile forces. This protection may come from use of any or all of the following:

  • Complex terrain.
  • Noncombatants.
  • Risk of unacceptable collateral damage.
  • Countermeasure systems.
  • Dispersion.
  • Fortifications.
  • IW.

Operational shielding generally cannot protect the entire force for an extended time period. Rather, the State will seek to protect selected elements of its forces for enough time to gain the freedom of action necessary to prosecute important elements of a strategic campaign.

Control Tempo

The OPFOR initially employs rapid tempo to conclude regional operations before an extraregional force can be introduced. It will also use rapid tempo to set conditions for access-control operations before the extraregional force can establish a foothold in the region. Once it has done that, it needs to be able to control the tempo—to ratchet it up or down, as is advantageous to its own operational or tactical plans.

During the initial phases of an extraregional enemy’s entry into the region, the OPFOR may employ a high operational tempo. Taking advantage of the weaknesses inherent in enemy power projection, it seeks to terminate the conflict quickly before main enemy forces can be brought to bear. If the OPFOR cannot end the conflict quickly, it may take steps to slow the tempo and prolong the conflict, taking advantage of enemy lack of commitment over time.

Cause Politically Unacceptable Casualties

The OPFOR will try to inflict highly visible and embarrassing losses on enemy forces to weaken the enemy’s domestic resolve and national will to sustain the deployment or conflict. Modern wealthy nations have shown an apparent lack of commitment over time, and sensitivity to domestic  and world opinion in relation to conflict and seemingly needless casualties.

The OPFOR has the advantage of disproportionate interests: the extraregional power may have limited objectives and only casual interest in the conflict, while the State approaches it from the perspective of total war and a threat to its aspirations or even to its national survival. The State is willing to commit all means necessary, for as long as necessary, to achieve its strategic goals. Compared to the extraregional enemy, the State stands more willing to absorb higher military and civilian casualties in order to achieve victory. It will try to influence public opinion in the enemy’s homeland to the effect that the goal of intervention is not worth the cost.

Neutralize Technological Overmatch

Against an extraregional force, the OPFOR will forego massed formations, patterned echelonment, and linear operations that would present easy targets for such an enemy. It will hide and disperse its forces in areas where complex terrain limits the enemy’s ability to apply his full range of technological capabilities. However, the OPFOR can rapidly mass forces and fires from these dispersed locations for decisive combat at the time and place of its own choosing.

Another way to operate on the margins of enemy technology is to maneuver during periods of reduced exposure. The OPFOR trains its forces to operate in adverse weather, limited visibility, rugged terrain, and urban environments that shield them from the effects of the enemy’s high-technology weapons and deny the enemy the full benefits of his advanced reconnaissance, intelligence, surveillance, and target acquisition (RISTA) systems.

Modern militaries rely upon information and information systems to plan and conduct operations. For this reason, the OPFOR will conduct extensive information attacks and other offensive IW actions. It can also use the enemy’s robust array of RISTA systems against him. A sophisticated enemy’s large numbers of sensors can overwhelm subordinate units’ ability to receive, process, and analyze raw intelligence data and to provide timely and accurate intelligence analysis. The OPFOR can add to this saturation problem by using deception to flood enemy sensors with masses of conflicting information. Conflicting data from different sensors at different levels (such as satellite imagery conflicting with data from unmanned aerial vehicles) can confuse the enemy and degrade his situational awareness.

The OPFOR will concentrate its own RISTA, maneuver, and fire support means on the destruction of high-visibility (flagship) enemy systems. This offers exponential value in terms of increasing the  relative combat power of the OPFOR and also maximizes effects in the information and psychological arenas. Losses among these premier systems may not only degrade operational capability, but also undermine enemy morale. Thus, attacks against such targets are not always linked to military objectives.

Change the Nature of Conflict

The OPFOR will try to change the nature of conflict to exploit the differences between friendly and enemy capabilities. Following an initial period of regionally-focused conventional operations and utilizing the opportunity afforded by phased enemy deployment, the OPFOR will change its operations to focus on preserving combat power and exploiting enemy ROE. This shift in the focus of operations will present the fewest targets possible to the rapidly growing combat power of the enemy. Also, the OPFOR or affiliated forces can use terror tactics against enemy civilians or soldiers not directly connected to the intervention as a device to change the fundamental nature of the conflict.

Against early-entry forces, the OPFOR may still be able to use the design it employed in previous operations against regional opponents, particularly if access-control operations have been successful. However, as the extraregional force builds up to the point where it threatens to overmatch the OPFOR, the OPFOR is prepared to disperse its forces and employ them in patternless operations that present a battlefield that is difficult for the enemy to analyze and predict.

The OPFOR may hide and disperse its forces in areas of sanctuary. The sanctuary may be physical, often located in urban areas or other complex terrain that limits or degrades the capabilities of enemy systems. However, the OPFOR may also use moral sanctuary by placing its forces in areas shielded by civilians or close to sites that are culturally, politically, economically, or ecologically sensitive. It will defend in sanctuaries when necessary. However, units of the OPFOR will move out of sanctuaries and attack when they can create a window of opportunity or when opportunity is presented by physical or natural conditions that limit or degrade the enemy’s systems.

OPFOR units do not avoid contact; rather, they often seek contact, but on their own terms. Their preferred tactics under these conditions would be the ambush and raid as a means of avoiding decisive combat with superior forces. They will also try to mass fires from dispersed locations to destroy key enemy systems or formations. However, when an opportunity presents itself, the OPFOR can rapidly mass forces and execute decisive combat.

Allow No Sanctuary

Along with dispersion, decoys, and deception, the OPFOR uses urban areas and other complex terrain as sanctuary from the effects of enemy forces. Meanwhile, its intent is to deny enemy forces the use of such terrain. This forces the enemy to operate in areas where the OPFOR’s long-range fires and strikes can be more effective.

The OPFOR seeks to deny enemy forces safe haven during every phase of a deployment and as long as they are in the region. It is prepared to attack enemy forces anywhere on the battlefield, as well as to his strategic depth. The resultant drain on manpower and resources to provide adequate force-protection measures can reduce the enemy’s strategic, operational, and tactical means to conduct war and erode his national will to sustain conflict. The goal is to present the enemy with a nonlinear, simultaneous battlefield. Such actions will not only deny the enemy sanctuary, but also weaken his national will, particularly if the OPFOR or affiliated forces can strike targets in the enemy’s homeland.

OPFOR Military and Operational Art

The OPFOR embraces the concept that military strategy and operations are an important part, but not the whole, of the conduct of war. Military strategy is not separate from politics and political leadership but a means to support the State in achieving its political objectives. The national security strategy is essentially a political document that sets forth the goals of the State and informs military strategists. It is their responsibility to  build, train, and employ forces for the purpose of achieving those political goals.

When the political leadership makes the decision to employ military forces to achieve a goal, the military strategy for that employment is closely associated with diplomatic-political, informational, and economic strategies to bring about a favorable political result. Thus, the military leadership requires a broad understanding of the overall national strategy, and the political leadership needs an understanding of the capabilities and limitations of the military.

Military Strategy

The OPFOR views military strategy as the art of developing the ways and means for the application of military power to achieve State objectives. Ways and means encompass the threatened or actual use of force. Military doctrine describes fundamental principles and provides guidelines for the use of military forces in pursuit of national objectives.

Military and operational art is the theory and practice of conducting armed conflict. It recognizes that war is a human endeavor and therefore not amenable to quantifiable formulas that limit thinking and lead to unimaginative and predictable solutions. It is the intellectual and intuitive synthesis of military doctrine, military science, and intangibles to address the problem at hand. Military science is not discarded but, like military doctrine, is seen as providing tools that support the practice of military art. The single, most important ingredient in the practice of military strategy, and of military and operational art, is the commander. The commander who develops creative solutions to military problems is highly valued.

The study and analysis of political and military history has an important place in the development of OPFOR military thought and doctrine. The OPFOR views the role of history and past experience as one that provides insights and observations into the present and future conduct of war. It is a significant source for the development of new and adaptive ways of conducting military operations. The OPFOR has developed an effective method for identifying, analyzing, validating, and applying new concepts. It is an interactive process that establishes a partnership between military colleges and civilian institutions on one side and the active force on the other.

Operational Art

Operational art links tactics and strategy to form a coherent structure for the conduct of war. Some strategists have traditionally expressed operational art as the sequencing of battles and engagements so that the collective outcomes will produce a specified military condition in a theater. Others describe operational art as the blending of direct and indirect approaches to achieve necessary conditions in a theater. The OPFOR has developed a style of operational art that is an amalgam of both theories, capturing the best from each.

No particular level of command is uniquely concerned with operational art. The Chief of the General Staff and the theater commander(s) normally plan and direct strategic and theater campaigns, respectively, while field group and operational-strategic command (OSC) commanders normally design the major operations of a campaign. The OPFOR recognizes the classic division of warfare between the strategic, operational, and tactical levels. However, the boundaries between these levels are not associated so much with particular levels of command as with the effect or contribution to achieving strategic, operational, or tactical objectives.

Operational Art and The National Security Strategy

As discussed earlier in this chapter, the national security strategy can involve four types of strategic-level actions: strategic, regional, transition, and adaptive operations. In specific terms, OPFOR operational art consists of the sequencing of the actions of military forces to attain strategic goals set forth within and across this spectrum of strategic-level actions. In practical terms, this is expressed in the strategic campaign plan.

Regional operations are largely conventional actions against a less capable force. While dealing with such a regional opponent primarily through offensive means, the State employs its economic, informational, and diplomatic-political instruments of power in a peacetime, “defensive” mode against other regional and extraregional parties with whom it is not at war. This overall strategy constitutes a “strategic defense” that supports the offensive military operations being conducted in the region while seeking to preclude outside involvement. The practitioner of operational art must insure that his plan for use of forces is congruent with the aims of the SCP and vice versa. The soldier does not view the proper, coordinated use of these other instruments of power as a hindrance. From his perspective, their use to influence an extraregional power not to commit forces or to delay their commitment is the equivalent of having extra divisions.

Transition and particularly adaptive operations are at the core of what makes OPFOR military and operational art distinctive, if not unique. The political and military leadership recognizes that attempts to achieve national strategic goals through the use of force can result in a military response from within and outside the region. Strategic plans take this possibility into account and, depending on the degree of risk, contingencies are planned to account for such an eventuality.

Applying the principles of operation versus an extraregional power, (discussed earlier in this chapter) and taking a “systems warfare” approach, the State and the OPFOR seek to develop contingency plans that transition to a “strategic offense” while conducting military operations that are, at least initially, defensive in nature. The purpose of the strategy is to disaggregate the enemy’s elements of power through the conduct of strategic operations, while seeking to disaggregate his combat systems at the operational level. The ultimate goal is to exhaust the enemy and destroy his will to continue the fight.

In preparing contingency plans, the political and military leadership conducts a detailed analysis to determine major actions that might be taken by an intervening force to mobilize, deploy, and operate within the region. Using this analysis (which is continually updated) and the assessed risk, they further refine the plan. Actions to support the plan, prior to its execution, could include increasing the readiness of units, organizations, and industry required to support an intervention scenario. Other actions could include pre-positioning forces, weapons, and logistics to those areas that support the contingency plan. Plans for strategic operations in support of transition and adaptive operations are developed while the military operational planners continue to plan for the employment of tactical forces to achieve the aims set forth in the strategy. All of this is set against a matrix that identifies key events that would trigger execution of the contingency.

Inherent in the concept of adaptive operations is the idea that the operational planner assigns missions and arrays tactical forces in such a way to support the operation. Although the tactical commander will understand, from a conceptual context, that he is involved in adaptive operations, from a tactical perspective that will be transparent. It is through the manner in which the operational commander arrays and employs his forces that adaptive operations are achieved. Tactical commanders are adaptive in the sense that they have the flexibility within the missions assigned by the operational commander and within the techniques and procedures they develop to more effectively accomplish those missions.

The OPFOR includes in its planning and execution the use of paramilitary forces. It is important to stress that, with the exception of internal security forces, those paramilitary organizations that are not part of the State structure and do not necessarily share the State’s views on national security strategy.

The Role of Paramilitary and Irregular Forces in Operations

Paramilitary forces are those organizations that are distinct from the regular armed forces but resemble them in organization, equipment, training, or purpose. Basically, any organization that accomplishes its purpose, even partially, through the force of arms is considered a paramilitary organization. These organizations can be part of the government infrastructure or operate outside of the government or any institutionalized controlling authority.

In consonance with the concept of “all means necessary,” the OPFOR views these organizations as assets that can be used to its advantage in time of war. Within its own structure, the OPFOR has formally established this concept by assigning the Internal Security Forces, part of the Ministry of the Interior in peacetime, to the SHC during wartime. Additionally, the OPFOR cultivates relationships with and covertly supports nongovernment paramilitary organizations to achieve common goals while at peace and to have a high degree of influence on them when at war.

The primary paramilitary organizations are the Internal Security Forces, insurgents, terrorists, and drug and criminal organizations. The degree of control the OPFOR has over these organizations varies from absolute, in the case of the Internal Security Forces, to tenuous when dealing with terrorist and drug and criminal organizations. In the case of those organizations not formally tied to the OPFOR structure, control can be enhanced through the exploitation of common interests and ensuring that these organizations see personal gain in supporting OPFOR goals.

The OPFOR views the creative use of these organizations as a means of providing depth and continuity to its operations. A single attack by a terrorist group will not in itself win the war. However, the use of paramilitary organizations to carry out a large number of planned actions, in support of strategy and operations, can play an important part in assisting the OPFOR in achieving its goals. These actions, taken in conjunction with other adaptive actions, can also supplement a capability degraded due to enemy superiority.

Internal Security Forces

The Internal Security Forces subordinated to the SHC provide support zone security and collect information on foreign organizations and spies. They perform civil population control functions and ensure the loyalty of mobilized militia forces. Some units are capable of tactical-level defensive actions if required. These basic tasks are not all-inclusive, and within their capability these forces can perform a multitude of tasks limited only by the commander’s imagination. While performing these functions, the Internal Security Forces may be operating within their own hierarchy of command, or they may be assigned a dedicated command relationship within an OSC or one of its tactical subordinates.

During regional operations, the Internal Security Forces may serve to control the population situated in newly seized territory. They are an excellent source of human intelligence and can provide security for key sites located in the support zones. The Internal Security Forces can either augment or replace regular military organizations in all aspects of prisoner-of-war processing and control. While continuing their normal tasks in the homeland, they can assist regular military organizations in the areas of traffic control and regulation.

During transition operations, the Internal Security Forces evacuate important political and military prisoners to safe areas where they can continue to serve as important sources of information or means of negotiation. Traffic control and the security of key bridges and infrastructure take on a higher level of importance as the OPFOR repositions and moves forces transitioning to adaptive operations. The Internal Security Forces can continue to gather intelligence from the local population and assist in mobilizing civilians in occupied territory for the purpose of augmenting OPFOR engineer labor requirements. Finally, the use of qualified personnel to stay behind as intelligence gatherers and liaison with insurgent, terrorist, and criminal organizations can provide the OPFOR an increased capability during the adaptive operations that follow.

Especially important in the conduct of adaptive operations is the ability of the Internal Security Forces to free up regular military organizations that can contribute directly to the fight. The security of support zones within an OSC area of responsibility is just one example of this concept. Where necessary, some units can augment the defense or defend less critical areas, thus freeing up regular military forces for higher-priority tasks. Stay-behind agents working with insurgent, terrorist, and criminal organizations can contribute by directing preplanned actions that effectively add depth to the battlefield. Their actions can cause material damage to key logistics and command and control (C2) assets, inflict random but demoralizing casualties, and effectively draw enemy forces away from the main fight in response to increased force-protection requirements.

Insurgent Forces

The OPFOR ensures that the exploitation and use of insurgent forces operating against and within neighboring countries is an integral part of its strategic and operational planning. Insurgent forces, properly leveraged, can provide an added dimension to the OPFOR’s capabilities and provide options not otherwise available. During peacetime, a careful balance is kept between covert support for insurgent groups that may prove useful later and overt relations with the government against which the insurgents are operating.

During peacetime, support to insurgents can consist of weapons, staging and sanctuary areas within the State, and training by OPFOR SPF. It is during this time that the OPFOR attempts to cultivate the loyalty and trust of insurgent groups they have identified as having potential usefulness in their strategic and operational planning. In all operations of the strategic campaign, insurgent forces serve as an excellent source of intelligence.

During the conduct of regional operations, the decision to influence insurgents to execute actions that support operations will depend on a number of factors. If the OPFOR views extraregional intervention as unlikely, it may choose to keep insurgent participation low. A key reason for making this decision is the potential for those forces to become an opponent once the OPFOR has accomplished its goals. On the other hand, the OPFOR may plan to have these groups take part in directly supporting its operations in anticipation of further support in the case of an extraregional intervention. Insurgent involvement during regional operations may be held to furthering OPFOR IW objectives by creating support for the State’s actions among the population, harassing and sniping enemy forces, conducting raids, and assassinating politicians who are influential opponents of the State. Insurgents can also serve as scouts or guides for OPFOR regular forces moving through unfamiliar terrain and serve as an excellent source of political and military intelligence.

The usefulness of insurgent forces can be considerable in the event of extraregional intervention and the decision to transition to adaptive operations. During transition operations, insurgent forces can support access-control operations to deny enemy forces access to the region or at least delay their entry. Delay provides the OPFOR more time to conduct an orderly transition and to reposition its forces for the conduct of adaptive operations. The principal means of support include direct action in the vicinity of APODs and SPODs and along LOCs in the enemy’s rear area. Dispersed armed action for the sole purpose of creating casualties can have a demoralizing effect and cause the enemy to respond, thus drawing forces from his main effort. OPFOR regular forces can coordinate with insurgents, supported by SPF advisors, to execute a variety of actions that support the strategic campaign or a particular operation plan. Insurgents can support deception by drawing attention from an action the OPFOR is trying to cover or conceal. They can delay the introduction of enemy reserves through ambush and indirect fire, cause the commitment of valuable force-protection assets, or deny or degrade the enemy’s use of rotary-wing assets through raids on forward arming and refueling points and maintenance facilities.

Terrorist and Criminal Organizations

Through the use of intelligence professionals and covert means, the OPFOR maintains contact with and to varying degrees supports terrorist and criminal organizations. During peacetime, these organizations can be useful, and in time of war they can provide an added dimension to OPFOR strategy and operations.

Although the OPFOR recognizes that these groups vary in reliability, it constantly assesses both their effectiveness and usefulness. It develops relationships with those organizations that have goals, sympathies, and interests congruent with those of the State. In time of war, it can encourage and materially support criminal organizations to commit actions that contribute to the breakdown of civil control within a neighboring country. It can provide support for the distribution and sale of drugs to enemy military forces, which creates both morale and discipline problems within those organizations. The production of counterfeit currency and attacks on financial institutions help to weaken the enemy’s economic stability. Coordination with and support of terrorists to attack political and military leaders and commit acts of sabotage against key infrastructure (such as ports, airfields, and fuel supplies) add to the variety and number of threats that the enemy must address. The State and OPFOR leadership also have the ability to promote and support the spread of these same kinds of terrorist acts outside the region. However, they must carefully consider the political and domestic impact of these actions before making the decision to execute them.

Systems Warfare

The OPFOR defines a system as a set of different elements so connected or related as to perform a unique function not performable by the elements or components alone. The essential ingredients of a system include the components, the synergy among components and other systems, and some type of functional boundary separating it from other systems. Therefore, a “system of systems” is a set of different systems so connected or related as to produce results unachievable by the individual systems alone. The OPFOR views the operational environment, the battlefield, the State’s own instruments of power, and an opponent’s instruments of power as a collection of complex, dynamic, and integrated systems composed of subsystems and components.

Systems warfare serves as a conceptual and analytical tool to assist in the planning, preparation, and execution of warfare. With the systems approach, the intent is to identify critical system components and attack them in a way that will degrade or destroy the use or importance of the overall system.

Principle

The primary principle of systems warfare is the identification and isolation of the critical subsystems or components that give the opponent the capability and cohesion to achieve his aims. The focus is on the disaggregation of the system by rendering its subsystems and components ineffective. While the aggregation of these subsystems or components is what makes the overall system work, the interdependence of these subsystems is also a potential vulnerability. Systems warfare has applicability or impact at all three levels of warfare.

Application at the Strategic Level

At the strategic level, the instruments of power and their application are the focus of analysis. National power is a system of systems in which the instruments of national power work together to create a synergistic effect. Each instrument of power (diplomatic-political, informational, economic, and military) is also a collection of complex and interrelated systems.

The State clearly understands how to analyze and locate the critical components of its own instruments of power and will aggressively aim to protect its own systems from attack or vulnerabilities. It also understands that an adversary’s instruments of power are similar to the State’s. Thus, at the strategic level, the State can use the OPFOR and its other instruments of power to counter or target the systems and subsystems that make up an opponent’s instruments of power. The primary purpose is to subdue, control, or change the opponent’s behavior.

If an opponent’s strength lies in his military power, the State and the OPFOR can attack the other instruments of power as a means of disaggregating or disrupting the enemy’s system of national power. Thus, it is possible to render the overall system ineffective without necessarily having to defeat the opponent militarily.

Application at the Operational Level

At the operational level, the application of systems warfare pertains only to the use of armed forces to achieve a result. Therefore, the “system of systems” in question at this level is the combat system of the OPFOR and/or the enemy.

Combat System

A combat system (see Figure 1-5) is the “system of systems” that results from the synergistic combination of four basic subsystems that are integrated to achieve a military function. The subsystems are as follows:

  • Combat forces (such as main battle tanks, IFVs and/or APCs, or infantry).
  • Combat support forces (such as artillery, SSMs, air defense, engineers, and direct air support).
  • Logistics forces (such as transportation, ammunition, fuel, rations, maintenance, and medical).
  • C2  and RISTA (such as headquarters, signal nodes, satellite downlink sites, and reconnaissance sensors).
Figure 1-5. Combat System
Figure 1-5. Combat System

The combat system is characterized by interaction and interdependence among its subsystems. Therefore, the OPFOR will seek to identify key subsystems of an enemy combat system and target them and destroy them individually. Against a technologically superior extraregional force, the OPFOR will often use any or all subcomponents of its own combat system to attack the most vulnerable parts of the enemy’s combat system rather than the enemy’s strengths. For example, attacking the enemy’s logistics, C2, and RISTA can undermine the overall effectiveness of the enemy’s combat system without having to directly engage his superior combat and combat support forces. Aside from the physical effect, the removal of one or more key subsystems can have a devastating psychological effect, particularly if it occurs in a short span of time.

Planning and Execution

The systems warfare approach to combat is a means to assist the commander in the decision-making process and the planning and execution of his mission. The OPFOR believes that a qualitatively and/or quantitatively weaker force can defeat a superior foe, if the lesser force can dictate the terms of combat. It believes that the systems warfare approach allows it to move away from the traditional attrition-based approach to combat. It is no longer necessary to match an opponent system-for-system or capability-for-capability. Commanders and staffs will locate the critical component(s) of the enemy combat system, patterns of interaction, and opportunities to exploit this connectivity. Systems warfare has applications in both offensive and defensive contexts.

The essential step after the identification of the critical subsystems and components of a combat system is the destruction or degradation of the synergy of the system. This may take the form of total destruction of a subsystem or component, degradation of the synergy of components, or the simple denial of access to critical links between systems or components. The destruction of a critical component or link can create windows of opportunity that can be exploited, set the conditions for offensive action, or support a concept of operation that calls for exhausting the enemy on the battlefield. Once the OPFOR has identified and isolated a critical element of the enemy combat system that is vulnerable to attack, it will select the appropriate method of attack.

Today’s state-of-the-art combat and combat support systems are impressive in their ability to deliver precise attacks at long standoff distances. However, the growing reliance of some extraregional forces on these systems offers opportunity. Attacking critical ground-based C2 and RISTA nodes or logistics systems and LOCs can have a very large payoff for relatively low investment and low risk to the OPFOR. Modern logistics systems assume secure LOCs and voice or digital communications. These characteristics make such systems vulnerable. Therefore, the OPFOR can greatly reduce a military force’s combat power by attacking a logistics system that depends on “just-in-time delivery.”

For the operational commander, the systems warfare approach to combat is not an end in itself. It is a key component in his planning and sequencing of tactical battles and engagements aimed toward achieving assigned strategic goals. Systems warfare supports his concept; it is not the concept. The ultimate aim is to destroy the enemy’s will and ability to fight.

Application at the Tactical Level

It is at the tactical level that systems warfare is executed in attacking the enemy’s combat system. While the tactical commander may use systems warfare in the smaller sense to accomplish assigned missions, his attack on systems will be in response to missions assigned him by the operational commander.

Application Across All Types of Strategic-Level Actions

Systems warfare is applicable against all types of opponents in all strategic-level courses of action. In regional operations, the OPFOR will seek to render a regional opponent’s systems ineffective to support his overall concept of operation. However, this approach is especially conducive to the conduct of transition and adaptive operations. The very nature of this approach lends itself to adaptive and creative options against an adversary’s technological overmatch.

Relationship to the C2 Process

The systems warfare approach to combat is an important part of OPFOR planning. It serves as a means to analyze the OPFOR’s own combat system and how it can use the combined effects of this system to degrade the enemy’s combat system. The OPFOR believes that the approach allows its decision makers to be anticipatory rather than reactive.

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