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Difference between revisions of "Information: Gorgas"

(Created page with "Category:DATE Category:Caucasus Category:Gorgas Category:Information Gorgas has a dynamic and relatively free media environment. Gorgan INFOWAR capability...")
 
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==Satellite Telecommunications==
 
==Satellite Telecommunications==
As a less technologically developed country, Atropia relies on third party satellite services, leasing commercial Ku-band transponders from larger, more developed countries. This capability may also be used to support government and military operations. Analysts assess that Atropia is in the process of developing an independent space program designed to augment economic and commerce functions of the country. However, dual-use technologies that exist would indicate that these satellites could ultimately assist in military operations.
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As a small country, Gorgas relies on third party satellite services and contracts with a larger  satellite company that incorporates a fleet of 31 geostationary satellites utilizing Ku-band transponders.
  
 
==Navigation==
 
==Navigation==
Atropia commercially purchases global positioning receivers that support commercial needs as well as military navigation and targeting operations.
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Gorgas commercially purchases global positioning receivers that support commercial needs as well as military navigation and targeting operations.
  
 
==Public Communications Media==
 
==Public Communications Media==
Public communications media is growing in importance in Atropia, though most major outlets are controlled by the government or by confederates of the president. The exception is the Internet, where relative freedom exists, but government monitoring for anti-government messages occurs. While social media is blossoming, TV remains the most widely available medium.
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With the exception of Ariana’s heavy-handed control of its public communications, the Caucasus region enjoys comparative freedom of the press, within broad content boundaries, policed by relatively soft governmental censorship. Independent press demonstrates significant growth.
  
 
===Internet===
 
===Internet===
The Internet in Atropia exists in a zone relatively free from state interference or censorship, though evidence indicates some limited state filtering and direct monitoring of political content. Despite this relative Internet freedom, mockery of the government by Atropian users recently resulted in arrest and detention. The Atropian government likely takes a view that as long as Internet activity does not threaten Atropian government interests, it is allowed, but mockery or criticism is forbidden.
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According to current statistics, over 28% of Gorgans use the Internet. In the last decade, Internet users in Gorgas grew from 20,000 to 1.3 million people. Combined with increased mobile phone use, Internet use will likely continue to grow. The Gorgan Internet plays an integral role in the country’s political and economic development, but also became key terrain in the recent war against Donovia. Donovia targeted Gorgan Internet operations, and this experience will likely temper Gorgas’ use of the Internet in future military operations. Gorgas, however will probably increase its Internet use   for perception management operations targeted at both domestic and foreign audiences.
 
 
Almost 1.45 million Atropians, or over one in every eight of the Atropian populace, use the Internet. Most users access the Internet from cybercafés or their workplaces, as the cost of computers and the Internet connection ($40-50 per month, compared to an average income of $100 per month) preclude personal Internet connections.
 
 
 
The Atropian government maintains centralized Internet control via two governmental Internet Service Providers (ISPs). They, in turn, distribute bandwidth to over 20 private Internet providers.
 
  
 
===Television===
 
===Television===
Atropians receive the majority of their information through television. While the Atropian government banned rebroadcasts of foreign-produced English language programs by their local television outlets in December 2008 (presumably due to reporting on government fraud and corruption), the authorities do allow Kalarian state television rebroadcasts. Atropians who live along the southern border can also receive spillover from Arianian television stations. Recent reports indicate that 10 television stations operate within Atropia. The top five television networks are:
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Television serves as the major source of information for the vast majority of the Gorgan population. Once primarily state-controlled, Gorgan broadcasters have slowly drifted away from governmental control to a more independent status. Currently, the Gorgan government only directly funds one public television station and also controls TV Gorgas, one of the two major TV networks. Not surprisingly, viewers see TV Gorgas as generally pro-government and, because of that association, TV Gorgas receives better access to government operations such as military maneuvers. Radio/TV Gorgas National operates as the other major Gorgan television outlet—with a history of independence that includes reports unflattering to the government.
 
 
*ASTV - Atropian State TV
 
*PTVA - Atropian Public TV; the Atropian government created PTVA to meet requirements for joining the Council of Europe
 
*National TV Atropi - Private broadcaster
 
*DeepSpaceBroadcasting TV - Private broadcaster; owned by the sister of the president
 
*Atropi Broadcasting System - Private broadcaster; controlled by a cousin of the president
 
 
 
The Atropian television media ownerships’ connections to the highest sectors of government remain quite obvious. Due to the power of broadcast media in elections and the Atropian television stations’ compliant nature, the television media serves as a powerful tool in the hands of the president and most Atropians receive their news through government-controlled sources.
 
  
 
===Radio===
 
===Radio===
A variety of radio stations serve Atropia and include state-run, public radio networks and private stations. Additionally, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty operates Atropian language programming, known as Radio Qaja. Radio Qaja broadcasts over the Internet, via satellite, and over shortwave. Ten FM, 11 AM, and one shortwave station are in operation. The top five radio networks are a combination of private and public broadcasters. In Atropia, even private broadcasts have significant ownership links to the ruling family and are generally unlikely to report adverse material about the government.
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Gorgas operates two national and three regional radio broadcast stations. Radio broadcasts begin at 0600 and conclude at midnight. Programs include news, talk shows, music, and children's programs. FM radio stations broadcast on Radio 2, ACL Radio, Scarlett Band, and NOLE Radio. Gorgas also receives European-sourced programming and locally rebroadcasts it.
  
 
===Print Media===
 
===Print Media===
For a nation of its size, Atropia maintains a remarkably large print media establishment. Significant numbers of magazines, newspapers, and news bureaus exist, but must operate within the limits of politically permissible speech. While a nominal freedom of the press exists within Atropia, watchdog groups chronicled recent incidents of journalists killed or imprisoned for reporting that was critical  of the government or political conditions within Atropia. The Committee to Protect Journalists reports four journalists killed in Atropia and one death while in prison. In addition to governmental interference, the relatively high cost and low print runs of the country’s magazines make them significantly less important in Atropia than broadcast media.
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Though technically private, such publications as the Gorgan-language ''Republican Gorgan'' and the Donovian-language ''United Gorgas'' receive government subsidies, have editors appointed by the president, and serve as official propaganda outlets. Since government agencies must subscribe to ''Republican Gorgan'', its daily circulation reaches 6,000 to 7,000. The ''Republican Gorgan'' covers Gorgan news and summarizes international news. The Gorgan-language ''Tbilisi Times'' serves as the capital city’s newspaper. Several other local newspapers serve Tbilisi, but their circulation and reporting remain unreliable.
 
 
Three major Atropian news bureaus exist and all offer English, Donovian, and Atropian feeds. More importantly, all generally support the Atropian government, especially on issues that involve Limaria.
 
  
A number of magazines offer both online and hard-copy versions. Most print is in the Atropian language, though English language outlets like Baku Post, "Atropian Times", and "Atropian News" exist. Four major Atropian language publications are dominant, though their circulation is primarily among Atropian-speaking expatriates, urban Atropians, and Atropians living abroad.
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Independent newspapers dominate the Gorgan newspaper market. '''''Major publications include the daily''''' ''Gorgan Independence News,'' a popular weekly digest, ''GorgasNOW!'' and a tabloid, ''Click!Gorgas!'' Small newspapers outside the capital struggle to maintain both financial viability and editorial independence. While available, magazines and other periodicals maintain limited circulation due to paper shortages.
  
 
===Telephone===
 
===Telephone===
The Atropian telecommunications infrastructure operates through a combination of recently built cellular components constructed over a framework of trunk architecture. Due to the government’s control of landlines and the long wait for new installation, Atropians usually resort to more expensive cellular phones. Trunk connectivity internationally is slowly moving toward fiber optic, including participation in the Trans-Asia-Europe (TAE) fiber optic line, and away from microwave links.
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While primarily found in the larger cities, Gorgan telephone service remains limited and unreliable, with outdated international connectivity. Public phone use requires city tokens or phone cards that Gorgans can purchase at kiosks or in the central post office, the country’s long-distance provider. Cellular telephones currently remain limited to the larger cities. One international landline connects Gorgas with Donovia and Kalaria. A leased gateway switch located in Donovia provides satellite telephone service.
 
 
The Atropian phone network will unquestionably operate within the cellular realm in the future. Atropian cellular phone use continues to increase. As of this year, 1.5 million fixed phone lines are in operation, versus over 6.4 million mobile subscribers.
 
 
 
Like many countries, the initial investment for cellular phones (towers) compared to landline phones (fiber and wire, connected switches) makes cellular conductivity clearly superior based on normal return on investment criteria. A public pay telephone network does exist in Atropia and consists of traditional pay phones and call offices where an attendant will place a call for a nominal fee. Atropian culture also considers it polite for businesses to offer patrons phone service, if needed.
 
  
 
===Postal/Courier===
 
===Postal/Courier===
The Atropian postal service possesses a reputation for lack of service and reliability. A number of international and local courier companies known for better service exist. These couriers include FEDEX, UPS, and DHL. Capabilities are increasing to support the variety of foreign companies engaged in the oil and gas industry.
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While Gorgas operates a postal system, users consider the government service less reliable than private couriers for important deliveries. Private couriers operate efficiently, with short delivery times along the major Gorgan roads or large cities such as Tbilisi or Poti. Not surprisingly, postal service remains weak or non-existent along the Gorgan borders with South Ostremek and Zabzimek.
  
 
===Word of Mouth===
 
===Word of Mouth===
Word of mouth communication in Atropia remains a common method for rural residents to receive their news and information. Within urban Atropian settings, residents often use short message service (SMS) texting and cell phones to replace face-to-face communication. Combined with social media, this combination of Internet and personal communication will be an increasingly important fixture in Atropia. As communications mature in the country, cell phones will likely become more common in rural Atropia. Religious-based appeals are apt to fail outside of the most conservative rural settings.
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Cell phone technology, especially for the youth and urban dwellers, established SMS as a popular medium. As cell phone technology matures and the price falls, Gorgans will likely supplement their conversations with social media outlets.
  
 
==Information Control==
 
==Information Control==
While the government of Atropia does not directly control information flow, the Atropian state- connected elite creates boundaries of “soft censorship,” where free speech includes everything except discussion of the government. Atropians currently push back against this limited censorship, especially with the new social media, in attempts to avoid direct governmental interference with their freedom of speech. It is likely that the Atropian government allows this limited degree of freedom of speech as the leaders know those with computer access (the urban elite) are unlikely to violently rebel.
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Gorgas traditionally uses the external threat from Donovia to rally support for the Gorgan government and its ruling elites. Fear of Donovian dominion remains omnipresent in many Gorgan TV and radio programs generally controlled by the government or those closely aligned with it. Gorgas will also play up its Western orientation for foreigners of all varieties, part of efforts to bring Western nations into closer alignment to better deter aggressive Donovian activities.
  
 
==INFOWAR==
 
==INFOWAR==
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===Electronic Warfare===
 
===Electronic Warfare===
Generally speaking, the Atropians will operate outdated equipment, such as counter-battery and battlefield surveillance radars. Also, Atropian jammers likely remain relics of earlier buys from Donovians. The possibility exists, however, that improved Atropian relations with Kalaria and Israel could result in newer critical equipment procurement in the future or perhaps limited samples of advanced equipment for operational testing purposes.
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The Gorgan military builds its jammers and sensors around a collection of some outdated and more recently purchased Western equipment. Gorgan OIF and OEF participation likely exposed its forces to a variety of the latest Western electronic warfare (EW) hardware. Additionally, recent close working relations with the Israelis probably created a significant cross-pollination of EW equipment, tactics, and techniques.
  
 
===Computer Attack===
 
===Computer Attack===
While Atropian hackers actively attack Limarian websites, hard data on their identities or Atropian government involvement remains extremely limited and unreliable. While the Limarians claim Atropian government sponsorship of computer attacks, that evidence remains very circumstantial.
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The Gorgans maintain a computer attack capability, but are apt to face significant over-match from their probable regional opponents. After Gorgas received cyber attacks in its recent war with Donovia, Gorgas increased its capabilities significantly with help from its NATO and Israeli allies.
  
 
===Information Attack===
 
===Information Attack===
Atropia maintains a limited information attack (IA) capability with the skill to deface websites or engage in basic tactics like distributed denial of service attacks or basic forensics. When compared to aggressive and capable Donovian or Arianian information attack, it appears doubtful that Atropian capabilities will successively deter those of its larger neighbors. It remains possible that any IA will attempt to compromise similar unsophisticated Limarian systems.
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Gorgas possesses limited information attack (IA) capabilities, but these continue to grow. Gorgas received aggressive IA by a variety of non-state and probable Donovian state actors in its 2008 war. Unclassified studies discussed in depth the various hacker operations for both sides, but neither side was able to conduct any advanced IA. Any IA attacks in 2008 failed or resulted in limited damage to the Gorgan computer system because of lack of a significantly large enough network within the Gorgan military.
 
   
 
   
 
===Deception===
 
===Deception===
Atropia upholds emphasis on battlefield deception. Atropians will likely uses decoys to great effect, and tactically will use feints and other techniques to prevent the determination of the main effort by their adversaries until the last minute. Atropian overseas defense procurement and training has emphasized the acquisition of the latest reconnaissance and deception techniques and tools to improve their capability at executing deception operations.
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Gorgas possesses a limited deception capability, with most resources likely focused on denying Donovian collection efforts. The relative size disparity between Gorgas and Donovia as well as Gorgan experience at the hands of Donovian deep-strike operations probably increased Gorgan  efforts to frustrate the ability of Donovian forces to see and strike Gorgan military assets.
  
 
===Physical Destruction===
 
===Physical Destruction===
Physical destruction probably exists as the most developed of Atropian INFOWAR capabilities, as the Atropians mimicked Donovian doctrine that stressed the neutralization of high-value targets like INFOWAR assets through various strike and fires capabilities. Since Atropia finds its military capabilities about a decade behind the current state of the art, the Atropian ability to neutralize enemy INFOWAR remains limited to other militaries with similar capabilities.
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Since Donovia presents an overmatch in physical destruction capability, the Gorgan military is apt  to only attack sensors in the most critical situations. Gorgas likely possesses few capabilities to conduct deep strikes against INFOWAR targets.
  
 
===Protection and Security Measures===
 
===Protection and Security Measures===
Since so many protection and security measures (PSM) fall under the control of the Atropian Ministry of National Security, it remains probable that 1990s-era security practices continue. The Atropians, through their relationships with the US, probably view the application of integrated Western technology to their systems as a way to safeguard their information.
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Gorgas faces a large and obvious threat from Donovia; thus it remains likely that the Gorgan government will exert maximum effort to defend it sensors, platforms, and systems from attack. Due to Donovia’s advanced capabilities, Gorgan protection and security measures (PSM) will focus as much on the remediation of damage and the capacity to rebuild capability as avoiding an attack. Gorgas does have a relatively deep INFOWAR civilian capability for a country its size, and thus might mobilize its civilian sector in such an effort.
  
 
===Perception Management===
 
===Perception Management===
Perception management exists as the most visible element of Atropian INFOWAR, as the Atropian government expends considerable effort to demonstrate Limarian “terrorism” and “aggression” on websites, public pronouncements, and other official media. Even a brief tour of official Atropian government websites reveals the significance of events in the Lower Janga region. Also, the Atropian government openly acknowledges its recent weapons procurements, especially those from Kalaria and Israel, to demonstrate its strength and military potential to Limaria.
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Gorgan perception management will likely stress traditional Gorgan messages of mortal threat at  the hands of the Donovians. Externally, the Gorgans will attempt to paint themselves as a Western nation with significant links to Europe and the US. When the US Army Corps of Engineers planned a railroad improvement project for Gorgas and Atropia, Ariana condemned the project in regular broadcasts by the “Voice of the Free Atropians” in northwestern Ariana and to listeners in Gorgas and Atropia. The message insinuated that the government did not build the railroad to improve life for the region’s poor, but to provide a means for the corrupt and oppressive governments in Tbilisi and Baku to efficiently control the people.
  
 
==Intelligence==
 
==Intelligence==
The Atropian government maintains an intelligence service, the Ministry of Security Protection (MSP). Its mission focus is on threats to government control from extremists and unfriendly governments and to ascertain the intentions of Atropia’s neighbors, especially Limaria and Ariana. Its official website states that the MSP maintains responsibility for a number of missions. Unlike the US, where a variety of organizations possesses different roles and missions, the MSP maintains a very broad mandate that includes intelligence gathering; counterintelligence; government information and personnel security; and national-level, anti-organized crime efforts. According to one of the few authoritative sources, the MSP suffers from high turnover and bureaucratic infighting. It remains likely that the general security situation and large number of foreign companies in Baku  will create a demand and corresponding higher wages for trained local security personnel. Reports estimate the size of the Atropian intelligence community at about 5,000 personnel. Currently, the leadership of the MSP is slanted toward anti-crime rather than the intelligence collection and analysis element of the organization.
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Gorgas maintains a small but reasonably competent intelligence service. Western support, combined with active service in both OIF and OEF, gives the Gorgans exposure to the latest Western tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTP). Gorgan intelligence will likely engage primarily Donovian targets
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or their Zabzimek or South Ostremek proxies. Gorgan intelligence maintains a standard five directorate intelligence service, with analytical, collection (known as information), counterintelligence (known as security), administrative, and training elements.
  
 
===Human Intelligence===
 
===Human Intelligence===
Atropia intelligence’s strongest suit focuses on human intelligence (HUMINT) capabilities. As with many countries that have a variety of local threat actors and large neighbors, the maintenance of a strong HUMINT cadre becomes important. Recently,  Atropian  HUMINT  scored  some    notable successes against Bad Nafar and Arianian-backed extremist elements that operate in Atropia. Additionally, the HUMINT service will probably continue to focus on Limarian actions, especially in Lower Janga. The service will remain focused on religious extremists, both Shia and Sunni, that operate within Atropia.
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Human intelligence (HUMINT) serves as Gorgas’ most important collection discipline—targeting Donovian military activities in the Black Sea and the Donovian-controlled republics of South Ostremek and Zabzimek. Gorgan counterintelligence operations focus on high-value targets such as the hydrocarbon pipelines and against Donovian activities within Gorgas.
  
 
===Open Source Intelligence===
 
===Open Source Intelligence===
Atropian intelligence analysts probably employ open source intelligence (OSINT) to determine the intentions of actors, especially those with significant media reporting, such as Western nations, Donovia, and Ariana. OSINT’s general low cost represents a bargain for Atropian policy makers, as many Atropians possess fluency with Donovian, Persian, and Western European languages.
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Gorgas probably relies on open source intelligence (OSINT) as its primary means of strategic intelligence. Gorgan OSINT likely focuses on Donovian collection, especially on Donovian activities  in South Donovia and areas that border the Ukraine.
  
 
===Signals Intelligence===
 
===Signals Intelligence===
While Atropia may operate signals intelligence (SIGINT) at the tactical level, it remains doubtful that the government maintains a robust national-level capability for signals collection. The MSP probably maintains the capability to monitor cellular communications occurring within Atropia, and is expected to cooperate with any SIGINT capabilities the Atropian military maintains. The Atropian fleet of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) purchased from Israel may also contribute to SIGINT collection.
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Gorgan signals intelligence (SIGINT) collection revolves around a series of ground collection stations that use a variety of Western and Donovian-era hardware. As more unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) enter service, Gorgas is expected to integrate the UAVs into the SIGINT collection architecture.
  
 
===Imagery Intelligence===
 
===Imagery Intelligence===
Atropian imagery intelligence (IMINT) probably comes from commercially purchased imagery (one to two meter resolution) and various air-breathing assets, especially a fleet of Israeli-built unmanned aircraft and MiG-25 FOXBAT reconnaissance aircraft. Atropia can also use rotary wing assets, such as the Mi-24 HINDs, as tactical collection platforms.
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Gorgan imagery intelligence (IMINT) capability probably remains limited to air-breathing platforms, with UAVs as the most important. Gorgas maintains a small fleet of helicopters and light aircraft capable of IMINT collection, though it is unlikely they will conduct this task. Due to limited platforms, Gorgan IMINT capability remains extremely restricted. Gorgas would likely contact its Western allies for support if it needed to supplement its IMINT capabilities.
  
 
===Measurement and Signatures Intelligence===
 
===Measurement and Signatures Intelligence===
Atropian resource constraints probably limit its measurement and signatures intelligence (MASINT) to first-generation capabilities, such as basic seismic detection or harbor defense sonar. Additionally, MASINT’s general cost and high analytical requirements probably render it an Atropian future requirement rather than a current operational need.
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Gorgan measurement and signatures intelligence (MASINT) capability remains limited and is used primarily for biometrics for security and counterintelligence purposes. Gorgans will probably explore MASINT capabilities like facial recognition for border security with Donovia, Zabzimek, and South Ostremek.
  
 
==Summary==
 
==Summary==
Atropian media and INFOWAR capabilities will continue to mature, and Atropia will develop increased capabilities as oil revenues drive increased disposable income. On the media side, social media will become the most free and most dynamic part of the Atropian information environment, and Atropia will develop better INFOWAR capabilities, likely by importing equipment, due to its experience in Iraq and Afghanistan and the continuing Arianian threat.
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Despite resource constraints, Gorgan capability to effectively engage larger INFOWAR adversaries will grow, probably with significant outside support. Likewise, should international economic development foster overall economic development, the current free and dynamic information environment could blossom to become the region’s largest. Ultimately, Gorgas stands at a crossroads of information development—a path ultimately dictated by economic factors.

Revision as of 15:08, 13 April 2017

Gorgas has a dynamic and relatively free media environment. Gorgan INFOWAR capability is growing, with training and equipment adhering closely to NATO standards. Gorgas will be limited compared to regional neighbors on the resources it will be able to expend to grow both information and INFOWAR infrastructure.

Satellite Telecommunications

As a small country, Gorgas relies on third party satellite services and contracts with a larger  satellite company that incorporates a fleet of 31 geostationary satellites utilizing Ku-band transponders.

Navigation

Gorgas commercially purchases global positioning receivers that support commercial needs as well as military navigation and targeting operations.

Public Communications Media

With the exception of Ariana’s heavy-handed control of its public communications, the Caucasus region enjoys comparative freedom of the press, within broad content boundaries, policed by relatively soft governmental censorship. Independent press demonstrates significant growth.

Internet

According to current statistics, over 28% of Gorgans use the Internet. In the last decade, Internet users in Gorgas grew from 20,000 to 1.3 million people. Combined with increased mobile phone use, Internet use will likely continue to grow. The Gorgan Internet plays an integral role in the country’s political and economic development, but also became key terrain in the recent war against Donovia. Donovia targeted Gorgan Internet operations, and this experience will likely temper Gorgas’ use of the Internet in future military operations. Gorgas, however will probably increase its Internet use   for perception management operations targeted at both domestic and foreign audiences.

Television

Television serves as the major source of information for the vast majority of the Gorgan population. Once primarily state-controlled, Gorgan broadcasters have slowly drifted away from governmental control to a more independent status. Currently, the Gorgan government only directly funds one public television station and also controls TV Gorgas, one of the two major TV networks. Not surprisingly, viewers see TV Gorgas as generally pro-government and, because of that association, TV Gorgas receives better access to government operations such as military maneuvers. Radio/TV Gorgas National operates as the other major Gorgan television outlet—with a history of independence that includes reports unflattering to the government.

Radio

Gorgas operates two national and three regional radio broadcast stations. Radio broadcasts begin at 0600 and conclude at midnight. Programs include news, talk shows, music, and children's programs. FM radio stations broadcast on Radio 2, ACL Radio, Scarlett Band, and NOLE Radio. Gorgas also receives European-sourced programming and locally rebroadcasts it.

Print Media

Though technically private, such publications as the Gorgan-language Republican Gorgan and the Donovian-language United Gorgas receive government subsidies, have editors appointed by the president, and serve as official propaganda outlets. Since government agencies must subscribe to Republican Gorgan, its daily circulation reaches 6,000 to 7,000. The Republican Gorgan covers Gorgan news and summarizes international news. The Gorgan-language Tbilisi Times serves as the capital city’s newspaper. Several other local newspapers serve Tbilisi, but their circulation and reporting remain unreliable.

Independent newspapers dominate the Gorgan newspaper market. Major publications include the daily Gorgan Independence News, a popular weekly digest, GorgasNOW! and a tabloid, Click!Gorgas! Small newspapers outside the capital struggle to maintain both financial viability and editorial independence. While available, magazines and other periodicals maintain limited circulation due to paper shortages.

Telephone

While primarily found in the larger cities, Gorgan telephone service remains limited and unreliable, with outdated international connectivity. Public phone use requires city tokens or phone cards that Gorgans can purchase at kiosks or in the central post office, the country’s long-distance provider. Cellular telephones currently remain limited to the larger cities. One international landline connects Gorgas with Donovia and Kalaria. A leased gateway switch located in Donovia provides satellite telephone service.

Postal/Courier

While Gorgas operates a postal system, users consider the government service less reliable than private couriers for important deliveries. Private couriers operate efficiently, with short delivery times along the major Gorgan roads or large cities such as Tbilisi or Poti. Not surprisingly, postal service remains weak or non-existent along the Gorgan borders with South Ostremek and Zabzimek.

Word of Mouth

Cell phone technology, especially for the youth and urban dwellers, established SMS as a popular medium. As cell phone technology matures and the price falls, Gorgans will likely supplement their conversations with social media outlets.

Information Control

Gorgas traditionally uses the external threat from Donovia to rally support for the Gorgan government and its ruling elites. Fear of Donovian dominion remains omnipresent in many Gorgan TV and radio programs generally controlled by the government or those closely aligned with it. Gorgas will also play up its Western orientation for foreigners of all varieties, part of efforts to bring Western nations into closer alignment to better deter aggressive Donovian activities.

INFOWAR

INFOWAR in the Caucasus region contains a mixture of old and new technology. While older Donovian equipment forms the backbone for much of the region’s INFOWAR warfighting capability, the countries conduct advanced operations with dedicated INFOWAR units. For example, regional perception management activities, often web-based, form the current global state-of-the-art. Internet operations are frequently used as an adjunct to major combat operations. Most countries in the Caucasus focus their INFOWAR on their likely adversaries.

Electronic Warfare

The Gorgan military builds its jammers and sensors around a collection of some outdated and more recently purchased Western equipment. Gorgan OIF and OEF participation likely exposed its forces to a variety of the latest Western electronic warfare (EW) hardware. Additionally, recent close working relations with the Israelis probably created a significant cross-pollination of EW equipment, tactics, and techniques.

Computer Attack

The Gorgans maintain a computer attack capability, but are apt to face significant over-match from their probable regional opponents. After Gorgas received cyber attacks in its recent war with Donovia, Gorgas increased its capabilities significantly with help from its NATO and Israeli allies.

Information Attack

Gorgas possesses limited information attack (IA) capabilities, but these continue to grow. Gorgas received aggressive IA by a variety of non-state and probable Donovian state actors in its 2008 war. Unclassified studies discussed in depth the various hacker operations for both sides, but neither side was able to conduct any advanced IA. Any IA attacks in 2008 failed or resulted in limited damage to the Gorgan computer system because of lack of a significantly large enough network within the Gorgan military.

Deception

Gorgas possesses a limited deception capability, with most resources likely focused on denying Donovian collection efforts. The relative size disparity between Gorgas and Donovia as well as Gorgan experience at the hands of Donovian deep-strike operations probably increased Gorgan  efforts to frustrate the ability of Donovian forces to see and strike Gorgan military assets.

Physical Destruction

Since Donovia presents an overmatch in physical destruction capability, the Gorgan military is apt  to only attack sensors in the most critical situations. Gorgas likely possesses few capabilities to conduct deep strikes against INFOWAR targets.

Protection and Security Measures

Gorgas faces a large and obvious threat from Donovia; thus it remains likely that the Gorgan government will exert maximum effort to defend it sensors, platforms, and systems from attack. Due to Donovia’s advanced capabilities, Gorgan protection and security measures (PSM) will focus as much on the remediation of damage and the capacity to rebuild capability as avoiding an attack. Gorgas does have a relatively deep INFOWAR civilian capability for a country its size, and thus might mobilize its civilian sector in such an effort.

Perception Management

Gorgan perception management will likely stress traditional Gorgan messages of mortal threat at  the hands of the Donovians. Externally, the Gorgans will attempt to paint themselves as a Western nation with significant links to Europe and the US. When the US Army Corps of Engineers planned a railroad improvement project for Gorgas and Atropia, Ariana condemned the project in regular broadcasts by the “Voice of the Free Atropians” in northwestern Ariana and to listeners in Gorgas and Atropia. The message insinuated that the government did not build the railroad to improve life for the region’s poor, but to provide a means for the corrupt and oppressive governments in Tbilisi and Baku to efficiently control the people.

Intelligence

Gorgas maintains a small but reasonably competent intelligence service. Western support, combined with active service in both OIF and OEF, gives the Gorgans exposure to the latest Western tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTP). Gorgan intelligence will likely engage primarily Donovian targets

or their Zabzimek or South Ostremek proxies. Gorgan intelligence maintains a standard five directorate intelligence service, with analytical, collection (known as information), counterintelligence (known as security), administrative, and training elements.

Human Intelligence

Human intelligence (HUMINT) serves as Gorgas’ most important collection discipline—targeting Donovian military activities in the Black Sea and the Donovian-controlled republics of South Ostremek and Zabzimek. Gorgan counterintelligence operations focus on high-value targets such as the hydrocarbon pipelines and against Donovian activities within Gorgas.

Open Source Intelligence

Gorgas probably relies on open source intelligence (OSINT) as its primary means of strategic intelligence. Gorgan OSINT likely focuses on Donovian collection, especially on Donovian activities  in South Donovia and areas that border the Ukraine.

Signals Intelligence

Gorgan signals intelligence (SIGINT) collection revolves around a series of ground collection stations that use a variety of Western and Donovian-era hardware. As more unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) enter service, Gorgas is expected to integrate the UAVs into the SIGINT collection architecture.

Imagery Intelligence

Gorgan imagery intelligence (IMINT) capability probably remains limited to air-breathing platforms, with UAVs as the most important. Gorgas maintains a small fleet of helicopters and light aircraft capable of IMINT collection, though it is unlikely they will conduct this task. Due to limited platforms, Gorgan IMINT capability remains extremely restricted. Gorgas would likely contact its Western allies for support if it needed to supplement its IMINT capabilities.

Measurement and Signatures Intelligence

Gorgan measurement and signatures intelligence (MASINT) capability remains limited and is used primarily for biometrics for security and counterintelligence purposes. Gorgans will probably explore MASINT capabilities like facial recognition for border security with Donovia, Zabzimek, and South Ostremek.

Summary

Despite resource constraints, Gorgan capability to effectively engage larger INFOWAR adversaries will grow, probably with significant outside support. Likewise, should international economic development foster overall economic development, the current free and dynamic information environment could blossom to become the region’s largest. Ultimately, Gorgas stands at a crossroads of information development—a path ultimately dictated by economic factors.

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