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Difference between revisions of "Africa"

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<!-- Introduction and Discussion of the OEs in the DATE -->
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<!-- Introduction and Discussion of the OEs in the DATE -->[[File:DATE Africa Map.jpg|thumb|472x472px|DATE Africa Overview map]]
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The purpose of the '''Decisive Action Training Environment (DATE) Africa''' is to provide the US Army training community with a detailed description of the conditions of four composite operational environments (OEs) in the Africa region. It presents trainers with a tool to assist in the construction of scenarios for specific training events but does not provide a complete scenario. DATE Africa offers discussions of OE conditions through the political, military, economic, social, information, infrastructure, physical environment, and time (PMESII-PT) variables. This DATE applies to all US Army units (Active Army, Army National Guard, and Army Reserve) and partner nations that participate in DATE-compliant Army or joint training exercises.
The purpose of the '''Decisive Action Training Environment (DATE) Africa''' is to provide the US Army training community with a detailed description of the conditions of four composite operational environments (OEs) in the African region. It presents trainers with a tool to assist in the construction of scenarios for specific training events but does not provide a complete scenario. DATE Africa offers discussions of OE conditions through the political, military, economic, social, information, infrastructure, physical environment, and time (PMESII-PT) variables. This DATE applies to all US Army units (Active Army, Army National Guard, and Army Reserve) and partner nations that participate in DATE-compliant Army or joint training exercises.
 
  
 
Over 795,000 square miles comprise DATE Africa, a varied and complex region which ranges from Lake Victoria in the west to the Indian Sea on its eastern coast. The region includes the fictional countries of [[Amari]], [[Kujenga]], [[Ziwa]], and [[Nyumba]].<ref>The DATE countries listed below are fictionalized territories at the national and first-order administrative levels (i.e. province or county depending on the country). Lower order boundaries such as city wards and municipalities, and physical features such as mountains, rivers, and deserts, have retained their actual names. In many cases literature and media sources will use more than one name for a feature, and may spell them in different ways. As practicable, DATE will follow the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency's guidance contained in the [http://geonames.nga.mil/gns/html/ Geonet Names Server] (GNS), "the official repository of standard spellings of all foreign geographic names sanctioned by the United States Board on Geographic Names (US BGN)". However, the reader should be cautioned that reference texts and maps may use these other variants. These common variants are also listed in the GNS.</ref> The region has a long history of instability and conflict; ethnic and religious factionalism; and general political, military, and civilian unrest. In addition to these internal regional divisions, outside actors have increasing strategic interests in the region. DATE Africa thus represents a flashpoint where highly localized conflict can spill over into widespread unrest or general war.
 
Over 795,000 square miles comprise DATE Africa, a varied and complex region which ranges from Lake Victoria in the west to the Indian Sea on its eastern coast. The region includes the fictional countries of [[Amari]], [[Kujenga]], [[Ziwa]], and [[Nyumba]].<ref>The DATE countries listed below are fictionalized territories at the national and first-order administrative levels (i.e. province or county depending on the country). Lower order boundaries such as city wards and municipalities, and physical features such as mountains, rivers, and deserts, have retained their actual names. In many cases literature and media sources will use more than one name for a feature, and may spell them in different ways. As practicable, DATE will follow the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency's guidance contained in the [http://geonames.nga.mil/gns/html/ Geonet Names Server] (GNS), "the official repository of standard spellings of all foreign geographic names sanctioned by the United States Board on Geographic Names (US BGN)". However, the reader should be cautioned that reference texts and maps may use these other variants. These common variants are also listed in the GNS.</ref> The region has a long history of instability and conflict; ethnic and religious factionalism; and general political, military, and civilian unrest. In addition to these internal regional divisions, outside actors have increasing strategic interests in the region. DATE Africa thus represents a flashpoint where highly localized conflict can spill over into widespread unrest or general war.
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Amari gained independence from a western European colonial power fifty years ago; a time when colonial powers were divesting themselves of their African colonies. The government consists of an executive branch with a strong president, a bicameral legislature, and a judiciary with an associated hierarchy of courts. Amari is making significant progress in areas of good governance but still struggles with institutional corruption. The new constitution has attempted to create a framework for better governance with good results. Other concerns include border security, instability spillover from neighboring countries, regional competition for resources, and terrorism.
 
Amari gained independence from a western European colonial power fifty years ago; a time when colonial powers were divesting themselves of their African colonies. The government consists of an executive branch with a strong president, a bicameral legislature, and a judiciary with an associated hierarchy of courts. Amari is making significant progress in areas of good governance but still struggles with institutional corruption. The new constitution has attempted to create a framework for better governance with good results. Other concerns include border security, instability spillover from neighboring countries, regional competition for resources, and terrorism.
  
The Amari National Defense Force (ANDF) is the state military of Amari.  Its composition, disposition, and doctrine are the result of years of relative peace. Internal security and the constant struggle against border incursion continue to shape its structure and roles. The ANDF consists of the Amari [[Amari National Defence Force#Amari Army|Army]], [[Amari National Defence Force#Amari Air Force|Air Force]], and [[Amari National Defence Force#Amari Naval Forces|Navy]].  Amari [[Amari National Defence Force#Paramilitary Forces|paramilitary forces]]include the Border Guard Corps (BGC) and Special Reserve Force (SRF). The ANDF is a well-integrated and professional force with good command and control and high readiness. It has a limited force projection capability and a mix of static and mobile forces.  Amari is an active contributor to both regional and international peacekeeping forces and has hosted such forces within its borders.
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The Amari National Defense Force (ANDF) is the state military of Amari.  Its composition, disposition, and doctrine are the result of years of relative peace. Internal security and the constant struggle against border incursions continue to shape its structure and roles. The ANDF consists of the Amari [[Amari National Defence Force#Amari Army|Army]], [[Amari National Defence Force#Amari Air Force|Air Force]], and [[Amari National Defence Force#Amari Naval Forces|Navy]].  Amari [[Amari National Defence Force#Paramilitary Forces|paramilitary forces]] include the Border Guard Corps (BGC) and Special Reserve Force (SRF). The ANDF is a well-integrated and professional force with good command and control and high readiness. It has a limited force projection capability and a mix of static and mobile forces.  Amari is an active contributor to both regional and international peacekeeping forces and has hosted such forces within its borders.
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===Republic of Ziwa===
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{{Main article|Ziwa}}Ziwa is a small landlocked nation located on the southern end of Lake Victoria.  Despite a troubled past, Ziwa is making progress toward greater transparency and good governance. Its development path stems from political turmoil in the last few decades and a growing economy—largely based on technical advancements and extensive mineral resources.  Ziwa seeks to become a key player on the continent, but has experienced internal dissent and has been affected by regional disputes. Ziwa’s history since gaining independence is one of coups, disputed elections, regional and ethnic violence, and general instability. While Ziwa has expressed an intent to improve its governance, a lack of deep-rooted democratic and civil society institutions makes it one of the most vulnerable and unstable countries in the region.
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The Ziwa People’s Defense Force (ZPDF) is the state military of the Republic of Ziwa.  Its structure and focus has adapted over the last decade alongside the country’s economic development. The ZPDF consists of the [[Military: Ziwa#Ziwa Ground Forces Command .28ZGFC.29|Ziwa Ground Forces Command (ZGFC)]], [[Military: Ziwa#Ziwa Air Corps .28ZAC.29|Ziwa Air Corps (ZAC)]], and the [[Military: Ziwa#Paramilitary Forces|National Guard]]. Ziwa’s military relations with its neighbors—Amari to the north and Kujenga to the south—are generally stable, despite sporadic low-level incidents along the border.  Border control challenges contributed to the forward deployment of dedicated maneuver elements and leveraging of former rebels to ensure the appearance of security.
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 +
Multiple threats exploit Ziwa’s dependence on natural resources and external power generation and transmission.  Brutal militants in the northeast mountain area (“[[Watasi Gang|The Watasi Gang]]”) and pockets of [[Union of Peace for the Ziwa|ethnic rebels]] throughout the country continue to plague stability and keep the military at a continually high operational tempo.  Although both Kujenga and Amari have active security agreements with Ziwa, rumors persist of their covert support to the Ziwa rebels.
  
 
===Republic of Kujenga===
 
===Republic of Kujenga===
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Kujenga gained semi-independence fifty-six years ago under a post-colonial United Nations mandated trusteeship. Three years later, Kujenga gained full independence, establishing a constitution built on a single political party system.  
 
Kujenga gained semi-independence fifty-six years ago under a post-colonial United Nations mandated trusteeship. Three years later, Kujenga gained full independence, establishing a constitution built on a single political party system.  
  
Working under the UN mandate, the outgoing colonial power lent support to the group of elites who had made up the bureaucracy under colonial rule. These elites united under the political party People of Change (POC). They have since controlled the government through successive elections, except for a brief experiment with multi-party rule seven years ago that ended five years later with the subsequent election. After independence, Kujenga established diplomatic relations with the United States. Relations between the two countries have been strained at various times because of Kujenga’s tight-knit oligarchic political structure and repressive tendencies. Ongoing tensions and violence between the Kujengan government and the Tanga region brought US condemnation. The Kujengan government is focused on addressing rampant corruption and government inaction, but the country has also experienced a shrinking of democratic space.
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Working under the UN mandate, the outgoing colonial power lent support to the group of elites who had made up the bureaucracy under colonial rule. These elites united under the political party People of Change (POC). They have since controlled the government through successive elections, except for a brief experiment with multi-party rule seven years ago that ended five years later with the subsequent election. After independence, Kujenga established diplomatic relations with the United States. Relations between the two countries have been strained at various times because of Kujenga’s tight-knit oligarchic political structure and repressive tendencies. Ongoing tensions and violence between the Kujengan government and the Tanga region brought especial US condemnation. The Kujengan government is focused on addressing rampant corruption and government inaction, but the country has also experienced a shrinking of democratic space.
  
The Kujenga Armed Service (KAS) is the state military of Republic of Kujenga.  It emerged from a somewhat turbulent past and a range of internal security challenges.  Kujenga’s military relations with its neighbors are relatively stable, although border security issues despite ongoing tensions in the Tanga region increasing the risk of regional conflict.  The KAS consists of the Kujengan Army, [[Kujenga Armed Service#Kujengan National Air Force .28KNAF.29|Kujengan National Air Force (KNAF)]], [[Kujenga Armed Service#Kujengan National Navy .28KNAV.29|Kujengan National Navy (KNAV)]], and [[Kujenga Armed Service#Paramilitary Forces|Security Corps]]. Kujenga’s primary internal security concerns include [[Free Tanga Youth Movement|Tangan separatists]], violent [[Kujengan Bush Militias|bush militias]] in the central mountains, and the brutal "[[Army of Justice and Purity]]" guerrillas in the Kasama region. External threats include border incursions by presumed Amari paramilitaries and cross-border smuggling.
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The Kujenga Armed Service (KAS) is the state military of the Republic of Kujenga.  It emerged from a somewhat turbulent past and a range of internal security challenges.  Kujenga’s military relations with its neighbors are relatively stable, although border security issues, particularly in the Tanga region, are increasing the risk of regional conflict.  The KAS consists of the Kujengan Army, [[Kujenga Armed Service#Kujengan National Air Force .28KNAF.29|Kujengan National Air Force (KNAF)]], [[Kujenga Armed Service#Kujengan National Navy .28KNAV.29|Kujengan National Navy (KNAV)]], and [[Kujenga Armed Service#Paramilitary Forces|Security Corps]]. Kujenga’s primary internal security concerns include [[Free Tanga Youth Movement|Tangan separatists]], violent [[Kujengan Bush Militias|bush militias]] in the central mountains, and the brutal "[[Army of Justice and Purity]]" guerrillas in the Kasama region. External threats include border incursions by presumed Amari paramilitaries and cross-border smuggling.
  
 
===Democratic Republic of Nyumba===
 
===Democratic Republic of Nyumba===
{{Main article|Nyumba}}Nyumba is a troubled nation and has had little in the form of democracy since its inception. It has been primarily ruled by authoritarian governments and wracked with internal turmoil and paranoia about perceived external threats. It is suspicious of regional government alliances with western countries and, particularly, what the Nyumba government leaders see as international meddling in its sovereign domestic and regional concerns.
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{{Main article|Nyumba}}Nyumba is a troubled nation and has had little in the form of democracy since its inception. It has been primarily ruled by authoritarian governments and wracked with internal turmoil and paranoia about perceived external threats. It is suspicious of regional government alliances with western countries and, particularly, what the Nyumba government leaders see as international meddling in its sovereign domestic and regional interests.
The government is authoritarian in all aspects. Beginning fifty-nine years ago, a military coup overthrew the newly elected civilian government, lasting only six years before an Islamist government took power. While the government remains based in Sharia law, tribal influences dominate the government as well. Economic, religious, ethnic, and tribal interests complicate Nyumban politics and have led to decades of civil war and other internal conflicts. These conflicts have threatened border countries with refugees and provided a safe haven for terrorists, insurgents, criminals, and other disrupters. These deep-seated challenges show no signs of dissipating.
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The government is authoritarian in all aspects. Beginning fifty-nine years ago, a military coup overthrew the newly elected civilian government, lasting only six years before an Islamist government took power. While the government is based on its interpretation of Sharia law, tribal traditions and influences permeate the government as well. Economic, religious, ethnic, and tribal interests complicate Nyumban politics and have led to decades of civil war and other internal conflicts. These conflicts have threatened border countries with refugees and provided a safe haven for terrorists, insurgents, criminals, and other disruptors. These deep-seated challenges show no signs of dissipating.
 
 
The Nyumban Armed Forces (NAF) is the state military of Nyumba and is key to the country’s stability. It has experienced significant challenges from both the various threat actors in Nyumba, and distrust within its ranks and from politicians. Civilian distrust is particularly high, leading to widespread tribalism and the rise of armed militias. Its composition and deployments are driven by political desires to maintain control of key forces and the de facto ceding of territory to tribes or armed groups. The NAF consists of the Nyumban National Army (NNA), the Nyumban Armed Forces Air Corps, and the Nyumban Navy. The Nyumban National Security Service controls a paramilitary group, the Rapid Security Forces (RSF) which is usually deployed in support of border and anti-insurgency operations. The NAF has inherited a varied structure and culture due to several regime changes and colonial legacy. The lawlessness of the territory and general instability has heightened both political and military leaders’ wariness of the forces.
 
  
===Republic of Ziwa===
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The Nyumban Armed Forces (NAF) is the state military of Nyumba and is key to the country’s stability. It has experienced significant challenges from various threat actors in Nyumba, distrust within its ranks, and from politicians. Civilian distrust is particularly high, leading to widespread tribalism and the rise of armed militias. Its composition and deployments are driven by political desires to maintain control of key forces and the de facto ceding of territory to tribes or armed groups. The NAF consists of the Nyumban National Army (NNA), the Nyumban Armed Forces Air Corps, and the Nyumban Navy. The Nyumban National Security Service controls a paramilitary group, the Rapid Security Forces (RSF) which is usually deployed in support of border and anti-insurgency operations. The NAF has inherited a varied structure and culture due to several regime changes and a colonial legacy. The lawlessness of the territory and general instability has heightened both political and military leaders’ wariness of the forces.
{{Main article|Ziwa}}Ziwa is a small landlocked nation located on the southern end of Lake Victoria.  Despite a troubled past, Ziwa is making progress toward greater transparency and good governance. Its development path stems from political turmoil in the last few decades and a growing economy - largely based on technical advancements and extensive mineral resources.  Ziwa seeks to become a key player on the continent, but has experienced internal dissent and been affected by regional disputes. Ziwa’s history since gaining independence is one of coups, disputed elections, regional and ethnic violence, and general instability. While Ziwa has demonstrated intent to improve its governance, a lack of deep-rooted democratic and civil society institutions make it one of the most vulnerable and unstable countries in the region.
 
 
 
The Ziwa People’s Defense Force (ZPDF) is the state military of the Republic of Ziwa. Its structure and focus has adapted over the last decade alongside the country’s economic development. The ZPDF consists of the [[Military: Ziwa#Ziwa Ground Forces Command .28ZGFC.29|Ziwa Ground Forces Command (ZGFC)]], [[Military: Ziwa#Ziwa Air Corps .28ZAC.29|Ziwa Air Corps (ZAC)]], and the [[Military: Ziwa#Paramilitary Forces|National Guard]]. Ziwa’s military relations with its neighbors – Amari to the north and Kujenga to the south - are generally stable, despite sporadic low-level incidents along the border. The scope of border control operations contributed to the forward deployment of dedicated maneuver elements and leveraging of former rebels to ensure the appearance of security.
 
 
 
Multiple threats exist to exploit Ziwa’s dependence on natural resources and external power generation and transmission. Brutal militants in the northeast mountain area (“[[Watasi Gang|The Watasi Gang]]”) and pockets of [[Union of Peace for the Ziwa|ethnic rebels]] throughout the country continue to plague stability and keep the military at a continually high operational tempo.  Although both Kujenga and Amari have active security agreements with Ziwa, rumors persist of covert support to the rebels by both countries.
 
  
 
==Strategic Positioning==
 
==Strategic Positioning==
This OE is one of the most politically dynamic regions in the world. Almost nowhere else have geopolitical forces and regional ambitions combined to produce such volatile results.  State developments ranging from gradual reforms to often violent regime change have occurred throughout the region's history.  Although the region may not have been the primary focus of global geopolitical contests, it has been often a factor in the larger geopolitical landscape.  This volatility is not likely to change in the coming years as greater multipolarity continues to increase throughout the region.   
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This OE is one of the most politically dynamic regions in the world. Almost nowhere else have geopolitical forces and regional ambitions combined to produce such volatile results.  State developments ranging from gradual reforms to often violent regime change have occurred throughout the region's history.  Although the region may not have been the primary focus of global geopolitical contests, it has often been a factor in the larger geopolitical landscape.  This volatility is not likely to change in the coming years as greater multipolarity continues to increase throughout the region.   
  
Coinciding with increased international interest, the region's states have grown stronger over the past several years, exerting their sovereignty in ways that challenge the post Cold War development and humanitarian models. International players have increased pressure to gain a foothold on the continent.  As the countries in the OE reach out to forge new relationships, they find a range of willing potential partners with a diverse set of motives. Non-state threat actors have also found fertile ground for often extremist messages. Uneven economic growth and the injection of international anti-terror military aid have empowered some states while channeling resources to specific interest groups in power, specifically to the executive and security sector. However, this will not guarantee stability or equitable human development. Rather, the region may see more money pouring into the system along with alternate seats of power and contestation.   
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Coinciding with increased international interest, the region's states grew stronger over the past several years, exerting their sovereignty in ways that challenge the post-Cold War development and humanitarian models. International players increased pressure to gain a foothold on the continent.  As the countries in the OE forge new international relationships, they find a range of willing partners with a diverse set of motives. Non-state threat actors also find fertile ground for extremist messages. Uneven economic growth and the injection of international anti-terror military aid empower some states while channeling resources to specific interest groups in power, specifically to the executive and security sector. However, this will not guarantee stability or equitable human development. Rather, the region may see more money pouring into countries, but with greater partisan international interests and increased conflict.   
  
Strengthening centers of power could prevent non-violent political change from emerging. Ambitious leaders in the periphery may then resort to violence to unseat ruling regimes that themselves came to power as products of deeply embedded ethnic conflicts, cross-border regional power projection, and horizontal inequalities.  The OE is often viewed as a 'political marketplace,' the challenges of which could begin to lead the region down a violent path. The region has always had to weather changes in the international context while also managing significant local political conflicts and economic problems. The legacy of internal legitimacy deficits co-exists within an international context that often undermines the development of local solutions. While regional integration has increased regional stability and the level of cross border interference has declined, the future is anything but certain, as international, regional, and national forces strain the ability of national and regional institutions to regulate and manage non violent change.
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Strengthening centers of power may prevent non-violent political change from emerging. Ambitious leaders on the periphery are likely to resort to violence to unseat ruling regimes that themselves came to power as products of deeply embedded ethnic conflicts, cross-border regional power projection, and divisive domestic inequalities.  The OE is often viewed as a 'political marketplace,' the challenges of which could begin to lead the region down a violent path. The region has a history of weathering changes in international attention, while also managing local political conflicts and economic problems. National leader legitimacy deficits co-exist within an international context that often undermines the development of local solutions. Even as regional cooperation is increasing stability and the level of cross border interference has declined, the future is anything but certain. The ever-present international, regional, and national challenges continue to strain the ability and capacity of national and regional institutions to regulate and manage nonviolent change.
  
 
===Regional Views of the US===
 
===Regional Views of the US===
The countries of the OE voice mixed views of American soft and military power.  There is little consensus about U.S.-style democracy and many who oppose the spread of American ideas and customs in Africa and around the world. At the same time, many in the region still believe the U.S. respects the personal freedoms of its people and aspire to similar freedoms.  While the U.S. and other nations have been involved in widely-popular peacekeeping and humanitarian missions, the presence of outside forces has been a rallying cry for disenfranchised groups. The general pull away from U.S. intervention in the region has been aided by aggressive inroads from other external countries, such as [[Olvana]], that promise to supply an alternative to previously undisputed economic and military power.
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The countries of the OE voice mixed views of American soft and military power.  There is little consensus about U.S.-style democracy and there are many in the populations who oppose the spread of American ideas and customs in Africa and around the world. At the same time, many in the region still believe the U.S. respects the personal freedoms of its people and they aspire to similar freedoms.  While the U.S. and other nations are involved in widely-popular peacekeeping and humanitarian missions, the presence of outside forces has been a rallying cry for disenfranchised groups. The general pull away from U.S. intervention in the region has been aided by aggressive inroads from other external countries, such as [[Olvana]], that promise to supply an alternative to previously undisputed economic and military power.
  
 
== Regional PMESII-PT Overview ==
 
== Regional PMESII-PT Overview ==
  
 
=== Political ===
 
=== Political ===
The governments in DATE Africa  are vulnerable to widespread corruption, entrenched political leaders who repeatedly amend constitutions to extend their rule, and the historical absence of a democratic political culture.  They are apt to place legal restrictions on civil society, A history of coups, civil conflicts, and political stalemates between opposing factions suggest a potential for democratic backsliding across the region. Weak and failed states contain ungoverned spaces that provide operational bases for numerous irregular threats.  
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The governments in DATE Africa  are vulnerable to widespread corruption, entrenched political leaders who repeatedly amend constitutions to extend their rule, and the historical absence of a democratic political culture.  They are apt to place legal restrictions on civil society. A history of coups, civil conflicts, and political stalemates between opposing factions suggest a potential for democratic backsliding across the region. Weak and failed states contain ungoverned spaces that provide operational bases for numerous irregular threats.  
  
 
{| class="wikitable" style="width:75%;"
 
{| class="wikitable" style="width:75%;"
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! &nbsp; !! Amari !! Ziwa !! Kujenga !! Nyumba
 
! &nbsp; !! Amari !! Ziwa !! Kujenga !! Nyumba
 
|- valign="top"
 
|- valign="top"
| '''Politics''' <!-- ################ POLITICS VARIABLE COMPARISON TABLE ############ -->
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| '''Political'''
|| <!-- Amari -->
+
||
*Free, effective functioning democracy
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* [[Level of Freedom]]: 2 on a 7 point scale.
*2+ political parties
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* Relatively free and functioning democracy.
*Peaceful leadership changes
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* Constitution approved  7-years ago.
|| <!-- Ziwa-->
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* Bicameral legislature (Senate and National Assembly for 5-year unlimited terms.)
*Open anocracy
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* President and Deputy President elected on the same ballot by popular vote for 5-years and limited to 2 terms.
*Troubled elections
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* Next national elections in 4-years.
|| <!-- Kujenga -->
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* Legal system blends common law, Sharia law, and customary law.
*Closed anocracy
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* A history of election violence until significant improvements in elections 6-years and 1-year ago.
*Pseudo-dictator/oligarchy
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* Challenges include public and private sector corruption, weak border enforcement, refugees, terrorism, fragile political parties, and internal ethnic tensions.
|| <!-- Nyumba -->
+
||
*Not free
+
* [[Level of Freedom]]: 5 on 7 point scale.
*Mock elections
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* Open anocracy - government functions on a continuum closer to a democracy than an autocracy, with improving democratic infrastructure.
*Dictator
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* Constitution approved 57-year ago.
 +
* Bicameral legislature (Senate and House of Representatives for 4-year unlimited terms).
 +
* President and Vice President elected on the same ballot by popular vote for 4-year terms and limited to 2 terms.
 +
* Next national elections in 2-years.
 +
* Judicial system is subject to corruption and inappropriate influence, but is making slow and incremental progress.
 +
* Recent elections, judged by past standards, are significant improvements in transparency, openness, and credibility.
 +
* In spite of a history of military rule and lacking democratic traditions, pressure from civil society groups, journalists, social media, and other organizations are slowly bringing about greater transparency.
 +
||
 +
* [[Level of Freedom]]: 6 on 7 point scale.
 +
* Closed anocracy - limited opposition activity allowed that does not threaten one-party rule.
 +
* Constitution approved 53-years ago.
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* Unicameral legislature controlled by the People of Change (POC) political party with 5-year unlimited terms.
 +
* Prime Minister and Deputy Prime Minister elected on the same ticket by a simple majority of the legislature.
 +
* Next national elections in 3-years.
 +
* Legal system is a combination of common law, Sharia law, and customary law, but with limited independence and pervasive corruption.
 +
* Regular harassment, arrests, and intimidation of opposition parties by the ruling party and members of state institutions insure ruling party success in elections.
 +
* The POC has passed legislation used to arrest, detain, and threaten opposition leaders in the name of national security.
 +
||
 +
* [[Level of Freedom]]: 7 on 7 point scale.
 +
* Authoritarian failed state.
 +
* Beginning fifty-nine years ago, a military coup overthrew the newly elected civilian government, lasting only six years before an Islamist government took power.
 +
* Unicarmeral legislature controlled by National People's Party (NPP) with 6-year unlimited terms.
 +
* President and 2 Vice Presidents elected by popular vote for 6-year and unlimited number of terms.
 +
* Next national elections in 3-years.
 +
* Legal system is outwardly based on holdover colonial law and Sharia, however, the government is able to manipulate the judicial system to comply with its will.
 +
* Elections are defined by corruption, intimidation, and other extra-legal activities that insure the election of candidates carefully chosen by the ruling party.
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* The ruling party dominates the political system and uses intimidation, arbitrary arrests, and onerous regulations to prevent other political parties and civil society activists from operating freely.
 
|}
 
|}
  
 
===Military===
 
===Military===
The countries represented in DATE:Africa are a cross-section and composite of states and state forces.  State forces have evolved from a diverse set of conditions including colonial histories to a succession of regime changes and revolutions.  They are generally pragmatic in both structure and equipment - the result of constrained budgets and constantly changing threat conditions.  The forces of the more modernized countries, such as [[Amari]] and [[Ziwa]], are generally more integrated, better equipped, and more professional.  At-risk countries, such as [[Kujenga]] and [[Nyumba]] demonstrate tribal or ethnic segregation, degraded readiness, and a structuring for regime survival.  Participation in regional or international peacekeeping forces and exercises is often as much to train and equip their own forces as to develop interoperability and cooperation.  A variety of [[DATE Africa Non-State Threat Actors and Conditions|threat groups]] and endemic [[DATE Africa - Criminal Activity|criminal activity]] throughout the region contend to destabilize governments or build power in difficult-to-govern areas.   
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The countries represented in DATE: Africa are a cross-section and composite of states and state forces.  State forces have evolved from a diverse set of conditions including colonial histories to a succession of regime changes and revolutions.  They are generally pragmatic in both structure and equipment - the result of constrained budgets and constantly changing threat conditions.  The forces of the more modernized countries, such as [[Amari]] and [[Ziwa]], are generally more integrated, better equipped, and more professional.  At-risk countries, such as [[Kujenga]] and [[Nyumba]] demonstrate tribal or ethnic segregation, degraded readiness, and a structuring for regime survival.  Participation in regional or international peacekeeping forces and exercises is often as much to train and equip their own forces as to develop interoperability and cooperation.  A variety of [[DATE Africa Non-State Threat Actors and Conditions|threat groups]] and endemic [[DATE Africa - Criminal Activity|criminal activity]] throughout the region contend to destabilize governments or build power in difficult-to-govern areas.   
  
 
{| class="wikitable" style="width:75%;"
 
{| class="wikitable" style="width:75%;"
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! &nbsp; !! Amari !! Ziwa !! Kujenga !! Nyumba
 
! &nbsp; !! Amari !! Ziwa !! Kujenga !! Nyumba
 
|- valign="top"
 
|- valign="top"
| '''Military''' <!-- ################ MILITARY VARIABLE COMPARISON TABLE ############ -->
+
| '''Military'''  
|| <!-- Amari -->
+
||  
*Mostly integrated
+
*Amari Defense Force (ANDF) includes, Amarian Army, Amarian Air Force, and Amarian Navy.
*Professional, Good C2
+
*The National Command Authority (NCA) of Amari exercises overall control, planning, and execution of the national security. The Amari Chief of Military Defence Staff is the senior military position, with the Chiefs of the Military Defense Staff functioning at the top of the military hierarchy and decision-making process.
*Tier 2-3 @80% readiness
+
*Army      12th Mechanised Brigade  14th Mechanised Brigade  18th Mechanised Brigade  5th Armour Regiment  102nd Infantry Regiment ("Amari Mounted Rifles")  Fires Regiment  Reconnaissance and Intelligence Formation (RIF)  Capital Defence Force and Strategic Reserve
*Peacekeeping contributions
+
*Paramilitary Forces  Border Guard Corps (BGC)  Special Reserve Force (SRF)  Defense Force Reserves (DFR)
*Allows basing
+
*Air Force  Air Combat Group (ACG)      Fighter/Intercept SQDN      Ground Attack SQDN      Attack Helicopter SQDN      Intelligence and Surveillance SQDN  Air Transport Group (ATG)      Medium Air Transport SQDNs      2x Light Air Transport SQDNs      Medium Helicopter  Transport SQDNs      3x Light Helicopter Transport SQDNs
*Ltd. force projection
+
*Navy  Coastal Defence Group (CDG)  Inland Maritime Security Group (IMSG)
*Mix of static mobile forces
+
*Contributes to regional and international peacekeeping missions, to include deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan.
|| <!-- Ziwa-->
+
*Multi-ethnic and desegregated units.
*Semi-integrated
+
*Major threats include cross-border incursions and criminal smuggling.
*Semi-professional, Some C2 issues
+
||  
*Tier 2/3 w/niche Tier 1 @70%
+
*Ziwa People's Defense Force (ZPDF) includes Ziwa Ground Forces Command,  Ziwa Air Corps, and the Ziwa National Guard.
*No peacekeeping contributions
+
*Military branches of the Ziwa People’s Defense Force (ZPDF) receive their authority via the Minister of Security and Defense, who exercises overall control of planning, control, and execution of all instruments of national power and strategy, under the direction of the President.
*Allows basing
+
*Army  7th Mechanized Brigade  1st Motorized Regiment  2nd Motorized Regiment   26th Artillery Regiment   27th Rocket Regiment   22nd Air Defense Regiment   1st Information Warfare Battalion   356th Engineer Battalion   51st Antitank Battalion
*Minimal force projection
+
*Paramilitary Forces  Ziwa People's National Guard
*Mostly static disposition
+
*Ziwa Air Corp (ZAC)   Attack Aviation SQDN (FW)   Helicopter SQDN (RW)   Intelligence (UAV) SQDN
|| <!--Kujenga -->
+
*No Navy
*Unit-level segregation
+
*Relies heavily on peacekeeping rotations to solidify and expand individual and small unit capabilities. 
*Range of professionalism, spotty C2
+
*The military fills the ranks of both its regular forces and the National Guard through an all-volunteer recruiting program. Reductions in regular force recruiting and retention levels were expected due to Ziwa’s economic growth, but personnel levels from Ziwa’s ethnic minorities and former rebels remain strong.
*Tier 2/3 @ 60% readiness
+
*Major threats include internal militants, internal and cross-border ethnic rebels, criminal smuggling, and human and arms trafficking.
*Ltd. peacekeeping contributions
+
||  
*May allow basing/refugee camps
+
*Kujenga Armed Service (KAS) includes the Kujengan Army, Kujengan National Air Force, Kujengan National Navy, and Security Corps.
*Ltd. force projection
+
*The Kujengan National Defense Council (KNDC) exercises overall control, planning, and execution of the national security. The KNDC includes the Defense Minister, Deputy Prime Minister, armed service chiefs, and the Chief of the Intelligence Division. The Prime Minister may appoint Special Advisors to the KNDC as needed. Each armed service chief is the senior officer of their respective services.
*Static/mobile mix
+
*Army  1st Division (Western Region)  2nd Division (Upper Region)  5th Division (Central Region)  16th Division (Lower Region)
|| <!-- Nyumba -->
+
*Paramilitary Forces  Kujengan Security Corps (KSEC)  Special Reaction Division (SRD)
*Service-level segregation (tribal/regional level)
+
*Air Force  Air Combat Group      Fighter/Intercept SQDN      Ground Attack SQDN      Intelligence and Surveillance SQDN      3x Attack Helicopter SQDNs  Air Transport Group      2x Medium Air Transport SQDNs      Light Air Transport SQDNs      3x Light Helicopter Transport SQDNs
*Corrupt, poor C2, Institutional warlordism
+
*Navy  Coastal Naval District  Lake Tanganyika Naval District  Lake Malawi Naval District
*Tier 3/4 @40%
+
*Contributes to regional and  international missions.
*Basing by rare exception
+
*Units are officially integrated, but unit-level segregation remains commonplace. Most units are manned by local people from the geographic area where their unit operates, though their hand-picked commanders are likely from elsewhere.  
*Ltd. force projection
+
*Major threats include separatists, bush militias, guerillas, border incursions, and cross-border smuggling.
 +
||
 +
*Nyumban Armed Forces (NAF) includes Nyumban National Army, Nyumban Armed Forces- Air Corp, and Nyumban Navy.
 +
*The National Command Authority (NCA) exercises overall control of the planning and execution of national power and strategy, with the President exercising significant control over the military. Department chiefs are appointed directly by the President and almost exclusively affiliated and/or aligned with his tribe.
 +
*Army  "Presidential" Division  "Marsabit" Division  50th Parachute Division  1st Guards Tank Brigade  21st Light Brigade  15th Motorized Battalion (SEP)  20th Motorized Battalion (SEP)
 +
*Paramilitary Forces  Rapid Security Forces (RSF)
 +
*Air Force  2x SQDN Multi-Role FW  1x SQDN Utility/Transport FW  1x SQDN Utility RW
 +
*Navy  Inland Maritime Security Group  Coastal Defence Group
 +
*Contributes to regional and international peacekeeping missions.
 +
*There is little tribal integration at the unit-level. Many of the tactical commanders will reflect the majority tribal or ethnic affiliation of their forces, but the higher leadership will be trusted members of the president’s tribe.
 +
*Major threats include insurgents, rebels, criminals, and instability driven by an authoritarian government.  
 
|}
 
|}
  
Line 128: Line 163:
 
! &nbsp; !! Amari !! Ziwa !! Kujenga !! Nyumba
 
! &nbsp; !! Amari !! Ziwa !! Kujenga !! Nyumba
 
|- valign="top"
 
|- valign="top"
| '''Economic'''  <!-- ################
+
| '''Economic'''   
ECONOMIC VARIABLE
+
||
COMPARISON TABLE
+
*Nominal GDP: $85.12 billion (Agriculture 301.%, Industry 19.7%, Services 50.2%).
  ############ -->
+
*Real GDP Growth Rate: 9.8% (5 year average 19.4%)
|| <!-- Amari -->
+
*Labor Force: 38.3 million (Agriculture 60.1%, Industry 10.4%, Services 29.5%).
*Modernizing economy
+
*Unemployment: 34.5%
*agricultural/industrial/service mix
+
*Poverty: 45.4% (% of population below the international poverty line)
*mid-level corruption, some transparency
+
*Net Foreign Direct Investment: $6.22 billion (No outbound FDI)
*Decent upward mobility
+
*Budget: $14.21 billion revenue,   $38.25 billion expenditures.
|| <!-- Ziwa-->
+
*Public Dept. 40.4% of GDP.
*Burgeoning economy
+
*Infaltion: 6.5% (5-year average 15.5%).
*Industry-based (resources, manufacturing, mil-ind complex) subsistence agriculture
+
*Despite government corruption, Amari has a growing entrepreneurial middle class and a gradually improving economic growth rate.
*Mid/high corruption
+
||  
|| <!--Kujenga -->
+
*Nominal GDP: $14.52 billion  (Agriculture 2.5%, Industry 30.3%, Services 67.2% ).
*Incoate (attempting to diversify)
+
*Real GDP Growth Rate: 0.5%  (5 year average 6.9%).
*Mining, refining, sustenance agriculture
+
*Labor Force:   6.4 million  (Agriculture 5.2%, Industry 24.3%, Services 70.5%).
*Relatively high corruption
+
*Unemployment: 7.4%
*Fresh water plays big role
+
*Poverty: 15.0% (% of population living below the international poverty line).
|| <!-- Nyumba -->
+
*Net Foreign Direct Investment: $1.23 billion (No outbound FDI).
*Warlord power brokers
+
*Budget: $4.73 billion revenue,          $4.28 billion expenditures.
*Underdeveloped natural resources, infrastructure
+
*Public Dept: 50.4% of GDP.
*Relying on oil production, agriculture, and small services sectors 
+
*Inflation: 6.0% (5 year average 5.3%).
*High corruption, no regulation
+
*Although some private enterprise is allowed to function in accordance with open market dynamics, the government maintains an active role in managing the economy.
*Banditry
+
||  
 +
*Nominal GDP: $36.11 billion (Agriculture 20.1%, Industry 20.2%, Services 59.7% ).
 +
*Real GDP Growth Rate: 7.6% (5 year average 5.2%).
 +
*Labor Force: 18.8 million (Agriculture 70.0%, Industry 9.7%, Services 20.3%).
 +
*Unemployment: 15.8%
 +
*Poverty: 70.1% (% of population living below the international poverty line).
 +
*Net Foreign Direct Investment: $1.62 billion (No outbound FDI).
 +
*Budget: $5.49 billion revenue,       $10.85 billion expenditures.
 +
*Public Dept: 119.8% of GDP.
 +
*Inflation: 15.1%  (5 year average 8.7%).
 +
*Despite efforts to grow a viable middle class by diversifying the economy, most Kujengans—70 percent—still live on less than one dollar per day, while a small group of oligarchs retain Kujenga's economic power.
 +
||  
 +
*Nominal GDP: $2.92 billion   (Agriculture 31.4%, Industry 63.4%, Services 5.2%).
 +
*Real GDP Growth Rate: -6.3% 5 year average 0.6% ).
 +
*Labor Force:     5.3 million   (Agriculture 65.4%, Industry 25.0%, Services 9.6%).
 +
*Unemployment: 13.0%
 +
*Poverty: 79.6% (% of population living below the international poverty line).
 +
*Net Foreign Direct Investment: $173.59 million (No outbound FDI).
 +
*Budget: $419.63 million revenue, $441.89 million expenditures.
 +
*Public Dept: 18.4% of GDP
 +
*Inflation:2.5%  (5 year average 3.3%).
 +
*By most modern standards, Nyumba is a very weak or failed state economically, with a small group of powerful individuals controlling the financial, trade, banking, and commodity sectors within the country.
 
|}
 
|}
  
 
===Social===
 
===Social===
In Sub-Saharan Africa, UN population growth forecasts exceed 2.0% per annum through 2035, with the majority of the population under age 25 through the year 2050. Sub-Saharan Africa’s global share of 15-24 year olds will increase from 14.3% to 23.3% over the forecast period. Under these circumstances, mega-cities will continue to grow rapidly, poverty will persist, and governments will struggle to provide basic services. Insurgent and terrorist groups will seek to exploit these conditions: competing with the state to provide social services; employing violence to intimidate political opposition; using terror attacks to provoke external actors into delegitimizing military interventions; and aggressively recruiting among the region’s youth.  
+
In Sub-Saharan Africa, UN population growth forecasts exceed 2.0% per annum through 2035, with the majority of the population under age 25 through the year 2050. Sub-Saharan Africa’s global share of 15-24 year olds will increase from 14.3% to 23.3% over the forecast period. Under these circumstances, mega-cities will continue to grow rapidly, poverty will persist, and governments will struggle to provide basic services. Insurgent and terrorist groups will seek to exploit these conditions: competing with the state to provide social services; employing violence to intimidate political opposition; using terror attacks to provoke external actors into de-legitimizing military interventions; and aggressively recruiting among the region’s youth.  
  
 
{| class="wikitable" style="width:75%;"
 
{| class="wikitable" style="width:75%;"
Line 161: Line 217:
 
! &nbsp; !! Amari !! Ziwa !! Kujenga !! Nyumba
 
! &nbsp; !! Amari !! Ziwa !! Kujenga !! Nyumba
 
|- valign="top"
 
|- valign="top"
| '''Social''' <!-- ################ SOCIAL VARIABLE COMPARISON TABLE ############ -->
+
| '''Social'''  
|| <!-- Amari -->
+
||  
*Health Care: Moderate Plus
+
*Age Distribution (%) < 15 yr. 42%  15-59 yr. 53%  > 60 yr. 5%
*Religions: Good Christian/Muslim/Tribal
+
*Median Age: 19.5
*Income per Capita: [[DATE Africa Regional Economy|'''Second highest regionally''']]
+
*Pop. Growth Rate: 1.81%
*Languages: English, French, Arabic, Swahili
+
*Birth Rate (per 1,000): 25.1
*Human Rights: Moderate
+
*Death Rate (per 1,000): 6.8
|| <!-- Ziwa-->
+
*Infant Mortality (per 1,000): 38.3
*Health Care: Moderate
+
*Life Expectancy: 6
*Religious Diversity: Good Muslim/Christian/Tribal
+
*Literacy Rate:  Male 81%  Female 74%
*Income per Capita: [[DATE Africa Regional Economy|'''Highest regionally''']]
+
*Urban Population: 25.6%
*Languages: French, Arabic, Swahili, English
+
*Religion: Christianity 80%  Islam 5%  Traditional/ Indigenous 4%  Other 2%
*Human Rights: Moderate
+
||  
|| <!--Kujenga -->
+
*Age Distribution (%) < 15 yr. 45%  15-59 yr. 49%  > 60 yr. 6%
*Health Care: Moderate
+
*Median Age: 20
*Religions: Good Christian/Muslim/Tribal
+
*Pop. Growth Rate: 3.2%
*Income per Capita: [[DATE Africa Regional Economy|'''Second lowest regionally''']]
+
*Birth Rate (per 1,000): 42.9
*Languages: English, Arabic, Swahili, French
+
*Death Rate (per 1,000): 10.2
*Human Rights: Moderate
+
*Infant Mortality (per 1,000): 57.6
|| <!-- Nyumba -->
+
*Life Expectancy: 65
*Health Care: Low plus
+
*Literacy Rate:  Male 85%  Female 72%
*Religions: Poor Muslim/Christian/Tribal
+
*Urban Population: 16.8%
*Income per Capita: [[DATE Africa Regional Economy|'''Lowest regionally''']]
+
*Religion:  Christianity 40%  Islam 35%  Traditional/ Indigenous 15%  Other 0%
*Languages: Top Four Arabic, Swahili, English, French
+
||  
*Human Rights: poor
+
*Age Distribution (%) < 15 yr. 45%  15-59 yr. 50%  > 60 yr. 5%
 +
*Median Age: 27
 +
*Pop. Growth Rate: 2.8%
 +
*Birth Rate (per 1,000): 35
 +
*Death Rate (per 1,000): 7.6
 +
*Infant Mortality (per 1,000): 41.2
 +
*Infant Mortality (per 1,000): 41.2
 +
*Life Expectancy: 62.2
 +
*Literacy Rate: Male 83%  Female 71%
 +
*Urban Population: 33%
 +
*Religion: Christianity 27%  Islam 60%  Traditional/ Indigenous 10%  Other 3%
 +
||  
 +
*Age Distribution (%) < 15 yr. 44%  15-59 yr. 52%  > 60 yr. 4%
 +
*Median Age: 18
 +
*Pop. Growth Rate: 2%
 +
*Birth Rate (per 1,000): 39
 +
*Birth Rate (per 1,000): 39
 +
*Infant Mortality (per 1,000): 96.6
 +
*Life Expectancy: 62.4
 +
*Literacy Rate:  Male 82%  Female 68%
 +
*Urban Population: 40.5%
 +
*Religion: Christianity 3%  Islam 90%  Traditional/ Indigenous 7%  Other 0%
 
|}
 
|}
  
 
===Information===
 
===Information===
The OE countries all recognize the importance and influence of information media and it's control. Approaches range from low technical capabilities with tight government controls to rapidly modernizing technical capabilities with ineffective attempts by the government to control the public's perceptions. New means of information sharing using modern technology are rapidly adopted by the population unless the government intervenes in an attempt to control information flow. Countries jump directly from limited land-line telephone systems to ubiquitous cell phone use. Distances and improvements in technology, software, and infrastructure allow African countries to implement new information systems at a very rapid pace. In several instances, African countries are on the cutting edge of adopting new information technology to enhance the public's standard of living. Other instances see the leadership of a country attempting to control access to information systems to remain in power and to exploit it for their own benefit.     
+
The OE countries all recognize the importance and influence of information media and its control. Approaches range from low technical capabilities with tight government controls to rapidly modernizing technical capabilities with ineffective attempts by the government to control the public's perceptions. New means of information sharing using modern technology are rapidly adopted by the population unless the government intervenes in an attempt to control information flow. Countries jump directly from limited land-line telephone systems to ubiquitous cell phone use. Distances and improvements in technology, software, and infrastructure allow African countries to implement new information systems at a very rapid pace. In several instances, African countries are on the cutting edge of adopting new information technology to enhance the public's standard of living. Other instances see the leadership of a country attempting to control access to information systems to remain in power and to exploit it for their own benefit.     
  
 
{| class="wikitable" style="width:75%;"
 
{| class="wikitable" style="width:75%;"
Line 202: Line 279:
 
*Decent technology
 
*Decent technology
 
|| <!-- Ziwa-->
 
|| <!-- Ziwa-->
*GOV control/owned
+
*Govt. control/owned
 
*Strong growth of ICT Sector
 
*Strong growth of ICT Sector
 
*INFOWAR mixed  
 
*INFOWAR mixed  
Line 209: Line 286:
 
*Rapidly growing cell phone capability
 
*Rapidly growing cell phone capability
 
|| <!--Kujenga -->
 
|| <!--Kujenga -->
*Ltd. media (radio, WOM) gov/private mix
+
*Ltd. media (radio, WOM) Govt./Private mix
*Attempt at gov control - marginal effect
+
*Attempt at Govt. control - marginal effect
 
*Ltd. INFOWAR
 
*Ltd. INFOWAR
 
*Ltd. INT (HUMINT, OSINT)
 
*Ltd. INT (HUMINT, OSINT)
Line 216: Line 293:
 
|| <!-- Nyumba -->
 
|| <!-- Nyumba -->
 
*Non-technical (WOM, radio)
 
*Non-technical (WOM, radio)
*GOV media & control
+
*Govt. media & control
 
*INFOWAR niche purchases
 
*INFOWAR niche purchases
 
*Ltd. INT (HUMINT)
 
*Ltd. INT (HUMINT)
Line 252: Line 329:
 
|4.4
 
|4.4
 
|-
 
|-
|Airports w/ Paved Runway >8,000 ft  
+
|Airports w/ Paved Runway >8,000 ft.
 
|4
 
|4
 
|2
 
|2
Line 274: Line 351:
  
 
===Physical Environment===
 
===Physical Environment===
Though making up less than a fifth of Africa, the DATE Africa region includes most of the geographic and climatological features present on the continent. The central features are the Eastern and Western Rift Valleys that run from Kujenga in the south all the way to northwest  Nyumba in the north. They are home to the African Great Lakes, which are the origins for both the Congo and Nile Rivers. Their peaks also make up the highest elevations in Africa. Eastward from the Rift, descending savanna and desert meet the Indian Ocean along an expansive coastline containing the natural deepwater ports of Dar Es Salaam in Kujenga, Mombasa, Kenya, and to lesser extents Lamu and Kismaayo in Nyumba.   
+
Though making up less than a fifth of Africa, the DATE Africa region includes most of the geographic and climatological features present on the continent. The central features are the Eastern and Western Rift Valleys that run from Kujenga in the south all the way to northwest  Nyumba in the north. They are home to the African Great Lakes, which are the origins for both the Congo and Nile Rivers. Their peaks also make up the highest elevations in Africa. Eastward from the Rift, descending savanna and desert meet the Indian Ocean along an expansive coastline containing the natural deep water ports of Dar Es Salaam in Kujenga, Mombasa, Kenya, and to lesser extents Lamu and Kismaayo in Nyumba.   
  
 
Lake Victoria is the world's largest tropical freshwater lake and sustains an ever-growing population. Despite the relative water wealth contained in the Great Lakes, much of the region suffers from water stress or water scarcity. Man-made crop irrigation is minimal and the major perennial rivers flowing to the Indian Ocean are prone to severe flooding during the rainy seasons.   
 
Lake Victoria is the world's largest tropical freshwater lake and sustains an ever-growing population. Despite the relative water wealth contained in the Great Lakes, much of the region suffers from water stress or water scarcity. Man-made crop irrigation is minimal and the major perennial rivers flowing to the Indian Ocean are prone to severe flooding during the rainy seasons.   
Line 285: Line 362:
 
Characteristics
 
Characteristics
 
||  
 
||  
*Arable land
+
* Lies on the Indian Ocean and Lake Victoria.
 +
*Terrain varies from high mountains and green plateaus to desert lowlands and coastal plains.
 +
*Climates range from tropical to semiarid to sub-alpine.
 +
*Multiple natural hazards exist, resulting from Amari’s geology, weather, native wildlife, and human activity.
 
||  
 
||  
* TBD
+
* Borders the Indian Ocean.
 +
* Encompasses Lake Victoria, Lake Malawi, Lake Tanganika.
 +
* Terrain varies from a significant  rift valley in the central region, high mountains and arid desert lowlands, as well as coastal plains.
 +
* Climates range from tropical to semiarid in the east; warm desert in the west; and humid near the coast.
 
||  
 
||  
*Difficult to grow
+
*Borders the Indian Ocean.
 +
*Encompasses Lake Turkana and Lake Logipi.
 +
*Terrain varies from significant rift valley, high mountains and arid desert lowlands, and coastal plains.
 +
*Climates are tropical to semiaridin the east,  warm desert in the west, and arid and humid near the coast.
 
||  
 
||  
*Landlocked
+
*Completely landlocked.
*Smallest country
+
*Encompasses a portion of Lake Victoria, Lake Natron, and Lake Eya.
 +
*Terrain varies from a significant rift valley and lakes in East with arid desert lowlands and open savanna over a majority of the country.
 +
*Climates range from semiarid in the west and warm desert, arid with increased humidity near Lake Victoria.
 
|-
 
|-
|Land Area (sq mi)
+
|Land Area (sq. mi)
 
|176,619
 
|176,619
 
|364,374
 
|364,374
Line 300: Line 388:
 
|34,216
 
|34,216
 
|-
 
|-
|Inland Water Area (sq mi)
+
|Inland Water Area (sq. mi)
 
|19,956
 
|19,956
 
|26,437
 
|26,437
Line 329: Line 417:
 
{{Main article|Peacekeeping Forces}}
 
{{Main article|Peacekeeping Forces}}
 
*'''International Peacekeeping Forces'''.
 
*'''International Peacekeeping Forces'''.
''Description goes here''
 
 
Recent examples of peacekeeping forces with and international mandate include the forces of the [[UNMIDA|
 
Recent examples of peacekeeping forces with and international mandate include the forces of the [[UNMIDA|
 
UN mission in DATE Africa]] and the [[EUTMDA|European Training Mission in DATE Africa]].
 
UN mission in DATE Africa]] and the [[EUTMDA|European Training Mission in DATE Africa]].
  
 
*''' Regional Peacekeeping Forces'''.
 
*''' Regional Peacekeeping Forces'''.
''Description goes here''
 
 
Recent examples of regional peacekeeping forces include the forces of the [[Regional Standby Force]] and the Regional Monitoring Group's [[Regional Economic Community Security Force]].
 
Recent examples of regional peacekeeping forces include the forces of the [[Regional Standby Force]] and the Regional Monitoring Group's [[Regional Economic Community Security Force]].
  
Line 343: Line 429:
  
 
*'''Private Security Companies'''.
 
*'''Private Security Companies'''.
Rampant crime and inadequate policing, particularly in the urban areas has led to the rise of numerous private security companies.  These companies provide security services for businesses and individuals ranging from static guards to armed response teams. Guarded facilities will likely have barbed wire and monitored cameras.  The guards themselves are variously uniformed, from simple reflective vests and caps to military-style garb. They will either be unarmed (batons, irritants) or have a variety of small arms.
+
Rampant crime and inadequate policing, particularly in the urban areas has led to the rise of numerous private security companies.  These companies provide security services for businesses and individuals ranging from static guards to armed response teams. Guarded facilities will likely have barbed wire and monitored cameras.  The guards themselves are variously uniformed, from simple reflective vests and caps to military-style garb. They will either be unarmed (batons, irritants) or have a variety of small arms.
The quality and cost of the services may indicate the professionalism of responses and adherence to company rules of engagement. These guards are often well-regarded in the community and may have excellent situational awareness of local activities and dynamics, as well as those of the poorer areas from which they are often recruited.
+
 
 +
The quality and cost of the services may indicate the professionalism of responses and adherence to company rules of engagement. These guards are often well-regarded in the community and may have excellent situational awareness of local activities and dynamics, as well as those of the poorer areas from which they are often recruited.
 +
 
 
Note: Non-commercial "neighborhood watches" may exist, but are less likely to be armed or provocative.
 
Note: Non-commercial "neighborhood watches" may exist, but are less likely to be armed or provocative.
  
Line 389: Line 477:
 
*Criminal Gangs
 
*Criminal Gangs
  
''See also [[Chapter 4: Criminals|TC 7-100.3 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 4: Criminals]]''
+
''See also [[Chapter 4: Criminals|TC 7-100.3 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 4: Criminals]]''  
  
 
{{:Africa Linkbox}}
 
 
[[Category:DATE]]
 
[[Category:DATE]]
 
[[Category:Africa]]
 
[[Category:Africa]]
 
<references />
 
<references />

Latest revision as of 21:52, 23 February 2021

DATE Africa Overview map

The purpose of the Decisive Action Training Environment (DATE) Africa is to provide the US Army training community with a detailed description of the conditions of four composite operational environments (OEs) in the Africa region. It presents trainers with a tool to assist in the construction of scenarios for specific training events but does not provide a complete scenario. DATE Africa offers discussions of OE conditions through the political, military, economic, social, information, infrastructure, physical environment, and time (PMESII-PT) variables. This DATE applies to all US Army units (Active Army, Army National Guard, and Army Reserve) and partner nations that participate in DATE-compliant Army or joint training exercises.

Over 795,000 square miles comprise DATE Africa, a varied and complex region which ranges from Lake Victoria in the west to the Indian Sea on its eastern coast. The region includes the fictional countries of Amari, Kujenga, Ziwa, and Nyumba.[1] The region has a long history of instability and conflict; ethnic and religious factionalism; and general political, military, and civilian unrest. In addition to these internal regional divisions, outside actors have increasing strategic interests in the region. DATE Africa thus represents a flashpoint where highly localized conflict can spill over into widespread unrest or general war.

(See also Using the DATE and TC 7-101 Exercise Design).

Key Points

  • The countries in the region have experienced dramatic changes in governing regimes over the last few decades.
  • Political, economic, and environmental changes have created societal pressures that spawn conflict between nations, political factions, international players, and potential threat actors.
  • The complex tapestry of ethnic, tribal, linguistic and religious loyalties make diplomatic and military operations in the region difficult.
  • US forces may be required to conduct operations in the region in a wide range of roles and will likely operate in a combined effort with other forces.

Discussion of the OEs within the DATE Africa Operational Environment

Republic of Amari

Main article: Amari

Amari, with its capital at Kisumu, is a functioning and relatively stable democracy, receiving significant support from the US and other western countries. A new constitution, implemented seven years ago, attempted to create a framework for better governance, with good results. Ethnic and tribal tensions continuously play out in multi-party politics, which has led to a history of electoral violence and distrust of the government. The last election was uniquely free of the violence of past elections. Other concerns include border security, instability spillover from neighboring countries, regional competition for resources, and terrorism.

Amari gained independence from a western European colonial power fifty years ago; a time when colonial powers were divesting themselves of their African colonies. The government consists of an executive branch with a strong president, a bicameral legislature, and a judiciary with an associated hierarchy of courts. Amari is making significant progress in areas of good governance but still struggles with institutional corruption. The new constitution has attempted to create a framework for better governance with good results. Other concerns include border security, instability spillover from neighboring countries, regional competition for resources, and terrorism.

The Amari National Defense Force (ANDF) is the state military of Amari. Its composition, disposition, and doctrine are the result of years of relative peace. Internal security and the constant struggle against border incursions continue to shape its structure and roles. The ANDF consists of the Amari Army, Air Force, and Navy. Amari paramilitary forces include the Border Guard Corps (BGC) and Special Reserve Force (SRF). The ANDF is a well-integrated and professional force with good command and control and high readiness. It has a limited force projection capability and a mix of static and mobile forces. Amari is an active contributor to both regional and international peacekeeping forces and has hosted such forces within its borders.

Republic of Ziwa

Main article: Ziwa
Ziwa is a small landlocked nation located on the southern end of Lake Victoria. Despite a troubled past, Ziwa is making progress toward greater transparency and good governance. Its development path stems from political turmoil in the last few decades and a growing economy—largely based on technical advancements and extensive mineral resources. Ziwa seeks to become a key player on the continent, but has experienced internal dissent and has been affected by regional disputes. Ziwa’s history since gaining independence is one of coups, disputed elections, regional and ethnic violence, and general instability. While Ziwa has expressed an intent to improve its governance, a lack of deep-rooted democratic and civil society institutions makes it one of the most vulnerable and unstable countries in the region.

The Ziwa People’s Defense Force (ZPDF) is the state military of the Republic of Ziwa. Its structure and focus has adapted over the last decade alongside the country’s economic development. The ZPDF consists of the Ziwa Ground Forces Command (ZGFC), Ziwa Air Corps (ZAC), and the National Guard. Ziwa’s military relations with its neighbors—Amari to the north and Kujenga to the south—are generally stable, despite sporadic low-level incidents along the border. Border control challenges contributed to the forward deployment of dedicated maneuver elements and leveraging of former rebels to ensure the appearance of security.

Multiple threats exploit Ziwa’s dependence on natural resources and external power generation and transmission. Brutal militants in the northeast mountain area (“The Watasi Gang”) and pockets of ethnic rebels throughout the country continue to plague stability and keep the military at a continually high operational tempo. Although both Kujenga and Amari have active security agreements with Ziwa, rumors persist of their covert support to the Ziwa rebels.

Republic of Kujenga

Main article: Kujenga

Kujenga gained semi-independence fifty-six years ago under a post-colonial United Nations mandated trusteeship. Three years later, Kujenga gained full independence, establishing a constitution built on a single political party system.

Working under the UN mandate, the outgoing colonial power lent support to the group of elites who had made up the bureaucracy under colonial rule. These elites united under the political party People of Change (POC). They have since controlled the government through successive elections, except for a brief experiment with multi-party rule seven years ago that ended five years later with the subsequent election. After independence, Kujenga established diplomatic relations with the United States. Relations between the two countries have been strained at various times because of Kujenga’s tight-knit oligarchic political structure and repressive tendencies. Ongoing tensions and violence between the Kujengan government and the Tanga region brought especial US condemnation. The Kujengan government is focused on addressing rampant corruption and government inaction, but the country has also experienced a shrinking of democratic space.

The Kujenga Armed Service (KAS) is the state military of the Republic of Kujenga. It emerged from a somewhat turbulent past and a range of internal security challenges. Kujenga’s military relations with its neighbors are relatively stable, although border security issues, particularly in the Tanga region, are increasing the risk of regional conflict. The KAS consists of the Kujengan Army, Kujengan National Air Force (KNAF), Kujengan National Navy (KNAV), and Security Corps. Kujenga’s primary internal security concerns include Tangan separatists, violent bush militias in the central mountains, and the brutal "Army of Justice and Purity" guerrillas in the Kasama region. External threats include border incursions by presumed Amari paramilitaries and cross-border smuggling.

Democratic Republic of Nyumba

Main article: Nyumba
Nyumba is a troubled nation and has had little in the form of democracy since its inception. It has been primarily ruled by authoritarian governments and wracked with internal turmoil and paranoia about perceived external threats. It is suspicious of regional government alliances with western countries and, particularly, what the Nyumba government leaders see as international meddling in its sovereign domestic and regional interests.

The government is authoritarian in all aspects. Beginning fifty-nine years ago, a military coup overthrew the newly elected civilian government, lasting only six years before an Islamist government took power. While the government is based on its interpretation of Sharia law, tribal traditions and influences permeate the government as well. Economic, religious, ethnic, and tribal interests complicate Nyumban politics and have led to decades of civil war and other internal conflicts. These conflicts have threatened border countries with refugees and provided a safe haven for terrorists, insurgents, criminals, and other disruptors. These deep-seated challenges show no signs of dissipating.

The Nyumban Armed Forces (NAF) is the state military of Nyumba and is key to the country’s stability. It has experienced significant challenges from various threat actors in Nyumba, distrust within its ranks, and from politicians. Civilian distrust is particularly high, leading to widespread tribalism and the rise of armed militias. Its composition and deployments are driven by political desires to maintain control of key forces and the de facto ceding of territory to tribes or armed groups. The NAF consists of the Nyumban National Army (NNA), the Nyumban Armed Forces Air Corps, and the Nyumban Navy. The Nyumban National Security Service controls a paramilitary group, the Rapid Security Forces (RSF) which is usually deployed in support of border and anti-insurgency operations. The NAF has inherited a varied structure and culture due to several regime changes and a colonial legacy. The lawlessness of the territory and general instability has heightened both political and military leaders’ wariness of the forces.

Strategic Positioning

This OE is one of the most politically dynamic regions in the world. Almost nowhere else have geopolitical forces and regional ambitions combined to produce such volatile results. State developments ranging from gradual reforms to often violent regime change have occurred throughout the region's history. Although the region may not have been the primary focus of global geopolitical contests, it has often been a factor in the larger geopolitical landscape. This volatility is not likely to change in the coming years as greater multipolarity continues to increase throughout the region.

Coinciding with increased international interest, the region's states grew stronger over the past several years, exerting their sovereignty in ways that challenge the post-Cold War development and humanitarian models. International players increased pressure to gain a foothold on the continent. As the countries in the OE forge new international relationships, they find a range of willing partners with a diverse set of motives. Non-state threat actors also find fertile ground for extremist messages. Uneven economic growth and the injection of international anti-terror military aid empower some states while channeling resources to specific interest groups in power, specifically to the executive and security sector. However, this will not guarantee stability or equitable human development. Rather, the region may see more money pouring into countries, but with greater partisan international interests and increased conflict.

Strengthening centers of power may prevent non-violent political change from emerging. Ambitious leaders on the periphery are likely to resort to violence to unseat ruling regimes that themselves came to power as products of deeply embedded ethnic conflicts, cross-border regional power projection, and divisive domestic inequalities. The OE is often viewed as a 'political marketplace,' the challenges of which could begin to lead the region down a violent path. The region has a history of weathering changes in international attention, while also managing local political conflicts and economic problems. National leader legitimacy deficits co-exist within an international context that often undermines the development of local solutions. Even as regional cooperation is increasing stability and the level of cross border interference has declined, the future is anything but certain. The ever-present international, regional, and national challenges continue to strain the ability and capacity of national and regional institutions to regulate and manage nonviolent change.

Regional Views of the US

The countries of the OE voice mixed views of American soft and military power. There is little consensus about U.S.-style democracy and there are many in the populations who oppose the spread of American ideas and customs in Africa and around the world. At the same time, many in the region still believe the U.S. respects the personal freedoms of its people and they aspire to similar freedoms. While the U.S. and other nations are involved in widely-popular peacekeeping and humanitarian missions, the presence of outside forces has been a rallying cry for disenfranchised groups. The general pull away from U.S. intervention in the region has been aided by aggressive inroads from other external countries, such as Olvana, that promise to supply an alternative to previously undisputed economic and military power.

Regional PMESII-PT Overview

Political

The governments in DATE Africa are vulnerable to widespread corruption, entrenched political leaders who repeatedly amend constitutions to extend their rule, and the historical absence of a democratic political culture. They are apt to place legal restrictions on civil society. A history of coups, civil conflicts, and political stalemates between opposing factions suggest a potential for democratic backsliding across the region. Weak and failed states contain ungoverned spaces that provide operational bases for numerous irregular threats.

Regional Political Comparison
  Amari Ziwa Kujenga Nyumba
Political
  • Level of Freedom: 2 on a 7 point scale.
  • Relatively free and functioning democracy.
  • Constitution approved  7-years ago.
  • Bicameral legislature (Senate and National Assembly for 5-year unlimited terms.)
  • President and Deputy President elected on the same ballot by popular vote for 5-years and limited to 2 terms.
  • Next national elections in 4-years.
  • Legal system blends common law, Sharia law, and customary law.
  • A history of election violence until significant improvements in elections 6-years and 1-year ago.
  • Challenges include public and private sector corruption, weak border enforcement, refugees, terrorism, fragile political parties, and internal ethnic tensions.
  • Level of Freedom: 5 on 7 point scale.
  • Open anocracy - government functions on a continuum closer to a democracy than an autocracy, with improving democratic infrastructure.
  • Constitution approved 57-year ago.
  • Bicameral legislature (Senate and House of Representatives for 4-year unlimited terms).
  • President and Vice President elected on the same ballot by popular vote for 4-year terms and limited to 2 terms.
  • Next national elections in 2-years.
  • Judicial system is subject to corruption and inappropriate influence, but is making slow and incremental progress.
  • Recent elections, judged by past standards, are significant improvements in transparency, openness, and credibility.
  • In spite of a history of military rule and lacking democratic traditions, pressure from civil society groups, journalists, social media, and other organizations are slowly bringing about greater transparency.
  • Level of Freedom: 6 on 7 point scale.
  • Closed anocracy - limited opposition activity allowed that does not threaten one-party rule.
  • Constitution approved 53-years ago.
  • Unicameral legislature controlled by the People of Change (POC) political party with 5-year unlimited terms.
  • Prime Minister and Deputy Prime Minister elected on the same ticket by a simple majority of the legislature.
  • Next national elections in 3-years.
  • Legal system is a combination of common law, Sharia law, and customary law, but with limited independence and pervasive corruption.
  • Regular harassment, arrests, and intimidation of opposition parties by the ruling party and members of state institutions insure ruling party success in elections.
  • The POC has passed legislation used to arrest, detain, and threaten opposition leaders in the name of national security.
  • Level of Freedom: 7 on 7 point scale.
  • Authoritarian failed state.
  • Beginning fifty-nine years ago, a military coup overthrew the newly elected civilian government, lasting only six years before an Islamist government took power.
  • Unicarmeral legislature controlled by National People's Party (NPP) with 6-year unlimited terms.
  • President and 2 Vice Presidents elected by popular vote for 6-year and unlimited number of terms.
  • Next national elections in 3-years.
  • Legal system is outwardly based on holdover colonial law and Sharia, however, the government is able to manipulate the judicial system to comply with its will.
  • Elections are defined by corruption, intimidation, and other extra-legal activities that insure the election of candidates carefully chosen by the ruling party.
  • The ruling party dominates the political system and uses intimidation, arbitrary arrests, and onerous regulations to prevent other political parties and civil society activists from operating freely.

Military

The countries represented in DATE: Africa are a cross-section and composite of states and state forces. State forces have evolved from a diverse set of conditions including colonial histories to a succession of regime changes and revolutions. They are generally pragmatic in both structure and equipment - the result of constrained budgets and constantly changing threat conditions. The forces of the more modernized countries, such as Amari and Ziwa, are generally more integrated, better equipped, and more professional. At-risk countries, such as Kujenga and Nyumba demonstrate tribal or ethnic segregation, degraded readiness, and a structuring for regime survival. Participation in regional or international peacekeeping forces and exercises is often as much to train and equip their own forces as to develop interoperability and cooperation. A variety of threat groups and endemic criminal activity throughout the region contend to destabilize governments or build power in difficult-to-govern areas.

Regional Military Comparison
  Amari Ziwa Kujenga Nyumba
Military
  • Amari Defense Force (ANDF) includes, Amarian Army, Amarian Air Force, and Amarian Navy.
  • The National Command Authority (NCA) of Amari exercises overall control, planning, and execution of the national security. The Amari Chief of Military Defence Staff is the senior military position, with the Chiefs of the Military Defense Staff functioning at the top of the military hierarchy and decision-making process.
  • Army     12th Mechanised Brigade 14th Mechanised Brigade 18th Mechanised Brigade 5th Armour Regiment 102nd Infantry Regiment ("Amari Mounted Rifles") Fires Regiment Reconnaissance and Intelligence Formation (RIF) Capital Defence Force and Strategic Reserve
  • Paramilitary Forces Border Guard Corps (BGC) Special Reserve Force (SRF) Defense Force Reserves (DFR)
  • Air Force Air Combat Group (ACG)     Fighter/Intercept SQDN     Ground Attack SQDN     Attack Helicopter SQDN     Intelligence and Surveillance SQDN Air Transport Group (ATG)     Medium Air Transport SQDNs     2x Light Air Transport SQDNs     Medium Helicopter Transport SQDNs     3x Light Helicopter Transport SQDNs
  • Navy Coastal Defence Group (CDG) Inland Maritime Security Group (IMSG)
  • Contributes to regional and international peacekeeping missions, to include deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan.
  • Multi-ethnic and desegregated units.
  • Major threats include cross-border incursions and criminal smuggling.
  • Ziwa People's Defense Force (ZPDF) includes Ziwa Ground Forces Command,  Ziwa Air Corps, and the Ziwa National Guard.
  • Military branches of the Ziwa People’s Defense Force (ZPDF) receive their authority via the Minister of Security and Defense, who exercises overall control of planning, control, and execution of all instruments of national power and strategy, under the direction of the President.
  • Army 7th Mechanized Brigade 1st Motorized Regiment 2nd Motorized Regiment  26th Artillery Regiment  27th Rocket Regiment  22nd Air Defense Regiment  1st Information Warfare Battalion  356th Engineer Battalion  51st Antitank Battalion
  • Paramilitary Forces Ziwa People's National Guard
  • Ziwa Air Corp (ZAC)  Attack Aviation SQDN (FW)  Helicopter SQDN (RW)  Intelligence (UAV) SQDN
  • No Navy
  • Relies heavily on peacekeeping rotations to solidify and expand individual and small unit capabilities. 
  • The military fills the ranks of both its regular forces and the National Guard through an all-volunteer recruiting program. Reductions in regular force recruiting and retention levels were expected due to Ziwa’s economic growth, but personnel levels from Ziwa’s ethnic minorities and former rebels remain strong.
  • Major threats include internal militants, internal and cross-border ethnic rebels, criminal smuggling, and human and arms trafficking.
  • Kujenga Armed Service (KAS) includes the Kujengan Army, Kujengan National Air Force, Kujengan National Navy, and Security Corps.
  • The Kujengan National Defense Council (KNDC) exercises overall control, planning, and execution of the national security. The KNDC includes the Defense Minister, Deputy Prime Minister, armed service chiefs, and the Chief of the Intelligence Division. The Prime Minister may appoint Special Advisors to the KNDC as needed. Each armed service chief is the senior officer of their respective services.
  • Army 1st Division (Western Region) 2nd Division (Upper Region) 5th Division (Central Region) 16th Division (Lower Region)
  • Paramilitary Forces Kujengan Security Corps (KSEC) Special Reaction Division (SRD)
  • Air Force Air Combat Group     Fighter/Intercept SQDN     Ground Attack SQDN     Intelligence and Surveillance SQDN     3x Attack Helicopter SQDNs Air Transport Group     2x Medium Air Transport SQDNs     Light Air Transport SQDNs     3x Light Helicopter Transport SQDNs
  • Navy Coastal Naval District Lake Tanganyika Naval District Lake Malawi Naval District
  • Contributes to regional and  international missions.
  • Units are officially integrated, but unit-level segregation remains commonplace. Most units are manned by local people from the geographic area where their unit operates, though their hand-picked commanders are likely from elsewhere.
  • Major threats include separatists, bush militias, guerillas, border incursions, and cross-border smuggling.
  • Nyumban Armed Forces (NAF) includes Nyumban National Army, Nyumban Armed Forces- Air Corp, and Nyumban Navy.
  • The National Command Authority (NCA) exercises overall control of the planning and execution of national power and strategy, with the President exercising significant control over the military. Department chiefs are appointed directly by the President and almost exclusively affiliated and/or aligned with his tribe.
  • Army "Presidential" Division "Marsabit" Division 50th Parachute Division 1st Guards Tank Brigade 21st Light Brigade 15th Motorized Battalion (SEP) 20th Motorized Battalion (SEP)
  • Paramilitary Forces Rapid Security Forces (RSF)
  • Air Force 2x SQDN Multi-Role FW 1x SQDN Utility/Transport FW 1x SQDN Utility RW
  • Navy Inland Maritime Security Group Coastal Defence Group
  • Contributes to regional and international peacekeeping missions.
  • There is little tribal integration at the unit-level. Many of the tactical commanders will reflect the majority tribal or ethnic affiliation of their forces, but the higher leadership will be trusted members of the president’s tribe.
  • Major threats include insurgents, rebels, criminals, and instability driven by an authoritarian government.

Economic

The economic conditions in the four countries cover a wide spectrum. Ranging from modern economic systems to reliance on traditional cash-only systems. In all of the countries the underlying structure of family and tribe motivate most economic transactions and policies.

Regional Economics Comparison
  Amari Ziwa Kujenga Nyumba
Economic
  • Nominal GDP: $85.12 billion (Agriculture 301.%, Industry 19.7%, Services 50.2%).
  • Real GDP Growth Rate: 9.8% (5 year average 19.4%)
  • Labor Force: 38.3 million (Agriculture 60.1%, Industry 10.4%, Services 29.5%).
  • Unemployment: 34.5%
  • Poverty: 45.4% (% of population below the international poverty line)
  • Net Foreign Direct Investment: $6.22 billion (No outbound FDI)
  • Budget: $14.21 billion revenue,   $38.25 billion expenditures.
  • Public Dept. 40.4% of GDP.
  • Infaltion: 6.5% (5-year average 15.5%).
  • Despite government corruption, Amari has a growing entrepreneurial middle class and a gradually improving economic growth rate.
  • Nominal GDP: $14.52 billion  (Agriculture 2.5%, Industry 30.3%, Services 67.2% ).
  • Real GDP Growth Rate: 0.5%  (5 year average 6.9%).
  • Labor Force:   6.4 million  (Agriculture 5.2%, Industry 24.3%, Services 70.5%).
  • Unemployment: 7.4%
  • Poverty: 15.0% (% of population living below the international poverty line).
  • Net Foreign Direct Investment: $1.23 billion (No outbound FDI).
  • Budget: $4.73 billion revenue,         $4.28 billion expenditures.
  • Public Dept: 50.4% of GDP.
  • Inflation: 6.0% (5 year average 5.3%).
  • Although some private enterprise is allowed to function in accordance with open market dynamics, the government maintains an active role in managing the economy.
  • Nominal GDP: $36.11 billion (Agriculture 20.1%, Industry 20.2%, Services 59.7% ).
  • Real GDP Growth Rate: 7.6% (5 year average 5.2%).
  • Labor Force: 18.8 million (Agriculture 70.0%, Industry 9.7%, Services 20.3%).
  • Unemployment: 15.8%
  • Poverty: 70.1% (% of population living below the international poverty line).
  • Net Foreign Direct Investment: $1.62 billion (No outbound FDI).
  • Budget: $5.49 billion revenue,      $10.85 billion expenditures.
  • Public Dept: 119.8% of GDP.
  • Inflation: 15.1%  (5 year average 8.7%).
  • Despite efforts to grow a viable middle class by diversifying the economy, most Kujengans—70 percent—still live on less than one dollar per day, while a small group of oligarchs retain Kujenga's economic power.
  • Nominal GDP: $2.92 billion   (Agriculture 31.4%, Industry 63.4%, Services 5.2%).
  • Real GDP Growth Rate: -6.3% 5 year average 0.6% ).
  • Labor Force:     5.3 million   (Agriculture 65.4%, Industry 25.0%, Services 9.6%).
  • Unemployment: 13.0%
  • Poverty: 79.6% (% of population living below the international poverty line).
  • Net Foreign Direct Investment: $173.59 million (No outbound FDI).
  • Budget: $419.63 million revenue, $441.89 million expenditures.
  • Public Dept: 18.4% of GDP
  • Inflation:2.5%  (5 year average 3.3%).
  • By most modern standards, Nyumba is a very weak or failed state economically, with a small group of powerful individuals controlling the financial, trade, banking, and commodity sectors within the country.

Social

In Sub-Saharan Africa, UN population growth forecasts exceed 2.0% per annum through 2035, with the majority of the population under age 25 through the year 2050. Sub-Saharan Africa’s global share of 15-24 year olds will increase from 14.3% to 23.3% over the forecast period. Under these circumstances, mega-cities will continue to grow rapidly, poverty will persist, and governments will struggle to provide basic services. Insurgent and terrorist groups will seek to exploit these conditions: competing with the state to provide social services; employing violence to intimidate political opposition; using terror attacks to provoke external actors into de-legitimizing military interventions; and aggressively recruiting among the region’s youth.

Regional Social Factors Comparison
  Amari Ziwa Kujenga Nyumba
Social
  • Age Distribution (%) < 15 yr. 42% 15-59 yr. 53% > 60 yr. 5%
  • Median Age: 19.5
  • Pop. Growth Rate: 1.81%
  • Birth Rate (per 1,000): 25.1
  • Death Rate (per 1,000): 6.8
  • Infant Mortality (per 1,000): 38.3
  • Life Expectancy: 6
  • Literacy Rate: Male 81% Female 74%
  • Urban Population: 25.6%
  • Religion: Christianity 80% Islam 5% Traditional/ Indigenous 4% Other 2%
  • Age Distribution (%) < 15 yr. 45% 15-59 yr. 49% > 60 yr. 6%
  • Median Age: 20
  • Pop. Growth Rate: 3.2%
  • Birth Rate (per 1,000): 42.9
  • Death Rate (per 1,000): 10.2
  • Infant Mortality (per 1,000): 57.6
  • Life Expectancy: 65
  • Literacy Rate: Male 85% Female 72%
  • Urban Population: 16.8%
  • Religion: Christianity 40% Islam 35% Traditional/ Indigenous 15% Other 0%
  • Age Distribution (%) < 15 yr. 45% 15-59 yr. 50% > 60 yr. 5%
  • Median Age: 27
  • Pop. Growth Rate: 2.8%
  • Birth Rate (per 1,000): 35
  • Death Rate (per 1,000): 7.6
  • Infant Mortality (per 1,000): 41.2
  • Infant Mortality (per 1,000): 41.2
  • Life Expectancy: 62.2
  • Literacy Rate: Male 83% Female 71%
  • Urban Population: 33%
  • Religion: Christianity 27% Islam 60% Traditional/ Indigenous 10% Other 3%
  • Age Distribution (%) < 15 yr. 44% 15-59 yr. 52% > 60 yr. 4%
  • Median Age: 18
  • Pop. Growth Rate: 2%
  • Birth Rate (per 1,000): 39
  • Birth Rate (per 1,000): 39
  • Infant Mortality (per 1,000): 96.6
  • Life Expectancy: 62.4
  • Literacy Rate: Male 82% Female 68%
  • Urban Population: 40.5%
  • Religion: Christianity 3% Islam 90% Traditional/ Indigenous 7% Other 0%

Information

The OE countries all recognize the importance and influence of information media and its control. Approaches range from low technical capabilities with tight government controls to rapidly modernizing technical capabilities with ineffective attempts by the government to control the public's perceptions. New means of information sharing using modern technology are rapidly adopted by the population unless the government intervenes in an attempt to control information flow. Countries jump directly from limited land-line telephone systems to ubiquitous cell phone use. Distances and improvements in technology, software, and infrastructure allow African countries to implement new information systems at a very rapid pace. In several instances, African countries are on the cutting edge of adopting new information technology to enhance the public's standard of living. Other instances see the leadership of a country attempting to control access to information systems to remain in power and to exploit it for their own benefit.

Regional Information Environment Comparison
  Amari Ziwa Kujenga Nyumba
Information
  • Good diverse, open media
  • High INFOWAR capability
  • Diverse INT capabilities
  • Decent technology
  • Govt. control/owned
  • Strong growth of ICT Sector
  • INFOWAR mixed
  • Mixed INT
  • Adopting modern technology
  • Rapidly growing cell phone capability
  • Ltd. media (radio, WOM) Govt./Private mix
  • Attempt at Govt. control - marginal effect
  • Ltd. INFOWAR
  • Ltd. INT (HUMINT, OSINT)
  • Entry-level cell phone
  • Non-technical (WOM, radio)
  • Govt. media & control
  • INFOWAR niche purchases
  • Ltd. INT (HUMINT)
  • Paid/foreign-supplied IMINT
  • SATCOM phones only (elite)

Infrastructure

Regional infrastructure architecture diagram

African infrastructure is expensive. Long distances, low population densities, uneven management, and intraregional competition contribute to these costs. African infrastructure projects emphasize expensive rehabilitation over basic maintenance. The World Bank estimates that about 30 percent of Africa’s infrastructure requires rehabilitation – even more in rural and conflict-prone areas.

Despite the cost, both domestic and international players are keen to expand Africa’s infrastructure. States control most infrastructure systems, but public-private partnerships (PPP) are increasingly more common. The World Bank and international development finance institutions provide most of the financing, followed by domestic government financing. Olvana is the largest financier and constructor of African infrastructure.

The typical project involves a consortium of non-African state development agencies, international government organizations, private financiers, and construction companies. Following the financing announcement, spending or progress is hard to trace until the project is complete. A large portion of the announced projects are either scaled back or never completed. In some cases, competing projects do not have the demand to justify the large investments.

Developed infrastructure correlates with population density. Amari’s main cities: Nairobi, Kampala and Mombasa, are key nodes of the 800-mile Northern Victoria Corridor, a road, rail, and pipeline network. Kujenga follows Amari in both population and infrastructure development, with the competing Dar Es Salaam - Kigoma, DARGOMA, Corridor linking the Indian Ocean port of Dar Es Salaam with Lake Tanganyika and Ziwa’s capital, Mwanza, on the southern shore of Lake Victoria. A major north-south transportation artery runs through Moyale in Nyumba, crossing into Amari just south of Isiolo, through Nairobi to Mbeya, Kujenga in the south. Nyumba, Amari, and Kujenga all compete to be the Indian Ocean gateway of choice to landlocked countries.

Lastly, proposed infrastructure projects are increasingly gathering strong opposition through both standard and social media, quickly gathering international support. The more disruptive to the environment, the more opposition they garner. Examples include port expansion and coal power plant construction in Lamu, Nyumba, and transportation corridors bisecting wildlife ranges in all four countries. While opposition campaigns often start on social media sites and increasingly evolve to on-site demonstrations.

Regional Infrastructure Comparison
  Amari Kujenga Nyumba Ziwa
Infrastructure Summary/Condition Have-use-fix Have-use-don’t fix Either have but degraded or

never-had

Have-use-don’t fix
Highway Density (mi/100sq mi) 5.7 2.8 1.6 4.4
Airports w/ Paved Runway >8,000 ft. 4 2 1 1
Deep Water Ports/Berths 1/19 4/19 1/4 -
Electricity Production/Consumption (MW) 2300 1700 130 60

See also: Amari Infrastructure, Kujenga Infrastructure, Nyumba Infrastructure, Ziwa Infrastructure

Terrain Regions within DATE Africa

Physical Environment

Though making up less than a fifth of Africa, the DATE Africa region includes most of the geographic and climatological features present on the continent. The central features are the Eastern and Western Rift Valleys that run from Kujenga in the south all the way to northwest Nyumba in the north. They are home to the African Great Lakes, which are the origins for both the Congo and Nile Rivers. Their peaks also make up the highest elevations in Africa. Eastward from the Rift, descending savanna and desert meet the Indian Ocean along an expansive coastline containing the natural deep water ports of Dar Es Salaam in Kujenga, Mombasa, Kenya, and to lesser extents Lamu and Kismaayo in Nyumba.

Lake Victoria is the world's largest tropical freshwater lake and sustains an ever-growing population. Despite the relative water wealth contained in the Great Lakes, much of the region suffers from water stress or water scarcity. Man-made crop irrigation is minimal and the major perennial rivers flowing to the Indian Ocean are prone to severe flooding during the rainy seasons.

Regional Physical Environment Comparison
  Amari Kujenga Nyumba Ziwa
General

Characteristics

  •  Lies on the Indian Ocean and Lake Victoria.
  • Terrain varies from high mountains and green plateaus to desert lowlands and coastal plains.
  • Climates range from tropical to semiarid to sub-alpine.
  • Multiple natural hazards exist, resulting from Amari’s geology, weather, native wildlife, and human activity.
  • Borders the Indian Ocean.
  • Encompasses Lake Victoria, Lake Malawi, Lake Tanganika.
  • Terrain varies from a significant  rift valley in the central region, high mountains and arid desert lowlands, as well as coastal plains.
  • Climates range from tropical to semiarid in the east; warm desert in the west; and humid near the coast.
  • Borders the Indian Ocean.
  • Encompasses Lake Turkana and Lake Logipi.
  • Terrain varies from significant rift valley, high mountains and arid desert lowlands, and coastal plains.
  • Climates are tropical to semiaridin the east, warm desert in the west, and arid and humid near the coast.
  • Completely landlocked.
  • Encompasses a portion of Lake Victoria, Lake Natron, and Lake Eya.
  • Terrain varies from a significant rift valley and lakes in East with arid desert lowlands and open savanna over a majority of the country.
  • Climates range from semiarid in the west and warm desert, arid with increased humidity near Lake Victoria.
Land Area (sq. mi) 176,619 364,374 161,998 34,216
Inland Water Area (sq. mi) 19,956 26,437 3,350 8,900

Time

All DATE Africa countries use the Gregorian calendar. However, within that daily routine great importance is paid to the rising and setting of the sun. As is common in equatorial Africa, none of the regional countries observe Daylight Savings Time (DST).

Whilst Western approaches to time are o’clock, or by the clock; regional attitudes towards time are the opposite. In many rural areas some of the elder population might not even have access to a clock or watch. However, their apparent lack of concern for clock time should not be mistaken for an inability to accomplish key tasks. The local populations will commit energy to their tasks with great industry, on their timetable, to achieve their own goals.

Across the whole region there is a much more flexible approach to time. ‘Africa time’ is very much a thing. In short, Africa time means things will happen when they happen; there is no point worrying about what might be. For example; you cannot control the rain, if it rains and crops grow, so be it. Conversely, if it doesn’t rain they will not grow. You cannot plan to harvest crops which depend on rain because you cannot control the rain.

Once the differing approach to time is understood, business with the Amari should be straightforward. Attempting to rush them, or impose a Western approach to time will not be of benefit to either US forces or the host nation. This is the case in the cities as well as the countryside.

Time Zone Observed - UTC +3 (East Africa Time - EAT) DST NOT observed.

Significant Conditions in the OE

Peacekeeping Forces

Main article: Peacekeeping Forces
  • International Peacekeeping Forces.

Recent examples of peacekeeping forces with and international mandate include the forces of the UN mission in DATE Africa and the European Training Mission in DATE Africa.

  • Regional Peacekeeping Forces.

Recent examples of regional peacekeeping forces include the forces of the Regional Standby Force and the Regional Monitoring Group's Regional Economic Community Security Force.

Private Security Forces

  • Corporate Private Security Forces.

Wealthy individuals and businesses may contract the services of corporate security forces. These forces are highly disciplined, organized and trained - recruiting mostly from former elite military and paramilitary forces. They are often used for high-end site and VIP security. They are capable of conducting small-unit, high-risk strikes with state-of-the-art equipment and vehicles. They have a significant intelligence and planning capability. While highly effective and fiercely loyal to their employer, they may have the propensity of over-aggression and risk extra-judicial actions. They may contract local security companies (see below) for mundane activities. Examples: Jaguar Integral Defence Services International (JIDSI).

  • Private Security Companies.

Rampant crime and inadequate policing, particularly in the urban areas has led to the rise of numerous private security companies. These companies provide security services for businesses and individuals ranging from static guards to armed response teams. Guarded facilities will likely have barbed wire and monitored cameras. The guards themselves are variously uniformed, from simple reflective vests and caps to military-style garb. They will either be unarmed (batons, irritants) or have a variety of small arms.

The quality and cost of the services may indicate the professionalism of responses and adherence to company rules of engagement. These guards are often well-regarded in the community and may have excellent situational awareness of local activities and dynamics, as well as those of the poorer areas from which they are often recruited.

Note: Non-commercial "neighborhood watches" may exist, but are less likely to be armed or provocative.

See also: TC 7-100 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 5, Noncombatants - Private Security Contractors

Non-Governmental Organizations

A wide range of Nongovernmental Organizations (NGO) operate within the OE. Many are focused on education, medical, and economic development. Some organizations center their activities on humanitarian assistance for displaced persons and supporting camp operations. These groups have typically been vulnerable to attack and corruption by various threat actors in the region. UN and Coalition elements, as well as privately-contracted security have been used by these groups to ensure uninterrupted movement and operation.

See also: TC 7-100 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 5, Noncombatants - Nongovernmental Organizations

Hybrid Irregular Armed Groups

The variety of armed groups operating within the OE is indicative of its complex and dynamic political, economic, ethnic, and religious issues. Their structures are as diverse as their ideological drivers. Most are not pure insurgencies, guerrilla groups, or militias, but rather hybrids of all of these. The key differentiators of these groups is their relative mix of forces and the primary driver of their actions.

Violent Extremist Organizations. There are a number of international or transnational Higher Affiliated Violent Extremist Organizations (VEO) presently operating within the OE. Many of these groups have indigenous origins, but have since affiliated with external groups for support and identity. Others may have their origins outside of the OE and gained a foothold on the continent. These hybrid organizations have the capability to organize and execute high-impact attacks against public targets and may be able to mass to conduct semi-conventional operations across the OE.

Major known groups in the OE include Islamic Front in the Heart Africa (AFITHA) and Hizbul al-Harakat. The volatility of security situations across the OE allow rapid growth and morphing of extremist groups as they position for power and influence. Groups will change their tactics and affiliations to adapt to evolving country and regional dynamics.

Insurgencies. Whether motivated by political, religious, or other ideologies, these groups will promote an agenda of subversion and violence that seeks to overthrow or force change of a governing authority. The composition of these in the OE is almost always a hybrid of insurgent elements and guerrilla forces, depending on the locale, goals, and levels of support. They may act as the militant arm of a legitimate political organization. These groups will undermine and fight against the government and any forces invited by or supporting it. They are likely to target government security forces and even civilians to demonstrate force and create instability. They will conduct small operations, such as kidnapping, assassination, bombings, car bombs, and larger military-style operations. Examples: Amarian People’s Union, Free Tanga Youth Movement.

Separatist Groups. These groups consist mostly of former (losing) soldiers that fought in a previous revolution or coup. Rather than fighting to overthrow the current regime, their focus is to secure a territory and gain officially recognition. These groups will likely have widespread support in the controlled area and view government or external forces as the enemy. They may provide security for commercial or NGO movement for a fee or to curry favor. Separatists will be very protective of their designated borders and may react disproportionately to perceived incursions. Example: Pemba Island Native Army.

Ethnic or Religious Rebel Groups. Numerous conflicts that are highlight ethnic, linguistic, or religious differences have led to the development of ethnicity-focused armed groups. Some groups have developed in self-defense against such groups, then gone onto be violent themselves. Extreme passions of these groups have led to often brazen atrocities, causing massive waves of IDPs. Multiple UN interventions may have temporarily quelled the violence, but long-held grievances give life to renewed violence. These groups may conduct raids, extrajudicial killings, targeted killings of civilians, and summary executions. There have been reports of rebels luring villagers to their town center for execution, often throwing bodies into the village water source to spoil it. These groups may attempt to seize strategic routes to assert control and raise funds. Examples: Army of Justice and Purity (AJP) and Union of Peace for the Ziwa.

Local Armed Militias. These groups usually have a local focus and may be independent or supported by a local strongman. Their forces are mostly comprised of former soldiers or paramilitary who may have fought for the state, but now serve their own interests. They generally carry small arms, but may have additional capabilities, depending on the goals and support. Moderate factions of these groups may conduct demonstrations, vandalism to force political concessions, while more radical factions conduct small attacks, riots, sabotage to enforce a particular ideology. In rural areas, they may be heavily armed and appear almost like a guerrilla force. In urban centers, they may resemble a gang or an insurgent group. Examples: Mara-Suswa Rebel Army (MSRA), Kujengan Bush Militias.

See also TC 7-100.3 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 2: Insurgents and Chapter 3: Guerrillas

Criminal Organizations and Activities

The often unstable economic and security situations across the continent have allowed criminal activity and corruption to flourish. Elsewhere in the world, corrupting and co-opting of government officials by criminal enterprises is usually to gain operating freedom. In the OE, such activities are competitive enablers, intended to gain access to internal and external markets. How these large-scale domestic criminal enterprises and international criminal manifest within the OE are characteristic of each country's circumstances and history.

Criminal enterprises may have a pronounced impact on military operations in the REGION OE. Dominant criminal elements may view external military forces as a threat to their territorial control, while less-powerful organizations may look to exploit shifts in security and rules of engagement to gain access to markets or power.

The main categories of organized criminal enterprises within the OE include:

  • Drug Trafficking
  • Human Trafficking & Forced labor
  • Commodity Theft and Smuggling
  • Illicit mining
  • Oil theft, refining, and smuggling
  • Protection Economies
  • Criminal Gangs

See also TC 7-100.3 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 4: Criminals

  1. The DATE countries listed below are fictionalized territories at the national and first-order administrative levels (i.e. province or county depending on the country). Lower order boundaries such as city wards and municipalities, and physical features such as mountains, rivers, and deserts, have retained their actual names. In many cases literature and media sources will use more than one name for a feature, and may spell them in different ways. As practicable, DATE will follow the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency's guidance contained in the Geonet Names Server (GNS), "the official repository of standard spellings of all foreign geographic names sanctioned by the United States Board on Geographic Names (US BGN)". However, the reader should be cautioned that reference texts and maps may use these other variants. These common variants are also listed in the GNS.
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