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===Hybrid Irregular Armed Groups=== | ===Hybrid Irregular Armed Groups=== | ||
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The variety of armed groups operating within the OE is indicative of its complex and dynamic political, economic, ethnic, and religious issues. Their structures are as diverse as their ideological drivers. Most are not pure insurgencies, guerrilla groups, or militias, but rather hybrids of all of these. The key differentiators of these groups is their relative mix of forces and the ''primary'' driver of their actions. | The variety of armed groups operating within the OE is indicative of its complex and dynamic political, economic, ethnic, and religious issues. Their structures are as diverse as their ideological drivers. Most are not pure insurgencies, guerrilla groups, or militias, but rather hybrids of all of these. The key differentiators of these groups is their relative mix of forces and the ''primary'' driver of their actions. | ||
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'''Local Armed Militias'''. These groups usually have a local focus and may be independent or supported by a local strongman. Their forces are mostly comprised of former soldiers or paramilitary who may have fought for the state, but now serve their own interests. They generally carry small arms, but may have additional capabilities, depending on the goals and support. Moderate factions of these groups may conduct demonstrations, vandalism to force political concessions, while more radical factions conduct small attacks, riots, sabotage to enforce a particular ideology. In rural areas, they may be heavily armed and appear almost like a guerrilla force. In urban centers, they may resemble a gang or an insurgent group. Examples: [[Mara-Suswa Rebel Army|Mara-Suswa Rebel Army (MSRA)]], [[Other Militia]]. | '''Local Armed Militias'''. These groups usually have a local focus and may be independent or supported by a local strongman. Their forces are mostly comprised of former soldiers or paramilitary who may have fought for the state, but now serve their own interests. They generally carry small arms, but may have additional capabilities, depending on the goals and support. Moderate factions of these groups may conduct demonstrations, vandalism to force political concessions, while more radical factions conduct small attacks, riots, sabotage to enforce a particular ideology. In rural areas, they may be heavily armed and appear almost like a guerrilla force. In urban centers, they may resemble a gang or an insurgent group. Examples: [[Mara-Suswa Rebel Army|Mara-Suswa Rebel Army (MSRA)]], [[Other Militia]]. | ||
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''See also [[Chapter 2: Insurgents|TC 7-100.3 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 2: Insurgents]]'' and [[Chapter 3: Guerrillas|Chapter 3: Guerrillas]]'' | ''See also [[Chapter 2: Insurgents|TC 7-100.3 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 2: Insurgents]]'' and [[Chapter 3: Guerrillas|Chapter 3: Guerrillas]]'' | ||
Revision as of 14:48, 11 October 2017
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Countries in the DATE Africa Operational Environment
Republic of Amari
Amari, with its capital at Kisumu, is a functioning and relatively stable democracy, receiving significant support from the US and other western countries. A new constitution, implemented seven years ago, has attempted to create a framework for better governance with good results. Ethnic and tribal tensions play out in multi-party politics, which has led to a history of electoral violence and distrust of the government. The last election, was uniquely free of the violence of past elections. Other concerns include border security, instability spillover from neighboring countries, regional competition for resources, and terrorism.
Republic of Ziwa
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Republic of Kujenga
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Democratic Republic of Nyumba
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Strategic Positioning
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Regional Views of the US
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Regional PMESII-PT Overview
Political
Regional info blurb on this variable goes here.
| Amari | Ziwa | Kujenga | Nyumba | |
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Military
Regional info blurb on this variable goes here.
| Amari | Ziwa | Kujenga | Nyumba | |
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Economic
Regional info blurb on this variable goes here.
| Amari | Ziwa | Kujenga | Nyumba | |
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Social
Regional info blurb on this variable goes here.
| Amari | Ziwa | Kujenga | Nyumba | |
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Information
Regional info blurb on this variable goes here.
| Amari | Ziwa | Kujenga | Nyumba | |
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Infrastructure
Despite the cost, both domestic and international players are keen to expand Africa’s infrastructure. For the most part, states control infrastructure systems but with a trend towards public-private partnerships (PPP). Development finance institutions provide the bulk of the financing, followed by domestic government financing. China is the single largest international financier and constructor of African infrastructure on a standalone basis, involved in 14% of the major infrastructure projects undertaken in 2015.
The typical African infrastructure project usually involves a consortium of non-African state development agencies, international government organizations, private financiers, and construction companies. Following the financing announcement, the subsequent spending or progress is hard to trace until the project is finally complete. In some cases, grand projects compete to the point where they lose their utility.
Developed infrastructure correlates with population density. Amari’s Nairobi, Kampala and Mombasa are the main cities and key nodes of the 800-mile Northern Transport Corridor, a road, rail, and pipeline network. Kujenga follows Amari in both population and infrastructure development, with the competing Central Corridor linking the Indian Ocean port of Dar Es Salaam with Lake Tanganyika and Ziwa’s capital, Mwanza on the southern shore of Lake Victoria. The major north-south transportation artery runs through Moyale in Nyumba, crossing into Amari just south of Isiolo, through Nairobi on to Mbeya, Kujenga in the south. Regional rivalries focus on providing Indian Ocean access to landlocked countries at the expense of strengthening this north-south trans-Africa route. Adding to this competition is the Lamu Port Express (LAPEX) Corridor, a planned southeast-northwest road/rail/pipeline corridor mainly within Nyumba connecting north central Africa with the Indian Ocean port of Lamu. Isiolo would serve as a transportation and refining hub.
| Amari | Ziwa | Kujenga | Nyumba | |
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See also: Amari Infrastructure, Ziwa Infrastructure, Kujenga Infrastructure, Nyumba Infrastructure
Physical Environment
Regional info blurb on this variable goes here.
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Time
Regional info blurb on this variable goes here.
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Significant Conditions in the OE
Peacekeeping Forces
- International Peacekeeping Forces.
TO-DO: Description goes here Recent examples of peacekeeping forces with and international mandate include the forces of the UN mission in DATE Africa and the European Training Mission in DATE Africa.
- Regional Peacekeeping Forces.
TO-DO: Description goes here Recent examples of regional peacekeeping forces include the forces of the Regional Standby Force and the Regional Monitoring Group's Regional Economic Community Security Force.
See Also: TBD
Private Security Forces
- Corporate Private Security Forces.
Wealthy individuals and businesses may contract the services of corporate security forces. These forces are highly disciplined, organized and trained - recruiting mostly from former elite military and paramilitary forces. They are often used for high-end site and VIP security. They are capable of conducting small-unit, high-risk strikes with state-of-the-art equipment and vehicles. They have a significant intelligence and planning capability. While highly effective and fiercely loyal to their employer, they may have the propensity of over-aggression and risk extra-judicial actions. They may contract local security companies (see below) for mundane activities. Examples: Jaguar Integral Defence Services International (JIDSI).
- Private Security Companies.
Rampant crime and inadequate policing, particularly in the urban areas has led to the rise of numerous private security companies. These companies provide security services for businesses and individuals ranging from static guards to armed response teams. Guarded facilities will likely have barbed wire and monitored cameras. The guards themselves are variously uniformed, from simple reflective vests and caps to military-style garb. They will either be unarmed (batons, irritants) or have a variety of small arms. The quality and cost of the services may indicate the professionalism of responses and adherence to company rules of engagement. These guards are often well-regarded in the community and may have excellent situational awareness of local activities and dynamics, as well as those of the poorer areas from which they are often recruited. Note: Non-commercial "neighborhood watches" may exist, but are less likely to be armed or provocative.
See also: TC 7-100 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 5, Noncombatants - Private Security Contractors
Non-Governmental Organizations
- TODO: list general types, roles; include camps
See also: TC 7-100 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 5, Noncombatants - Nongovernmental Organizations
Hybrid Irregular Armed Groups
The variety of armed groups operating within the OE is indicative of its complex and dynamic political, economic, ethnic, and religious issues. Their structures are as diverse as their ideological drivers. Most are not pure insurgencies, guerrilla groups, or militias, but rather hybrids of all of these. The key differentiators of these groups is their relative mix of forces and the primary driver of their actions.
Violent Extremist Organizations. There are a number of international or transnational Higher Affiliated Violent Extremist Organizations (VEO) presently operating within the OE. Many of these groups have indigenous origins, but have since affiliated with external groups for support and identity. Others may have their origins outside of the OE and gained a foothold on the continent. These hybrid organizations have the capability to organize and execute high-impact attacks against public targets and may be able to mass to conduct semi-conventional operations across the OE.
Major known groups in the OE include Islamic Front in the Heart Africa (AFITHA), Hizbul al-Harakat, and the Army of Justice and Purity(AJP). The volatility of security situations across the OE allow rapid growth and morphing of extremist groups as they position for power and influence. Groups will change their tactics and affiliations to adapt to evolving country and regional dynamics.
Insurgencies. Whether motivated by political, religious, or other ideologies, these groups will promote an agenda of subversion and violence that seeks to overthrow or force change of a governing authority. The composition of these in the OE is almost always a hybrid of insurgent elements and guerrilla forces, depending on the locale, goals, and levels of support. They may act as the militant arm of a legitimate political organization. These groups will undermine and fight against the government and any forces invited by or supporting it. They are likely to target government security forces and even civilians to demonstrate force and create instability. They will conduct small operations, such as kidnapping, assassination, bombings, car bombs, and larger military-style operations. Examples: Amarian People’s Union, Free Tanga Youth Movement.
Separatist Groups. These groups consist mostly of former (losing) soldiers that fought in a previous revolution or coup. Rather than fighting to overthrow the current regime, their focus is to secure a territory and gain officially recognition. These groups will likely have widespread support in the controlled area and view government or external forces as the enemy. They may provide security for commercial or NGO movement for a fee or to curry favor. Separatists will be very protective of their designated borders and may react disproportionately to perceived incursions. Examples: Pemba Island Native Army, Other Separatist Group.
Ethnic or Religious Rebel Groups. Numerous conflicts that are highlight ethnic, linguistic, or religious differences have led to the development of ethnicity-focused armed groups. Some groups have developed in self-defense against such groups, then gone onto be violent themselves. Extreme passions of these groups have led to often brazen atrocities, causing massive waves of IDPs. Multiple UN interventions may have temporarily quelled the violence, but long-held grievances give life to renewed violence. These groups may conduct raids, extrajudicial killings, targeted killings of civilians, and summary executions. There have been reports of rebels luring villagers to their town center for execution, often throwing bodies into the village water source to spoil it. These groups may attempt to seize strategic routes to assert control and raise funds. Example: Army of Justice and Purity (AJP).
Local Armed Militias. These groups usually have a local focus and may be independent or supported by a local strongman. Their forces are mostly comprised of former soldiers or paramilitary who may have fought for the state, but now serve their own interests. They generally carry small arms, but may have additional capabilities, depending on the goals and support. Moderate factions of these groups may conduct demonstrations, vandalism to force political concessions, while more radical factions conduct small attacks, riots, sabotage to enforce a particular ideology. In rural areas, they may be heavily armed and appear almost like a guerrilla force. In urban centers, they may resemble a gang or an insurgent group. Examples: Mara-Suswa Rebel Army (MSRA), Other Militia.
See also TC 7-100.3 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 2: Insurgents and Chapter 3: Guerrillas
Criminal Organizations and Activities
The often unstable economic and security situations across the continent have allowed criminal activity and corruption to flourish. Elsewhere in the world, corrupting and co-opting of government officials by criminal enterprises is usually to gain operating freedom. In the OE, such activities are competitive enablers, intended to gain access to internal and external markets. How these large-scale domestic criminal enterprises and international criminal manifest within the OE are characteristic of each country's circumstances and history.
Criminal enterprises may have a pronounced impact on military operations in the REGION OE. Dominant criminal elements may view external military forces as a threat to their territorial control, while less-powerful organizations may look to exploit shifts in security and rules of engagement to gain access to markets or power.
The main categories of organized criminal enterprises within the OE include:
- Drug Trafficking
- Human Trafficking & Forced labor
- Commodity Theft and Smuggling
- Illicit mining
- Oil theft, refining, and smuggling
- Protection Economies
- Criminal Gangs
See also TC 7-100.3 Irregular Opposing Forces, Chapter 4: Criminals
Potential conflict flashpoints
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| DATE Africa Quick Links . | |
|---|---|
| Regional | Politics • Military • Economics • Social • Information • Infrastructure • Physical Environment • Time |
| Amari | Politics • Military • Economics • Social • Information • Infrastructure • Physical Environment • Time |
| Kujenga | Politics • Military • Economics • Social • Information • Infrastructure • Physical Environment • Time |
| Ziwa | Politics • Military • Economics • Social • Information • Infrastructure • Physical Environment • Time |
| Nyumba | Politics • Military • Economics • Social • Information • Infrastructure • Physical Environment • Time |
| Groups | Links (TBD) |